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Stocks
Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc.
SWX

SWX Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc.

Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
86.11
▼ ⁦-0.91%⁩ (-0.79)
Market Cap$6.2B
Beta0.57
52w Low52w High
76.5994.47
Last Week
⁦-2.91%⁩
Last Month
⁦-4.91%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-0.12%⁩
Last Year
⁦+10.10%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall50
Balanced — near the middle of the marketMomentum TrapF 7/9DistressBetter than 50% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
42
11.4x▲17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
49
-90.2%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
40
5.2%▲4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
35
3.8x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
66
2.91%▲2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
65
18.8%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
72
5▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$86
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$103
⁦+20%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$100–$105⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$102.67
⁦+19.2%⁩
Current Price $86.11·Median $103.00
Low
$100.00
High
$105.00
Current price
$86.11
Average target
$102.67
Street summary

Price Forecast Analysis for Southwest Gas (SWX)

Southwest Gas stock shows complete stability in price targets over recent periods (1, 7, and 30 days), with the average target price stabilizing at 100.33 dollars. This consistency reflects the absence of any recent revisions by analysts, indicating a state of anticipation or conviction in the current valuation amidst a lack of new catalysts to change expectations.

As of 2026-05-22
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.13
Buy
Analyst coverage
8
Buy conviction
100%
High
Target dispersion
6%
Analyst ratings over time8 analysts rating
1
7
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.88 → 4.13
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-05-11
    Wells Fargo
    Equal-WeightOverweight· $105.00
  • = Reiterate2026-05-07
    UBS
    —· $100.00
  • = Reiterate2026-02-11
    Mizuho Securities
    —· $96.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    11.41x
    4.50x36.01x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    18.43x
    4.35x34.77x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    11.22x
    3.07x24.54x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    -8.5%
    -17.6%10.2%
    Near median
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    -90.2%
    -10.5%25.3%
    Weak
  • EPS Growth YoY
    226.8%
    -53.8%122.0%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    —
    —
  • ROIC
    5.2%
    -2.0%11.4%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    3.83x
    1.28x10.25x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    2.9%
    1.4%6.1%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    33.1%
    35.0%95.0%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    0.96
    0.573.91
    Below average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-05 data

Company Overview

Southwest Gas Holdings operates through two interconnected businesses: a regulated utility that provides natural gas service in Arizona, Nevada, and California, and Great Basin, which develops gas transmission infrastructure. The utility relies on recovering investments and costs through rate cases and regulatory recovery mechanisms, while Great Basin targets long-term growth through the 2028 expansion project and a 48-inch-diameter pipeline.

In the latest EDGAR filings provided, the company recorded revenue of $1.1 billion, gross profit of $434.3 million, equivalent to a gross margin of approximately 39.5%, net income of $289 thousand, and zero earnings per share in the third quarter of fiscal year 2024. By comparison, revenue in the second quarter of fiscal year 2024 was approximately $1.2 billion, gross profit was $577.6 million, and net income was $18.3 million, while fiscal year 2023 ended with revenue of $5.4 billion, gross profit of $2.8 billion, and net income of $150.9 million.

In the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, adjusted earnings per share from continuing operations were $0.45, compared with $0.37 in the corresponding period of fiscal year 2025, while reported earnings were $0.58 after recognizing revenue related to the California rate case. The utility's operating margin increased by $12.7 million, including $6.7 million from rate relief and $1.4 million from customer growth, but utility earnings declined slightly, while holding company performance improved due to an $8.6 million reduction in interest expense after fully repaying its outstanding holding company-level debt.

