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Stocks
Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall71
Strong — clearly above market medianSuper StockF 8/9Grey zoneBetter than 71% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
68
21.8x▼17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
26
0.6%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
62
6.7%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
58
3.4x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
65
3.72%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
70
37.3%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
62
10▲3Around median
SWK

SWK Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
89.24
▲ ⁦+0.01%⁩ (+0.01)
Market Cap$13.5B
Beta1.17
52w Low52w High
61.90104.59
Last Week
⁦-7.90%⁩
Last Month
⁦-11.68%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+12.36%⁩
Last Year
⁦+17.82%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$89
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$94
⁦+5%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$84–$96⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$80
⁦-11%⁩
Sees it slightly overvalued
⁦9.6⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$80–$94⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$92.00
⁦+3.1%⁩
Current Price $89.24·Median $94.00
Low
$84.00
High
$96.00
Current price
$89.24
Average target
$92.00
Street summary

Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) Stock Price Revision Analysis

Bearish tilt

The stock has seen an upward trend in analyst revisions over the past 30 days, with the average price target rising from $86.8 to $91, an overall increase of 4.84%. Despite this positive momentum in forecasts, the current stock price of $102.64 significantly exceeds even the highest price target set by analysts ($96), indicating a clear valuation gap between current market performance and analyst estimates.

As of 2026-08-10
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+1.1%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.27
Hold
Analyst coverage
15
Buy conviction
27%
Target dispersion
13%
Analyst ratings over time15 analysts rating
4
11
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.28 → 3.27
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-07-29
    Goldman Sachs
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-05-28
    Morgan Stanley
    —· $84.00
  • = Reiterate2026-04-30
    Robert W. Baird
    —· $84.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    21.77x
    5.69x45.54x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    15.52x
    4.57x36.58x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    13.83x
    3.43x27.47x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    9.6%
    -32.7%11.5%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    0.6%
    -10.7%43.4%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    29.7%
    -128.3%132.7%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    31.9%
    8.6%54.6%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    6.7%
    -25.3%19.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    3.38x
    0.55x4.37x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    3.7%
    0.1%4.8%
    High
  • Payout Ratio
    81.0%
    6.6%80.8%
    High
  • Altman Z-Score
    2.38
    -5.667.97
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-29 data

Company Overview

Stanley Black & Decker operates through an industrial portfolio focused on the Tools & Outdoor and Engineered Fastening segments. Tools & Outdoor generates revenue from power tools, hand tools, accessories, storage solutions, and outdoor products under the DEWALT, STANLEY, and CRAFTSMAN brands, while Engineered Fastening provides fastening systems for automotive and industrial markets, including data centers and solar energy. In Q2 fiscal 2026, Tools & Outdoor revenue was approximately $3.6 billion out of consolidated revenue of $4.0 billion, demonstrating that the company’s tools and outdoor products represent its largest source of sales.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, the company recorded revenue of $4.0 billion, gross profit of $1.3 billion, net income of $351.3 million, and diluted earnings per share of $2.33, according to EDGAR data. Management reported that stated revenue was flat compared with the corresponding period, while organic revenue grew 3%, supported by volume strength across U.S. retail and commercial and industrial channels. Adjusted gross margin was 33.7%, up 620 basis points, although approximately 250 basis points of this margin came from net tariff refunds.

