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Home
Stocks
Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall80
Strong — clearly above market medianContrarianF 5/8Better than 80% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
92
11.6x▲17.6xTop tier
▸
Growth
69
26.5%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
92
16.4%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
78
0.3x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
100
—2.15%Top tier
▸
Momentum
10
-24.1%▼2.3%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
2
1▼3Bottom tier
TLK

TLK Telkom Indonesia Persero Tbk PT ADR

Telkom Indonesia Persero Tbk PT ADR · NYSE
Market Closed
14.17
▼ ⁦-0.49%⁩ (-0.07)
Market Cap$14.0B
Beta0.13
52w Low52w High
13.2323.52
Last Week
⁦-5.15%⁩
Last Month
⁦-4.51%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-13.39%⁩
Last Year
⁦-27.52%⁩
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$14
Analyst target
No data
vs
DCF (estimate)
$36
⁦+157%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target
—
Current Price $14.17
Average rating
★ 4.00
Buy
Analyst coverage
1
Buy conviction
100%
High
Analyst ratings over time1 analysts rating
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.00 → 4.00
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬇ Downgrade2025-06-17
    New Street
    Neutral
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    11.64x
    4.15x33.22x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    —
    —
  • EV / EBITDA
    3.19x
    2.54x20.34x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    16.3%
    -36.1%21.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    26.5%
    -16.2%46.8%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    4116.9%
    -479.5%138.2%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    62.4%
    11.3%77.9%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    16.4%
    -33.6%17.2%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.29x
    0.59x5.65x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2025-04-21 data

Company Overview

Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk operates through TelkomGroup in mobile telecommunications, fixed broadband, digital infrastructure, enterprise services, and international wholesale services. The consumer business relies primarily on Telkomsel and digital data services, alongside IndiHome for premium broadband and EZnet for the value segment, while enterprise, satellite, electronic payment, data center, and fiber-optic businesses provide additional revenue sources. In fiscal year 2024, the digital business accounted for 90.3% of mobile revenue, valued at 78.3 trillion Indonesian rupiah, and the mobile customer base reached approximately 160 million, while fixed broadband subscribers reached 9.6 million.

In quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, the company recorded revenue of 75,878 billion, gross profit of 42,895 billion, and net income of 10,623 billion, with earnings per share of 10,750 according to the source's reporting unit. These figures represent a gross margin of approximately 56.5% and a net margin of approximately 14.0%. On a trailing twelve-month basis for fiscal year 2026, revenue reached 186,805 billion, gross profit reached 116,610 billion, and net income reached 21,478 billion.

Fiscal year 2024 results show that the consumer business was the largest driver, with Telkomsel generating revenue of 113.3 trillion Indonesian rupiah, up 10.7%, compared with 20.6 trillion for the enterprise segment, up 5.6%, and 18 trillion for the wholesale and international business, up 6.4%. TelkomGroup revenue reported during the April 21, 2025 call reached approximately 150 trillion Indonesian rupiah, up 0.5%, while earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization declined 3.3% to 75 trillion, demonstrating that improvement in some businesses did not translate into comparable profitability expansion.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Telkomsel data consumption growth reached approximately 13.9% year over year in fiscal year 2024, while the digital business's share of mobile revenue increased to 90.3% from 88%, making the conversion of usage growth into revenue the most important operating factor for the stock.
  • Billing system integration was completed in December 2024, and the fixed-mobile convergence rate reached 57%, compared with 44% when the initiative began in quarter 4 of fiscal year 2023; the company targets adding up to one million net broadband subscribers during fiscal year 2025 through bundles and cross-selling.
  • The number of fixed broadband subscribers increased 2.5% quarter over quarter to 9.6 million in quarter 4 of fiscal year 2024, with IndiHome positioned for the premium segment and EZnet used to expand penetration in the value segment, particularly outside Java.
  • The wholesale and international business grew 6.4% to 18 trillion Indonesian rupiah in fiscal year 2024, while Mitratel revenue grew 7.2% to 9.3 trillion, and the tenancy ratio improved to 1.52 times. In December 2024, Mitratel completed the acquisition of more than 8,000 kilometers of fiber, increasing its managed network to 51,039 kilometers.
  • Management set fiscal year 2025 targets of low-single-digit revenue growth, an earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin between 50% and 52%, and capital expenditures equal to 17% to 19% of sales. Cash flow improvement depends on achieving this efficiency after capital expenditures reached 24.5 trillion Indonesian rupiah, or 16.3% of revenue, in fiscal year 2024.
  • The Telkomsel Lite and by.U product simplification, customer segmentation, and personalized bundle initiatives aim to reduce pressure on revenue per gigabyte. Management stated during the April 21, 2025 call that Telkomsel Lite maintained a stable base with limited churn one year after its launch, while by.U focuses on younger customers who make greater use of digital channels.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Telkomsel's base of approximately 160 million customers, alongside 13.9% data consumption growth in fiscal year 2024, provides substantial scale for generating additional revenue from digital bundles, content, and upgrades from prepaid to postpaid plans.
  • +Billing integration and the 57% convergence rate have strengthened the company's ability to combine mobile service, IndiHome, and digital content in a single bill, which could support customer retention and average revenue per household instead of relying on each individual connection.
  • +Business diversification provides support beyond mobile services; enterprise revenue grew 5.6%, wholesale and international revenue grew 6.4%, and Mitratel revenue grew 7.2% in fiscal year 2024, alongside the expansion of the managed fiber network to 51,039 kilometers.
  • +Net debt to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization was 0.6 times in fiscal year 2024, and management stated on April 21, 2025 that it intended to propose a higher per-share dividend than in the previous year after the payout ratio approached 80%, while preserving investment capacity.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus rating of “Neutral” reflects a balance between data growth and convergence on one hand, and pressure on revenue per gigabyte and weak margins on the other. The stock's 52-week range is between 13.23 and 23.52 dollars, representing a difference of approximately 77.8% between the two endpoints, while the available data do not provide a consensus price target or a valid price-to-earnings multiple that could serve as an additional valuation anchor.

