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Stocks
T1 Energy Inc
TE

TE T1 Energy Inc

T1 Energy Inc · NYSE
Market Open
3.73
▼ ⁦-1.84%⁩ (-0.07)
Market Cap$1.1B
Beta2.25
52w Low52w High
2.0712.49
Last Week
⁦-1.06%⁩
Last Month
⁦-18.91%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-56.88%⁩
Last Year
⁦+60.09%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall5
Poor — bottom quartile of the marketSucker StockF 6/9DistressBetter than 5% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
29
—17.4xBottom tier
▸
Growth
89
427.0%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
8
-19.4%▼4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
21
—2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
23
0.00%▼0.18%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
31
106.4%▲1.3%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
23
1▼3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Current price⁦$3.8⁩
  • Value at the industry multiple
    Next year's earnings × ⁦24.6⁩, median of 29 companies
    ⁦$2.26⁩
    ⁦−41%⁩
    Range ⁦⁦$1.35⁩–⁦$3.02⁩⁩

10-year US Treasury yield ⁦5.31%⁩ as of ⁦2026-10-05⁩. Estimates computed from company data and analyst targets, not investment advice.

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Monthly plan
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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$8.00
⁦+114.5%⁩
Current Price $3.73·Median $9.00
Low
$5.00
High
$9.00
Current price
$3.73
Average target
$8.00
Street summary

Decline in Consensus Price Target

Bearish tilt

The consensus price target declined to 8 from 9.75 in the latest comparison, down 17.95%, and to 8 from 11.33 over 30 days, down 29.39%. The number of analysts remained at two, while the current range is between 5 and 9, indicating lower expectations amid a limited sample and divergence among analysts.

As of 2026-10-05
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-29.4%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.78
Buy
Analyst coverage
9
Buy conviction
67%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
107%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time9 analysts rating
1
5
3
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.20 → 3.78
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-17
    Vertical Research
    Hold
  • = Reiterate2026-08-12
    BTIG
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-06-16
    Bernstein
    Market Perform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    —
    —
  • Forward P/E
    41.40x
    4.34x34.73x
    Very expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • FCF Yield
    -16.8%
    -34.1%11.5%
    Near median
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    427.0%
    -11.6%44.6%
    Exceptional
  • EPS Growth YoY
    32.2%
    -134.6%139.7%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    8.3%
    8.4%53.6%
    Weak
  • ROIC
    -19.4%
    -25.7%19.6%
    Below average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    0.0%
    0.0%5.1%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    -0.22
    -5.118.15
    Near median
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Last updated: 2026-09-02Based on 2026-08-12 data

Company Overview

T1 Energy Inc is a solar energy company building a vertically integrated, silicon-based U.S. supply chain. Its core business generates revenue from manufacturing solar modules at G1_Dallas, which has a capacity of 5 gigawatts, and selling them under supply contracts that include cost-plus-fixed-margin arrangements; 3 gigawatts of fiscal year 2026 volumes were covered by these contractual formulas. The company is building the 2.1-gigawatt first phase of the G2_Austin cell plant to integrate domestic cells with G1_Dallas modules, while the acquisition of KORE Power, renamed T1 NRI, added services, control systems, and engineering solutions for data center, industrial, and government customers.

In the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, T1 Energy reported revenue of $250.1 million and gross profit of $49.1 million, equivalent to a gross margin of 19.5%, compared with revenue of $177.6 million and gross profit of $29.1 million in the first quarter of fiscal year 2026. G1_Dallas produced approximately 935 megawatts of modules, the facility's second-highest quarterly output, but the company remained unprofitable, with a net loss of $43.5 million and negative earnings per share of $0.16. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization were $10.7 million, including a nonrecurring tariff refund of $24 million, indicating that the quality of underlying operating profitability remains limited.

On a trailing-twelve-month basis in fiscal year 2026, revenue was $996.9 million and gross profit was $83.2 million, while the net loss reached $383.6 million and earnings per share were approximately negative $1.37. This combination shows that T1 Energy achieved clear growth in production and revenue, but its financial model remains in a capital-intensive investment phase in which higher earnings and cash flows depend on financing, completing, and beginning domestic cell production at G2_Austin. The provided data did not include a numerical revenue breakdown between module manufacturing and T1 NRI services, so G1_Dallas remains the clearest quantifiable operating driver for the quarter.

