EL7.AI
Strategy BuilderCOT DataAdvanced NewsResearchNewEarnings CalendarEconomic Calendar
We use cookiesPrivacy Policy
EL7.AIEL7.AI

AI Financial Intelligence
Professional analysis of central bank decisions

© 2026 EL7.AI. All rights reserved.

Markets

  • News
  • Forex
  • Stocks
  • Crypto
  • Gold
  • Commodities
  • Indices
  • ETFs

Analysis

  • Fed
  • ECB
  • BLS
  • COT
  • Economic Calendar

Learn

  • Service Guide
  • Oil

Company

  • About
  • Contact
  • Data Methodology
  • AI Disclosure
  • Pricing
  • Enterprise
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Security
  • WhatsApp
Status data is currently unavailable

The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

Home
Stocks
Tennant Company
TNC

TNC Tennant Company

Tennant Company · NYSE
Market Closed
68.74
▼ ⁦-0.38%⁩ (-0.26)
Market Cap$1.2B
Beta1.13
52w Low52w High
60.1891.93
Last Week
⁦-0.69%⁩
Last Month
⁦-10.61%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-20.89%⁩
Last Year
⁦-17.23%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall35
Weak — below market medianValue TrapF 5/9Better than 35% of Market stocks, per EL7's modelUnsustainable dividend (payout > 100%)
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
52
66.1x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
21
-2.9%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
33
3.5%▼4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
43
3.1x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
33
1.79%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
49
4.2%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
86
2▼3Top tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$69
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$140
—
Range ⁦$140–$140⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$-11.46
⁦-117%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦9.4⁩% discount · ⁦3⁩% growth

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

Compare in the screener
Premium content

Get Your Premium Account Now

  • Stock Deep Analysis
  • The Advanced News Platform
Recommended
Annual plan
$17/mo
Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$140.00
⁦+103.7%⁩
Current Price $68.74·Median $140.00
Low
$140.00
High
$140.00
Street summary

Forecast Stability Analysis for Tennant (TNC)

Tennant stock shows a state of complete stability in price targets over the periods (last 1, 7, and 30 days), as the average price target settled at 140 dollars. This consistency reflects the absence of any recent revisions by analysts, noting that only one analyst currently covers the stock, which leads to a lack of Dispersion in forecasts but simultaneously raises the risk of estimate concentration in a single opinion.

As of 2026-05-22
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.67
Buy
Analyst coverage
3
Buy conviction
67%
High
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time3 analysts rating
2
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.67 → 3.67
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2024-05-16
    C.L. King
    —· $140.00
  • = Reiterate2024-05-06
    EF Hutton
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2024-02-26
    EF Hutton
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    66.10x
    5.69x45.54x
    Very expensive
  • Forward P/E
    11.61x
    4.57x36.58x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    13.88x
    3.43x27.47x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    0.7%
    -32.7%11.5%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    -2.9%
    -10.7%43.4%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -67.7%
    -128.3%132.7%
    Below average
  • Gross Margin
    38.8%
    8.6%54.6%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    3.5%
    -25.3%19.6%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    3.08x
    0.55x4.37x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    1.8%
    0.1%4.8%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    118.0%
    6.6%80.8%
    High
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-05-05 data

Company Overview

Tennant Company operates in commercial and industrial cleaning equipment, generating revenue from the sale of equipment, parts, and consumables, along with maintenance services and other revenue. Its business model also extends into robotic cleaning through AMR machines and autonomy service subscription fees; AMR sales, including equipment and autonomy service fees, represented approximately $27 million, or 9% of net sales, in Q1 FY2026. The company supports its product base with a network of more than 1,000 field service technicians, while approximately 35% of its revenue flows through distribution partners.

In Q1 FY2026, net sales increased 2.7% year over year to $297.9 million, but organic sales on a constant-currency basis declined 1.9% due to disruption from the ERP system implementation in North America. Gross profit was $113.6 million, and gross margin was 38.1%, down 330 basis points year over year, while net income fell to $0.2 million from $13.1 million and adjusted earnings per share declined to $0.58 from $1.12. By business mix, equipment sales increased 3.1% and service and other revenue rose 10.6%, compared with a 4% decline in parts and consumables.

