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Stocks
Teradata Corporation
TDC

TDC Teradata Corporation

Teradata Corporation · NYSE
Market Closed
28.89
▼ ⁦-1.30%⁩ (-0.38)
Market Cap$2.7B
Beta0.59
52w Low52w High
20.3341.78
Last Week
⁦+3.77%⁩
Last Month
⁦+4.94%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-14.27%⁩
Last Year
⁦+37.51%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall93
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 7/9Better than 93% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
88
6.0x▲17.6xTop tier
▸
Growth
53
1.0%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
83
-0.9%▼4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
73
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
92
—2.15%Top tier
▸
Momentum
54
31.0%▲2.3%Around median
▸
Sentiment
36
6▲3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$29
Analyst target · 4 analysts
$34
⁦+18%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$28–$34⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$132
⁦+357%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$34–$132⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 4 analysts setting price target
$32.00
⁦+10.8%⁩
Current Price $28.89·Median $34.00
Low
$28.00
High
$34.00
Current price
$28.89
Average target
$32.00
Street summary

Downward revision of Teradata (TDC) price targets

Bearish tilt

Teradata's price targets have seen a notable decline over the past thirty days, with the average price target falling by 7.51% to reach $32, compared to $34.6 in July. This adjustment coincided with an increase in the number of analysts from 2 to 4, indicating that the entry of new opinions contributed to pressuring the general consensus toward more conservative levels, even though the current price ($27.52) is still trading below the minimum target of $28.

As of 2026-08-24
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 2.88
Hold
Analyst coverage
⁦8 (+2)⁩
New coverage
Buy conviction
25%
Target dispersion
21%
Analyst ratings over time8 analysts rating
1
1
4
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.00 → 2.88
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-08-10
    Morgan Stanley
    OverweightEqual-Weight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-05
    UBS
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-08-05
    Morgan Stanley
    Overweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    6.04x
    7.02x56.18x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    10.65x
    5.21x41.67x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    10.88x
    4.43x35.48x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    26.6%
    -57.1%10.7%
    Exceptional
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    1.0%
    -18.1%67.2%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    323.0%
    -155.6%189.9%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    60.8%
    13.2%79.5%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    -0.9%
    -63.6%26.8%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-04 data

Company Overview

Teradata provides a hybrid data, analytics, and AI platform that enables enterprises to run workloads in the cloud or on-premises according to sovereignty, security, and performance requirements. A key portion of income comes from recurring revenue associated with cloud and on-premises subscriptions, alongside consulting services; in Q2 fiscal 2026, recurring revenue was $363 million out of total revenue of $410 million, while consulting services revenue was $39 million.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, total revenue was flat at $410 million, and recurring revenue grew 3% year over year, while total annual recurring revenue increased 1% as reported and 2% in constant currency, and cloud annual recurring revenue grew 8% and 9%, respectively. In contrast, consulting revenue declined 24% to $39 million, showing that the improved recurring mix offset weakness in consulting activity without producing growth in total revenue.

Profitability improved significantly in Q2 fiscal 2026; non-GAAP gross margin increased to 60.5%, up 220 basis points, and operating margin jumped to 21.5% from 16.4% a year earlier. Non-GAAP diluted earnings per share were $0.69, exceeding the high end of the company’s guidance by $0.12, and adjusted free cash flow reached $127 million, while EDGAR data for fiscal 2025 showed revenue of $1.7 billion, gross profit of $987 million, and net income of $130 million.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Teradata raised its fiscal 2026 non-GAAP earnings per share guidance to a range of $2.65–$2.73 and increased its adjusted free cash flow forecast to $330–$350 million, while maintaining its guidance for total revenue, recurring revenue, and total annual recurring revenue.
  • In May 2026, the company launched the Teradata Autonomous Knowledge Platform, which combines Teradata Cloud, Teradata Factory, Teradata AI Studio, and the Tera assistant, and the platform and its AI Studio component then reached general availability in early Q3 fiscal 2026.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • AI products secured early wins, including the selection of Teradata Factory and AI Studio by a major South Asian telecommunications company, the adoption of Teradata Cloud, AI Studio, and AI Services by a major Japanese banking group, and the expansion of AI Studio usage by a large North American financial institution; however, management clarified that the new products did not have a material impact on first-half fiscal 2026 results.
  • Operating margin expanded to 21.5% in Q2 fiscal 2026 from 16.4% and reached 24.5% in the first half, up 540 basis points, reflecting improved gross margin, a higher recurring revenue mix, and cost structure discipline.
  • The company generated $127 million in adjusted free cash flow in Q2 fiscal 2026 and ended the period with net cash of $323 million after repaying the remaining $450 million balance on its term loan. It also repurchased approximately 1.3 million shares for about $40 million.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The shift in the business mix toward recurring revenue supports earnings quality; this revenue grew 3% in Q2 fiscal 2026 and carried a gross margin of 67.8%, while the company’s total revenue remained flat.
    • +Teradata’s hybrid architecture provides differentiation among regulated enterprises or those subject to data sovereignty requirements, as Teradata Factory allows CPUs, GPUs, and models to operate on the customer’s premises, while Teradata Cloud enables workloads to run in the cloud.
    • +Improved cash flow and the balance sheet support investment in research and development and share repurchases; the company raised its fiscal 2026 adjusted free cash flow forecast to $330–$350 million and is targeting 50% of it for repurchases, excluding the SAP settlement benefit.
    • +Improved customer retention and growth in total annual recurring revenue provide a foundation for a gradual recovery, as the company recorded better retention during the first half of fiscal 2026 and maintained its total annual recurring revenue growth guidance of 2%–4% for fiscal 2026.

