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Teekay Tankers Ltd.
TNK

TNK Teekay Tankers Ltd.

Teekay Tankers Ltd. · NYSE
Market Closed
100.83
▲ ⁦+2.63%⁩ (+2.58)
Market Cap$3.5B
Beta-0.23
52w Low52w High
47.18100.91
Last Week
⁦+9.80%⁩
Last Month
⁦+30.15%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+42.84%⁩
Last Year
⁦+105.06%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall97
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 3/8Better than 97% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
88
5.9x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
40
15.6%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
82
22.3%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
74
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
78
1.98%▼2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
97
56.6%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
38
4▲3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$101
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$86
⁦-15%⁩
See it slightly overvalued
Range ⁦$86–$86⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$177
⁦+75%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$86–$177⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$86.00
⁦-14.7%⁩
Current Price $100.83·Median $86.00
Low
$86.00
High
$86.00
Street summary

Target Holds Steady as Coverage Declines

Target prices have not changed over the last one, seven, or thirty days; consensus, the high and low targets, and the median all remained at 86, despite the number of analysts declining from two to one. Comparing the current price of 93.37 with the target, the data show no new upward revision, while the decline in the number of analysts reduces the ability to measure dispersion and increases uncertainty around the consensus.

As of 2026-09-07
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.40
Hold
Analyst coverage
5
Buy conviction
60%
Mixed
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time5 analysts rating
1
2
1
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.40 → 3.40
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-07-22
    Evercore ISI Group
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-05-15
    Evercore ISI Group
    Outperform· $86.00
  • = Reiterate2026-04-21
    Evercore ISI Group
    Outperform· $90.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    5.92x
    5.69x45.54x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    10.93x
    4.57x36.58x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    4.41x
    3.43x27.47x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    9.4%
    -32.7%11.5%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    15.6%
    -10.7%43.4%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    110.6%
    -128.3%132.7%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    75.3%
    8.6%54.6%
    Exceptional
  • ROIC
    22.3%
    -25.3%19.6%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    2.0%
    0.1%4.8%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    11.7%
    6.6%80.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

Teekay Tankers Ltd. operates a fleet of midsize oil tankers, particularly Suezmax and Aframax/LR2 tankers, and generates revenue from vessel operations and maritime cargo transportation. A significant portion of its profitability depends on the spot market, so its cash flows rise sharply when daily charter rates increase, while a free cash flow breakeven level of approximately $9,700 per day during the twelve months following the July 30, 2026 call limits the impact of operating costs. The company is also executing a fleet renewal strategy by selling older vessels and redeploying capital into newer vessels.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, Teekay Tankers reported GAAP net income of $226 million, or $6.49 per share, and adjusted net income of $194 million, or $5.56 per share, up 50% from the previous quarter and reaching the highest adjusted quarterly level in its history. The average spot rate was $109 thousand per day for Suezmax tankers and $74.1 thousand per day for Aframax/LR2 tankers, while the combined average for its midsize tankers was approximately $91 thousand per day; it also generated nearly $200 million in operating free cash flow. The operating mix reflects significant exposure to the spot market, while the sale of a Suezmax tanker built in 2009 contributed an accounting gain of $32.3 million to reported net income.