Q1 FY2026 results showed clear geographic and operational divergence: organic sales declined 3% in the Americas and 2% in Asia-Pacific, while growing 9% in Latin America and 1% in Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. Adjusted EBITDA was $29.1 million, or 9.8% of sales, compared with $41 million and a 14.1% margin a year earlier. Subsequently, the company reported sales of $324 million in Q2 FY2026, but they fell short of analyst estimates and were accompanied by reductions in adjusted earnings per share and EBITDA guidance for FY2026.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Orders reached $327 million in Q1 FY2026, up 10% year over year and representing the strongest first-quarter pace since Q1 FY2022, while backlog increased by approximately $32 million since year-end to $109 million; management estimated that approximately one-third of the backlog related to future orders planned for Q2 and Q3 FY2026.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • AMR sales jumped 85% year over year to approximately $27 million in Q1 FY2026, benefiting from equipment and autonomy service subscription fees, and Tennant is targeting $250 million in AMR revenue in FY2028. The company also extended its BrainOS exclusivity with Brain Corp through 2029 and plans to launch 10 new AMR products within 24 months of the May 5, 2026 call.
  • The launches of X16 SWEEP and X2 ROVR expand Tennant's addressable market: the former is a robotic sweeper for industrial environments, warehouses, logistics, and manufacturing, while the latter is a compact cleaning machine for retail stores, grocery stores, schools, and space-constrained shops. According to the schedule announced on May 5, 2026, shipments of X16 SWEEP begin in Q2 FY2026 and X2 ROVR in Q3 FY2026.
  • BrainOS Clean 2.0 and SelfPath AI provide an important technological driver, as the machines can automatically generate and adjust cleaning routes, identify the type of obstacle, and take an appropriate response rather than merely detecting it. Management said the technology reduces robot deployment time by more than 50%, which could support expansion among customers with multiple locations.
  • Gross margin improved progressively during Q1 FY2026, from 34.6% in Q4 FY2025 to 38.1%, and then reached an exit rate of approximately 40% in March 2026. However, the reduction in adjusted earnings per share and EBITDA guidance for FY2026 following Q2 FY2026 results became the most prominent negative driver, and the earnings announcement caused the stock to fall 13.8% on August 6, 2026.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case5 pts

    • +The 10% growth in orders to $327 million and the increase in backlog to $109 million provide better revenue visibility, particularly because management attributed most orders to genuine demand for products and services rather than to the recovery of prior-quarter delays.
    • +The robotics business is building a growth driver distinct from traditional equipment; AMR sales grew 85% to $27 million in Q1 FY2026, with recurring autonomy service subscription revenue and a plan to reach $250 million in FY2028.
    • +Tennant combines BrainOS exclusivity through 2029, a plan for ten new AMR products, more than 1,000 field service technicians, and a global distribution network, giving it a practical channel for selling, deploying, and providing after-sales maintenance for robots.
    • +The company repurchased approximately 950,000 shares, equivalent to 5% of the share count at the beginning of FY2026, for $60 million at an average of $63 per share. Management expects the transaction to add approximately $0.15 to earnings per share in FY2026, with total repurchase capacity of approximately 2.56 million shares, or approximately 15% of basic shares outstanding.
    • +Insider activity during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 12, 2026 showed net purchases of 640,990, with two purchases and no sales recorded, providing a supportive signal of internal confidence based on the data provided, although it is not, by itself, evidence of future performance.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The troubled ERP implementation in North America reduced Q1 FY2026 sales by approximately $23 million and gross profit by approximately $17 million. The company does not expect to recover approximately one-third of the lost sales associated with parts, consumables, and service, and it also postponed the system's implementation in Europe, the Middle East, and Africa until after 2026.
    • −Q2 FY2026 sales of $324 million fell short of analyst estimates, after which Tennant reduced its adjusted earnings per share and EBITDA guidance for FY2026. This contrasts with the reaffirmation of full-year guidance on the May 5, 2026 call and indicates that the operational recovery was insufficient to protect profitability expectations.
    • −Profitability came under pressure in Q1 FY2026; gross margin declined 330 basis points year over year to 38.1%, adjusted EBITDA margin fell from 14.1% to 9.8%, and net income decreased from $13.1 million to $0.2 million. Approximately three-quarters of the gross-margin decline resulted from labor, freight, and expedited-delivery costs associated with the ERP recovery, while the remainder resulted from a mix shift toward lower-margin strategic accounts.
    • −Despite reported revenue growth of 2.7% in Q1 FY2026, organic sales on a constant-currency basis declined 1.9%, while sales of parts and consumables fell 4%. Organic sales declined 3% in the Americas and 2% in Asia-Pacific, with weakness in China due to excess manufacturing capacity and pricing pressure in mid-tier products, as well as weak demand and project timing in Australia and parts of Southeast Asia.
    • −The expansion of robotics depends technologically on the Brain Corp partnership and the BrainOS platform, although exclusivity has been extended through 2029 with a rolling notice period. Management also described the robotic cleaning market as dynamic and competitive, so achieving the target of $250 million in AMR revenue in FY2028 depends on the success of ten planned products and the expansion of contractor and distributor channels.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average price target of $140, which is also both the highest and lowest target, meaning there is no range of variation among the available estimates; this target is approximately 52% above the 52-week range high of $91.93, while the range low is $60.18. No usable price-to-earnings multiple is available in the provided data, and the optimistic target must be weighed against the reduction in adjusted earnings per share and EBITDA guidance for FY2026 following the Q2 FY2026 sales miss, which explains part of the revaluation and the 13.8% decline on the August 6, 2026 announcement date.

