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TOYO Co., Ltd.
TOYO

TOYO TOYO Co., Ltd.

TOYO Co., Ltd. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
4.41
▲ ⁦+1.85%⁩ (+0.08)
Market Cap$188.4M
Beta1.45
52w Low52w High
4.1217.43
Last Week
⁦+0.68%⁩
Last Month
⁦-27.35%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-74.04%⁩
Last Year
⁦-28.64%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall94
Excellent — top fifth of the marketContrarianF 7/9Better than 94% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
98
2.3x▲17.6xTop tier
▸
Growth
99
236.7%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
67
46.6%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
59
—2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
85
—2.15%Top tier
▸
Momentum
16
-1.8%▼2.3%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
54
2▼3Around median
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$4.41
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$10
—
Range ⁦$10–$10⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$42
⁦+844%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦10.8⁩% discount · ⁦12⁩% growth

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$10.00
⁦+126.8%⁩
Current Price $4.41·Median $10.00
Low
$10.00
High
$10.00
Street summary

Target Cut While Rating Holds

Bearish tilt

The current price target has settled at 10, with an extremely narrow range between 10 and 10, reflecting no apparent dispersion among analysts, but it is based on only one analyst. Compared with August 7, 2026, consensus fell from 18 to10, a decline of8 points or44.44%, while there was no change over the last7 days or one day, and the number of analysts remained unchanged.

As of 2026-09-07
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-44.4%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.00
Buy
Analyst coverage
2
Buy conviction
100%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time2 analysts rating
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.00 → 4.00
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-01
    Roth MKM
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-01-15
    H.C. Wainwright
    Buy· $18.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    2.26x
    3.50x28.02x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    1.44x
    3.29x26.33x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    0.92x
    2.11x16.89x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    49.8%
    -20.4%16.4%
    Exceptional
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    236.7%
    -19.6%63.2%
    Exceptional
  • EPS Growth YoY
    149.3%
    -141.8%256.7%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    28.7%
    7.8%72.1%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    46.6%
    -12.7%20.6%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-05-18 data

Company Overview

TOYO Co., Ltd. is a major provider of solar energy solutions, specializing in the manufacturing of high-efficiency solar cells and modules to meet the growing demand driven by the energy transition and AI data center needs. The company generates its revenue through the production and sale of these critical components, with a strong strategic focus on the U.S. market where it operates a massive manufacturing facility in Houston, Texas. The company aims to establish its position as a vertically integrated domestic producer in the United States, allowing it to meet the accelerating demand for modules compliant with domestic production standards and national energy security goals.

The first quarter of fiscal year 2026 marked a fundamental turning point in the company's financial performance, as it recorded record revenues of $142.8 million, representing a 177% increase compared to $51.5 million in the same quarter of the previous year. The company's gross profit margin multiplied to reach 33.5%, up from 9.3%, resulting in a gross profit of $47.8 million driven by increased shipping volumes and the full operation of expanded manufacturing capacities. The company also pivoted strongly toward profitability, recording a net income of $28.4 million, or $0.75 per share, compared to a net loss of $3.7 million in the first quarter of 2025.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Expansion of the solar module production facility in Houston from a current capacity of 1 GW to 2 GW by the third quarter of 2026, with projected capital expenditures of approximately $30 million for this year.
  • Affirmation of the full-year 2026 financial guidance, targeting production of between 5.5 and 5.8 GW for the solar cell segment, and between 1.0 and 1.3 GW for the module segment, alongside an adjusted net income ranging between $90 million and $100 million.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Advancement into the final planning stages for a new 1.5 GW domestic solar cell manufacturing facility within the same 567,000 square foot Texas plant, with implementation expected to begin in the second half of 2026.
  • Potential for upside earnings not included in current forecasts due to Section 45X advanced manufacturing tax credits, which management conservatively excluded from current earnings guidance pending the completion of audits.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The company's operating leverage is clearly demonstrated by the significant expansion in gross margin to 33.5% and the generation of $48.3 million in adjusted EBITDA during the first quarter of 2026.
    • +The company enjoys a strong liquidity position, holding $72.2 million in cash and restricted cash as of March 2026, enabling it to fully fund the $30 million module production expansion through operating cash flows without the need for external financing.
    • +Management expects more than 75% of the company's business volume to come from customers within the United States, perfectly positioning the company to capitalize on government incentives for domestic production and energy independence.
    • +The strategic separation of supply chains, where the Vietnam plant's production is directed to non-U.S. markets while the Houston plant focuses on domestic demand, effectively contributes to mitigating geopolitical and trade risks.

    ▼ Selling Case2 pts

    • −The company's rapid expansion plans, particularly the transition from the planning phase to the execution of the 1.5 GW solar cell facility in late 2026, carry execution risks and substantial capital expenditure requirements that could pressure the 2027 balance sheet.
    • −General and administrative expenses rose by 69.1% year-over-year to $9.5 million in the first quarter, reflecting the higher costs associated with scaling operations and commissioning the new 4 GW cell line.

    Valuation

    The company's shares currently trade at a market capitalization of $241.8 million, a level significantly below the consensus analyst price target of $18.00 per share. Considering the stock's 52-week price range of $4.41 to $17.43, the current valuation reflects a substantial discount compared to positive market expectations. This indicates a highly attractive forward price-to-earnings multiple, especially given management's guidance of achieving an adjusted net income between $90 million and $100 million for fiscal year 2026.

    Analyst target: $18(+308.2%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-14; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    How is the company expanding its manufacturing footprint in the United States?

    The company is actively expanding its solar module production at its 567,000 square foot facility in Houston, Texas. The company plans to double its module production capacity from the current 1 GW to 2 GW by the third quarter of 2026. Additionally, the company is finalizing plans to build a 1.5 GW solar cell manufacturing line at the same site, which will establish it as a vertically integrated domestic producer.

    Has the company included Section 45X tax credits in its 2026 financial guidance?

    No, management has taken a conservative approach and explicitly excluded Section 45X advanced manufacturing tax credits from its fiscal year 2026 guidance. Management clarified during the first-quarter earnings call that it is currently undergoing rigorous audits for 2025 production to ensure full compliance. Consequently, any future realization of these credits would represent a pure upside addition to the projected adjusted net income of $90 million to $100 million.

    What factors led to the massive increase in profit margins during the first quarter of 2026?

    The company's gross profit margin nearly quadrupled, rising from 9.3% in the first quarter of 2025 to 33.5% in the first quarter of 2026, resulting in a gross profit of $47.8 million. This structural improvement is primarily attributed to the full operation of expanded manufacturing capacities and a significant surge in solar cell and module shipping volumes. Furthermore, disciplined operating cost management and improved production efficiency across the supply chain contributed to supporting this margin expansion.

    How does the company manage its supply chain between international and domestic markets?

    The company strategically segments its manufacturing output to efficiently serve different global markets while mitigating trade and geopolitical risks. For example, the production from the solar cell plant in Vietnam is entirely directed to serve non-U.S. markets. In contrast, the company expects over 75% of its total business volume to come from customers in the United States, who will be supplied directly from the Houston facility to ensure compliance with domestic sourcing requirements.