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Home
Stocks
TIM S.A.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall87
Excellent — top fifth of the marketContrarianF 8/9Better than 87% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
91
10.9x▲17.4xTop tier
▸
Growth
50
5.2%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
91
14.6%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
67
1.1x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
89
6.53%▲0.18%Top tier
▸
Momentum
24
-13.1%▼1.3%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
69
4▲3Top tier
TIMB

TIMB TIM S.A.

TIM S.A. · NYSE
Market Open
19.02
▲ ⁦+0.21%⁩ (+0.04)
Market Cap$9.1B
Beta0.11
52w Low52w High
17.1428.22
Last Week
⁦+6.49%⁩
Last Month
⁦+3.20%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-12.87%⁩
Last Year
⁦-13.35%⁩
Fair Value
Current price⁦$19⁩
  • Value at the industry multiple
    Last 12 months' earnings × ⁦13.9⁩, median of 31 companies
    ⁦$24⁩
    ⁦+28%⁩
    Range ⁦⁦$16⁩–⁦$41⁩⁩
  • Analyst targets
    7 analysts
    ⁦$24⁩
    ⁦+25%⁩
    Range ⁦⁦$22⁩–⁦$29⁩⁩Typical for this method across large companies: ⁦+18%⁩

The floor: what the company is worth if growth stopped today

  • Value with no growth
    Today's after-tax operating profit, held flat forever, at a ⁦8.9%⁩ discount rate
    ⁦$22⁩
    ⁦+16%⁩

⁦0%⁩ of today's price is what a buyer pays for growth that has not happened yet.

2
methods value it above the price
0
methods near the price
0
methods value it below the price

10-year US Treasury yield ⁦5.31%⁩ as of ⁦2026-10-05⁩. Estimates computed from company data and analyst targets, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 7 analysts setting price target
$24.48
⁦+28.7%⁩
Current Price $19.02·Median $23.70
Low
$22.00
High
$28.50
Current price
$19.02
Average target
$24.48
Street summary

TIM (TIMB) Target Price Revision Analysis

TIMB stock saw a 3.24% decline in its average target price over the past thirty days, with the consensus dropping from 25.3 to 24.48, while expectations remained completely stable over the last week. This downward adjustment reflects slight caution in the analysts' outlook, although the current stock price (17.77) is still trading at a notable discount even to the lowest target price within the range (22), indicating that analysts maintain a generally positive view despite lowering the ceiling of expectations.

As of 2026-08-27
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.13
Hold
Analyst coverage
8
Buy conviction
25%
Target dispersion
34%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time8 analysts rating
1
1
5
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months2.67 → 3.13
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-20
    Morgan Stanley
    Perform
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-06-22
    Santander
    NeutralOutperform
  • = Reiterate2026-05-27
    Scotiabank
    Sector Perform· $28.50
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    10.90x
    4.18x33.42x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    —
    —
  • EV / EBITDA
    4.25x
    2.43x19.48x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    19.4%
    -37.1%23.6%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    5.2%
    -16.2%41.5%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -1.0%
    -470.5%138.9%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    54.6%
    11.2%77.8%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    14.6%
    -33.3%17.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.05x
    0.55x5.59x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    6.5%
    0.0%6.8%
    High
  • Payout Ratio
    71.8%
    5.4%132.4%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Last updated: 2026-08-30Based on 2026-07-28 data

Company Overview

TIM S.A. operates in telecommunications services, with mobile remaining the core of its performance, alongside parallel expansion in fiber through Ultrafibra, B2B enterprise solutions, digital platforms, financial services, and content. The company derives revenue from mobile services, particularly postpaid plans, which approached 70% of mobile service revenue in fiscal Q2 2026, as well as broadband, Internet of Things solutions, private networks, advertising, and digital platforms. The TIM Play and TIM Fit offerings, TIM Ultra Combo, and the partnership with PicPay seek to increase average revenue per user, migrate customers to higher-value plans, and improve retention and cross-selling opportunities.