    BuyAnalyst target: $140(+103.7%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-02; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What explains TNC's weak earnings in Q1 FY2026?

    Net income was only $0.2 million, compared with $13.1 million in Q1 FY2025, and adjusted earnings per share declined to $0.58 from $1.12. Tennant estimated that the ERP disruption reduced sales by approximately $23 million and gross profit by approximately $17 million. Higher operating and interest expenses and a shift in the customer mix toward strategic accounts also pressured earnings, while the effective tax rate reached 80.5% due to discrete tax costs related to stock-based compensation.

    How large is Tennant's robotics business, and what is its target?

    AMR generated approximately $27 million in sales in Q1 FY2026, up 85% year over year, and represented 9% of the company's net sales. Tennant has cumulatively shipped more than 11,500 robots since 2018 and is targeting $250 million in AMR revenue in FY2028. It is supporting this target with a plan to launch ten products within 24 months of the May 5, 2026 call and with BrainOS exclusivity extended through 2029.

    What is the significance of X16 SWEEP and X2 ROVR for TNC stock?

    X16 SWEEP represents Tennant's first robotic sweeping product and is designed for warehouses, logistics, and manufacturing, with its announced schedule calling for shipments to begin in Q2 FY2026. X2 ROVR is a compact cleaning device for retail stores, grocery stores, schools, and space-constrained shops, and the company scheduled shipments to begin in Q3 FY2026. The two products expand the use of robotics beyond larger cleaning machines, while a network of more than 1,000 service technicians and 35% of revenue flowing through distributors help the company reach customers and support the machines.

    Has Tennant recovered from the ERP system disruption?

    Management said on May 5, 2026 that core operations in North America, including order management, production scheduling, and fulfillment, had become stable and capable of operating at scale by the end of Q1 FY2026. Gross margin improved from 34.6% in Q4 FY2025 to 38.1% in Q1 FY2026, and the March exit rate reached approximately 40%. Nevertheless, the company does not expect to recover approximately one-third of the $23 million in lost sales, and the ERP implementation in Europe, the Middle East, and Africa was postponed until after 2026.

    Why did TNC stock decline sharply after Q2 FY2026 results?

    Tennant reported sales of $324 million in Q2 FY2026, but they fell short of analyst estimates. The company reduced its full-year adjusted earnings per share and EBITDA guidance after having reaffirmed on May 5, 2026 its FY2026 sales range of $1.24 billion to $1.28 billion. The combination of the revenue miss and lower profitability expectations caused the stock to fall 13.8% immediately following the earnings announcement on August 6, 2026.

    How is Tennant allocating capital in FY2026?

    The company spent $60 million in Q1 FY2026 to repurchase approximately 950,000 shares at an average of $63 per share and expects a net positive impact of $0.15 on annual earnings per share. Following a new authorization for two million shares, total available repurchase capacity reached approximately 2.56 million shares, or nearly 15% of basic shares outstanding. Tennant ended the quarter with $82.6 million in cash and approximately $289 million in unused borrowing capacity, with net leverage of 1.78 times adjusted EBITDA for the last 12 months.

  • −Tennant used approximately $31.2 million of cash in operating activities during Q1 FY2026, compared with $0.4 million a year earlier, due to weak performance and increases in accounts receivable and inventory. Borrowings used for share repurchases raised net leverage to 1.78 times adjusted EBITDA for the last 12 months and increased net interest expense to $3.4 million from $2.3 million, reducing the margin of safety if cash-flow improvement is delayed.