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Home
Stocks
TransUnion
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall72
Strong — clearly above market medianContrarianF 8/9Better than 72% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
58
20.4x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
80
12.4%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
90
——Top tier
▸
Safety
53
——Around median
▸
Capital Return
33
0.60%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
48
-10.2%▼2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
67
17▲3Top tier
TRU

TRU TransUnion

TransUnion · NYSE
Market Closed
77.70
▲ ⁦+0.97%⁩ (+0.75)
Market Cap$14.9B
Beta1.53
52w Low52w High
63.5895.51
Last Week
⁦-7.14%⁩
Last Month
⁦-1.82%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+5.70%⁩
Last Year
⁦-12.37%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$78
Analyst target · 6 analysts
$98
⁦+26%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$77–$115⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$33
⁦-57%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦11.2⁩% discount · ⁦3⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$33–$98⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 6 analysts setting price target
$94.33
⁦+21.4%⁩
Current Price $77.70·Median $98.00
Low
$77.00
High
$115.00
Current price
$77.70
Average target
$94.33
Street summary

Analysis of TransUnion (TRU) Price Target Revisions

Bullish tilt

TransUnion stock has seen an improvement in analyst outlook over the past 30 days, with the average price target rising by 2.64% to reach $95 compared to $92.56 at the beginning of July 2026. This positive trend is reinforced by an upgrade of the stock's rating by BNP Paribas to "Outperform" on July 28, with major institutions such as Morgan Stanley and BMO Capital continuing to maintain positive ratings, indicating growing confidence in the stock's trajectory despite the variance between the high end of targets ($115) and the low end ($77).

As of 2026-08-05
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-0.7%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.95
Buy
Analyst coverage
22
Buy conviction
73%
High
Target dispersion
49%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time22 analysts rating
5
11
6
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.05 → 3.95
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-07-29
    BMO Capital
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-07-29
    Morgan Stanley
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-07-29
    Needham
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    20.45x
    3.16x25.26x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    15.13x
    2.76x22.06x
    Above average
  • EV / EBITDA
    12.67x
    3.07x24.55x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    6.2%
    -19.9%19.1%
    Above average
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    12.4%
    -36.3%104.2%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    90.0%
    -99.4%194.2%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    61.6%
    23.5%98.3%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    10.0%
    -36.5%24.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    3.05x
    0.25x7.31x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    0.6%
    0.6%9.0%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    12.4%
    9.8%97.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-28 data

Company Overview

TransUnion provides credit data, analytics, and decisioning tools to lenders, alongside fraud prevention, marketing, identity, and trusted call solutions. In U.S. Financial Services, roughly two-thirds of revenue comes from CoreCredit, while alternative data and the TruIQ platform account for about 12%, and non-credit solutions, led by trusted call and marketing and fraud solutions, account for about 24%; this broadens revenue sources across the customer lifecycle, from targeting and verification to underwriting and portfolio management.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, reported revenue increased 15%, and grew 10% organically and in constant currency, or 7% excluding FICO mortgage pass-through revenue. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization increased 12%, with the margin reaching 34.8%, down 90 basis points year over year due to FICO pass-through revenue, while adjusted diluted earnings per share rose 13% to $1.23 and exceeded the high end of guidance by $0.08.

The U.S. business led the results with 11% organic growth, as Financial Services increased 18%, or 10% excluding FICO pass-through revenue, Emerging Verticals grew 9%, and International growth accelerated to 6%. According to EDGAR filings, TransUnion generated Q1 fiscal 2026 revenue of $1.2 billion, net income of $397.1 million, and earnings per share of $2.04, compared with revenue of $4.6 billion and net income of $455.4 million in fiscal 2025.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Management raised fiscal 2026 guidance to constant-currency organic growth of 8% to 9%, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization growth of 10% to 11%, and adjusted diluted earnings per share growth of 11% to 12%, compared with the previous earnings per share growth range of 9% to 11%.
  • The number of U.S. credit customers migrated to OneTru exceeded 4,000 by Q2 fiscal 2026, and the platform now powers about 60% of U.S. matching activity and 30% of digitally connected customers, with the U.S. migration targeted for completion by the end of fiscal 2026.
  • TransUnion launched forty AI-powered products and enhancements during the first half of fiscal 2026, and software engineers and data scientists recorded average productivity gains exceeding 25%, compared with more than 20% in initial consumer support operations trials.
  • VantageScore usage within mortgage credit inquiries increased from less than 5% at the beginning of fiscal 2026 to about 30% across more than 900 lenders, although the company's fiscal 2026 guidance assumes no financial benefit from this adoption.
  • Adjacent solutions outperformed market growth; trusted call grew by more than 50% year over year within Financial Services, alternative data and analytics grew at a low-double-digit rate, while TruIQ secured wins and new contracts in the United States, India, Canada, and the United Kingdom.
  • Canada recorded 10% growth, India 8%, and the United Kingdom 9% in Q2 fiscal 2026, while the acquired Mexican credit bureau continued to exceed the acquisition deal assumptions for revenue and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case5 pts

  • +TransUnion has demonstrated an ability to grow faster than its core lending markets; excluding mortgage, U.S. Financial Services achieved a compound annual growth rate of about 9%, compared with roughly 2% for the average growth of U.S. consumer credit facilities and gross domestic product over the same period.
  • +The revenue base within Financial Services has become more diversified, with more than one-third coming from alternative data, analytics, and non-credit solutions, while trusted call is growing by more than 50% annually and FactorTrust and TruIQ are growing at a low-double-digit rate.
  • +Platform consolidation through OneTru could support economies of scale and faster product launches; the company targets running about 95% of its business on a shared software platform within approximately two years of the July 28, 2026 call.
  • +The financial position improved in Q2 fiscal 2026, with leverage declining to 2.6 times, cash holdings of $839 million, and the repurchase of 2.1 million shares for about $150 million from the beginning of the year through July 2026 under a $1 billion authorization.
  • +VantageScore expansion represents an additional opportunity not included in guidance; it reached about 30% of mortgage inquiries across more than 900 lenders, with VantageScore-only use cases beginning to emerge, although most activity continued to combine it with FICO.

