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Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited
TEN

TEN Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited

Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited · NYSE
Market Closed
47.90
▲ ⁦+7.13%⁩ (+3.19)
Market Cap$1.3B
Beta-0.27
52w Low52w High
20.5048.24
Last Week
⁦+10.75%⁩
Last Month
⁦+22.38%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+26.32%⁩
Last Year
⁦+119.93%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall93
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 5/9Better than 93% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
82
4.8x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
39
23.2%▲7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
79
10.3%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
61
—2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
81
1.04%▼2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
98
79.3%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
33
2▼3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$48
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$35
⁦-27%⁩
See it clearly overvalued
Range ⁦$20–$50⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$35.00
⁦-26.9%⁩
Current Price $47.90·Median $35.00
Low
$20.00
High
$50.00
Current price
$47.90
Average target
$35.00
Street summary

Sharp Cut in Price Target

Bearish tilt

The consensus price target fell from 50 to 35, a decline of 15 points or 30%, and the same change was repeated compared with the previous snapshots over 1 day, 7 days, and 30 days. The number of analysts remained at one analyst, meaning that the cut reflects a change from a single source and does not represent a broad shift in analysts’ views. The current price of 44.32 is above the current consensus of 35, while the range is between 20 and 50, highlighting the wide disparity and weak statistical confidence.

As of 2026-09-09
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-30.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.00
Buy
Analyst coverage
2
Buy conviction
100%
High
Target dispersion
63%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time2 analysts rating
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.00 → 4.00
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-03-09
    Industrial Alliance Securities
    —· $50.00
  • ⬇ Downgrade2024-09-12
    Jefferies
    Hold
  • = Reiterate2022-03-20
    Deutsche Bank
    Hold· $20.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    4.85x
    3.56x28.47x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    10.62x
    3.36x26.89x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    2.62x
    2.12x16.98x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    -15.6%
    -21.0%15.7%
    Below average
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    23.2%
    -19.7%63.1%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    254.1%
    -141.8%256.7%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    43.1%
    7.8%72.1%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    10.3%
    -12.7%20.6%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    1.0%
    0.4%10.1%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    5.1%
    11.9%109.0%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-09-10 data

Company Overview

Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited operates in seaborne energy transportation through an operating fleet of 62 vessels, rising to 81 vessels on a pro forma basis after including vessels under construction. The pro forma fleet is divided among crude oil and product tankers, four liquefied natural gas carriers—two in operation and two under construction—and 16 shuttle tankers; its customer base includes ExxonMobil, its largest customer by revenue, followed by Equinor, Shell, Chevron, TotalEnergies, and BP. The earnings model uses time-charter contracts to cover cash expenses, while generating earnings upside from vessels operating in the spot market and profit-sharing contracts; in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, 52 of the 62 operating vessels, or 84%, were tied to secured revenue, while 23 vessels, or 37%, had market exposure through spot operations or profit-sharing.

In Q2 of fiscal year 2026, revenue rose to $298 million from $193 million in Q2 of fiscal year 2025, exceeding market expectations by approximately $69.5 million. Net income reached $139.3 million, including a $38 million capital gain, versus $26.8 million, while earnings per share rose to $4.40 from $0.67, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization increased 81% to $170.4 million, equivalent to a margin of approximately 57% of revenue. Profit-sharing contracts contributed $30.5 million during the quarter, while spot operations represented approximately 12% of total fleet operating days.

During the first half of fiscal year 2026, revenue reached $551 million, an increase of $161 million over the first half of fiscal year 2025, despite the average fleet size increasing by only 1.5 vessels to 63.5 vessels. Net income rose 253% to $228 million, earnings per share increased 318% to $7.12, operating income climbed 146% to $273 million, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization increased 68% to $324 million. Fleet utilization reached 96.5%, while the vessel-equivalent time-charter rate jumped to $43,503 per day from $30,754, and the profit-sharing contribution rose to $71 million from $10 million.

What's Driving the Stock

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • The strongest driver in Q2 of fiscal year 2026 was the increase in revenue to $298 million, exceeding market expectations by approximately $69.5 million, with earnings per share reaching $4.40 and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization rising to $170.4 million.
  • TEN benefits from strong tanker rates through 23 vessels tied to the spot market or profit-sharing contracts; the company explained that every $1,000-per-day increase in the spot rate adds approximately $0.11 to annual earnings per share based on this exposure.
  • The profit-sharing contribution rose to $71 million in the first half of fiscal year 2026 from $10 million in the corresponding period, despite a 22% decline in actual market-linked operating days, and management expects a significant increase in this contribution during the second half of fiscal year 2026 after raising minimum rates and improving profit-sharing terms for 13 vessels.
  • Committed future revenue reached approximately $3.5 billion, while the tanker Anfield began a ten-year contract with a major U.S. oil company on July 28, 2026, with extension options through the vessel's twentieth anniversary and expected total revenue of approximately $500 million if the options are fully exercised.
  • The fleet renewal program includes 26 new vessels at a cost of approximately $3.1–3.2 billion; the company has taken delivery of seven vessels, with 19 remaining, and management estimated that the program's value has increased by at least 30%, to approximately $3.8–3.9 billion, before some vessels have been delivered.
  • Market strength led management to expect fiscal year 2026 revenue to exceed $1 billion by a meaningful margin, and it also indicated a potential announcement of an increased distribution following the strategy meeting in November 2026, with any increase remaining subject to board approval and the continuation of current market conditions.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +TEN's model combines revenue visibility with the ability to benefit from market upside; 84% of the operating fleet is tied to time-charter contracts or charters with profit-sharing, while 23 vessels with market exposure provide an opportunity to capture higher freight rates.
    • +The first half of fiscal year 2026 reflects strong operational improvement, with revenue growing to $551 million, net income to $228 million, and earnings per share to $7.12, alongside fleet utilization of 96.5% and a 41% increase in the time-charter equivalent rate to $43,503 per day.
    • +Committed future revenue of approximately $3.5 billion provides a multiyear revenue base, while long-term contracts such as Anfield's ten-year agreement with extension options add defensive value to the cyclical business model.
    • +Cash reached $466 million on June 30, 2026, an increase of $179 million from June 30, 2025, while the estimated fair market value of the pro forma fleet is approximately $4.9 billion versus $2 billion of debt; the redemption of $120 million of perpetual preferred shares carrying a 9.25% yield, if approved, could generate savings that management says would add between $0.30 and $0.40 to net income per share.

