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Teekay Corporation
TK

TK Teekay Corporation

Teekay Corporation · NYSE
Market Closed
14.38
▲ ⁦+1.99%⁩ (+0.28)
Market Cap$1.3B
Beta0.13
52w Low52w High
7.8014.39
Last Week
⁦+7.63%⁩
Last Month
⁦+27.03%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+23.86%⁩
Last Year
⁦+76.88%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall99
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 4/9Better than 99% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
96
5.3x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
43
49.5%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
78
93.2%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
96
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
92
6.89%▲2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
88
39.1%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
19
1▼3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$14
Analyst target
No data
vs
DCF (estimate)
$88
⁦+512%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target
—
Current Price $14.38
Analyst coverage
14
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2018-10-22
    Bank of America
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2018-10-22
    B of A Securities
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2018-06-13
    Morgan Stanley
    Underweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    5.29x
    3.56x28.47x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    —
    —
  • EV / EBITDA
    2.60x
    2.12x16.98x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    33.2%
    -21.0%15.7%
    Exceptional
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    49.5%
    -19.7%63.1%
    Strong
  • EPS Growth YoY
    209.1%
    -141.8%256.7%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    71.2%
    7.8%72.1%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    93.2%
    -12.7%20.6%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    6.9%
    0.4%10.1%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    36.4%
    11.9%109.0%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

Teekay Corporation operates in the seaborne oil transportation sector, with the operating exposure presented in the July 30, 2026 call coming through Teekay Tankers and its Suezmax and Aframax/LR2 tanker fleets. Revenue and cash flow generation depend heavily on operating most vessels in the spot market, and results are therefore affected by daily charter rates, the number of operating days, maintenance downtime, and the efficiency of vessel deployment across routes and ports.

In fiscal year 2025, Teekay Corporation recorded revenue of $949.5 million, gross profit of $632.1 million, net income of $98.1 million, and earnings per share of $1.13. This compares with revenue of $1.2 billion, gross profit of $814.8 million, and net income of $133.8 million in fiscal year 2024, reflecting year-over-year declines in revenue, gross profit, and net income.

As for the operating performance presented for Teekay Tankers in Q2 fiscal year 2026, it included GAAP net income of $226 million, or $6.49 per share, and adjusted net income of $194 million, or $5.56 per share, up 50% from the previous quarter, with adjusted earnings reaching the highest quarterly level in the company's history. The average daily spot rate was $109,200 for the Suezmax fleet and $74,100 for the Aframax/LR2 fleet, and operations generated approximately $200 million in free cash flow, while the cash balance exceeded $1.2 billion with no debt at quarter-end.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Teekay Tankers recorded a historic average of approximately $91,000 per day for mid-sized tankers in Q2 fiscal year 2026, exceeding the previous record of slightly more than $60,000 per day in Q1 fiscal year 2023 by approximately 50%.
  • Secured spot bookings for Q3 fiscal year 2026 were approximately $104,800 per day for Suezmax vessels and $59,900 per day for Aframax/LR2 vessels, covering approximately 44% of booked spot days, providing some operating visibility while leaving most of the result sensitive to unfixed rates.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, the Red Sea, and the Black Sea supported longer voyages and trade-flow inefficiencies, while U.S. crude exports reached a record level in June 2026; this contributed to increased demand for mid-sized tankers in the Atlantic and supported spot rates.
  • Teekay Tankers continues to renew its fleet; during the twelve months ended July 2026, it sold nine older vessels for $369.5 million and realized aggregate gains of $125 million, while purchasing or committing to purchase seven modern vessels for approximately $427 million, including two new Suezmax vessels for delivery in 2027.
  • The low free cash flow breakeven, estimated at approximately $9,700 per day over the twelve months following the July 30, 2026 call, provides substantial operating leverage relative to Q2 fiscal year 2026 rates. Management provided an illustrative example indicating that annualizing free cash flow from the first half of fiscal year 2026 would have equaled $684 million, or approximately $20 per share, at Teekay Tankers.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +It combines exposure to strong spot market rates with a free cash flow breakeven of approximately $9,700 per day, representing a wide operating spread relative to the Q2 fiscal year 2026 averages of $109,200 for Suezmax vessels and $74,100 for Aframax/LR2 vessels.
    • +Cash at Teekay Tankers exceeded $1.2 billion with no debt at the end of Q2 fiscal year 2026, giving it the capacity to finance fleet renewal and wait for acquisition opportunities on more disciplined terms.
    • +Asset recycling during the twelve months ended July 2026 resulted in the sale of nine older vessels with aggregate gains of $125 million and commitments for seven modern vessels, reducing the fleet's average age while maintaining exposure to the strong market.
    • +Oil inventory replenishment could provide additional support for tanker demand after Middle East disruptions subside; OECD inventories were at a 20-year low, and the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve stood at slightly more than 300 million barrels compared with 635 million barrels before 2020.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Teekay Corporation's revenue declined from $1.5 billion in fiscal year 2023 to $1.2 billion in fiscal year 2024 and then to $949.5 million in fiscal year 2025, while net income fell from $150.6 million to $133.8 million and then to $98.1 million over the same periods.
    • −A large part of performance depends on the volatile spot market, and announced bookings for Q3 fiscal year 2026 were $104,800 per day for Suezmax vessels and $59,900 per day for Aframax/LR2 vessels, below the Q2 averages of $109,200 and $74,100, respectively, with only approximately 44% of spot days fixed.
    • −Teekay Tankers expects approximately 260 days of dry-dock-related downtime in Q3 fiscal year 2026, and management said there is limited flexibility to defer this work after moving it from the previous quarter, depriving the fleet of operating days during a period of strong rates.
    • −The expansion of the new tanker orderbook from 2026 through 2030 could increase vessel supply in the coming years, while vessel scrapping has remained limited; balancing this impact depends on older fleet vessels exiting the market, the timing of which management did not specify.
    • −Exposure of operations to the Strait of Hormuz, the Red Sea, and the Black Sea creates direct risks to vessels, crews, and routes; as of July 30, 2026, Teekay was avoiding southbound transit through the Red Sea and entry into the Strait of Hormuz when it did not consider conditions safe, which may limit operating options despite disruptions supporting rates.
    • −Insider activity during the three months ended August 21, 2026 recorded net selling of $4.6 million across ten sales and no purchases; this is a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged unless the data states otherwise.