In fiscal Q2 2026, revenue approached 4 billion Brazilian reais, and net income exceeded 1 billion Brazilian reais, growing by approximately 6% year over year. During the first half of fiscal 2026, service revenue increased by approximately 6%, EBITDA grew by approximately 7%, while EBITDA after leases increased by approximately 8%, driven by operational efficiency, cost control, and margin expansion. Operating cash flow also exceeded 3 billion Brazilian reais during the same period, achieving double-digit growth.

The business mix reflects substantial reliance on mobile, but it has become more diversified; mobile revenue grew by approximately 4.7%, while B2B represented approximately 6.6% to 7% of service revenue, with both business lines growing at double-digit rates according to management. For fiscal 2025, revenue totaled $26.6 billion, gross profit was $14.4 billion, net income was $4.3 billion, and earnings per share were 1.78, compared with revenue of $25.4 billion, net income of $3.2 billion, and earnings per share of 1.30 in fiscal 2024.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Fiscal Q2 2026 demonstrated a balance between growth and profitability; revenue approached 4 billion Brazilian reais and net income exceeded 1 billion Brazilian reais, while service revenue increased by approximately 6% and EBITDA by approximately 7% during the first half of fiscal 2026.
  • The I-Systems acquisition gives the company greater control over the fiber network, customer experience, and broadband economics, and management says it can absorb the associated capital expenditure within its existing plan without a material impact on total announced capital expenditure.
  • TIM launched the TIM Ultra Combo offering, which combines fiber, mobile, and content, across its entire coverage footprint in Brazil; management described the initial results as positive ahead of the launch of a broad commercial advertising campaign, with the aim of increasing broadband penetration and reducing mobile customer churn over time.
  • TIM Play, TIM Fit, and the partnership with PicPay support the diversification of monetization methods; TIM Play is a paid product aimed at increasing average revenue per user, while TIM Fit enables credit card payments to migrate prepaid customers to Control plans with lower credit risk, and PicPay provides an additional channel for customer acquisition and cross-selling.
  • B2B represents approximately 6.6% to 7% of service revenue, and Internet of Things solutions recorded the best second quarter in their history during fiscal Q2 2026, supported by the agriculture, logistics, utilities, and mining sectors and by deals such as CNH and CPFL.
  • Artificial intelligence applications in collections helped contact more than 2 million customers and improve recovery rates, while management also said that their applications in networks and information technology were having a tangible impact, supporting continued productivity gains and margin expansion.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The annual financial statements show a clear upward trajectory; revenue increased from $21.5 billion in fiscal 2022 to $26.6 billion in fiscal 2025, while net income rose from $1.7 billion to $4.3 billion and earnings per share from 0.69 to 1.78.
  • +During the first half of fiscal 2026, the company combined service revenue growth of approximately 6%, expanding profitability with EBITDA after leases growing by approximately 8%, and operating cash flow exceeding 3 billion Brazilian reais with double-digit growth.
  • +The expansion of Ultrafibra, B2B, and digital platforms reduces sole reliance on mobile; B2B now represents approximately 6.6% to 7% of service revenue, while ownership of I-Systems gives the company greater control over the fiber network, profitability, and customer experience.
  • +The postpaid base, which approached 70% of mobile service revenue in fiscal Q2 2026, provides a higher-value and more stable foundation, and the TIM Play, TIM Fit, and TIM Ultra Combo offerings could enhance average revenue and customer retention.

▼ Selling Case7 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus on TIMB is “Neutral,” with an average price target of $24.48, within a relatively wide range of $22 to $28.50. The average target is below the 52-week range high of $28.22, while the highest target slightly exceeds that high, reflecting a divergence between improving earnings and cash flows on the one hand, and the risks of slowing mobile growth, competition, and higher net debt on the other. No price-to-earnings ratio is available in the data, so no conclusion based on this multiple can be drawn.

HoldAnalyst target: $24.48(+28.7%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove TIMB's results in fiscal Q2 2026?

Revenue approached 4 billion Brazilian reais in fiscal Q2 2026, and net income exceeded 1 billion Brazilian reais, growing by approximately 6% year over year. During the first half of fiscal 2026, service revenue increased by approximately 6%, and EBITDA grew by approximately 7%. Performance was driven by mobile, broadband, and B2B, alongside cost control and margin expansion, while operating cash flow exceeded 3 billion Brazilian reais.

