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Home
Stocks
Targa Resources Corp.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall78
Strong — clearly above market medianHigh FlyerF 6/9Grey zoneBetter than 78% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
34
27.7x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
68
-2.0%▼7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
73
15.0%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
41
3.5x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
61
1.46%▼2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
97
65.8%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
62
12▲3Around median
TRGP

TRGP Targa Resources Corp.

Targa Resources Corp. · NYSE
Market Closed
290.25
▼ ⁦-0.57%⁩ (-1.66)
Market Cap$62.3B
Beta0.72
52w Low52w High
144.14307.94
Last Week
⁦-1.09%⁩
Last Month
⁦+9.34%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+6.50%⁩
Last Year
⁦+79.97%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$290
Analyst target · 6 analysts
$320
⁦+10%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$268–$345⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$19
⁦-94%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦11⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$19–$320⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 6 analysts setting price target
$313.92
⁦+8.2%⁩
Current Price $290.25·Median $320.00
Low
$268.00
High
$345.00
Current price
$290.25
Average target
$313.92
Street summary

Targa Resources target raised while ratings remain unchanged

Bullish tilt

The average price target rose to 313.92 from 312.38 over one day, and to 313.92 from 308 over seven days, while over 30 days it increased from 291 to 313.92, a rise of 7.88%. The average and median, at 320, remain above the current price of 290.25, but the target range between 268 and 345 reflects notable variation among the six analysts.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+7.9%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.13
Buy
Analyst coverage
23
Buy conviction
87%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
27%
Analyst ratings over time23 analysts rating
6
14
3
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.18 → 4.13
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-10
    Scotiabank
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-09-02
    Wells Fargo
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-18
    Jefferies
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    27.70x
    3.56x28.47x
    Above average
  • Forward P/E
    24.79x
    3.36x26.89x
    Above average
  • EV / EBITDA
    14.93x
    2.12x16.98x
    Above average
  • FCF Yield
    1.2%
    -21.0%15.7%
    Above average
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    -2.0%
    -19.7%63.1%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    50.1%
    -141.8%256.7%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    43.2%
    7.8%72.1%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    15.0%
    -12.7%20.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    3.55x
    0.40x3.19x
    Above average
  • Dividend Yield
    1.5%
    0.4%10.1%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    40.6%
    11.9%109.0%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    2.66
    -1.814.34
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-06 data

Company Overview

Targa Resources Corp. operates an integrated midstream energy infrastructure network extending from wellheads to export facilities, including natural gas gathering and processing, natural gas liquids transportation and fractionation, and liquefied petroleum gas export loading. The company depends heavily on the Permian Basin, where it serves producers through contracts that include fee-based services, then moves processed volumes through its integrated network to transportation, fractionation, and export facilities, enabling it to generate revenue from multiple stages within the same value chain.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, revenue was $4.4 billion, gross profit was $2.1 billion, net income was $764.6 million, and earnings per share were $3.54. These figures represent a gross profit margin of approximately 47.7% and a net income margin of approximately 17.4%, compared with revenue of $4.1 billion, gross profit of $1.7 billion, and net income of $479.6 million in Q1 fiscal 2026. The company also recorded adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of $1.603 billion, up 14% from the previous quarter and 38% year over year.

