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Home
Stocks
Tapestry, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall90
Excellent — top fifth of the marketContrarianF 8/9SafeBetter than 90% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
63
16.2x▲17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
88
14.2%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
96
33.6%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
73
1.3x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
54
1.35%▼2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
40
52.6%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
53
12▲3Around median
TPR

TPR Tapestry, Inc.

Tapestry, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
118.49
▲ ⁦+2.26%⁩ (+2.62)
Market Cap$23.4B
Beta1.46
52w Low52w High
93.00164.80
Last Week
⁦-3.35%⁩
Last Month
⁦-22.93%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-18.50%⁩
Last Year
⁦+12.53%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$118
Analyst target · 4 analysts
$170
⁦+43%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$140–$232⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$112
⁦-5%⁩
Sees it slightly overvalued
⁦10.9⁩% discount · ⁦4⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$112–$170⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 4 analysts setting price target
$173.83
⁦+46.7%⁩
Current Price $118.49·Median $170.00
Low
$140.00
High
$232.00
Current price
$118.49
Average target
$173.83
Street summary

A slight decline in consensus amid widening uncertainty

The consensus price target held steady at 173.83 with no change over the last 7 days, but over 30 days it declined from 177.91 to 173.83, a decrease of 4.08 or 2.29%. The number of analysts included also fell from 10 to 4, making the current reading less broad and more susceptible to variation. The target range is between 140 and 232, with a median of 170, compared with the current price of 118.49.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-2.3%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.95
Buy
Analyst coverage
⁦22 (-6)⁩
Buy conviction
77%
High
Rating activity · 30d
1↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
78%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time22 analysts rating
6
11
4
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.76 → 3.95
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-08
    UBS
    Buy
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-08-18
    Daiwa
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-14
    Bernstein
    Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    16.17x
    4.56x36.49x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    15.21x
    3.79x30.29x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    12.79x
    2.75x22.03x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    7.7%
    -30.9%16.2%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    14.2%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    793.9%
    -156.9%135.6%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    77.8%
    12.0%66.5%
    Exceptional
  • ROIC
    33.6%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.35x
    0.65x5.48x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    1.4%
    0.1%5.9%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    21.3%
    8.9%99.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    4.05
    -2.656.14
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-13 data

Company Overview

Tapestry, Inc. is a luxury goods group that relies on its Coach and Kate Spade brands, with a primary focus on handbags, leather goods, and footwear. The company generates sales through a direct-to-consumer-led model, including stores and digital platforms; in fiscal 2026 Q4, direct-to-consumer revenue rose 11%, digital sales grew at a mid-single-digit rate, and global store sales increased at a mid-teens rate. Coach is the primary growth and profitability driver, while Tapestry continues to invest in rebuilding demand for Kate Spade.

In fiscal 2026 Q4, Tapestry reported revenue of $1.88 billion versus FactSet estimates of $1.87 billion, while net income according to EDGAR data was approximately $347.8 million. Adjusted earnings per share reached $1.32, exceeding analysts' expectations of $1.28 and rising 28% from the comparable period. The gross margin reported on the call was 78.1%, up 180 basis points, while operating margin expanded 250 basis points and operating income rose 25%.

Fiscal 2026 revenue was approximately $8.0 billion and net income according to EDGAR was approximately $1.5 billion, with earnings per share of $7.27 according to the financial statements, while management presented adjusted earnings per share of $7.05 and growth of 38%. Coach led the operating mix; its revenue grew 14% in constant currency in fiscal 2026 Q4, while work continued on the Kate Spade turnaround. Geographically, Tapestry's revenue in the same quarter rose 7% in North America, 19% in Europe, 28% in Greater China, and 22% in the rest of Asia, while declining 4% in Japan due to the deliberate reduction of promotions.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Management expects revenue between $8.4 billion and $8.5 billion in fiscal 2027, equivalent to mid-single-digit growth, and adjusted earnings per share between $7.80 and $7.90, representing low-teens growth.
  • The company is targeting 50 basis points of operating margin expansion in fiscal 2027 to approximately 24%, with gross margin increasing by approximately 30 basis points and 20 basis points of operating leverage in selling, general, and administrative expenses.
  • Tapestry acquired approximately 11 million new customers in fiscal 2026, including approximately 9 million at Coach and approximately 2 million at Kate Spade, with Gen Z leading customer acquisition and new customers entering at higher average selling prices than the broader customer base.
  • The Brooklyn, Empire, Chelsea, Tabby, and Teri families supported demand for Coach leather goods, while footwear grew at a high-teens rate in fiscal 2026 Q4, led by Soho and the continued strength of Margot.
  • Coach plans to add between 40 and 50 net new stores in fiscal 2027, with 75% of them located internationally, while directing approximately 70% of capital expenditures and cloud computing costs of approximately $300 million toward expanding and improving the store network.
  • Management expects mid-teens growth in both Europe and Greater China in fiscal 2027, following fiscal 2026 Q4 growth of 19% and 28%, respectively, increasing the contribution of international markets to the group's expansion.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Coach's ability to combine price increases with sustained demand supports the quality of growth; the average selling price of its handbags rose at a mid-teens rate in fiscal 2026 Q4, while units remained approximately flat and promotional days were deliberately reduced.
  • +International reach provides room for growth; Coach sales in fiscal 2026 Q4 increased 30% in Greater China and 25% in Europe, while management believes the brand remains underpenetrated in both markets.
  • +Operating liquidity gives the company the capacity to invest and return capital simultaneously; adjusted free cash flow reached $1.86 billion in fiscal 2026, and the year ended with approximately $1.2 billion in cash and short-term investments and a total debt-to-adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization ratio of 1.1 times.
  • +Tapestry returned approximately $1.7 billion to shareholders in fiscal 2026 and is targeting the same amount in fiscal 2027 through approximately $1.35 billion in share repurchases and a 16% increase in the annual dividend to $1.85 per share.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $173.83, above the upper end of the 52-week range of $164.8, with a wide target range between $140 and $232 and an overall Buy consensus. This divergence reflects a split between Coach's strength and margin expansion on one hand, and the risks of Kate Spade's decline and the expected slowdown in growth during fiscal 2027 on the other.

