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Stocks
AT&T Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall73
Strong — clearly above market medianContrarianF 7/9DistressBetter than 73% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
90
8.4x▲17.6xTop tier
▸
Growth
39
2.6%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
74
8.5%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
46
3.2x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
41
4.37%▲2.15%Around median
▸
Momentum
41
-15.1%▼2.3%Around median
▸
Sentiment
86
14▲3Top tier
T

T AT&T Inc.

AT&T Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
25.42
▲ ⁦+0.10%⁩ (+0.03)
Market Cap$174.2B
Beta0.42
52w Low52w High
19.8929.58
Last Week
⁦-2.48%⁩
Last Month
⁦+2.07%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+13.26%⁩
Last Year
⁦-13.35%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$25
Analyst target · 7 analysts
$28
⁦+8%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$20–$30⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$27
⁦+5%⁩
Sees it fairly priced
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$27–$28⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 7 analysts setting price target
$26.53
⁦+4.4%⁩
Current Price $25.41·Median $27.50
Low
$20.00
High
$30.00
Current price
$25.41
Average target
$26.53
Street summary

Analysis of AT&T stock price target revisions

Bearish tilt

AT&T stock has seen a notable decline in the average price target over the past thirty days, as the consensus dropped from $29.35 to $27.13, a decline of 7.56%. This decrease occurred despite the number of analysts remaining constant at 7, which indicates a collective negative reassessment of the stock's fair value by current analysts, even though the median price target ($28) remains above the current price.

As of 2026-07-30
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-0.6%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.64
Buy
Analyst coverage
25
Buy conviction
56%
Mixed
Target dispersion
39%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time25 analysts rating
3
11
10
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.85 → 3.64
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-07-23
    TD Cowen
    Hold
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-07-23
    Wolfe Research
    Peer PerformOutperform
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-07-23
    UBS
    BuyReduce
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    8.42x
    4.15x33.22x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    10.53x
    3.10x24.76x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    7.37x
    2.54x20.34x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    10.1%
    -36.1%21.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    2.6%
    -16.2%46.8%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    71.6%
    -479.5%138.2%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    59.7%
    11.3%77.9%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    8.5%
    -33.6%17.2%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    3.24x
    0.59x5.65x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    4.4%
    0.0%9.6%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    37.2%
    5.9%105.8%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    0.90
    -8.264.52
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-22 data

Company Overview

AT&T Inc. (T) operates as a provider of advanced connectivity through 5G and fiber networks, wireless phone services, and fixed wireless internet service, serving consumer and business channels. Its financial model relies primarily on recurring service revenue, with the Advanced Connectivity segment accounting for more than 90% of service revenue and nearly all adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization in Q2 FY2026. The company aims to increase customer relationship value by combining AT&T Fiber and wireless services in a single account, with convergence reaching 42.5% among advanced home internet customers at the end of the quarter, or 45% excluding the acquired Lumen footprint.

In Q2 FY2026, revenue was $31.6 billion, net income was $4.6 billion, and diluted earnings per share were $0.66, equivalent to an approximate net income margin of 14.6%. According to the adjusted figures from the earnings call, total revenue grew 2.3% and service revenue grew 2.7% year over year, while adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization increased 5.2%, with the margin reaching 39.1% after improving by 110 basis points. Adjusted earnings per share were $0.65, up more than 20% from $0.54 in the corresponding period.

Quarterly momentum came from Advanced Connectivity, where segment service revenue grew 5.1% and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization grew 8% year over year. Wireless service revenue increased 3.3%, with 432 thousand postpaid phone net additions, while advanced home internet revenue grew by more than 27%, and the segment's business services recorded growth of 1.8%. In contrast, legacy segment service revenue declined 26% and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization fell by about 46% as the shutdown of the legacy copper network accelerated.

What's Driving the Stock

  • AT&T added more than one million fiber, fixed wireless internet, and postpaid phone subscribers during Q2 FY2026, recording the best second quarter in its history for AT&T Fiber net additions and a record for combined fiber and fixed wireless internet additions.
  • The company plans to reach 8 million new fiber locations during FY2026, including more than 4 million locations from the Lumen footprint, and it already added more than one million locations in Q2. Within the Lumen footprint, gross converged account additions in June 2026 increased 45% compared with February 2026, indicating that AT&T is beginning to benefit from its brand and bundled offerings within the acquired areas.
  • AT&T completed the $23 billion purchase of wireless spectrum from EchoStar on July 28, 2026, to strengthen its network capacity, particularly its low-band position and the uplink capacity needed for AI-powered applications. Management expects dense fiber and additional spectrum to support more differentiated services, such as dedicated 5G network slices for enterprises.
  • Management reaffirmed its FY2026 outlook for consolidated service revenue growth in the low-single-digit range, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization growth of between 3% and 4%, and adjusted earnings per share of between $2.25 and $2.35. It also expects free cash flow of more than $18 billion and capital investment of between $23 billion and $24 billion, after free cash flow reached $4.7 billion in Q2, exceeding the top end of the $4.5 billion guidance range.
  • AT&T raised its FY2026 share repurchase plan from $8 billion to about $10 billion after returning $4.1 billion to shareholders in Q2, including approximately $2.2 billion in repurchases. Total repurchases and dividends are expected to reach about $18 billion, nearly equal to the full-year free cash flow outlook.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The core business driver is accelerating: Advanced Connectivity service revenue grew 5.1% in Q2 FY2026, about 150 basis points faster than in Q1, while the segment's adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization grew 8%.
  • +The convergence strategy combines customer growth with improved customer economics; the percentage of customers combining advanced home internet with a postpaid wireless account reached 42.5%, and management says these customers have lower churn and higher lifetime value.
  • +Free cash flow of $4.7 billion in Q2, together with the outlook for more than $18 billion in FY2026, provides funding for network investment, dividends, and a share repurchase program worth approximately $10 billion.
  • +There is a clear path to cost reduction through the target of achieving $4 billion in annual consolidated savings by the end of 2028, alongside approval to discontinue legacy services in more than 30% of wire centers by late 2026.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus on T stock is "Neutral," with an average target of $26.69 and a wide range between $20 and $30; the average is below the 52-week range high of $29.79 and well above its low of $19.89. No stated price-to-earnings multiple is available in the data, so the available valuation rests on balancing Advanced Connectivity growth and free cash flow against the impact of the $23 billion EchoStar deal and the expected increase in leverage to about 3.2 times.