    Valuation

    The available analyst consensus for TK is "Buy," but the data does not include a consensus price target or a high and low target range, so a documented comparison between valuation and the analyst target cannot be made. The 52-week range is $7.80 to $14.38, and no price-to-earnings ratio is available in the data; the strength of Teekay Tankers' earnings and cash flows in Q2 fiscal year 2026 must be weighed against the decline in Teekay Corporation's revenue and net income in fiscal year 2025 and the volatility of spot shipping rates.

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-02; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is driving TK's earnings in Q2 fiscal year 2026?

    The most prominent operating driver came from Teekay Tankers' spot market exposure for its Suezmax and Aframax/LR2 fleets. The average daily rate was $109,200 for Suezmax vessels and $74,100 for Aframax/LR2 vessels, while the combined average for mid-sized tankers reached approximately $91,000 per day. This resulted in adjusted net income of $194 million and free cash flow from operations of approximately $200 million in Q2 fiscal year 2026.

    Are tanker rates in Q3 fiscal year 2026 maintaining the previous quarter's levels?

    Teekay Tankers booked approximately 44% of spot days in Q3 fiscal year 2026 at $104,800 per day for Suezmax vessels and $59,900 per day for Aframax/LR2 vessels. These figures are below the Q2 fiscal year 2026 averages of $109,200 and $74,100, respectively, and unfixed days remain exposed to market changes. Management also noted a recovery in Aframax rates during July 2026, particularly in the Atlantic, where rates exceeding $100,000 per day were observed.

    How is Teekay Tankers using liquidity to renew its fleet?

    During the twelve months ended July 2026, the company sold nine older vessels for $369.5 million and realized aggregate gains of $125 million. In return, it purchased or committed to purchase seven modern vessels for approximately $427 million, including two new Suezmax vessels with a total value of $190 million for delivery in 2027. It also sold a Suezmax vessel built in 2009 for $53.5 million in Q2 fiscal year 2026 and recorded a gain of $32.3 million.

    What is the impact of disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz and the Red Sea on TK?

    As of the July 30, 2026 call, disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, the Red Sea, and the Black Sea had lengthened some voyages and created inefficiencies in oil movements, supporting tanker spot rates. Conversely, management said that the number of ports and regions it considered unsafe was higher than at any time it could remember, and that the company was not transiting southbound through the Red Sea or entering the Strait of Hormuz. The disruptions therefore have a dual impact: potential support for daily revenue versus security and operating risks to vessels and crews.

    What are the main strengths and weaknesses in Teekay Corporation's annual financial statements?

    Gross profit was $632.1 million on revenue of $949.5 million in fiscal year 2025, with net income of $98.1 million and earnings per share of $1.13. However, revenue declined from $1.5 billion in fiscal year 2023 to $1.2 billion in fiscal year 2024 and then to $949.5 million in fiscal year 2025. Net income also declined from $150.6 million in fiscal year 2023 to $133.8 million in fiscal year 2024 and then to $98.1 million in fiscal year 2025.