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Stocks
Trupanion, Inc.
TRUP

TRUP Trupanion, Inc.

Trupanion, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
24.89
▼ ⁦-0.44%⁩ (-0.11)
Market Cap$1.1B
Beta1.43
52w Low52w High
21.1647.03
Last Week
⁦-10.72%⁩
Last Month
⁦-11.61%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+13.86%⁩
Last Year
⁦-46.62%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall36
Weak — below market medianSucker StockF 6/9Better than 36% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
32
47.0x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
81
11.8%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
41
——Around median
▸
Safety
57
——Around median
▸
Capital Return
76
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
19
-48.4%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
34
4▲3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Current price$25
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$33
⁦+33%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$29–$42⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$25
⁦+2%⁩
Sees it fairly priced
⁦10.7⁩% discount · ⁦3⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$25–$33⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Annual plan
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Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$34.25
⁦+37.6%⁩
Current Price $24.89·Median $33.00
Low
$29.00
High
$42.00
Current price
$24.89
Average target
$34.25
Street summary

Negative revision of Trupanion (TRUP) stock outlook

Bearish tilt

Trupanion stock has seen a notable decline in analyst optimism over the past thirty days, with the average price target falling by 8.05% to reach $34.25 compared to $37.25 at the beginning of August 2026. This negative shift is directly attributed to Piper Sandler downgrading the stock from 'Overweight' to 'Neutral' on August 26, signaling increased caution regarding the stock's ability to achieve further gains in the near term.

As of 2026-09-02
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-8.1%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.33
Hold
Analyst coverage
6
Buy conviction
33%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 1↓
Target dispersion
52%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time6 analysts rating
2
4
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.67 → 3.33
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-08-26
    Piper Sandler
    OverweightNeutral
  • = Reiterate2026-04-09
    Cantor Fitzgerald
    —· $34.00
  • = Reiterate2026-02-13
    Piper Sandler
    Overweight· $45.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    46.96x
    3.16x25.26x
    Very expensive
  • Forward P/E
    39.86x
    2.76x22.06x
    Very expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • FCF Yield
    —
    —
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    11.8%
    -36.3%104.2%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    104.6%
    -99.4%194.2%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    —
    —
  • ROIC
    —
    —
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-05 data

Company Overview

Trupanion provides medical insurance for cats and dogs, and its core model is based on monthly subscriptions for pet owners, supported by relationships with veterinary clinics and the company's proprietary insurance data. In fiscal Q2 2026, the subscription business generated $276.7 million in revenue out of total revenue of $392.9 million, or approximately 70% of the mix, while other business generated $116.2 million, or approximately 30%. Average monthly revenue per pet was $87.44, and the number of subscription pets increased 5% to 1.125 million as of June 30, 2026, including approximately 66 thousand in Europe.

In fiscal Q2 2026, total revenue increased 11% year over year to $392.9 million, and subscription revenue grew 14%, compared with 4% growth in other business revenue. Net income was $6.8 million, or $0.16 per share, compared with $9.4 million and $0.22 per share in the corresponding period, which included a nonrecurring gain of $7.8 million related to the pet food initiative. The subscription business recorded adjusted operating income of $41.4 million, up 24%, and its margin increased to 15% from 13.8%, while total adjusted operating income was $43.3 million.

