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Taboola.com Ltd.
TBLA

TBLA Taboola.com Ltd.

Taboola.com Ltd. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
3.80
▲ ⁦+1.88%⁩ (+0.07)
Market Cap$1.0B
Beta1.52
52w Low52w High
2.845.63
Last Week
⁦-1.81%⁩
Last Month
⁦-7.99%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-22.13%⁩
Last Year
⁦+12.43%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall98
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 5/8Better than 98% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
91
9.9x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
86
8.0%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
73
11.6%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
88
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
89
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
52
23.5%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
68
4▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$3.80
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$5.50
⁦+45%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$5.50–$5.50⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$10
⁦+169%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦11.1⁩% discount · ⁦3⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$5.50–$10⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Annual plan
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Monthly plan
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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$5.50
⁦+44.7%⁩
Current Price $3.80·Median $5.50
Low
$5.50
High
$5.50
Street summary

Analysis of Taboola (TBLA) Price Target Reviews

The average price target for Taboola stock saw a slight decline of 0.9% over the past thirty days, dropping from 5.55 to 5.5 dollars. The three analysts currently covering the stock show complete alignment in their vision, as the gaps between the high and low price targets vanished at the 5.5 dollar level, indicating a high state of consensus certainty regarding the stock's fair value in the near term.

As of 2026-06-23
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.75
Buy
Analyst coverage
8
Buy conviction
63%
Mixed
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time8 analysts rating
1
4
3
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.75 → 3.75
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-06-17
    Needham
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-05-11
    TD Cowen
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-05-07
    Benchmark
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    9.86x
    4.21x33.71x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    15.95x
    3.09x24.70x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    5.30x
    2.57x20.60x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    20.7%
    -33.4%21.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    8.0%
    -16.2%48.2%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    863.7%
    -464.8%138.2%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    29.7%
    11.3%77.5%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    11.6%
    -33.6%17.7%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-05 data

Company Overview

Taboola operates a performance advertising platform for the open web outside the search and social media ecosystems, turning intent signals derived from billions of users’ interactions with publishers’ websites, apps, and device manufacturer platforms into measurable outcomes for advertisers. The company generates revenue by monetizing publishers’ advertising inventory, including native, display, and vertical video ads, while expanding its Realize platform to increase advertiser spending and Taboola’s share of publishers’ wallets. Higher-margin mix drivers include Realize and Taboola News, while DeeperDive aims to monetize AI-powered conversations within publishers’ websites.

In quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, revenue increased 2% year over year to $476.8 million, and gross profit reached $139.5 million at a margin of approximately 29.3%, while ex-TAC gross profit grew 12% to $192.4 million. Taboola recorded net income of $4.3 million, compared with non-GAAP net income of $41.3 million, and adjusted EBITDA reached $55.5 million at a 29% margin. Gross profit included a one-time non-cash reduction of approximately $12 million related to publisher prepayments that the company no longer expects to recover.