What's Driving the Stock

  • On August 5, 2026, management reaffirmed its fiscal year 2026 guidance ranges and long-term guidance, with a plan to invest approximately $1.25 billion during fiscal year 2026 and an expected compound annual growth rate for the regulated asset base of between 9.5% and 11.5% through 2030, from $6.7 billion at the end of 2025.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Great Basin increased contracted demand for the 2028 expansion project to approximately 1 billion cubic feet per day and selected a 48-inch-diameter design that allows up to 1 billion cubic feet per day of additional transmission capacity above contracted demand, with the ability to meet subsequent demand by adding compressors.
  • The estimated cost of the Great Basin 2028 expansion project increased to approximately $2.3 billion, but management expects the project to generate an additional annual margin of between $270 million and $300 million upon completion, while expressions of interest exist for an additional 1.8 billion cubic feet of capacity during the period from 2029 to 2035.
  • Regulatory decisions supported results, as the California decision provided approximately $40 million in additional annual revenue and led to the recognition of approximately $9.7 million in additional net income in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026. Nevada also preapproved the prudence of $186 million in capital investments under the triennial resource plan.
  • Cost reductions improved the quality of performance in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026; operating and maintenance expenses declined by $3.7 million, or approximately 3%, while the company ended the quarter with approximately $270 million in cash, nearly $1 billion in available liquidity, and no outstanding holding company-level debt.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The combination of rate cases in the three states and recovery mechanisms provides multiple paths to improve earned returns; the utility's return on equity was 8.1%, or 8% on an adjusted basis, compared with a weighted average authorized return of 9.89%.
    • +The Great Basin project provides clear contracted expansion beyond the traditional utility business, with firm demand of approximately 1 billion cubic feet per day and an expected additional annual margin of between $270 million and $300 million after the project enters service, targeted for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2028.
    • +Repaying holding company debt limits financing pressure on earnings; it reduced interest expense by $8.6 million year over year in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, and management plans not to issue shares during fiscal year 2026 outside the dividend reinvestment program.
    • +The capital program supports long-term regulated growth, as the company expects a compound annual growth rate for the asset base of between 9.5% and 11.5% through 2030, which could bring the system-wide asset base close to doubling by the end of 2030 if the current plan is executed successfully.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The Great Basin expansion carries significant execution and regulatory risks, as its estimated cost increased to $2.3 billion, and the additional $600 million was not yet included in the long-term outlook presented on August 5, 2026. The project also targets filing a FERC application before the end of 2026 and obtaining approval in late 2027 before entering service in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2028.
    • −The Nevada rate case settlement could fall well short of the company's request; the requested annual increase was approximately $74 million, while the average of the parties' recommendations was just under $40 million, or only approximately 52% of the request, with positions converging around a 9.3% return on equity.
    • −Improvement in the utility's returns remains dependent on regulatory outcomes that have not been fully resolved; the adjusted return on equity of 8% remains below the weighted average authorized return of 9.89%, and major cases were pending in California, Nevada, and Arizona as of August 5, 2026.
    • −Consolidated net debt increased to approximately $3.4 billion by the end of the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, and the company intends to issue $400 million of utility-level debt during the remainder of the year, while the Great Basin expansion could increase financing needs after fiscal year 2026 despite management's expectation that equity issuance needs will be limited.
    • −The utility business showed some weakness in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, as its earnings were slightly lower, and other income declined by $9.4 million due to lower interest income, weaker performance of company-owned life insurance investments, and the absence of a sale gain realized in the corresponding period, while depreciation and amortization increased by $8.7 million.
    • −The latest available EDGAR figures reflect a decline in quarterly profitability, as net income fell from $87.7 million in the first quarter of fiscal year 2024 to $18.3 million in the second quarter and then to $289 thousand in the third quarter, while gross margin declined from approximately 68.8% to 48.1% and then 39.5% across the same periods.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $102.67, within a narrow range of $100 to $105, with a consensus rating of “Buy.” The average target is approximately 8.7% above the 52-week range high of $94.47, while the annual range extends from $76.59 to $94.47. Analyst targets are supported by opportunities to improve regulated returns and the Great Basin expansion, but the increase in the project's cost to $2.3 billion and the possibility that the company will receive a smaller increase than requested in Nevada create clear sensitivity to execution and regulatory decisions.

    BuyAnalyst target: $102.67(+19.2%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is the primary growth driver for Southwest Gas Holdings through 2030?

    Growth is based on expanding the regulated asset base and the Great Basin 2028 project. The asset base was $6.7 billion at the end of 2025, and management expects a compound annual growth rate of between 9.5% and 11.5% through 2030. The company plans to invest approximately $1.25 billion during fiscal year 2026, with the system-wide asset base potentially approaching double its size by the end of 2030 if the current plan is executed.

    How important is the Great Basin expansion project to SWX stock?

    Contracted demand for the project reached approximately 1 billion cubic feet per day as of August 5, 2026, following the signing of additional prior binding agreements. The company selected a 48-inch-diameter pipeline with an estimated cost of $2.3 billion and expects an additional annual margin of between $270 million and $300 million upon completion. Management targets filing a FERC application before the end of 2026, obtaining approval in late 2027, and beginning service in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2028.

    How did Southwest Gas Holdings perform in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026?

    Adjusted earnings per share from continuing operations were $0.45, compared with $0.37 in the second quarter of fiscal year 2025, while reported earnings were $0.58. Operating margin increased by $12.7 million, supported by $6.7 million from rate relief and $1.4 million from customer growth. Operating and maintenance expenses also declined by $3.7 million, but utility earnings were slightly lower and other income declined by $9.4 million.

    What is the impact of the rate cases in California, Nevada, and Arizona?

    The California decision added approximately $40 million in annual revenue and allowed the recognition of approximately $9.7 million in net income in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026. In Nevada, the company requested an annual increase of approximately $74 million, while the average of the parties' recommendations was just under $40 million, with rates targeted to take effect in October 2026. The Arizona case targeted an effective date in April 2027, according to management's August 5, 2026 update.

    Does Southwest Gas Holdings need to issue shares to finance its plan?

    Management stated on August 5, 2026 that it does not expect to issue shares during fiscal year 2026 outside the dividend reinvestment program and that the remaining financing for the year includes issuing $400 million of utility-level debt. The company ended the quarter with approximately $270 million in cash, nearly $1 billion in available liquidity, and no outstanding holding company-level debt. However, the $600 million increase in the cost of the Great Basin expansion could raise subsequent financing needs, although management does not expect material use of the at-the-market program through 2030.

    What are the main risks to monitor for SWX?

    The first risk is executing the Great Basin project, with an estimated cost of $2.3 billion, within the FERC approval process and the targeted timeline for entering service in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2028. The second is that the parties' recommendations in the Nevada case represent only approximately 52% of the revenue increase requested by the company, which could slow the closing of the gap between the adjusted return of 8% and the weighted authorized return of 9.89%. Consolidated net debt also reached approximately $3.4 billion by the end of the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, alongside a large capital program and a planned $400 million debt issuance.