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Stocks
TPG Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall43
Weak — below market medianSucker StockF 6/8Better than 43% of Market stocks, per EL7's modelUnsustainable dividend (payout > 100%)
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
39
61.8x▼17.4xBottom tier
▸
Growth
65
30.1%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
43
——Around median
▸
Safety
33
——Bottom tier
▸
Capital Return
68
7.79%▲0.18%Top tier
▸
Momentum
46
-9.2%▼1.3%Around median
▸
Sentiment
69
33Top tier
TPG

TPG TPG Inc.

TPG Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Open
44.51
▼ ⁦-1.02%⁩ (-0.46)
Market Cap$17.2B
Beta1.45
52w Low52w High
36.9570.38
Last Week
⁦+2.32%⁩
Last Month
⁦-15.46%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+4.93%⁩
Last Year
⁦-24.43%⁩
Fair Value
Current price⁦$45⁩
  • Analyst targetsLow confidence
    3 analysts
    ⁦$61⁩
    ⁦+36%⁩
    Range ⁦⁦$47⁩–⁦$65⁩⁩Typical for this method across large companies: ⁦+18%⁩

10-year US Treasury yield ⁦5.31%⁩ as of ⁦2026-10-05⁩. Estimates computed from company data and analyst targets, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$57.56
⁦+29.3%⁩
Current Price $44.51·Median $61.00
Low
$47.00
High
$65.00
Current price
$44.51
Average target
$57.56
Street summary

Slight decline in consensus as coverage expands

The consensus price target declined over 7 and 30 days from 58.88 to 57.56, a decrease of 1.32 (2.24%). On the last day, consensus remained unchanged despite the number of analysts rising from 2 to 3, indicating broader coverage without any further change in the average. Current targets range from 47 to 65, with a median of 61, reflecting a divergence in estimates. The current price is 44.97, and consensus is above it, but the data do not identify the reasons for the adjustment.

As of 2026-10-06
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-2.2%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.19
Buy
Analyst coverage
16
Buy conviction
81%
High
Target dispersion
40%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time16 analysts rating
6
7
3
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.00 → 4.19
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-08-06
    TD Cowen
    HoldBuy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-05
    Barclays
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-05
    UBS
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    61.82x
    3.02x24.14x
    Very expensive
  • Forward P/E
    13.20x
    2.61x20.85x
    Above average
  • EV / EBITDA
    20.31x
    2.97x23.76x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    5.6%
    -21.4%21.0%
    Above average
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    30.1%
    -36.3%104.9%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    523.5%
    -99.9%193.6%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    —
    —
  • ROIC
    21.2%
    -36.5%24.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.98x
    0.26x6.96x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    7.8%
    0.0%8.8%
    High
  • Payout Ratio
    563.1%
    11.9%103.5%
    High
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Last updated: 2026-08-29Based on 2026-08-04 data

Company Overview

TPG Inc. operates as a global alternative asset manager, generating a significant portion of its income from fees for managing capital across private equity, credit, real estate, capital markets solutions, and private wealth, in addition to transaction and monitoring fees and its share of realized performance earnings. As of June 30, 2026, assets under management totaled $327 billion, up 25% year over year, including $181 billion of fee-generating assets under management, up 24%, while $39 billion of assets not yet generating fees represented an estimated annual revenue opportunity of approximately $290 million.

In fiscal Q2 2026, fee-related revenues rose 27% year over year to $628 million, and management fees grew 15%, while fee-related earnings reached $315 million, up 43%, with a 50% margin. TPG reported GAAP net income attributable to the company of $93 million and after-tax distributable earnings of $280 million, or $0.69 per share, compared with expectations of $0.59 per share.

The business mix reflects the breadth of TPG's platforms: the company invested $14 billion during fiscal Q2 2026, including $7.2 billion in private equity, $4.4 billion in credit, and $2.3 billion in real estate, and generated $5 billion of realizations. It also raised $16 billion during the quarter, including $8 billion across private equity strategies and $5.6 billion in credit, bringing total fundraising since the beginning of fiscal 2026 to more than $26 billion.