HoldAnalyst target: $26.69(+5.0%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-26; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove AT&T (T) stock results in Q2 FY2026?

AT&T's revenue was about $31.6 billion, net income was $4.6 billion, and diluted earnings per share were $0.66. Service revenue grew 2.7% year over year, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization increased 5.2%, with the margin reaching 39.1%. The acceleration came primarily from Advanced Connectivity, where service revenue grew 5.1% and the segment's adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization grew 8%.

How is AT&T Fiber growing after the acquisition of the Lumen footprint?

AT&T added more than one million fiber locations during Q2 FY2026 and plans to reach 8 million new locations during the year, including more than 4 million locations from the Lumen footprint. The convergence rate was 45% when excluding Lumen customers, compared with 42.5% for all advanced home internet customers at the end of the quarter. In the acquired areas, gross converged account additions in June 2026 increased 45% compared with February 2026 as the markets were converted to the AT&T Fiber brand and systems.

What is the impact of the $23 billion EchoStar spectrum deal on AT&T?

AT&T completed the deal on July 28, 2026, with the aim of expanding its spectrum resources and strengthening wireless network capacity. Management believes the low-band position, particularly the 600 MHz band, can support better indoor coverage and greater uplink capacity for AI applications. In contrast, the company expects net debt to adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization to rise to about 3.2 times, then return to the 2.5 times range within approximately three years.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

−
Financial performance depends heavily on Advanced Connectivity, which generates more than 90% of service revenue and nearly all adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization; therefore, any weakness in fiber or wireless subscriber acquisition would directly affect most of the earnings base.
  • −The $23 billion EchoStar spectrum deal places a significant burden on the balance sheet, as AT&T expects net debt to adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization to rise from 2.68 times at the end of Q2 FY2026 to about 3.2 times after closing. The company aims to return to the 2.5 times range within approximately three years, making execution and cash flow essential to achieving deleveraging.
  • −Competitive risks increased in July and August 2026 when SpaceX announced Starlink Mobile's ambitions to compete in direct-to-phone connectivity and capture a share of a global telecommunications market estimated at about $600 billion annually. This news negatively affected terrestrial telecommunications stocks, although AT&T is working with AST SpaceMobile to cover cases outside its network during 2027.
  • −The converged-offerings strategy may pressure fiber revenue per user; Fiber ARPU declined 1.3% year over year in Q2 FY2026, and management expects some pressure to continue in Q3. Management also acknowledged that broadband revenue growth may fall below the previous 30% target after advanced home internet revenue growth reached more than 27%.
  • −The contraction of the legacy copper network remains severe, with legacy segment service revenue declining 26% and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization falling by about 46% in Q2 FY2026. Offsetting this decline requires continued fiber and 5G growth and the realization of wire-center shutdown savings without operational disruption.
  • −The neutral analyst consensus and the absence of a stated price-to-earnings multiple in the data reflect a degree of valuation uncertainty, while the target range extends from $20 to $30. This wide disparity indicates a clear divergence in the market's assessment of the value of growth and cash flows versus higher leverage and new competition.
  • What is AT&T's outlook for FY2026?

    AT&T expects consolidated service revenue growth in the low-single-digit range and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization growth of between 3% and 4%. Adjusted earnings per share guidance ranges between $2.25 and $2.35, with free cash flow of more than $18 billion and capital investment of between $23 billion and $24 billion. The company also expects Advanced Connectivity service revenue growth of more than 5% and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization growth of more than 6%.

    Does Starlink Mobile pose a direct threat to T stock?

    SpaceX announced in August 2026 Starlink Mobile's ambition to capture a share of the global telecommunications market estimated at about $600 billion annually, following the emergence of direct competition plans in July 2026. Direct-to-phone services raised concerns about the market share and margins of terrestrial network operators such as AT&T. In contrast, AT&T is working with AST SpaceMobile on a seamless transition service to satellite coverage for cases representing about 2% of its customers' traffic outside its network, and it expects to launch this capability during 2027.

    How is AT&T returning cash to T shareholders in FY2026?

    The company returned $4.1 billion to shareholders during Q2 FY2026, including about $2.2 billion in share repurchases. AT&T raised its annual repurchase target from $8 billion to approximately $10 billion. It expects total repurchases and dividends to reach about $18 billion, which is approximately equal to the full-year free cash flow outlook.