    ▼ Selling Case7 pts

    • −Teradata expects a clear contraction in Q3 fiscal 2026, with recurring revenue declining between 2% and 4% year over year and total revenue falling between 4% and 6%, after the first half benefited from the earlier timing of revenue recognition for some on-premises subscriptions under ASC 606.
    • −The underlying growth pace remains weak despite margin expansion; Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue was flat at $410 million, total annual recurring revenue grew only 1% as reported, and cloud annual recurring revenue growth was 8%, below the company’s targeted low-double-digit rate.
    • −Consulting services revenue declined 24% in Q2 fiscal 2026 to $39 million, and revenue weakness affected the segment’s margin, despite management pointing to improved bookings and growth in the project backlog.
    • −The platform faces competition in unifying data and AI workloads from cloud-native platforms such as Snowflake and Databricks, while management said that use of the new AI capabilities may consume capacity customers have already purchased, delaying the conversion of usage into additional annual recurring revenue growth.
    • −Memory, storage, and hardware component prices may pressure the economics of Teradata Factory during fiscal 2027; management acknowledged the possibility of supply-chain and pricing pressures, with margin protection depending on adjusting customer prices and leveraging Dell Technologies’ purchasing power.
    • −The valuation sends a mixed signal that does not justify overlooking execution risks; the analyst consensus is “Neutral,” and the average target of $32 is approximately 23% below the 52-week range high of $41.78, while the wide range between $28 and $34 reflects differing views on how quickly AI products will translate into growth.
    • −Insider activity during the three months ended with the latest transaction on June 8, 2026, included three sales with no purchases and net selling of approximately $793.7 thousand; this is a weak trading signal on its own because such sales may be prearranged, and the context did not specify the motives behind them.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $32 within a range of $28–$34, and the average is approximately 23% below the 52-week range high of $41.78, while the consensus remains “Neutral.” An analysis dated August 9, 2026, cited a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.7 times, which appears low, but the repricing reflects flat Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue and an expected revenue contraction in Q3, offset by margin expansion and higher free cash flow.

    HoldAnalyst target: $32(+10.8%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is driving Teradata’s revenue in fiscal 2026?

    Teradata primarily relies on recurring cloud and on-premises subscriptions, in addition to consulting services. In Q2 fiscal 2026, recurring revenue was $363 million and grew 3%, out of total revenue of $410 million. During the same period, consulting revenue was $39 million after declining 24% year over year.

    How important is the Teradata Autonomous Knowledge Platform to TDC’s growth?

    Teradata announced the platform in May 2026 to combine Teradata Cloud, Teradata Factory, Teradata AI Studio, and the Tera assistant within an architecture designed for agentic AI. The platform and its AI Studio component reached general availability in early Q3 fiscal 2026, and the company recorded early use cases at a South Asian telecommunications company, a Japanese banking group, and a North American financial institution. However, management said these products did not make a material contribution to first-half fiscal 2026 results and that use of the new capabilities may initially consume capacity customers have already purchased.

    Why does Teradata expect revenue to decline in Q3 fiscal 2026?

    The company expects recurring revenue to decline between 2% and 4% and total revenue to fall between 4% and 6% year over year in Q3 fiscal 2026. Management explained that recognizing more on-premises subscription revenue upfront under ASC 606 supported the first half and left smaller amounts to be recognized in the second half. Despite this timing, the company maintained its full-year guidance for total revenue, recurring revenue, and total annual recurring revenue.

    How did Teradata’s profitability improve in Q2 fiscal 2026?

    Non-GAAP gross margin increased to 60.5%, up 220 basis points year over year, driven by a higher recurring revenue mix. Operating margin rose to 21.5% from 16.4%, and non-GAAP diluted earnings per share were $0.69, exceeding the high end of the company’s guidance by $0.12. Adjusted free cash flow also reached $127 million, prompting the company to raise its fiscal 2026 forecast to $330–$350 million.

    What is the state of Teradata’s balance sheet and capital allocation policy?

    Teradata ended Q2 fiscal 2026 with net cash of $323 million, a year-over-year increase of $528 million, after repaying the remaining $450 million balance on its term loan. The company repurchased approximately 1.3 million shares for about $40 million during the quarter and is targeting 50% of adjusted free cash flow for repurchases, excluding the SAP settlement benefit. Management prioritized capital allocation as organic investment in research and development first, followed by share repurchases, and then strategic mergers and acquisitions.

    What are the main risks to monitor for TDC stock?

    The immediate financial risk is the expected decline in total revenue of between 4% and 6% in Q3 fiscal 2026, alongside total annual recurring revenue growth of only 1% in Q2. Consulting revenue also declined 24%, and cloud annual recurring revenue growth was 8% versus a targeted low-double-digit rate. On the execution side, the company faces competition from Snowflake and Databricks and potential pricing pressures on Teradata Factory components during fiscal 2027, while the success of the thesis depends on converting early interest in AI products into actual recurring revenue.