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Home
Stocks
Sysco Corporation
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall60
Balanced — near the middle of the marketSuper StockF 6/8Better than 60% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
66
22.7x▼17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
43
3.9%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
73
15.2%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
44
3.1x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
35
—2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
59
2.8%2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
62
10▲3Around median
SYY

SYY Sysco Corporation

Sysco Corporation · NYSE
Market Closed
83.21
▲ ⁦+1.09%⁩ (+0.90)
Market Cap$39.4B
Beta0.64
52w Low52w High
68.1991.85
Last Week
⁦+1.77%⁩
Last Month
⁦-1.25%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+5.95%⁩
Last Year
⁦+2.92%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$83
Analyst target · 7 analysts
$84
⁦+1%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$84–$85⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$52
⁦-37%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦3⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$52–$84⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 7 analysts setting price target
$84.33
⁦+1.3%⁩
Current Price $83.21·Median $84.00
Low
$84.00
High
$85.00
Current price
$83.21
Average target
$84.33
Street summary

Negative revision of price targets for SYY stock

Bearish tilt

SYY stock has seen a continuous decline in its average price target over the past thirty days, with the consensus dropping from $91.13 to $84.33, a decrease of 7.46%. There is a very tight convergence in the opinions of the seven analysts, with the price range spanning only between $84 and $85, indicating high certainty and consensus among analysts that the stock is approaching its current fair value compared to its market price of $82.46.

As of 2026-08-19
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-5.9%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.40
Hold
Analyst coverage
15
Buy conviction
40%
Mixed
Target dispersion
1%
Analyst ratings over time15 analysts rating
1
5
8
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.63 → 3.40
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-05
    Piper Sandler
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-08-05
    UBS
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-07-22
    Citigroup
    Neutral
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    22.67x
    4.61x36.85x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    16.89x
    3.86x30.86x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    12.59x
    2.86x22.90x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    4.8%
    -37.4%14.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    3.9%
    -16.7%29.2%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -1.6%
    -135.4%136.3%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    18.5%
    9.2%67.5%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    15.2%
    -29.3%20.8%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    3.12x
    0.61x4.86x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-04 data

Company Overview

Sysco Corporation operates in the distribution of food and related products, generating revenue by serving local and national customers through its U.S. Foodservice Operations segment, alongside its international business and SYGMA segment. The company supports sales with Sysco Brand products and specialty operations covering proteins, produce, equipment and supplies, and Asian foods; management believes that adding a specialty category to a customer account increases that customer's purchases, retention rate, and profitability.

In Q4 fiscal 2026, revenue exceeded $22 billion and increased 4.7%, while gross profit reached $4.1 billion, up 3.7%, and gross margin declined 17 basis points to 18.7%. Adjusted operating income reached $1.1 billion, up 4.1%, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization increased 4.7% to $1.3 billion, and adjusted earnings per share were $1.53. For fiscal 2026, adjusted earnings per share were $4.61, and free cash flow reached $2.1 billion, an increase of approximately 16%.