BuyAnalyst target: $173.83(+46.7%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-28; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What is the main driver of TPR stock results in fiscal 2027?

Coach is the primary driver, as management expects high-single-digit growth for the brand in fiscal 2027 with an operating margin of approximately 36%. In fiscal 2026 Q4, Coach revenue grew 14% in constant currency and the brand acquired more than 2 million new customers. The Brooklyn, Tabby, Teri, Empire, and Chelsea families support demand for leather goods, while Soho and Margot led footwear growth at a high-teens rate. Management is targeting a path that could make Coach a $10 billion revenue brand, without specifying a timeframe for achieving this.

What is Tapestry's outlook for fiscal 2027?

Tapestry expects revenue between $8.4 billion and $8.5 billion, representing mid-single-digit growth. It expects adjusted earnings per share between $7.80 and $7.90, with low-teens growth and adjusted free cash flow approaching $1.7 billion. The company is also targeting 50 basis points of operating margin expansion to approximately 24%. Fiscal 2027 includes a 53rd week that is expected to add approximately 1 percentage point to annual revenue growth without affecting operating margin.

Why does Kate Spade represent a significant risk to TPR?

Management expects Kate Spade revenue to decline at a high-single-digit rate in fiscal 2027 and the brand to record a modest operating loss due to continued investment in the brand. Fiscal 2027 Q1 expectations also include a low-teens decline. The brand acquired more than 450 thousand new customers in fiscal 2026 Q4 and approximately 2 million customers during the year, supported by Margot, 454, and Duo. However, management said that unaided brand awareness has not yet improved and that revenue progress was slower than planned.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −The group's growth depends heavily on Coach, while the Kate Spade turnaround remains incomplete; fiscal 2027 guidance assumes that Kate Spade revenue will decline at a high-single-digit rate and that it will record a modest operating loss, while management also expects a low-teens decline for the brand in fiscal 2027 Q1.
  • −The guidance points to slowing growth after the strong performance in fiscal 2026; the company expects high-single-digit revenue growth in the first half of fiscal 2027 followed by mid-single-digit growth in the second half, and it does not assume that Coach's growth rate recorded at the start of the year will continue through the remaining periods.
  • −Demand in North America remains exposed to consumer caution; management expects low-single-digit growth for the region in fiscal 2027, compared with 7% growth in fiscal 2026 Q4, while an August 13, 2026 news report linked the weak sales outlook to Kate Spade's struggles and cautious North American consumers.
  • −Fiscal 2027 guidance assumes tariffs in the mid-twenties percentage range on U.S. imports; despite expected mitigation measures, management explained that the impact of tariffs shifts from a modest benefit in the first half to a headwind in the second half, after tariffs and customs duties reduced gross margin by approximately 60 basis points in fiscal 2026 Q4.
  • −Coach management acknowledged on the August 13, 2026 call that there are no barriers to entry in its category, making the maintenance of product differentiation and customer acquisition dependent on continued substantial spending on marketing and stores; demand creation spending reached 12% of sales, or approximately $1 billion, in fiscal 2026.
  • −Insiders recorded net sales of $3.7 million during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 19, 2026, through 2 sales and no purchases; this is a weak standalone signal because insider sales may be prearranged unless disclosures state otherwise.
  • How does Tapestry protect its margins from tariffs?

    Gross margin reached 78.1% in fiscal 2026 Q4, up 180 basis points despite approximately 60 basis points of pressure from tariffs and customs duties. The pressure reached approximately 30 basis points at Coach and approximately 250 basis points at Kate Spade. Fiscal 2027 guidance assumes a tariff rate in the mid-twenties on U.S. imports, with a neutral net annual impact after mitigation measures. Nevertheless, management expects tariffs to shift from a modest benefit in the first half to a headwind in the second half of fiscal 2027.

    How is Tapestry allocating capital after its fiscal 2026 results?

    The company returned $1.7 billion to shareholders in fiscal 2026, including $326 million in dividends and $1.35 billion to repurchase approximately 11.5 million shares. Management is targeting another $1.7 billion of capital returns in fiscal 2027, including approximately $1.35 billion in share repurchases. The board also approved a 16% increase in the annual dividend to $1.85 per share. This plan is supported by liquidity of approximately $1.2 billion and adjusted free cash flow of $1.86 billion in fiscal 2026.