The operating activity mix in Q2 fiscal 2026 was driven by record volumes across the network: 7.2 billion cubic feet per day in Permian Basin gathering and processing, 1.1 million barrels per day of natural gas liquids transportation, 1.2 million barrels per day of fractionation, and 14.8 million barrels per month of liquefied petroleum gas export loadings. On a trailing-twelve-month basis in 2026, Targa recorded revenue of $16.7 billion, gross profit of $7.2 billion, net income of $2.3 billion, and earnings per share of approximately $10.54, compared with revenue of $17.0 billion and net income of $1.9 billion in fiscal 2025.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Record Permian volumes lifted Q2 fiscal 2026 results, reaching 7.2 billion cubic feet per day, up 7% from the previous quarter and 14% year over year, despite 200 to 400 million cubic feet per day of shut-ins related to weak Waha prices during parts of the quarter.
  • Management expects adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization for fiscal 2026 to be near the upper end of the $5.7 billion to $5.9 billion range, potentially bringing growth over fiscal 2025 close to $1 billion. However, the first half also benefited from marketing and optimization opportunities that exceeded expectations by approximately $250 million, and the company does not assume that similar gains will continue materially during the remainder of fiscal 2026.
  • In August 2026, Targa signed 20-year integrated fee-based service agreements with ExxonMobil in the Delaware and Midland basins of the Permian. The expansion is associated with three new gas processing plants, 825 million cubic feet per day of additional processing capacity, and the Bull Run II pipeline, and the project was also reported to include a 70-mile pipeline.
  • The 2026 and 2027 project pipeline supports expansion of the integrated network; the East Driver plant, Delaware Express pipeline, and Train 11 entered service in Q2 fiscal 2026, while Blackcomb is expected to begin operating in Q4 fiscal 2026 and Traverse in mid-2027. The company is targeting the startup of Speedway with an initial capacity of 500 thousand barrels per day and an expansion of liquefied petroleum gas exports to approximately 19 million barrels per month in Q3 2027.
  • The company approved a distribution of $1.25 per share for Q2 fiscal 2026, up 25% from Q2 fiscal 2025, and repurchased approximately $80 million of shares at an average price of $259.93 per share during the quarter. Available liquidity was $3.2 billion, while the adjusted consolidated leverage ratio remained at approximately 3.4 times, within the targeted range of 3 to 4 times.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Targa's integrated Permian network provides clear operating leverage, as increased gathering and processing volumes translated into record natural gas liquids transportation, fractionation, and liquefied petroleum gas exports during Q2 fiscal 2026.
  • +The 20-year fee-based ExxonMobil agreements provide the company with a long-term contractual foundation for expanding processing and transportation in the Permian Basin, supported by 825 million cubic feet per day of additional processing capacity and three new plants.
  • +The sequence of Blackcomb, Traverse, and Speedway startups and the liquefied petroleum gas export expansion increases capacity between Q4 fiscal 2026 and Q3 2027, while Speedway's capacity can be increased from 500 thousand to 1 million barrels per day by adding pumps.
  • +Profitability improved faster than revenue; trailing-twelve-month net income in 2026 reached $2.3 billion versus $1.9 billion in fiscal 2025, even though corresponding revenue of $16.7 billion remained below fiscal 2025 revenue of $17.0 billion.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $301.85, within a wide range of $257 to $345, with a consensus rating of “Buy.” The average is near the upper end of the 52-week range of $144.14 to $307.94, while the highest target exceeds that level; no published price-to-earnings ratio is available in the data, so the available profitability valuation is based on trailing-twelve-month earnings per share of approximately $10.54 in 2026 and on the ability of the substantial capital projects to convert volume growth into free cash flow after completion.

BuyAnalyst target: $301.85(+4.0%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-27; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove TRGP's Q2 fiscal 2026 results?

Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue was approximately $4.4 billion, net income was $764.6 million, and earnings per share were $3.54. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization reached $1.603 billion, up 14% from the previous quarter and 38% year over year. Support came from record Permian volumes of 7.2 billion cubic feet per day, along with marketing and optimization opportunities and record natural gas liquids transportation, fractionation, and liquefied petroleum gas exports.

What is the significance of Targa's agreement with ExxonMobil for TRGP shares?

In August 2026, the two companies signed 20-year integrated fee-based service agreements to support ExxonMobil's operations in the Delaware and Midland basins of the Permian. The expansion includes three new gas processing plants, 825 million cubic feet per day of additional capacity, and the Bull Run II pipeline, while a 70-mile pipeline was also reported. The long duration and fee-based contracts provide a contractual foundation for growth, but they are also associated with an increase in the net growth capital estimate for fiscal 2026 to approximately $5.0 billion.