What's Driving the Stock

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • The company raised its fiscal year 2026 production and sales outlook to near the upper end of its guidance range of 3.1 to 4.2 gigawatts, after producing 935 megawatts in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, with third- and fourth-quarter rates expected to exceed the second-quarter rate and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization expected to improve during the remainder of the year.
  • T1 Energy signed a strategic supply agreement with Clearway Energy Group to provide 641 megawatts of G1_Dallas modules manufactured with domestic cells from G2_Austin, in addition to the 900-megawatt Treaty Oak contract. Management says its contracted portfolio for fiscal year 2026 totals 3 gigawatts, providing a degree of contractual visibility into revenue and gross margin.
  • Construction of the 2.1-gigawatt first phase of G2_Austin advanced, and the main production-line equipment was in the United States or en route to it as of August 12, 2026. The company is targeting the start of cell production in the first quarter of fiscal year 2027, followed by a production ramp during the first half of fiscal year 2027, a critical milestone for pairing U.S.-made cells with G1_Dallas module capacity.
  • Higher production and the delivery mix improved gross margin to 19.5% in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, an increase of approximately 300 basis points from the first quarter of fiscal year 2026. Revenue rose by approximately 40.8% sequentially, from $177.6 million to $250.1 million, while gross profit increased by approximately 68.7%, from $29.1 million to $49.1 million.
  • The company acquired the core intellectual property for the TOPCon technology that it had previously licensed from Evervolt Green Energy. According to management, the acquisition eliminates expected licensing fees, produces a positive net present value compared with the previous arrangement, and creates the potential for third-party licensing revenue, although the company had not announced any licensing contracts or revenue amounts as of August 12, 2026.
  • A $120 million convertible note offering in August 2026 provided bridge financing to continue construction of G2_Austin, while estimated remaining capital expenditures for the first phase ranged from $200 million to $250 million. The company's success in closing a comprehensive financing solution with a significant debt component will determine its ability to keep the project on schedule and within budget.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Growth in second-quarter fiscal year 2026 revenue to $250.1 million, together with an improvement in gross margin to 19.5% and production of 935 megawatts, provides quantitative evidence that scaling G1_Dallas volumes has begun to improve manufacturing economics.
  • +Contractual coverage of 3 gigawatts for fiscal year 2026, alongside the 641-megawatt Clearway agreement and the 900-megawatt Treaty Oak contract, provides better revenue and margin visibility than complete reliance on spot sales.
  • +The targeted start of G2_Austin production in the first quarter of fiscal year 2027 could integrate 2.1 gigawatts of domestic cells with G1_Dallas modules, while the first phase is supported by domestic Corning wafer supply contracts. Management views this integration as the foundation for the targeted increase in earnings power and cash flow.
  • +Ownership of the TOPCon technology gives the company potential savings on licensing fees and the option to generate future licensing revenue, while T1 NRI adds an asset-light, high-margin business in services, control systems, and data center support. This combination could broaden the company's offering to utility project developers, although its separate financial contribution was not disclosed in the provided data.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −Financing G2_Austin remains the largest execution and financial risk; management acknowledged on August 12, 2026 that the comprehensive financing solution had taken longer than expected, despite raising $120 million through convertible notes. Between $200 million and $250 million of capital expenditures remain for the first phase, exposing the project to risks of delay, increased debt, or the issuance of equity-linked instruments if the targeted financing is not secured on suitable terms.
  • −Revenue growth has not yet translated into net profit; the company reported a net loss of $43.5 million in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026 and a loss of $383.6 million over the trailing twelve months, after a loss of $367.8 million in fiscal year 2025. Moreover, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of $10.7 million for the quarter included a nonrecurring tariff refund of $24 million, exposing weak underlying operating profitability.
  • −The transition to domestic cell economics depends on executing the G2_Austin plant, beginning production in the first quarter of fiscal year 2027, and then successfully ramping it during the first half of fiscal year 2027. Until the plant is operational, the company will continue importing part of its cell requirements, so some of its economics depend on details of the tariff exemption program and Department of Commerce negotiations whose mechanisms and ultimate benefits had not been finalized as of August 12, 2026.
  • −Selling, general, and administrative expenses rose sharply in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026 due to financing, consulting, and legal costs, two ongoing legal cases, and the buildout of the G2_Austin team. Management expects some of these costs to decline upon reaching a steady operating state, but continued financing, litigation, and organizational expansion could delay earnings improvement.
  • −Management acknowledges that TOPCon technology requires protection and development because solar cell technology efficiency advances over time. Therefore, the value of the acquired intellectual property and the option to license it depend on T1 Energy's ability to develop the technology and maintain its appeal, and no third-party licensing contracts or revenue had been announced as of August 12, 2026.