The growth mix in Q4 fiscal 2026 was broad: U.S. foodservice case volume increased 2.5%, with local and national cases each growing 2.6%, while international segment sales increased 6.7%, its local cases grew 4.5%, and its adjusted operating income rose 15.7%. SYGMA recorded sales growth of 3.1% and operating income growth of 11.1%, while the Sysco Brand share of local business increased 30 basis points to 46.4%. EDGAR filings for Q3 fiscal 2026 show revenue of $20.5 billion, net income of $340 million, and earnings per share of $0.71.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Sysco expects fiscal 2027 revenue growth of between 6% and 7%, bringing revenue close to $90 billion, and adjusted earnings per share of between $5.02 and $5.12, representing growth of between 9% and 11%. This guidance includes the impact of the 53rd week and assumes inflation of between 1.5% and 2% and approximately 2.5% growth in local cases in the U.S. Foodservice Operations segment.
  • The company launched an AI-supported efficiency and transformation program targeting net savings of $100 million during fiscal 2027, with an annualized value of approximately $160 million upon full implementation. Applications include improving inventory forecasting and order fill rates, updating routing software, conducting reverse auctions for indirect procurement, and improving contract drafting and profitability monitoring.
  • AI360 supported improved customer account penetration, new customer wins, and reduced customer attrition in Q4 fiscal 2026, while also identifying opportunities to add products and convert customers to Sysco Brand. The brand's share of local business increased 30 basis points to 46.4%, while value-category sales grew at four times the growth rate of the company's overall business through new cases that Sysco had not previously sold to those customers.
  • Sysco plans to acquire Jetro Restaurant Depot in a $29.1 billion transaction, targeting $250 million in procurement savings and expansion into more than 125 new regions, with the combined company's earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin expected to expand by more than 140 basis points. Restaurant Depot management reported that sales in the latest completed calendar quarter grew by approximately 4% and that operating margins were in line with expectations.
  • The international segment achieved 15.7% growth in adjusted operating income in Q4 fiscal 2026, marking the eleventh consecutive quarter of double-digit growth in this metric. The segment's adjusted operating margin exceeded 4% in fiscal 2026, compared with approximately 2% in 2022, and management expects its earnings to continue growing at a double-digit rate in fiscal 2027.
  • A report dated August 20, 2026, disclosed that D.E. Shaw held a stake in Sysco valued at more than $1 billion, adding institutional interest to the investment story. Sysco also paid $1 billion in dividends and repurchased $200 million of shares during fiscal 2026, while the board increased the quarterly dividend by $0.01 to $0.55 per share.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Sysco ended fiscal 2026 with clear operating momentum; local cases in U.S. foodservice increased 2.9% in the second half versus 0.5% in the first half, with growth reaching 2.6% in Q4 fiscal 2026. This was accompanied by 4.1% growth in adjusted operating income despite the suspension of share repurchases.
  • +The artificial intelligence program provides a measurable path to improved profitability, with targeted net savings of $100 million in fiscal 2027 and an annualized value of approximately $160 million from the identified projects. The company has already achieved a full ten-point improvement in deliveries made within the promised time window, while simultaneously reducing the cost to serve through route optimization.
  • +The planned acquisition of Restaurant Depot combines Sysco's delivery channel with a low-cost cash-and-carry model, with targeted procurement savings of $250 million and expected margin expansion of more than 140 basis points. Management expects the transaction to be accretive to earnings per share from day one, with additional opportunities not included in the transaction model, such as fulfilling urgent orders from Restaurant Depot stores.
  • +The company generates cash that supports dividends and debt reduction; free cash flow reached $2.1 billion in fiscal 2026, up 16.3%, and Sysco paid $1 billion in dividends. It also has a 57-year record of dividend increases, and the board raised the quarterly dividend to $0.55 per share.

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $84.33, within an extremely narrow range of $84 to $85, compared with the stock's 52-week range of $68.19 to $91.85; therefore, the average target is approximately 8.2% below the top of the annual range. The consensus rates the stock a “Buy,” while an August 19, 2026 report cited a forward price-to-earnings multiple of 16.1 times and a dividend yield of 2.7%; these two indicators must be weighed against the risks of leverage rising to 4.5–5.0 times, gross margin pressure, and the reliance of part of fiscal 2027 growth on the 53rd week.

BuyAnalyst target: $84.33(+1.3%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-28; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What is driving Sysco's growth in fiscal 2027?

Sysco expects revenue growth of between 6% and 7%, bringing revenue close to $90 billion in fiscal 2027, with adjusted earnings per share of between $5.02 and $5.12. The plan includes approximately 2.5% growth in local cases in the U.S. Foodservice Operations segment, inflation of between 1.5% and 2%, and the impact of the 53rd week. The company is also targeting $100 million in net savings from its AI-supported efficiency program. Management additionally expects the international segment's earnings to continue growing at a double-digit rate.

How does AI360 use artificial intelligence to increase Sysco's sales?

AI360 identifies products missing from a customer's orders and provides the salesperson with no more than three priority opportunities per day, with preapproved pricing. Management can measure the execution of these opportunities and close rates for each employee, and the company linked the tool to improved customer account penetration in Q4 fiscal 2026. The tool includes a Swap & Save feature that recommends converting the customer to a Sysco Brand product that provides savings. Sysco Brand's share of local business increased 30 basis points to 46.4% during that quarter.