    ▼ Selling Case7 pts

    • −Results depend materially on severe geopolitical disruptions; the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and attacks on vessels led TEN to avoid the strait, and management noted that seafarers aboard transiting vessels had been injured and killed, creating operational, security, and environmental risks even if disruptions that lengthen voyages raise freight rates.
    • −ExxonMobil is the company's largest customer by revenue, followed by a limited group of major energy companies including Equinor, Shell, Chevron, TotalEnergies, and BP; no numerical concentration percentage was disclosed, but having a single customer at the top of the revenue list makes contract renewals and terms material factors.
    • −The 26-vessel construction program requires substantial capital funding of between $3.1 and $3.2 billion, with 19 vessels still to be delivered, while financial liabilities rose to $2.1 billion on June 30, 2026, from $1.8 billion a year earlier, and net debt to capital stood at approximately 44.5%.
    • −Earnings remain sensitive to the freight-rate cycle despite secured contracts; 23 vessels are exposed to spot rates or profit-sharing, and management tied increased distributions to the continuation of current market conditions and board approval, so elevated earnings or distribution levels do not represent a fixed commitment.
    • −Voyage expenses rose to approximately $82 million in the first half of fiscal year 2026 from $68 million, driven partly by an approximately 25% increase in fuel prices, while operating expenses increased to $111 million from $102 million and general and administrative expenses rose to $27 million from $23 million.
    • −The wide analyst target range of $20 to $50 suggests high uncertainty around fair value, while the average target of $35 is below the 52-week range high of $46.64; the dependence of earnings on freight rates, geopolitics, and capital gains increases revaluation risk.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average price target of $35 and a wide range of $20 to $50. The average target is below the 52-week range high of $46.64 and above its low of $20.50, while the breadth of the targets reflects substantial disagreement over the sustainability of the surge in freight rates and earnings; no price-to-earnings ratio is available to serve as an additional valuation anchor.

    BuyAnalyst target: $35(-26.9%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-11; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove TEN's earnings surge in Q2 of fiscal year 2026?

    Revenue rose to $298 million from $193 million in Q2 of fiscal year 2025, with an average operating fleet of 63.5 vessels versus 62 vessels. Net income reached $139.3 million, including a $38 million capital gain, compared with $26.8 million in the corresponding period. Earnings per share also reached $4.40, while adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization rose 81% to $170.4 million.

    How does TEN benefit from higher tanker freight rates?

    The company has 23 vessels exposed to the market through spot operations or profit-sharing contracts, including 13 vessels operating under profit-sharing arrangements. According to the company, every $1,000-per-day increase in the spot rate adds approximately $0.11 to annual earnings per share based on the current fleet composition. The profit-sharing contribution reached $71 million in the first half of fiscal year 2026, including $30.5 million in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, and management expects a significant increase during the second half following improved contract terms.

    How large is TEN's new-vessel program?

    The program includes 26 new vessels at a cost of approximately $3.1–3.2 billion, and TEN had taken delivery of seven vessels as of the September 10, 2026 call, with 19 remaining. Management estimated that the program's value had increased by at least 30% to approximately $3.8–3.9 billion, even before some vessels were delivered. The delivered vessels include Anfield, which began a ten-year contract with a major U.S. oil company on July 28, 2026, with extension options that could raise expected total revenue to approximately $500 million.

    Are TEN's distributions likely to increase?

    TEN paid distributions of $0.60 and then $1, for a total of $1.60 per share during calendar year 2026. Management said it intends to announce an increase in the semiannual distribution following the strategy meeting in November 2026, but the decision remains subject to board approval and the continuation of market conditions. It also explained that it prefers increasing the regular semiannual distribution over paying special distributions or switching to a quarterly schedule.

    What are the main risks to monitor in TEN shares?

    The company operates amid a closure and severe disruption in the Strait of Hormuz, and it confirmed on September 10, 2026, that its vessels are avoiding the strait to protect crews, vessels, and the environment. Financial liabilities rose to $2.1 billion on June 30, 2026, alongside the financing of a major construction program, while net debt to capital stood at approximately 44.5%. In addition, 23 vessels are exposed to spot rates or profit-sharing, making results sensitive to a reversal in the shipping cycle following the exceptional levels recorded in fiscal year 2026.

    How much visibility does TEN have into future revenue?

    Committed future revenue reached approximately $3.5 billion according to management's presentation on September 10, 2026, providing a contractual base for the following years. Within the operating fleet, 52 of 62 vessels, or 84%, were tied to fixed time-charter contracts or charters with profit-sharing. This contractual coverage balances market exposure through ten vessels operating in the spot market and 13 vessels under profit-sharing contracts.

  • −Insider activity during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 13, 2026, recorded two sales and no purchases, with net sales of $305,092.85; this is a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, and the data did not indicate otherwise.