For the twelve months ended in 2026, revenue was $15.2 billion, gross profit was $4.9 billion, net income was $620.5 million, and earnings per share were approximately $4.12. Within Q2 fiscal 2026, Tools & Outdoor revenue increased 3% and its adjusted margin rose to 11.8%, while stated Engineered Fastening revenue declined 18% due to the sale of the aerospace fasteners business, but grew 3% organically and achieved an adjusted margin of 13%. This mix reflects a more focused company following the divestiture, with a clear improvement in operating profitability despite flat stated consolidated revenue.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The company raised and narrowed its adjusted earnings per share range for fiscal 2026 to $5.20–$5.80, representing year-over-year growth of 18% at the midpoint and a $0.20 increase from the midpoint of its previous guidance.
  • Power tools recorded organic growth of 8% in Q2 fiscal 2026, while hand tools, accessories, and storage grew 2%; this was accompanied by organic growth across all three brands, DEWALT, STANLEY, and CRAFTSMAN, and an expanded presence with distribution channel partners.
  • U.S. commercial and industrial channel sales grew at a double-digit rate in Q2 fiscal 2026, and management expects this channel to approach 10% of Tools & Outdoor sales during fiscal 2026 if organic growth reaches approximately double digits. The company links this expansion to demand from data center, power generation, and prefabrication projects, as well as its investments in project solution managers and trade specialists.
  • The company is targeting an adjusted gross margin of between 34% and 35% in both Q3 and Q4 fiscal 2026, after reaching 33.7% in Q2 fiscal 2026. It also maintained its longer-term target of 35%–37% by the end of 2028, based on productivity, tariff mitigation, and the transfer of some production of tools for the U.S. market from China to North America.
  • A news report dated August 18, 2026, stated that the company announced a $1 billion investment plan for manufacturing in the United States. This comes alongside planned growth investments of $75–$100 million during fiscal 2026, as well as additional spending funded by tariff refunds to accelerate innovation and revitalize its brands.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Profitability increased faster than revenue in Q2 fiscal 2026; stated revenue was flat and grew 3% organically, while the adjusted Tools & Outdoor margin expanded 380 basis points to 11.8% and the adjusted Engineered Fastening margin expanded 220 basis points to 13%.
  • +Organic power tools growth of 8% and double-digit growth in the U.S. commercial and industrial channel provide numerical evidence of improving demand for DEWALT and the effectiveness of the company’s investments in project sites, distribution, and new products during Q2 fiscal 2026.
  • +The company strengthened its balance sheet in Q2 fiscal 2026 by using proceeds from the sale of the aerospace fasteners business and operating cash flow to repay $1.7 billion of debt, and expects net debt to adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization to reach approximately 2.5 times by the end of fiscal 2026.
  • +Management raised its fiscal 2026 free cash flow forecast to $600–$800 million, or $800 million to $1 billion before taxes and fees related to the sale of the aerospace fasteners business. It also repurchased 3.2 million shares for $250 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, reducing the expected average share count to approximately 151 million shares during the year.

▼ Selling Case

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $91, within a target range of $84 to $96, compared with a consensus rating of Neutral. The average target is approximately 13% below the 52-week high of $104.68, and the highest target of $96 also falls short of that high. This framework reflects recognition of improved earnings and margins, but retains a degree of caution due to flat stated revenue and the reliance of part of the fiscal 2026 improvement on productivity, tariff refunds, and items below operating profit.

HoldAnalyst target: $91(+2.0%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove SWK’s results in Q2 fiscal 2026?

Revenue was $4.0 billion, net income was $351.3 million, and earnings per share according to EDGAR were $2.33 in Q2 fiscal 2026. Organic revenue grew 3%, supported by an 8% increase in power tools and double-digit growth in the U.S. commercial and industrial channel. Adjusted gross margin was 33.7%, up 620 basis points, but net tariff refunds added approximately 250 basis points to the margin. Adjusted earnings per share were $1.57, exceeding the midpoint of management’s guidance by $0.37.

What is Stanley Black & Decker’s outlook for fiscal 2026?

Management expects adjusted earnings per share of between $5.20 and $5.80 in fiscal 2026, representing 18% growth at the midpoint. It expects flat stated revenue and low-single-digit organic growth, split approximately evenly between volume and price. The free cash flow forecast ranges from $600 million to $800 million, or from $800 million to $1 billion before payments related to the sale of the aerospace fasteners business. The company is also targeting an adjusted gross margin of between 34% and 35% in the second half of fiscal 2026.

