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Home
Stocks
T. Rowe Price Group, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall93
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 5/9Better than 93% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
83
10.7x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
42
7.0%7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
93
——Top tier
▸
Safety
84
——Top tier
▸
Capital Return
62
4.84%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
67
4.7%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
53
9▲3Around median
TROW

TROW T. Rowe Price Group, Inc.

T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
106.29
▼ ⁦-1.17%⁩ (-1.26)
Market Cap$23.0B
Beta1.48
52w Low52w High
85.22122.00
Last Week
⁦-2.83%⁩
Last Month
⁦-6.78%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+1.68%⁩
Last Year
⁦-2.82%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$106
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$113
⁦+6%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$108–$120⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$95
⁦-11%⁩
Sees it slightly overvalued
⁦11.0⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$95–$113⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$113.50
⁦+6.8%⁩
Current Price $106.29·Median $113.00
Low
$108.00
High
$120.00
Current price
$106.29
Average target
$113.50
Street summary

Expectations Stabilize with a Slight Reduction in Consensus

The price target consensus remained stable at 113.5 with two analysts over the last day and 7 days, while declining by 1.3 or 1.13% over the last 30 days, from 114.8 to 113.5, with no change in the number of analysts. The current range is between 108 and 120, reflecting a spread of 12 points, while the consensus and median remain only slightly above the current price of 109.78.

As of 2026-09-07
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-0.6%⁩
Average rating
★ 2.46
Sell
Analyst coverage
13
Buy conviction
0%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
11%
Analyst ratings over time13 analysts rating
9
1
3
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months2.64 → 2.46
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-31
    TD Cowen
    Hold
  • = Reiterate2026-08-03
    BMO Capital
    Market Perform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-03
    Deutsche Bank
    Hold
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    10.66x
    3.16x25.26x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    11.24x
    2.76x22.06x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    7.04x
    3.07x24.55x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    7.4%
    -19.9%19.1%
    Above average
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    7.0%
    -36.3%104.2%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    11.3%
    -99.4%194.2%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    70.7%
    23.5%98.3%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    14.5%
    -36.5%24.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    4.8%
    0.6%9.0%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    51.3%
    9.8%97.8%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-31 data

Company Overview

T. Rowe Price Group is an asset management company that generates most of its revenue from investment management and advisory fees linked to the size of assets under management and the type of strategy and investment vehicle. Assets under management totaled $1.9 trillion at the end of Q2 fiscal 2026, including approximately $900 billion in directly managed active equities, while the company is expanding its sources of growth through fixed income, alternatives, exchange-traded funds, separately managed accounts, and retirement solutions. The asset mix affects revenue, as exchange-traded funds, hybrid solutions, and low-tracking-error strategies tend to carry lower fees than traditional active equity funds.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, the company reported EDGAR revenue of $1.9 billion, net income of $632.0 million, and diluted earnings per share of $2.88, equivalent to a calculated net income margin of approximately 33.3%. On an adjusted basis, net revenue was $1.9 billion, up 2.7% from Q1 fiscal 2026 and 8.5% from Q2 fiscal 2025, while adjusted diluted earnings per share were $2.57 versus $2.52 and $2.24, respectively. Investment advisory revenue was $1.7 billion, but the annualized effective fee rate declined to 38.1 basis points from 38.4 basis points in the previous quarter.