In fiscal 2025, revenue was $951.8 million and gross profit was $634.4 million, equivalent to a calculated gross profit margin of approximately 66.7%, while net income was $351.2 million and earnings per share were $10.10. These results compare with revenue of $1.2 billion and net income of $403.7 million in fiscal 2024, and revenue of $1.5 billion and net income of $519.9 million in fiscal 2023, highlighting the role of the tanker rate cycle in annual earnings volatility.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The company achieved record spot rates in Q2 fiscal 2026, with Suezmax averaging approximately $109 thousand per day and Aframax/LR2 approximately $74.1 thousand per day, lifting adjusted net income to a record $194 million.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Teekay Tankers entered Q3 fiscal 2026 having fixed rates of $105 thousand per day for Suezmax tankers and $59.9 thousand per day for Aframax/LR2 tankers for approximately 44% of spot days, providing partial revenue support while leaving the remaining days tied to market rates.
  • Disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, the Red Sea, and the Black Sea lengthened some shipping routes, reduced vessel availability, and created trade-flow inefficiencies; according to management, these factors supported spot tanker rates even though the company's vessels did not enter the Strait of Hormuz or sail south through the Red Sea for safety reasons.
  • The company increased its cash position to more than $1.2 billion with no debt by the end of Q2 fiscal 2026, after generating nearly $200 million in operating free cash flow during the quarter. An August 16, 2026 report cited liquidity of $1.3 billion, with revenue for the first half of 2026 growing 43% and net income doubling year over year.
  • During the twelve months ended July 30, 2026, the company sold nine older vessels for $369.5 million with combined gains of $125 million, while purchasing or committing to purchase seven modern vessels for approximately $427 million, including two new Suezmax tankers with a total value of $190 million for delivery in 2027.
  • Oil inventory replenishment could provide an additional source of tanker demand; management said on July 30, 2026 that Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development inventories were at a 20-year low and that the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve held slightly more than 300 million barrels, but the timing of restocking remains dependent on developments in the Middle East and oil prices.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The stock combines high operating leverage to the spot market with a low free cash flow breakeven point of approximately $9,700 per day, compared with realized averages of $109 thousand for Suezmax tankers and $74.1 thousand for Aframax/LR2 tankers in Q2 fiscal 2026.
    • +Liquidity exceeding $1.2 billion with no debt at the end of Q2 fiscal 2026 gives the company the capacity to fund fleet renewal and withstand industry volatility without a long-term interest burden.
    • +The asset rotation strategy has demonstrated its ability to generate tangible value, with the sale of nine older vessels producing combined gains of $125 million during the twelve months ended July 30, 2026, while directing capital toward seven newer vessels that were either acquired or committed for purchase.
    • +Fixing approximately 44% of spot days in Q3 fiscal 2026 at rates of $105 thousand per day for Suezmax and $59.9 thousand per day for Aframax/LR2 provides some revenue visibility while preserving the company's exposure to any additional strength on unfixed days.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Results depend heavily on highly cyclical spot market rates; fiscal 2025 revenue declined to $951.8 million from $1.2 billion in fiscal 2024 and $1.5 billion in fiscal 2023, while net income fell to $351.2 million from $403.7 million and $519.9 million, respectively.
    • −Conflicts in the Strait of Hormuz, the Red Sea, and the Black Sea present a direct risk to vessel and crew safety and operational flexibility; as of the July 30, 2026 call, the company had refrained from entering the Strait of Hormuz and sailing south through the Red Sea, demonstrating that disruptions that raise shipping rates may simultaneously restrict available routes.
    • −Supply growth could pressure rates over the medium term, as management said that increased tanker newbuilding orders during 2026 expanded the orderbook through 2030, while vessel scrapping remained limited. Balancing this supply depends partly on older vessels leaving service, a development for which management did not specify the timing.
    • −The Aframax segment showed weakness in the middle of Q2 fiscal 2026 due to a buildup of available tonnage in the Atlantic and the absence of arbitrage opportunities, while China's crude oil imports falling to a ten-year low during June 2026 reflects demand-side fragility despite the subsequent recovery in Aframax rates in July.
    • −The company expects 260 days of downtime related to dry-docking work in Q3 fiscal 2026 and sees little flexibility to defer it after moving it from the previous quarter; therefore, operating days may be lost during a period of strong rates, while the quarterly result remains heavily dependent on rates for unfixed days.
    • −Insiders recorded net sales of 635,850 during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 18, 2026, through two sales and no purchases. This remains a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged unless the data indicate otherwise.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is “Buy” with an average target of $86, with both the highest and lowest targets matching at $86; this match means the data show no dispersion among estimates and may reflect a limited number of targets. The target is below the 52-week range high of $94.44 and above its low of $47.18, while no price-to-earnings ratio is available in the data, so the balance-sheet strength and record Q2 fiscal 2026 earnings should be weighed against the cyclicality of tanker rates and the expansion of the vessel orderbook through 2030.

    BuyAnalyst target: $86(-14.7%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove TNK's record earnings in Q2 fiscal 2026?

    Reported net income was $226 million, or $6.49 per share, in Q2 fiscal 2026, while adjusted net income was $194 million, or $5.56 per share. Adjusted earnings rose 50% from the previous quarter and reached the highest quarterly level in the company's history. The primary driver was average spot rates of $109 thousand per day for Suezmax tankers and $74.1 thousand per day for Aframax/LR2 tankers, in addition to a $32.3 million gain from the sale of a Suezmax tanker built in 2009 included in reported earnings.

    How sensitive is Teekay Tankers to spot shipping rates?

    Sensitivity is high because the majority of vessels operate in the spot market, according to management's July 30, 2026 presentation. Midsize tankers averaged approximately $91 thousand per day in Q2 fiscal 2026, compared with a free cash flow breakeven point of approximately $9,700 per day during the following twelve months. This spread resulted in nearly $200 million of operating free cash flow during the quarter, but it also means that falling rates can quickly pressure earnings.

    How is TNK using its substantial liquidity and renewing its fleet?

    The company ended Q2 fiscal 2026 with more than $1.2 billion in cash and no debt, and an August 16, 2026 report cited liquidity of $1.3 billion. During the twelve months ended July 30, 2026, it sold nine older vessels for $369.5 million with combined gains of $125 million. In return, it purchased or committed to purchase seven newer vessels for approximately $427 million, including two new Suezmax tankers valued at $190 million that are expected to be delivered in 2027.

    Will TNK's rates remain strong in Q3 fiscal 2026?

    As of July 30, 2026, the company had fixed rates of $105 thousand per day for Suezmax tankers and $59.9 thousand per day for Aframax/LR2 tankers for approximately 44% of spot days in Q3 fiscal 2026. Suezmax rates remained near record levels, while Aframax regained strength in July after weakening in the middle of the previous quarter. However, management expected 260 days of downtime due to dry-docking work, and the outcome for unfixed days will remain tied to spot market movements.

    How do disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz and the Red Sea affect Teekay Tankers?

    Disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, the Red Sea, and the Black Sea through July 30, 2026 redirected supplies toward ports such as Yanbu and Fujairah, lengthened voyages, and increased trade-flow inefficiencies, factors that supported spot tanker rates. Conversely, management said the company did not enter the Strait of Hormuz or sail south through the Red Sea because it did not consider the routes safe for its crews and vessels. Therefore, the disruptions act as both a rate catalyst and an operational risk, and their net effect cannot be assumed to remain positive.

    What are the main risks that could reverse TNK's earnings trajectory?

    The first risk is a decline in spot market rates from record levels, particularly as annual revenue fell from $1.5 billion in fiscal 2023 to $951.8 million in fiscal 2025. The second is the expansion of the tanker orderbook through 2030 while scrapping remains limited, which could increase vessel supply. Other risks include weak Chinese imports, the scheduled 260 days of downtime in Q3 fiscal 2026, and security restrictions on navigation in the Strait of Hormuz, the Red Sea, and the Black Sea.