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What primarily drives TLK's revenue?

Telkomsel's consumer business is the largest driver, generating revenue of 113.3 trillion Indonesian rupiah in fiscal year 2024 and serving a mobile customer base of approximately 160 million. The digital business accounted for 90.3% of mobile revenue, or 78.3 trillion rupiah, with data consumption growing 13.9%. The group supports this business with enterprise revenue of 20.6 trillion and wholesale and international revenue of 18 trillion.

How important are billing integration and mobile-broadband convergence?

Billing system integration was completed in December 2024, and the fixed-mobile convergence rate reached 57%, compared with 44% in quarter 4 of fiscal year 2023. The system enables mobile service, IndiHome, and digital content to be combined into more flexible offerings while reducing friction between products. In fiscal year 2025, the company targets up to one million net broadband additions on top of a base that reached 9.6 million subscribers in quarter 4 of fiscal year 2024.

Does data consumption growth translate directly into TLK earnings growth?

Not necessarily. Despite a 13.9% increase in data consumption in fiscal year 2024, management acknowledged on April 21, 2025 that revenue per gigabyte faced downward pressure due to competition and larger packages. TelkomGroup revenue increased only 0.5% to 150 trillion Indonesian rupiah, while earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization declined 3.3% to 75 trillion. Closing the gap depends on stabilizing average revenue through personalized bundles, Telkomsel Lite, by.U, and convergence services.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −A substantial portion of the group's business depends on the consumer segment; Telkomsel revenue reached approximately 113.3 trillion Indonesian rupiah out of TelkomGroup's total fiscal year 2024 revenue of 150 trillion, or roughly three-quarters of the total, increasing the sensitivity of results to pricing and consumer spending in the Indonesian mobile market.
  • −The company faces structural and competitive pressure on revenue per gigabyte because larger packages offer customers greater value, and management stated on April 21, 2025 that this metric would remain under pressure despite data consumption growth of more than 13%. This means traffic growth does not guarantee comparable revenue growth unless bundles, personalized segmentation, and cross-selling succeed in stabilizing average revenue per user.
  • −Fiscal year 2025 guidance was cautious, calling for low-single-digit revenue growth, as management linked performance to macroeconomic pressures, weak purchasing power, trade disputes, and geopolitical tensions. It also indicated that blended broadband average revenue could decline as EZnet expands in the value segment.
  • −Fiscal year 2024 profitability slowed despite revenue growth; TelkomGroup revenue increased only 0.5%, while earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization declined 3.3% to 75 trillion Indonesian rupiah, and adjusted net operating profit fell 4.1% to 24.1 trillion. Operating expenses increased 4.6% to 74.9 trillion, exceeding revenue growth and highlighting the risk of continued margin pressure.
  • −Traditional service revenue is declining at an annual rate of between 20% and 30%, according to management's April 21, 2025 disclosure, and its contribution was expected to remain between 5% and 6% of total revenue over the following twelve to eighteen months. Even with its small share, this decline remains a burden that digital data and fixed-mobile convergence must offset.
  • −Capital expenditure execution in fiscal year 2024 was delayed for some data center projects, and the related spending was scheduled to be carried over into fiscal year 2025. At the same time, the decision to participate in the 1.4 gigahertz spectrum auction remained subject to an assessment of spectrum and equipment costs and the service delivery structure, adding uncertainty to the cost of broadband expansion.
What is the state of fixed broadband at Telkom Indonesia?

The number of fixed broadband subscribers reached 9.6 million in quarter 4 of fiscal year 2024 after quarterly growth of 2.5%. The company uses IndiHome as a premium offering, while EZnet serves the value segment and supports expansion outside Java. The convergence model aims to increase revenue per household and customer retention, but management warned on April 21, 2025 that blended average revenue could moderate as lower-priced offerings become more widespread.

How is TLK expanding its digital infrastructure?

Mitratel generated revenue of 9.3 trillion Indonesian rupiah in fiscal year 2024, up 7.2%, and its tenancy ratio reached 1.52 times. In December 2024, Mitratel acquired more than 8,000 kilometers of fiber-optic infrastructure, increasing its managed network to 51,039 kilometers. TIF also began the initial marketing phase in December 2024 after obtaining its license and recording its first sale to a major application provider in Indonesia.

What are management's main announced financial targets for fiscal year 2025?

Management guided for low-single-digit revenue growth and an earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin between 50% and 52% in fiscal year 2025. It also targeted capital expenditures equal to 17% to 19% of sales, compared with spending of 24.5 trillion Indonesian rupiah and a ratio of 16.3% in fiscal year 2024. Net debt to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization was 0.6 times in fiscal year 2024, giving the company room to balance investment with distributions.