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Home
Stocks
Teck Resources Limited
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall95
Excellent — top fifth of the marketTurnaroundF 8/9Better than 95% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
62
21.4x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
77
40.5%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
49
7.8%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
75
0.6x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
79
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
89
90.5%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
89
15▲3Top tier
TECK

TECK Teck Resources Limited

Teck Resources Limited · NYSE
Market Closed
66.44
▲ ⁦+0.82%⁩ (+0.54)
Market Cap$31.8B
Beta1.59
52w Low52w High
38.0071.93
Last Week
⁦-0.94%⁩
Last Month
⁦+0.45%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+10.90%⁩
Last Year
⁦+70.05%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$66
Analyst target · 15 analysts
$68
⁦+2%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$68–$68⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$22
⁦-67%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦11.4⁩% discount · ⁦2⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$22–$68⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 15 analysts setting price target
$68.00
⁦+2.3%⁩
Current Price $66.44·Median $68.00
Low
$68.00
High
$68.00
Street summary

Analysis of Teck Resources (TECK) price revisions

Bullish tilt

Teck Resources (TECK) stock has seen a notable improvement in analyst optimism over the past thirty days, with the average price target rising by 4.65% to reach $67.5. This change reflects an exceptional convergence in the views of the 15 analysts, as the price range narrows between $67 and $68, indicating a fading of uncertainty regarding the fair valuation of the stock compared to its current price of $62.49.

As of 2026-07-30
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+0.7%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.24
Hold
Analyst coverage
17
Buy conviction
41%
Mixed
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time17 analysts rating
1
6
7
2
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.48 → 3.24
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-07-23
    Raymond James
    Market PerformOutperform
  • = Reiterate2026-07-02
    Deutsche Bank
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-06-15
    Scotiabank
    Sector Perform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    21.39x
    4.94x39.51x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    —
    —
  • EV / EBITDA
    7.78x
    2.62x20.92x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    3.7%
    -21.3%8.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    40.5%
    -21.2%90.4%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    781.0%
    -249.5%198.4%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    35.5%
    7.6%58.9%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    7.8%
    -52.6%20.2%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.60x
    0.22x3.72x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-23 data

Company Overview

Teck Resources Limited produces copper and zinc and processes minerals, with earnings driven by production volumes, commodity prices, and by-products. Its copper business includes the QB, Highland Valley, and Antamina operations, while its zinc business includes the Red Dog mine and Trail operations; the company also benefits from by-products such as molybdenum, silver, lead, and germanium. In fiscal year 2025, revenue was $10.8 billion, gross profit was $2.7 billion, net income was $1.1 billion, and earnings per share were $2.83, compared with revenue of $9.1 billion and net income of $283 million in fiscal year 2024.

In Q2 of fiscal year 2026, copper production increased by approximately 25% year over year, and gross profit before depreciation and amortization in the copper business more than doubled to $1.8 billion, with its margin reaching 65% versus 46%. In the zinc business, gross profit before depreciation and amortization increased by 122% to $353 million, and its margin improved to 39% from 28%, driven particularly by Trail's performance and by-product prices. At the group level, adjusted EBITDA tripled to $2.2 billion, and its margin reached a record 61% versus 36% in Q2 of fiscal year 2025, while cash flow from operations was $1.7 billion.

The results reflected a combination of higher copper prices, increased production and sales, improved by-product revenue, and lower operating costs overall despite higher oil prices. The copper business's adjusted EBITDA margin was 70% versus 45% a year earlier, while the zinc business's margin was 38% versus 25%. Cash generation increased net cash by $756 million during Q2 of fiscal year 2026 to $1.2 billion as of June 30, 2026, with liquidity of $10.3 billion, including $6.1 billion in cash.

What's Driving the Stock

  • QB recorded its third consecutive quarter of stable operations without a shutdown related to the tailings management facility, and its production increased to 55.8 thousand tonnes of copper in Q2 of fiscal year 2026 from 52.7 thousand tonnes a year earlier; Rock Bench 5 was also completed, and cyclone availability and sand placement rates improved.
  • Teck maintained its fiscal year 2026 copper production guidance at 455 thousand to 530 thousand tonnes, compared with 454 thousand tonnes in fiscal year 2025, after Q2 fiscal year 2026 production increased by approximately 25% across all copper operations.
  • Copper net cash unit costs decreased by 19% from $2.02 per pound to $1.64 per pound, despite an energy inflation impact of approximately $0.07 per pound; in zinc, costs decreased from $0.49 to $0.35 per pound due to lower treatment charges and silver, lead, and germanium credits.
  • Detailed engineering for the Highland Valley mine life extension was approximately 95% complete in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, and the company invested $254 million in the project during the quarter. The project aims to extend the mine's life to 2046 and support average annual production of approximately 132 thousand tonnes of copper, with capital expenditure guidance remaining at $900 million to $1.2 billion for fiscal year 2026 and $2.1 billion to $2.4 billion over the life of the project.
  • The merger of equals with Anglo American is progressing within the announced timeframe of 12 to 18 months from the September 2025 announcement; on July 23, 2026, management said approval from the Chinese regulator was still undergoing the customary review process without any request for remedies, and that closing could occur approximately two weeks after approval is obtained.
  • The strategic investment agreement announced on July 7, 2026, with the Government of Canada could expand germanium and antimony production at Trail and add new gallium capacity, but it remains conditional and subject to the capital allocation framework assessment. The plan aims to increase processing capacity, supported by supply agreements and offtake rights linked to the Apex, Bunker Hill, Sun, and Smucker assets.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case5 pts