Cash generation improved alongside operating growth; operating cash flow in fiscal Q2 2026 increased to $21 million from $15 million, and free cash flow increased to $19.2 million from $12 million, reaching $82.2 million over the four quarters ended that quarter. The company ended the period with $398.5 million in cash and short-term investments and $106.9 million in debt, down $7.6 million year over year, and the quarter was also the fifth consecutive quarter of positive net income.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Customer acquisition accelerated in fiscal Q2 2026; gross pet additions increased 9% year over year, and core product additions rose approximately 10%, while net subscription additions reached approximately 18,800 pets, up 39% from the corresponding period, supported by improved website conversion and continued phone conversion near record levels.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Expanded deductible and coinsurance options increased customers' ability to adjust their monthly cost, and the company had completed approximately 50% of their rollout as of August 5, 2026, with a target of covering North America by the end of 2026. Management said the initial results were positive and that the increase in volume and changes in average revenue per pet had a positive cumulative effect.
  • The lifetime value of an enrolled pet increased 25% in fiscal Q2 2026, strengthening customer acquisition economics despite the average pet acquisition cost rising to $299 from $276. The company spent $21.6 million of its adjusted operating income to acquire approximately 68,100 new subscriptions during the quarter.
  • The company slightly raised the midpoint of its fiscal 2026 subscription revenue outlook, setting a range of $1.124 billion to $1.133 billion, equivalent to growth of approximately 14% at the midpoint. It also expects total revenue of $1.584 billion to $1.601 billion and adjusted operating income of $176 million to $184 million, representing growth of approximately 19% at the midpoint.
  • Approval from the New York Department of Financial Services allowed $44 million of APIC capital to be distributed to the operating company, bringing total capital released from insurance entities to approximately $130 million over three years. At the same time, the company's board authorized a $100 million share repurchase program with no expiration date, with purchases to be made opportunistically.
  • Trupanion is developing a new digital offering targeting segments not served by its current product, and said on August 5, 2026, that it expects to launch it by the midpoint of its strategic plan, meaning by mid-2027. It is also continuing to develop the pet food initiative and manufacturing tests, but does not expect it to make a material revenue contribution during the current strategic plan.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The subscription business achieved 14% revenue growth and 24% adjusted operating income growth in fiscal Q2 2026, with the margin expanding to 15%, demonstrating that operating earnings grew faster than revenue.
    • +Customer metrics support continued expansion; net additions reached approximately 18,800 pets, up 39% year over year, while average monthly retention for the last 12 months improved to 98.37% from 98.29%.
    • +Cash and short-term investments of $398.5 million, free cash flow of $82.2 million over four quarters, and capital released from insurance entities provide flexibility to fund pet acquisition, technology, artificial intelligence, and share repurchases while continuing to reduce debt.
    • +Deductible and coinsurance options expand the range of prices available to customers, and their partial rollout coincided with improved conversion and a 25% increase in the lifetime value of an enrolled pet in fiscal Q2 2026.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Trupanion's collaboration with Pets Best ends after fiscal Q3 2028, creating a specific risk to the other business that generated $116.2 million in revenue in fiscal Q2 2026, although the context does not specify the amount of Pets Best revenue within this segment.
    • −Veterinary services inflation remained at a double-digit level according to management's August 5, 2026 disclosure, above the historical levels it cited. The company passes this increase through to pricing, but persistently rising treatment costs could pressure customers' purchasing power or the cost of paying veterinary invoices, which reached $194.3 million and 70.2% of subscription revenue in fiscal Q2 2026.
    • −The growth trajectory includes a slowdown in adjusted operating income; the actual increase was 24% in fiscal Q2 2026, while the midpoint of the fiscal Q3 2026 outlook indicates growth of only approximately 11%. The company also expects subscription revenue growth of approximately 13% at the midpoint of the Q3 range, compared with an actual 14% in Q2.
    • −Pet acquisition cost increased to $299 in fiscal Q2 2026 from $276 in the corresponding period, and the company spent $21.6 million to acquire approximately 68,100 subscriptions. This increase limits returns if the growth in pet lifetime value, which improved 25% during the same quarter, does not continue.
    • −Net income in fiscal Q2 2026 declined to $6.8 million and $0.16 per share from $9.4 million and $0.22 per share, although the prior comparison included a nonrecurring gain of $7.8 million. The absence of a reported price-to-earnings ratio in the data also makes the valuation of current profitability less clear despite five consecutive quarters of positive net income.
    • −Insider activity during the three months ended with the latest transaction on August 28, 2026, included seven sales and no purchases, with net sales totaling $503,037.58. This is a weak standalone trading signal because insider sales may be prearranged, and the data does not provide details that would allow them to be linked to a change in the company's fundamentals.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $34.25, within a wide range of $29 to $42, with a consensus rating of “Buy.” The average target is approximately 27% below the 52-week range high of $46.98, while the one-year range extends to a low of $21.16, reflecting significant divergence in the market's valuation; the data does not include a valid price-to-earnings ratio that could be used as an additional anchor despite earnings per share of $0.11 for the trailing twelve-month period shown.

    BuyAnalyst target: $34.25(+37.6%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-02; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove TRUP's fiscal Q2 2026 results?

    Total revenue increased 11% year over year to $392.9 million, and subscription revenue increased 14% to $276.7 million. Adjusted subscription operating income grew 24% to $41.4 million, and the margin expanded to 15% from 13.8%. The results also exceeded earnings expectations on August 5, 2026, and net income was $6.8 million, or $0.16 per share.

    How is Trupanion's number of subscription pets growing?

    The number of subscription pets reached 1.125 million as of June 30, 2026, up 5% year over year, including approximately 66 thousand pets in Europe. The company added approximately 18,800 net subscriptions in fiscal Q2 2026, up 39% from the corresponding period, while gross additions increased 9%. Website improvements and deductible and coinsurance options supported this performance, while average monthly retention for the last 12 months was 98.37%.

    What is Trupanion's outlook for fiscal 2026?

    The company expects total revenue of $1.584 billion to $1.601 billion in fiscal 2026. It expects subscription revenue of $1.124 billion to $1.133 billion, representing growth of approximately 14% at the midpoint of the range. It also expects adjusted operating income of $176 million to $184 million, representing growth of approximately 19% at the midpoint, after the first half exceeded $83 million, up 27%.

    What do the new deductible and coinsurance options mean for TRUP's growth?

    The new options allow customers to adjust their monthly cost and select levels that better suit their ability to pay. Trupanion had completed approximately 50% of their rollout as of August 5, 2026, and aims to make them available across North America by the end of 2026. The initial results coincided with improved website conversion and a 25% increase in the lifetime value of an enrolled pet in fiscal Q2 2026, but some states had not yet launched the options.

    How does Trupanion allocate capital between growth and share repurchases?

    The company ended fiscal Q2 2026 with $398.5 million in cash and short-term investments, compared with debt of $106.9 million. After the quarter ended, it received approval to transfer $44 million of APIC, bringing total capital released from insurance entities to approximately $130 million over three years. The company authorized a $100 million share repurchase program, while continuing to direct funds toward pet acquisition, Landspath, technology, artificial intelligence, and principal debt repayment.

    What are the main operating risks facing TRUP stock?

    Veterinary services inflation remained at a double-digit level in the August 5, 2026 disclosure, requiring continued pricing adjustments and increasing customers' cost sensitivity. Pet acquisition cost increased to $299 from $276, while the midpoint of the fiscal Q3 2026 outlook indicates adjusted operating income growth of approximately 11%, compared with an actual 24% in Q2. In addition, the company agreed with Pets Best to end the relationship after fiscal Q3 2028, posing a risk to part of the other business, which generated $116.2 million in revenue in fiscal Q2 2026.