Why is DEWALT considered SWK’s most important growth driver?

Management describes DEWALT as the growth engine focused on professional users, particularly in nonresidential construction, data centers, power generation, and prefabrication. The U.S. commercial and industrial channel grew at a double-digit rate in Q2 fiscal 2026, and the company expects it to approach 10% of Tools & Outdoor sales during the year. The Perform and Protect portfolio includes more than 200 safety and productivity solutions, and the company launched DEWALT On-Demand to provide multilingual guides and resources through a QR code on the tool. The DEWALT Grow the Trades program also invested $27 million during the three years ended in 2026, with a cumulative commitment of $60 million by 2030.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

6 pts
  • −Tools & Outdoor represents approximately $3.6 billion of total Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue of $4.0 billion, or nearly 90%, making consolidated results highly sensitive to demand for tools and outdoor products and to retail and construction spending in this segment.
  • −There are clear pockets of demand weakness: organic revenue from outdoor products declined 7% in Q2 fiscal 2026 due to weather and lower restocking orders, Europe declined 2% organically amid difficult conditions in France, and management also cited disruptions related to the Middle East.
  • −Revenue growth remains limited despite improved earnings; fiscal 2026 guidance assumes flat stated revenue and low-single-digit organic growth, while Q3 fiscal 2026 sales are expected to be approximately $3.7 billion and broadly flat. Earnings progress therefore depends heavily on productivity, mix, lower interest expense, and share repurchases rather than strong stated revenue expansion.
  • −Margins remain exposed to tariffs and inflation in battery metals, tungsten, oil, and oil derivatives; management estimated both the temporary tariff tailwinds and inflationary headwinds at approximately $100 million during fiscal 2026. It also expects the underlying tariff cost to return to previous levels within months and believes price increases may become necessary by fiscal 2027.
  • −The forecast for low-single-digit organic growth in Tools & Outdoor in fiscal 2026 depends on gaining share within a market that management expects to be approximately flat or declining. Management acknowledged that consumers have become more responsive to promotions, while competitors raised prices during the first part of fiscal 2026, making growth sensitive to pricing and promotional precision and the success of product launches.
  • −The analyst consensus on SWK is Neutral, with an average target of $91 and a range of $84 to $96, while the 52-week range extends from $61.90 to $104.68. This dispersion and the absence of a Buy consensus reflect that improved margins and raised guidance have not eliminated market concerns about the sustainability of growth and the quality of the earnings increase.
Is the improvement in STANLEY and CRAFTSMAN sustainable after Q2 fiscal 2026?

The STANLEY and CRAFTSMAN brands achieved positive organic growth in Q2 fiscal 2026, alongside growth at DEWALT. Management linked STANLEY’s improvement to the brand refresh, product updates, and work with channel partners to improve in-store presentation. At CRAFTSMAN, advanced V20 batteries were well received and supported platform performance, with new products reaching shelves during the remainder of fiscal 2026. However, management maintained the second half of fiscal 2026 as the benchmark for STANLEY’s improvement and fiscal 2027 as the benchmark for consistency in CRAFTSMAN’s performance, indicating that additional periods are needed to demonstrate sustainability.

What are the main tariff and cost risks facing SWK?

The company expects Section 301 tariffs to restore the underlying tariff cost to previous IEEPA levels within months of fiscal 2026. Meanwhile, costs for battery metals, tungsten, oil, and oil derivatives are exerting pressure, and management estimated the annual inflation impact at approximately $100 million. Tariff refunds benefited the Q2 fiscal 2026 margin by approximately 250 basis points, but most of the quarterly earnings-per-share benefit of $0.17 will be reinvested, resulting in a net annual benefit of approximately $0.05. The company is working to increase compliance with USMCA and shift production of tools intended for the U.S. market from China to North America, with price increases potentially needed by fiscal 2027.