Valuation

The analyst consensus is "Buy," with an average price target of $11.33 and a wide target range of $9 to $16; the average is close to the 52-week high of $12.49, while the highest target exceeds that peak. There is no positive price-to-earnings ratio because the trailing-twelve-month net loss was $383.6 million, so the valuation rests on successfully financing G2_Austin, beginning production in the first quarter of fiscal year 2027, and improving margins, rather than on currently realized earnings. The wide 52-week range of $1.59 to $12.49 also reflects the stock's high sensitivity to financing, execution, and contract news.

BuyAnalyst target: $11.33(+203.8%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-02; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What is driving T1 Energy's growth in fiscal year 2026?

The company produced 935 megawatts of solar modules in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, the second-highest quarterly output in G1_Dallas history. Revenue increased to $250.1 million from $177.6 million in the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, and gross margin improved by approximately 300 basis points to 19.5%. Based on higher production and steady demand, management expects fiscal year 2026 production and sales to approach the upper end of the 3.1 to 4.2 gigawatt range.

How important is the G2_Austin plant to T1 Energy's future?

The first phase of G2_Austin is a 2.1-gigawatt U.S. solar cell plant designed to supply G1_Dallas modules with domestic cells. As of August 12, 2026, the building was ready for mechanical, electrical, and plumbing installations, and the main production-line equipment was either in the United States or en route to it. The company is targeting the start of cell production in the first quarter of fiscal year 2027 and a production ramp during the first half of fiscal year 2027, but this requires completing financing and the remaining capital expenditures of between $200 million and $250 million.

What is the scale of the supply contracts supporting T1 Energy's revenue?

T1 Energy had contractual coverage of 3 gigawatts for fiscal year 2026, according to the August 12, 2026 call. It also signed an agreement with Clearway Energy Group to supply 641 megawatts of G1_Dallas modules using domestic G2_Austin cells, in addition to the 900-megawatt Treaty Oak contract. The company did not disclose the timing, pricing, or margin structure of the Clearway contract, but explained that its fiscal year 2026 contracts use a mix of cost-plus-fixed-margin and cost-plus formulas.

Did T1 Energy become profitable in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026?

The company reported gross profit of $49.1 million and a gross margin of 19.5% in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, but incurred a net loss of $43.5 million. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization were $10.7 million and included a nonrecurring tariff refund of $24 million. On a trailing-twelve-month basis in fiscal year 2026, the net loss was $383.6 million, so a sustainable transition to profitability has not yet been achieved.

What does ownership of the TOPCon technology add to T1 Energy?

T1 Energy acquired the core intellectual property for TOPCon technology from Evervolt Green Energy after previously using it under a license. Management said on August 12, 2026 that the transaction eliminates expected licensing fees and produces a positive net present value compared with the previous agreement, which was due to expire in 2029. The company can explore licensing the technology to third parties, but as of that date it had not announced a licensing contract or any resulting revenue amount.

What are T1 Energy's main financing risks?

The company raised $120 million through convertible notes due in 2031 to serve as a bridge toward a comprehensive financing solution for the first phase of G2_Austin. Management acknowledged on the August 12, 2026 call that closing the financing had taken longer than expected, despite reaffirming its confidence in the ongoing discussions. With $200 million to $250 million of project capital expenditures remaining and a trailing-twelve-month loss of $383.6 million, any further delay could increase the debt burden or create a need for equity-linked financing.

  • −The valuation carries the risk of high expectations despite the absence of a positive price-to-earnings ratio, as the average analyst price target is $11.33, close to the top of the 52-week range of $12.49, while the range extends down to $1.59. This breadth, alongside the trailing-twelve-month net loss of $383.6 million, means that achieving the target valuation depends heavily on financing and executing G2_Austin and converting growth into cash flow.