What is Targa's earnings outlook for fiscal 2026?

Management expects adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization to approach the upper end of the $5.7 billion to $5.9 billion range in fiscal 2026. It indicated that growth over fiscal 2025 could approach $1 billion, supported by higher Permian volumes and the return of most price-related shut-ins by July 2026. However, the outlook does not include additional material marketing and optimization gains after these gains exceeded expectations by approximately $250 million in the first half of fiscal 2026.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

−
The heavy operational concentration in the Permian Basin ties Targa's growth to producer activity and gas volumes in a single region; Permian volumes reached 7.2 billion cubic feet per day and were the primary driver of record figures across the transportation, fractionation, and export system in Q2 fiscal 2026.
  • −The net growth capital estimate for fiscal 2026 rose in August 2026 news to approximately $5.0 billion, compared with the $4.5 billion estimate announced during the August 6, 2026 earnings call, in addition to $250 million of maintenance capital. This substantial investment program could delay improvement in free cash flow until after 2028 and also increases return sensitivity to project execution timing and the utilization of new capacity.
  • −Some processing and equipment components face extended lead times, particularly electrical infrastructure, compressors, and certain plant vessels; management estimated the overall timeframe for adding a plant at approximately 18 to 24 months. Although the company said this had not affected its execution capability as of August 6, 2026, the expanding construction program makes supply-chain disruptions a material risk to timelines.
  • −The second half of fiscal 2026 involves relatively weaker marketing margins compared with Q2; optimization activities generated approximately $250 million above expectations in the first half, and management confirmed that the decline in these gains would be a headwind in Q3. It also indicated that the portfolio overall would likely remain below price fee thresholds during that quarter, while the commodity-price sensitivity of certain gathering and processing contracts pressured unit margins in Q2.
  • −Trailing-twelve-month revenue in 2026 declined to $16.7 billion from $17.0 billion in fiscal 2025 despite net income growth; therefore, continued earnings expansion depends on higher volumes, operating discipline, and the success of new projects in offsetting the absence of some exceptional marketing gains.
  • −Insider activity during the three months ended August 25, 2026 indicates seven sales and no purchases, with net sales of $1.6 million. This remains a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, and the context provides no evidence to the contrary.
  • When are Targa's new projects expected to add operating capacity?

    The East Driver plant, Delaware Express pipeline, and Train 11 entered service during Q2 fiscal 2026. Blackcomb remains targeted for Q4 fiscal 2026, while Traverse is targeted for mid-2027. Speedway, with an initial capacity of 500 thousand barrels per day, and the expansion of liquefied petroleum gas exports to approximately 19 million barrels per month are scheduled to begin operating in Q3 2027.

    Can Targa fund its expansions while maintaining shareholder returns?

    The company ended Q2 fiscal 2026 with available liquidity of $3.2 billion and an adjusted consolidated leverage ratio of approximately 3.4 times, within its long-term target of 3 to 4 times. It approved a distribution of $1.25 per share, up 25% from Q2 fiscal 2025, and repurchased approximately $80 million of shares during the quarter. In contrast, the net growth capital estimate in August 2026 news was approximately $5.0 billion, making project execution timing and the conversion of projects into free cash flow key factors.

    What are the main operational and financial risks facing TRGP?

    A large part of the company's growth is tied to the Permian Basin, where volumes reached 7.2 billion cubic feet per day in Q2 fiscal 2026, creating clear geographic concentration. Lead times for adding processing plants also extend to approximately 18–24 months because of long delivery periods for electrical infrastructure, compressors, and certain vessels. Financially, management expects lower marketing gains in Q3 fiscal 2026 compared with the previous quarter, alongside a capital growth program estimated at approximately $5.0 billion in August 2026.