What's Driving the Stock

  • TPG is targeting more than $50 billion of fundraising during fiscal 2026 after exceeding $26 billion in the first half, with the remainder of the plan supported by the final closes of TPG Capital X and Healthcare Partners III, closes for credit and real estate funds, and continued private wealth inflows.
  • TPG, in collaboration with OpenAI and investment partners, committed more than $4 billion of initial capital to establish DeployCo, an AI services and transformation platform targeting implementation bottlenecks at large enterprises. The platform has begun working with Conservice to automate invoice intake and exception processing and improve quality control through machine learning.
  • Assets under management totaled $327 billion as of June 30, 2026, and fee-generating assets under management rose to $181 billion, with $52 billion of assets available for fee-related growth. Within that amount, $39 billion of assets not yet generating fees could add approximately $290 million of annual revenue once activated.
  • Momentum accelerated in the private wealth channel; T-POP attracted approximately $450 million in fiscal Q2 2026 and reached $2.9 billion of assets under management at the end of June 2026, with a 34% annualized return since inception. TCAP recorded gross inflows of $193 million and redemption requests equal to only 2.1% of outstanding shares, while its one-year net return was 9.9%.
  • Investment deployment rose 33% year over year to approximately $14 billion in fiscal Q2 2026 and reached a record $62 billion during the twelve months ended that quarter. This included 60% year-over-year growth in private equity investments to $7.2 billion and 47% growth in real estate capital deployment to $2.3 billion.
  • Portfolio values improved in fiscal Q2 2026 by approximately 6% in private equity, 3% in credit, and 3% in real estate, increasing net accrued performance earnings by 15% to $1.4 billion. The capital, growth, and impact portfolio companies also generated revenue and EBITDA growth in the mid-to-high teens range.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The 27% growth in fee-related revenues and 43% growth in fee-related earnings in fiscal Q2 2026 provide quantitative evidence of operating leverage, while management is targeting a 47% fee-related earnings margin for full-year fiscal 2026 and further expansion over time.
  • +The backlog of undeployed capital supports visibility into fee growth; the $39 billion of assets not yet generating fees represents an annual revenue opportunity of approximately $290 million, alongside expectations for continued management fee growth through the remainder of fiscal 2026 and 2027.
  • +TPG combines direct exposure to OpenAI and Anthropic and the DeployCo platform with practical applications across its portfolios; AI-enabled recurring revenue at Boomi surpassed $100 million, more than 60% of its new customers were adopting its platform, and that revenue is expected to double by the end of 2026.
  • +The credit and private wealth platforms show signs of quality alongside growth; the non-accrual rate in middle-market direct lending was 1.4%, and the annualized loss ratio since inception was only 2 basis points, while TCAP redemption requests remained at 2.1% of outstanding shares.

▼ Selling Case

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $58.88, within a range of $50 to $65, with a consensus rating of “Buy.” The average target and the highest target are below the 52-week range high of $70.38, while no usable price-to-earnings multiple is available; therefore, the valuation is based primarily on achieving the target of raising more than $50 billion, maintaining a 47% fee-related earnings margin in fiscal 2026, and improving the pace of realizations.

BuyAnalyst target: $58.88(+32.3%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove TPG's results in fiscal Q2 2026?

Fee-related revenues rose 27% year over year to $628 million, supported by 15% growth in management fees and the second-highest quarter in the company's history for transaction and monitoring fees. Fee-related earnings increased 43% to $315 million, with a 50% margin. The company also reported GAAP net income of $93 million and after-tax distributable earnings of $280 million, or $0.69 per share.

How does TPG plan to reach more than $50 billion of fundraising in fiscal 2026?

TPG raised more than $26 billion during the first half of fiscal 2026, including $16 billion in the second quarter alone. Expected drivers include completing fundraising for TPG Capital X and Healthcare Partners III, the final closes of the Twin Brook Direct Lending and asset-backed credit funds, and the initial closes of four U.S. and Asian real estate funds. The company is also counting on continued inflows into perpetual products such as T-POP and TCAP and newer strategies including Peppertree, TPG Sports, and TPG Next.