Valuation

The analyst consensus rates TRU stock a “Buy,” with an average target of $94.9 and a wide range of $77 to $115. The average target is slightly below the upper end of the 52-week range of $95.505, while the highest target exceeds that level by about 20%, a divergence reflecting meaningful differences in assessments of growth sustainability, mortgage pressures, and margins. No usable price-to-earnings ratio is available in the data, so the risk assessment is based on the breadth of the target range and the 52-week range of $63.37–$95.505 rather than an unavailable earnings multiple.

BuyAnalyst target: $94.9(+22.1%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What is driving TransUnion's growth in fiscal 2026?

In Q2 fiscal 2026, revenue grew 10% organically and in constant currency, with U.S. Financial Services leading performance through growth of 18%, or 10% excluding FICO pass-through revenue. The company benefits from growth in CoreCredit, alternative data, the TruIQ platform, and trusted call solutions, which are growing by more than 50% annually within Financial Services. Based on first-half performance, management raised fiscal 2026 organic growth guidance to 8%–9% and adjusted diluted earnings per share growth guidance to 11%–12%.

How important is the OneTru platform to TRU stock?

By Q2 fiscal 2026, TransUnion had migrated more than 4,000 U.S. credit customers to OneTru, and the platform was managing about 60% of U.S. matching activity and 30% of digitally connected customers. The company also deployed versions of OneTru in Canada, the United Kingdom, and India to support TruIQ and is working to migrate legacy marketing and fraud applications to it. Management targets completing the U.S. migration by the end of fiscal 2026 and running about 95% of the business on a shared platform within approximately two years of the July 28, 2026 call.

Does VantageScore represent a significant financial source for TransUnion?
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −Mortgage remains highly interest-rate sensitive; inquiries declined 7% in Q2 fiscal 2026, and the company expects a mid-to-high-single-digit decline for the full year and a low-double-digit decline in the second half, which explains the slowdown in Q3 organic growth guidance excluding FICO to 4%–5.5% from 7% in Q2.
  • −The adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin declined 90 basis points to 34.8% in Q2 fiscal 2026, and the company expects a full-year margin of 35.2% to 35.4%, down 60–80 basis points, due to a 90-basis-point negative impact from FICO pass-through revenue and a 40-basis-point impact from acquisitions.
  • −Not all business units are on a growth trajectory; Consumer Interactive declined 3%, Asia Pacific fell 7%, and the communications sector declined modestly in Q2 fiscal 2026, making the achievement of guidance dependent on continued strength in Financial Services and Emerging Verticals and improvement in other international markets.
  • −TransUnion faces direct competition in Mexico following a competitor's announced acquisition of the second-largest credit bureau there; although TransUnion has a base of about 600 million credit lines and unique positive data representing 90% of the total, converting this advantage into sustainable growth requires successfully integrating OneTru and launching TruIQ and TruValidate.
  • −Debt totaled $5.6 billion at the end of Q2 fiscal 2026, and leverage remained at 2.6 times, above the company's long-term target of less than 2.5 times; therefore, weak cash flows or slowing earnings could constrain the flexibility to pursue share repurchases and investment simultaneously.
  • −Net insider sales during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 11, 2026 totaled about $4.6 million across ten sales with no purchases; this is a weak trading signal on its own because such sales may be prearranged unless the data indicate otherwise.

The percentage of mortgage inquiries including VantageScore increased from less than 5% at the beginning of fiscal 2026 to about 30% by the July 28, 2026 call. Usage covered more than 900 lenders, with most activity remaining dual usage of VantageScore and FICO and limited VantageScore-only use cases emerging. However, TransUnion's fiscal 2026 guidance includes no additional revenue from VantageScore adoption, making the financial impact an unmodeled opportunity rather than a confirmed outcome.

What are the main mortgage risks to TRU's results?

Mortgage inquiries declined 7% in Q2 fiscal 2026 as the yield on the ten-year U.S. Treasury increased by about 50 basis points from the beginning of the year. TransUnion expects inquiries to decline at a mid-to-high-single-digit rate in fiscal 2026, including a low-double-digit decline in the second half. Nevertheless, the company maintained mortgage revenue growth guidance of 28% overall and 6% excluding FICO pass-through revenue, supported by pricing and revenue outside the traditional three credit bureau reports.

What do TransUnion's debt and share repurchases look like?

TransUnion ended Q2 fiscal 2026 with $5.6 billion in debt and $839 million in cash, while financial leverage declined to 2.6 times. From the beginning of the year through July 2026, it repurchased 2.1 million shares at an average of about $71 per share and a total value of about $150 million. The company still has a $1 billion repurchase authorization, but it also targets reducing leverage to less than 2.5 times over the long term.

What role do Mexico and India play in TransUnion's international growth?

India's revenue grew 8% in Q2 fiscal 2026, supported by stabilizing volumes, the largest quarter of new sales in the Indian market, the launch of TruIQ, and the expansion of trusted call. In Mexico, the acquired credit bureau continued to exceed the deal assumptions for revenue and adjusted earnings, supported by about 600 million credit lines and unique positive data representing 90% of the total. TransUnion plans to add TruIQ, TruValidate, and credit education tools in Mexico during the year following the July 28, 2026 call, with competition and execution remaining critical factors.