What are the main benefits and risks of Sysco's acquisition of Restaurant Depot?
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −The $29.1 billion Jetro Restaurant Depot transaction creates significant financial risk, as reports indicate that leverage could rise to a range of 4.5–5.0 times, compared with a net debt ratio of 2.7 times at the end of Q4 fiscal 2026. Financing could slow dividend growth and dilute shareholders, while the pace of debt reduction has become a stated management priority.
  • −The transaction remains exposed to regulatory approval risks; Sysco received a second request for information from the Federal Trade Commission during Q4 fiscal 2026. Management maintains its expectation that the transaction will close by Q3 fiscal 2027, but the regulatory review adds uncertainty to the timing of the $250 million in procurement savings and other integration benefits.
  • −Gross margin came under pressure in Q4 fiscal 2026, declining 17 basis points to 18.7% despite gross profit growth of 3.7%. The company attributed this partly to higher fuel and inbound transportation costs and to a difficult comparison with exceptional sourcing gains in the prior-year quarter, while fuel surcharge recovery from some contracted customers is delayed by approximately 90 days.
  • −Restaurant traffic remains weak year over year, reflected in lower demand from national restaurant chains, despite growth in healthcare, travel and hospitality, and foodservice management. Fiscal 2027 guidance assumes that the economic environment and traffic conditions will remain similar to the prior year, making weakness among national restaurants a direct risk to case volumes.
  • −Fiscal 2026 revenue increased 3.9% to $84.553 billion, but net income declined to $1.757 billion and diluted earnings per share were $3.66. EDGAR data also show quarterly net income declining from $476 million in Q1 to $389 million in Q2 and then $340 million in Q3 fiscal 2026, highlighting that sales growth did not translate evenly into net income growth.
  • −Fiscal 2027 guidance includes the benefit of the 53rd week, including approximately two percentage points of revenue growth, while the $100 million in cost savings will be more concentrated in the second half. The company also suspended its annual share repurchase program because of the Restaurant Depot transaction and does not expect to resume it until leverage-reduction targets are achieved, reducing support previously available for earnings per share and shareholder returns.

The announced transaction is valued at $29.1 billion, and Sysco is targeting $250 million in procurement savings and an expansion of earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin by more than 140 basis points. The company plans to expand the Restaurant Depot model into more than 125 new regions and use the stores to fulfill some urgent orders for delivery customers. In contrast, the transaction could raise leverage to a range of 4.5–5.0 times, and its financing could include shareholder dilution. The company also received a second request for information from the Federal Trade Commission, while management continues to expect closing by Q3 fiscal 2027.

Did Sysco's international business improve in fiscal 2026?

International segment sales increased 6.7% in Q4 fiscal 2026, and local cases grew 4.5%. The segment's gross profit increased 7.3% and adjusted operating income rose 15.7%, making this the eleventh consecutive quarter of double-digit growth in adjusted operating income. Adjusted operating margin exceeded 4% in fiscal 2026, after being approximately 2% in 2022. Management expects the segment's earnings to continue growing at a double-digit rate in fiscal 2027.

What are the main pressures on Sysco's margins?

Gross margin declined 17 basis points to 18.7% in Q4 fiscal 2026, despite gross profit increasing 3.7% to $4.1 billion. The reasons included higher fuel and inbound transportation costs, in addition to a difficult comparison with exceptional sourcing gains in the corresponding quarter of fiscal 2025. Sysco had hedged approximately 80% of its bulk fuel purchases for the following fiscal year, but fuel associated with inbound transportation does not have the same protection. Fiscal 2027 guidance assumes that the fuel conditions recorded in Q4 fiscal 2026 will continue, while targeting gross margin expansion.

What is the status of Sysco's cash flow, dividends, and share repurchases?

Free cash flow reached $2.1 billion in fiscal 2026, an increase of 16.3%, and the company ended Q4 with a net debt-to-earnings ratio of 2.7 times. Sysco paid $1 billion in dividends and repurchased $200 million of shares during fiscal 2026. The board increased the quarterly dividend by $0.01 to $0.55 per share, extending a 57-year record of increases. However, the company suspended annual repurchases because of the Restaurant Depot transaction and has tied their resumption to achieving leverage-reduction targets.