The flow mix remained uneven in Q2 fiscal 2026: the company recorded net outflows of $6.5 billion, offset by positive inflows into fixed income, multi-asset, and alternatives, in addition to $4.4 billion of net inflows into exchange-traded funds. The exchange-traded fund platform comprised 34 funds with assets exceeding $30 billion, while the separately managed account platform included 43 products with $20 billion in assets. Integrated and low-tracking-error strategies, which manage approximately $200 billion, also generated $16 billion in net inflows since the beginning of fiscal 2026.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Growth in assets and revenue supported Q2 fiscal 2026 results; the company ended the period with $1.9 trillion in assets under management, adjusted net revenue rose 8.5% year over year, and adjusted diluted earnings per share increased to $2.57 from $2.24.
  • Exchange-traded funds have become a clear driver of flows, attracting $4.4 billion in Q2 fiscal 2026 and lifting platform assets to more than $30 billion across 34 funds. Launches included T. Rowe Price Capital Appreciation Market Opportunities ETF in June 2026 and T. Rowe Price Active Crypto ETF under the ticker TKNZ in July 2026.
  • Strategies combining fundamental research and quantitative analysis are benefiting from client demand for risk-disciplined active management; they represent approximately $200 billion in assets under management and attracted $16 billion in net inflows since the beginning of fiscal 2026. A large subadvisory mandate also supported June 2026 flows.
  • The alliance with Goldman Sachs is expanding the range of alternative products; T. Rowe Price Goldman Sachs Private Markets Fund launched on July 1, 2026, and assets in five jointly developed investment models reached approximately $500 million. Management expects T. Rowe Price Managed Late-Stage Venture Fund to exceed its target size during fiscal 2026, with a second fund expected in 2027.
  • The F/m Investments transaction announced on August 20, 2026 adds a specialized platform managing approximately $19 billion, strengthening T. Rowe Price's presence in bond exchange-traded funds and separately managed accounts. The transaction is expected to close in early 2027, with F/m Investments retaining its brand, current leadership, and operations as a subsidiary.
  • Capital management provides support for earnings per share; the company repurchased $157 million of shares in Q2 fiscal 2026, bringing year-to-date purchases to more than $497 million, or approximately 2.5% of shares outstanding. It ended the period with $4.4 billion in discretionary cash and investments.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The company combines a $1.9 trillion asset base with clear earnings improvement, as EDGAR net income reached approximately $632.0 million and earnings per share were $2.88 in Q2 fiscal 2026, compared with net income of $498.2 million and earnings per share of $2.23 in the previous quarter.
  • +The $4.4 billion of net inflows into exchange-traded funds, alongside $16 billion into integrated and low-tracking-error strategies since the beginning of fiscal 2026, demonstrates that the company is making progress in products experiencing growing client demand despite continued outflows from traditional active equities.
  • +Investment performance quality supports the company's ability to retain and attract assets; 79% of fund assets outperformed peer groups over ten years, and the outperformance rate for fixed-income funds exceeded 75% across all reported periods. In target-date funds, 98% of assets outperformed peers over ten years.
  • +Discretionary cash and investments of $4.4 billion provide flexibility to fund new products, acquisitions, and share repurchases. The planned acquisition of F/m Investments, which manages approximately $19 billion, adds specialized bond exchange-traded fund capabilities without assuming any financial impact not disclosed in the available information.

▼ Selling Case

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $114.2, within a target range of $108 to $120, while the consensus recommendation is Neutral; the average is $7.8 below the 52-week range high of $122. The wide 52-week range of $85.22 to $122 reflects the valuation's sensitivity to fluctuations in assets under management, flows, and fee pressure, so the neutral consensus balances growth in exchange-traded funds and alternative products against continued active equity outflows and rising expenses.

HoldAnalyst target: $114.2(+7.4%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-28; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

How did TROW perform in Q2 fiscal 2026?

According to EDGAR, T. Rowe Price reported revenue of $1.9 billion, net income of $632.0 million, and diluted earnings per share of $2.88 in Q2 fiscal 2026. On an adjusted basis, earnings per share were $2.57 versus $2.52 in Q1 fiscal 2026 and $2.24 in Q2 fiscal 2025. Adjusted net revenue rose 2.7% sequentially and 8.5% year over year, but the company recorded net outflows of $6.5 billion.

Have outflows from T. Rowe Price stopped?

They have not stopped at the company level, as net outflows totaled $6.5 billion in Q2 fiscal 2026. The picture improved in May and June 2026 due to a large mandate in the hybrid target-date series and a large subadvisory mandate for two research-based and integrated strategies. Nevertheless, management expects flows in the second half of fiscal 2026 to be more challenging because of pressure on active equities, portfolio rebalancing, and a temporary gap in the later stages of the target-date product pipeline.