Why is TPG's partnership with OpenAI important?

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

6 pts
  • −Realized performance earnings depend on exit markets, and management explained that geopolitical volatility, changing interest rate expectations, and AI disruption have delayed monetization timing across the industry. Despite generating $5 billion of realizations in fiscal Q2 2026, TPG expected realized performance earnings in 2026 to be slightly below a normal-year level, with improvement in late 2026 and 2027 tied to the continued normalization of market conditions.
  • −Software exposure carries direct risk from AI disruption; TPG classified approximately 5% of the TPG VIII portfolio in a category requiring mitigation of this disruption's impact. Management also acknowledged that buyers and sellers are reassessing transactions due to AI risks, which could affect valuations and the pace of exits even as software portfolio company bookings grew in the mid-teens range.
  • −Quarterly performance may decline from the fiscal Q2 2026 level because some transaction closings expected in the third quarter were completed early in the second quarter. Management therefore expects transaction and monitoring fees to decline in the third quarter and was not assuming a significant rebound in those fees in the fourth quarter, making the 50% margin recorded in the second quarter higher than the expected operating level for the year.
  • −TPG maintained its forecast for a 47% fee-related earnings margin for full-year fiscal 2026 despite reaching 50% in the second quarter, and tied any potential increase to clearer visibility into stronger capital markets fee growth during the second half. This indicates that management fee growth alone may not sustain the second-quarter margin if transaction revenue declines.
  • −TPG's expansion in lower-risk credit could reduce the average fee rate even as it adds new assets under management. Management explained that expansion in asset-backed finance, investment-grade investing, and the Advantage Direct Lending strategy comes with lower fee rates, and that the Jackson Financial partnership includes a minimum fee rate of 50 basis points.
  • −The stock's 52-week range extends from $36.95 to $70.38, while analyst targets range from $50 to $65, with the highest target remaining below the annual range high. With no meaningful price-to-earnings multiple available in the data, the stock's valuation becomes more dependent on sustained fee growth and the conversion of accrued performance earnings into realized earnings.
TPG and its partners committed more than $4 billion of initial capital to create DeployCo in collaboration with OpenAI. The platform aims to bridge the AI implementation gap at large enterprises by combining engineering capabilities with operational expertise and business transformation. DeployCo began working with Conservice to automate invoice intake, resolve exceptions, and improve quality control, while TPG also draws on its direct experience from its investments in OpenAI and Anthropic when evaluating new opportunities.
Are TPG's credit and private wealth businesses growing?

The credit platform raised $5.6 billion and deployed $4.4 billion in fiscal Q2 2026, while cumulative Jackson Financial commitments reached $4.5 billion since the partnership began in February 2026. T-POP assets reached $2.9 billion as of June 30, 2026, following quarterly inflows of $450 million and a 34% annualized return since inception. TCAP recorded gross inflows of $193 million, redemption requests of 2.1%, and a one-year net return of 9.9%.

What are the main risks that could affect TPG's earnings after fiscal Q2 2026?

Management expected transaction and monitoring fees to decline in fiscal Q3 2026 after some deal closings were brought forward from the third quarter into the second quarter, and it did not assume a significant rebound in the fourth quarter. Market and geopolitical volatility and changing interest rate expectations also delayed the timing of exits, pressuring realized performance earnings. In addition, approximately 5% of the TPG VIII software portfolio falls into a category that the company believes faces challenges from AI disruption.

What changed in TPG's financial leadership during 2026?

Axel Andre joined TPG as its new Chief Financial Officer in July 2026 and participated in the fiscal Q2 2026 earnings call on August 4, 2026. He had previously served as Chief Financial Officer at public companies, most recently Reinsurance Group of America. Jack Weingart transitioned fully into his role as Chief Executive Officer of Global Wealth Solutions, a role he had assumed in 2025 alongside his previous responsibilities as Chief Financial Officer.