How does the I-Systems acquisition affect TIMB's fiber strategy?

Management said on the July 28, 2026 call that I-Systems accelerates the broadband strategy because it gives TIM greater control over the network, customer experience, and the financial profile of fiber. The company intends to leverage the owned network alongside its agreement with V.tal to increase service penetration and support the TIM Ultra Combo offering. Management confirmed that it expects to absorb I-Systems spending within the current capital expenditure plan, but it acknowledged the increase in net debt and announced a capital increase for I-Systems to address it.

How important are TIM Ultra Combo, TIM Play, and TIM Fit to TIMB's growth?
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Growth in the core mobile business slowed to approximately 4.7%, and customer-generated revenue growth was only 3.1% year over year according to an analyst question, coinciding with a contraction in the mobile base, declining market share, and weak net additions during the first half of fiscal 2026.
  • −The mobile market became more promotional and competitive due to the expansion of competitors' offers whose pricing was not widely disclosed, forcing TIM to respond through TIM Fit and PicPay; management also acknowledged that price increases in fiscal Q1 and Q2 2026 put pressure on customer churn.
  • −TIM Fit carries the risk of replacing some higher-value Control plans, and management explicitly acknowledged this risk, although it is seeking to limit it through eligibility requirements and sales network incentive arrangements.
  • −The I-Systems acquisition increased net debt, and the company had to announce a capital increase for I-Systems to address this debt; despite management's assurance that liquidity is sufficient for distributions and capital expenditure, expanding fiber while maintaining shareholder returns increases capital allocation sensitivity.
  • −Bad debt expenses increased during fiscal Q1 and Q2 2026 due to a nonrecurring case involving a B2B customer and the expansion of the postpaid base; management expects gradual stabilization, but continued economic pressure could delay this improvement.
  • −Some new revenue streams, such as platforms, advertising, and Internet of Things deals, depend on deal-closing timing and may fluctuate quarterly; the sales cycles for complex B2B projects are also long, which could make revenue growth less consistent despite the positive annual trend.
  • −Insider activity recorded net sales of 151,200 shares during the three months ending with the latest transaction on June 23, 2026, through a single sale and no purchases; this is a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, and the available information contains no evidence to the contrary.

TIM launched the TIM Ultra Combo offering across its entire coverage footprint, combining fiber, mobile, and content, and said on July 28, 2026 that initial results were positive ahead of a broad advertising campaign. TIM Play is a paid content aggregation product aimed at increasing average revenue per user and improving customer retention. TIM Fit uses credit card payments to facilitate the migration of prepaid customers to Control plans while reducing credit risk, but it also carries the possibility of replacing some higher-value plans.

Is mobile still TIMB's main driver?

Yes, mobile remained the foundation of TIM's performance in fiscal Q2 2026, and postpaid plans accounted for approximately 70% of mobile service revenue. However, mobile revenue growth slowed to approximately 4.7%, with weak net additions and a decline in the customer base during the first half of fiscal 2026. The company is relying on TIM Fit, PicPay, TIM Play, and TIM Ultra Combo to reinvigorate customer acquisition, increase average revenue, and reduce churn.

How large is B2B's contribution to TIMB, and what are its growth opportunities?

B2B represented approximately 6.6% to 7% of TIM's service revenue in fiscal Q2 2026, so it remains smaller than mobile but is gaining weight. Internet of Things solutions recorded the best second quarter in their history, and management cited deals with CNH and CPFL and a rich pipeline of opportunities. The strategy focuses on agriculture, logistics, utilities, and mining, with sales of IoT solutions, private networks, digital services, and artificial intelligence to existing customers.

What are the main risks to monitor for TIMB?

The main operating risks are the slowdown in mobile growth to approximately 4.7%, weakness in the customer base, and increased promotional offers from competitors during the first half of fiscal 2026. Bad debt also increased during fiscal Q1 and Q2 2026, and net debt rose after the I-Systems acquisition. These risks are compounded by quarterly fluctuations in revenue from platforms, advertising, and Internet of Things deals, as well as the long sales cycles for complex B2B projects.