Ex-TAC gross profit grew faster than revenue due to the removal of underperforming publishers, higher advertising prices, a mix shift toward higher-margin activities, and the expansion of Realize and contribution from Taboola News. Meanwhile, average revenue per scaled advertiser remained approximately flat, while the number of those advertisers increased 2% year over year. The business generated $31.3 million in operating cash flow and $17.3 million in free cash flow in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Taboola raised its ex-TAC gross profit outlook for fiscal year 2026 to a range of $772–783 million, an increase of $7 million at the midpoint, and raised its adjusted EBITDA outlook to $228–240 million, an increase of $3 million at the midpoint.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • For quarter 3 of fiscal year 2026, the company expects revenue of between $460 million and $473 million, gross profit of between $148 million and $152 million, ex-TAC gross profit of between $184 million and $190 million, and adjusted EBITDA of between $51.5 million and $56.5 million.
  • Taboola added FOX News to its existing relationships with Fox Local, Fox Sports, and Fox Weather, and is also working to expand a partnership with one of its largest publishers from monetizing native ad placements to monetizing the entire page. Management estimated that display advertising alone at this partner represents revenue equal to two or three times that of traditional native placements, with the contribution beginning gradually in quarter 4 of fiscal year 2026 and accelerating in 2027.
  • More than 300 advertisers adopted the beta version of Realize Plus, and a few million dollars of advertiser spending flowed through MCP and cloud integrations that enable campaigns to be planned, launched, and optimized through natural-language conversations with AI systems.
  • DeeperDive approached 10 million users after launching in September 2025, and more than 10% of visitors to websites where it is available use it. According to management, directing approximately 10% of traffic to it could add about 10% to publisher revenue, while every thousand views within it generate a monetization opportunity equal to 5 to 10 times that of traditional views on the Taboola network.
  • The company repurchased approximately 9.4 million shares in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026 at an average of $4.42 per share and a total value of $41.4 million, bringing its repurchases since the beginning of 2025 to approximately 20% of outstanding shares, with approximately $114 million remaining under the authorization.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The results for quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026 show improving business economics: ex-TAC gross profit growth of 12% clearly exceeded revenue growth of 2%, while the adjusted EBITDA margin reached 29%.
    • +The addition of FOX News and the expected expansion into full-page monetization at a large publisher provide a path to increasing Taboola’s share of revenue from its existing partners. Management estimated that the display advertising revenue opportunity at that partner is two or three times that of the native placements the company historically monetized.
    • +Early adoption of Realize Plus and DeeperDive gives the company two distinct growth paths: more than 300 advertisers used Realize Plus, while DeeperDive approached 10 million users and, according to management, recorded a monetization opportunity per thousand views equal to 5 to 10 times that of the traditional business.
    • +Liquidity supports the capital return policy: cash and cash equivalents totaled $133.1 million versus long-term debt of $72 million, while available liquidity under the revolving credit facility was approximately $198 million as of June 30, 2026.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −A Google policy change led to the discontinuation of Explore More, a product that had been expected to add more than $20 million to ex-TAC gross profit in the second half of fiscal year 2026, and its absence will also affect the comparison during the first half of fiscal year 2027. Taboola launched the Engage product to recover part of the revenue, but management did not guarantee full recovery of the impact.
    • −The pace of adoption for the new products remains uncertain. Although DeeperDive reached approximately 10 million users and more than 300 advertisers adopted the beta version of Realize Plus, management described both initiatives as being at an early stage and did not provide a quantitative estimate of their contribution to the company’s full results.
    • −The reduction of the revenue outlook to $1.93–1.96 billion for fiscal year 2026 reflects pressure from the removal of underperforming publishers and the discontinuation of Explore More. Revenue growth in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026 was only 2%, while average revenue per scaled advertiser remained approximately flat.
    • −The removal of international publishers, many of which were concentrated in the Greater China region, carries a short-term revenue cost after some of those publishers grew rapidly before Taboola determined that their traffic was not delivering appropriate outcomes for advertisers. Although the cleanup may improve network quality over the longer term, the amount of revenue lost from it was not disclosed separately.
    • −The full-page monetization model may initially operate at margins below those of the traditional business. Management said it does not yet know the final margin of the new partnership and does not necessarily expect it to reach the level of the existing business from the outset, while maintaining its overall ex-TAC gross profit margin expectation of 35% to 40%.
    • −Currency fluctuations were an approximately $7.5 million drag on adjusted EBITDA in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, as it would have reached approximately $63 million at a 33% margin without this impact. Management expects currency pressure to continue during the remainder of fiscal year 2026.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $5.50, which is identical to both the highest and lowest targets and reflects a consensus Buy rating, but it does not provide a varied range of estimates through which to assess differences of opinion. This target is approximately 3.7% below the 52-week range high of $5.71, while the range low is $2.835; therefore, achieving the valuation primarily depends on Taboola’s ability to offset the more than $20 million impact from Explore More and accelerate the contributions of Realize, DeeperDive, and new partnerships.

    BuyAnalyst target: $5.5(+44.7%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-02; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    How does Taboola generate revenue?

    Taboola connects advertisers with advertising inventory across publishers, apps, and device manufacturers on the open web, using proprietary intent data and AI technologies to improve conversions. It earns revenue by monetizing placements such as native, display, and vertical video ads, then reports ex-TAC gross profit to measure business economics after partner payments. In quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, revenue was $476.8 million and ex-TAC gross profit was $192.4 million.

    What is the impact of Google’s policy change on Taboola?

    Google’s policy ended the Explore More experience starting in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026 after the change was announced in April 2026 and implemented faster than Taboola expected. The product had been expected to add more than $20 million to ex-TAC gross profit in the second half of fiscal year 2026, with the comparison impact continuing into the first half of fiscal year 2027. The company launched the Engage product within Google’s policies in an attempt to recover a large portion of the revenue, but management did not commit to recovering it in full.

    Why is DeeperDive important to Taboola’s growth?

    DeeperDive adds an AI-powered conversational experience within publishers’ websites instead of relying solely on traditional page views. Since its launch in September 2025, the product has approached 10 million users, and its usage rate has exceeded 10% of visitors to websites that offer it. Management said its monetization opportunity per thousand views is 5 to 10 times that of traditional views and that directing approximately 10% of traffic to it could increase publisher revenue by about 10%.

    What is the significance of Realize Plus and the FOX News agreement?

    Realize Plus is an AI-based optimization framework for automating advertising campaign decisions across the open web, and more than 300 advertisers had adopted its beta version by the August 5, 2026 call. A few million dollars of advertiser spending also flowed through MCP and cloud integrations that enable campaign management through natural-language conversations. The FOX News agreement adds premium inventory to Taboola’s existing relationships with Fox Local, Fox Sports, and Fox Weather, expanding Realize’s reach to a major U.S. publisher.

    What is Taboola’s outlook for fiscal year 2026?

    Taboola expects revenue of between $1.93 billion and $1.96 billion and gross profit of between $605 million and $615 million in fiscal year 2026. It also raised its ex-TAC gross profit outlook to $772–783 million and its adjusted EBITDA outlook to $228–240 million. Its non-GAAP net income outlook ranges between $168 million and $176 million, and the impact of discontinuing Explore More and cleaning up the publisher network is included in this outlook.

    Can Taboola fund share repurchases while investing in growth?

    Taboola ended the period on June 30, 2026 with $133.1 million in cash and cash equivalents versus $72 million in long-term debt, with approximately $198 million of available liquidity under a $270 million revolving facility. In quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, it generated $31.3 million in operating cash flow and $17.3 million in free cash flow. It repurchased approximately 9.4 million shares for $41.4 million during the quarter, with approximately $114 million remaining under the authorization, while targeting the conversion of 60% to 70% of adjusted EBITDA into free cash flow over any typical four-quarter period.