  • +Q2 of fiscal year 2026 demonstrated strong operating leverage, as adjusted EBITDA tripled to $2.2 billion and its margin increased to 61%, alongside copper production growth and improved unit costs.
  • +QB's improvement after three stable quarters provides a stronger foundation for growth, as it produced 55.8 thousand tonnes of copper in Q2 of fiscal year 2026 without a shutdown related to the tailings facility, while the cyclone upgrades and Rock Bench 5 support operational continuity.
  • +The balance sheet provides capacity to fund projects and the merger, with net cash of $1.2 billion and liquidity of $10.3 billion as of June 30, 2026, after generating $1.7 billion in operating cash flow during the quarter.
  • +The Highland Valley extension combines advanced engineering visibility with a long-term production impact; approximately 95% of the detailed design has been completed, and the project aims to keep the mine operating until 2046 with average annual production of approximately 132 thousand tonnes of copper.
  • +The zinc business enhances earnings diversification, as gross profit before depreciation and amortization increased by 122% to $353 million in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, while the adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 38% due to Trail and by-product credits.

Valuation

The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average price target of $68 and both the highest and lowest targets at $68; this uniformity means the data do not provide a diverse range of analyst estimates. The target is below the 52-week high of $71.93, while the range extends down to $31.68, a breadth consistent with Teck's sensitivity to commodity prices, QB stability, and the progress of the Anglo American merger.

BuyAnalyst target: $68(+2.3%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-28; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove the improvement in TECK's results in Q2 of fiscal year 2026?

The improvement came from higher commodity prices, including a record average copper price, and an approximately 25% year-over-year increase in copper production. Adjusted EBITDA tripled to $2.2 billion, and its margin increased to 61% from 36% in Q2 of fiscal year 2025. By-products, particularly molybdenum, silver, and zinc, also supported lower net unit costs and higher margins.

Did QB's operations become stable in fiscal year 2026?

In Q2 of fiscal year 2026, QB recorded its third consecutive quarter of stable operations, without a shutdown related to the tailings management facility during that period. Copper production was 55.8 thousand tonnes, compared with 52.7 thousand tonnes in Q2 of fiscal year 2025, with throughput and recovery rates stable within full-year guidance. Rock Bench 5 work was also completed, and the company aims to install a secondary sand cyclone system by the end of fiscal year 2026.

What impact will the Highland Valley project have on Teck's future?

The Highland Valley mine life extension project aims to keep the mine operating until 2046, with average annual production of approximately 132 thousand tonnes of copper. In Q2 of fiscal year 2026, detailed engineering was approximately 95% complete, and the company invested $254 million of project capital. Teck expects to spend $900 million to $1.2 billion during fiscal year 2026 and $2.1 billion to $2.4 billion over the life of the project.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −Earnings remain highly sensitive to commodity and by-product prices; management attributed most of the surge in adjusted EBITDA to record copper prices, provisional pricing adjustments, and molybdenum, silver, and zinc credits, and acknowledged that volatility in by-product and energy prices limits visibility into the cost trajectory for the second half of fiscal year 2026.
  • −Highland Valley and Antamina production is expected to decline in the second half of fiscal year 2026; at Highland Valley, tie-in work for the mine life extension project will cause mill shutdowns, alongside an expected decline in ore grades, which is why management did not raise production guidance toward the upper end of the range.
  • −QB still requires work to bring some operating metrics to design levels, while the company has not yet specified the scope or timing of debottlenecking projects. Rock Bench 6 could cost approximately $100 million in fiscal year 2026 if approved, and management explained that it is intended to reduce operational continuity risks and does not directly increase production rates in 2027 or 2028.
  • −The merger with Anglo American carries approval and execution risks; as of July 23, 2026, approval from the Chinese regulator was still required, while the two companies' teams were working on systems, processes, organizational structures, and synergy realization plans ahead of closing.
  • −Trail's earnings momentum could weaken in the second half of fiscal year 2026 due to planned shutdowns of the zinc and lead circuits in Q4 of fiscal year 2026, while profitability depends on the feed mix and commodity prices, not solely on volume growth.
  • −The stock's wide 52-week range, from $31.68 to $71.93, indicates high valuation volatility for a company affected by copper and zinc prices, QB execution, and the merger. The consensus analyst target of $68 is also below the top of the range, limiting reliance on the target alone as evidence of a re-rating beyond the previous peak.
How far has Teck's merger with Anglo American progressed?

During the July 23, 2026 call, Teck said the merger of equals was awaiting the remaining regulatory approval in China and that the process was proceeding through the customary review without any request for remedies. Management maintained the completion timeframe at 12 to 18 months from the September 2025 announcement and indicated that the transaction could close approximately two weeks after approval. Meanwhile, the teams are working to align operations, systems, organizational structures, and synergy realization plans, with both companies continuing to operate independently until closing.

What is Teck's copper and zinc production guidance for fiscal year 2026?

The company expects to produce 455 thousand to 530 thousand tonnes of copper in fiscal year 2026, compared with 454 thousand tonnes in fiscal year 2025. For zinc, guidance is 410 thousand to 460 thousand tonnes of zinc in concentrate and 190 thousand to 230 thousand tonnes of refined zinc. Management maintained these ranges unchanged, with lower production expected at Highland Valley and Antamina during the second half of fiscal year 2026 and planned shutdowns at Trail during Q4 of fiscal year 2026.

What are TECK's liquidity and production costs?

Liquidity was $10.3 billion as of June 30, 2026, including $6.1 billion in cash, while net cash reached $1.2 billion. Operations generated $1.7 billion in cash in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, increasing net cash by $756 million during the quarter. Copper net cash costs decreased to $1.64 per pound from $2.02, while zinc costs decreased to $0.35 per pound from $0.49 due to higher production, by-product credits, and lower treatment charges.