How important are exchange-traded funds to TROW's growth?

The exchange-traded fund platform attracted $4.4 billion in net inflows in Q2 fiscal 2026, and its assets reached more than $30 billion across 34 funds. The company launched T. Rowe Price Capital Appreciation Market Opportunities ETF in June 2026, followed by TKNZ, an active multi-token crypto asset fund, in July 2026. After building the current lineup, the plan focuses on expanding the scale of existing funds and using them in asset allocation models and wealth platforms.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

6 pts
  • −Continued pressure on active equities represents the greatest flow risk because approximately $900 billion of the $1.9 trillion in assets under management is invested in directly managed active equities. The company recorded net outflows of $6.5 billion in Q2 fiscal 2026, and management expects flows in the second half of fiscal 2026 to be materially more challenging due to redemptions, portfolio rebalancing, and the absence of the large mandates that supported May and June.
  • −The company faces a competitive and structural shift from active equities and open-end mutual funds toward passive products, exchange-traded funds, managed accounts, and hybrid solutions. Fee pressure is evident in the decline in the annualized effective fee rate to 38.1 basis points in Q2 fiscal 2026 from 38.4 basis points in the previous quarter, alongside continued outflows from higher-fee equity strategies.
  • −Margins could come under pressure as costs rise faster than fee growth, with adjusted operating expenses increasing to $1.2 billion, up 4.2% sequentially and 4.9% year over year in Q2 fiscal 2026. Management also raised its fiscal 2026 adjusted operating expense growth outlook, excluding carried interest compensation expense, to a range of 4%–7% above a base of $4.6 billion in fiscal 2025.
  • −Near-term performance for some products remains weaker than the long-term record; on an asset-weighted basis, only 44% of funds outperformed over one year and 43% over five years, compared with 79% over ten years. In alternatives, collateralized loan strategies remained down since the beginning of fiscal 2026, distressed and special-situations funds mostly posted losses during Q2 fiscal 2026, and liquid credit funds underperformed their benchmarks.
  • −Expansion into digital assets carries execution and adoption risks, even though TKNZ gives the company a differentiated product; management acknowledged on July 31, 2026 that the adoption of tokenized assets and digital wallets will take time. Therefore, the available information does not yet contain figures proving that these initiatives will offset flow and fee pressures in the traditional business.
  • −Insider transactions showed net selling of $1.1 million during the three months ended August 25, 2026, with one sale and no purchases. This remains a weak standalone trading signal because insider sales may be prearranged, and the available information does not explain the motivation for the transaction.
What does the acquisition of F/m Investments add to T. Rowe Price?

On August 20, 2026, T. Rowe Price announced an agreement to acquire F/m Investments, a specialist in bond exchange-traded funds that manages approximately $19 billion. The transaction aims to expand fixed-income, liquidity, and separately managed account capabilities and access to wealth and retirement platforms. It is expected to close in early 2027, with F/m Investments retaining its brand and current leadership and operating as a subsidiary of T. Rowe Price.

Is TROW's investment performance quality strong?

In Q2 fiscal 2026, more than half of the company's funds outperformed peer groups over one-, three-, and ten-year periods, while the proportion was 44% over five years. On an asset-weighted basis, 79% of assets outperformed over ten years, but the rates were 44% over one year, 57% over three years, and 43% over five years. Fixed income was relatively stronger, with more than 75% of its fund assets outperforming across all reported periods, while 98% of target-date fund assets outperformed over ten years.

What are the main risks of investing in TROW shares?

The greatest operating risk is continued outflows from active equities, which represent approximately $900 billion of the company's $1.9 trillion in assets under management at the end of Q2 fiscal 2026. The effective fee rate also declined to 38.1 basis points from 38.4 basis points as clients shifted toward lower-fee products, while management expects adjusted expenses to grow 4%–7% in fiscal 2026. In addition, weaker relative performance over some recent periods and in certain credit and alternative strategies could make it more difficult to restore inflows if competition from passive products and lower-cost solutions remains elevated.