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Home
Stocks
Sunbelt Rentals Holdings Inc
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall82
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 5/8Grey zoneBetter than 82% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
80
22.0x▼17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
40
66.4%▲7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
79
8.9%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
63
2.1x▲2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
65
1.51%▼2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
65
—2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
61
5▲3Around median
SUNB

SUNB Sunbelt Rentals Holdings Inc

Sunbelt Rentals Holdings Inc · NYSE
Market Closed
72.68
▼ ⁦-0.68%⁩ (-0.50)
Market Cap$29.8B
Beta1.65
52w Low52w High
61.0386.68
Last Week
⁦+8.36%⁩
Last Month
⁦-10.18%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-6.88%⁩
Last Year
—
Fair Value
Current price$73
Analyst target · 8 analysts
$90
⁦+24%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$71–$96⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$66
⁦-10%⁩
Sees it slightly overvalued
⁦11.7⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$66–$90⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 8 analysts setting price target
$85.40
⁦+17.5%⁩
Current Price $72.68·Median $90.00
Low
$71.00
High
$96.00
Current price
$72.68
Average target
$85.40
Street summary

Slight Decline as Estimate Dispersion Widens

The consensus price target remained stable over the last day at 85.4, with the number of analysts remaining at 8. However, it decreased by 2.93, or 3.32%, compared with the 2026-09-04 snapshot, and by 1.4, or 1.61%, over 30 days compared with the 2026-08-12 snapshot. Conversely, the number of analysts included increased from one analyst to 8, making the historical comparison less consistent.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-1.6%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.00
Hold
Analyst coverage
⁦1 (+7)⁩
New coverage
Buy conviction
0%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
34%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time1 analysts rating
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.57 → 3.00
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-10
    KeyBanc
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-09-10
    Bank of America Securities
    Underperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-17
    Wells Fargo
    Overweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    21.96x
    5.69x45.54x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    —
    —
  • EV / EBITDA
    7.45x
    3.43x27.47x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    12.4%
    -32.7%11.5%
    Exceptional
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    66.4%
    -10.7%43.4%
    Exceptional
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -3.5%
    -128.3%132.7%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    32.2%
    8.6%54.6%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    8.9%
    -25.3%19.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    2.13x
    0.55x4.37x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    1.5%
    0.1%4.8%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    33.2%
    6.6%80.8%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    2.64
    -5.667.97
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-09-09 data

Company Overview

Sunbelt Rentals operates an equipment rental and specialty solutions platform through three reported businesses: North America General Tool, North America Specialty, and the UK business. It generates revenue from fleet rentals and expertise- and labor-intensive ancillary services, such as delivery, installation, power and HVAC management, water pumping, scaffolding, ground protection, and temporary fencing, as well as used equipment sales. The Power of Sunbelt strategy connects General Tool, Specialty, and modular solutions to increase its share of customer spending and sell multiple services within a single relationship.

In Q1 FY2027, ended July 31, 2026, total revenue rose 11.2% to $3.1 billion, and rental revenue grew 12.5% to $2.9 billion. Gross profit according to EDGAR data was approximately $1.2 billion, and net income was $438 million, while adjusted EPS rose 20.4% to a first-quarter record of $1.18; EPS according to EDGAR was $1.07. Adjusted operating profit increased 13.8% to $759 million, with its margin expanding 60 basis points to 24.4%.

North America General Tool revenue reached $1.7 billion, up 5.7%, while Specialty revenue jumped 24.5% to $1.1 billion, making it the fastest growth driver. The UK generated revenue of $240 million and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 25.4%. At the group level, adjusted EBITDA rose 8.7% to $1.3 billion, but its margin declined from 43.2% to 42.2% due to faster growth in ancillary services and the Specialty mix.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Management raised its FY2027 outlook after the first-quarter results and now expects total revenue growth of between 6% and 9%, rental revenue growth of between 7% and 10%, and adjusted EBITDA of between $4.92 billion and $5.12 billion. The increase reflects strength among large and strategic customers, megaproject activity, and stable local nonresidential construction markets.
  • The Specialty business grew strongly in Q1 FY2027; its revenue rose 24.5% to $1.1 billion, rental revenue increased 25.3%, and dollar utilization improved 300 basis points to 77%. Power & HVAC led growth alongside climate control, scaffolding, flooring, pumping, ground protection, and temporary fencing solutions, while the Aries acquisition added approximately 300 basis points to rental revenue growth in this business.
  • FIFA World Cup 2026 business added approximately 250 basis points to rental revenue growth in Q1 FY2027, with approximately 75% to 80% of its revenue within Specialty and the remainder within General Tool. Management stated that this business enhanced the adjusted operating profit margin, meaning its contribution was not limited to revenue growth.
  • The integration of Aries systems was completed in early August 2026, and cross-selling generated 669 opportunities with a total value of $24 million in a single quarter, of which more than $2.5 million was completed and approximately $14 million entered formal requests for proposals. Modular solutions are also present in only 14 of the company's top 50 markets, leaving room for expansion through new location openings and fleet investment.
  • The company raised its gross fleet capital expenditure guidance to a range of $2.75–$3.15 billion and net rental capital expenditure to $2.4–$2.8 billion in FY2027. Management links this increase to committed customer orders in megaprojects, Specialty, and power, and opened 13 new locations in the first quarter while targeting approximately 55 locations during the year.
  • Strong demand supported improved pricing and utilization; rental revenue grew 12.5% compared with an increase of only 2.5% in depreciation expense during Q1 FY2027. Net leverage was 1.8 times at the end of July 2026, within the long-term target range of one to two times, with liquidity of approximately $3.8 billion.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The Q1 FY2027 results show simultaneous growth in revenue, operating profit, and EPS; revenue increased 11.2%, adjusted operating profit rose 13.8%, and adjusted EPS increased 20.4%. Operating profit growing faster than revenue indicates that the company benefited from operating leverage and improved recovery of fuel and delivery costs.
  • +The Specialty business offers a higher-growth path than General Tool, with rental revenue growth of 25.3% and dollar utilization of 77% in Q1 FY2027. Although the mix of this business pressured the EBITDA margin, management said Specialty generates structurally higher returns on investment and deepens penetration of rental services among customers.
  • +The megaproject base is diversified; semiconductors represent 3% and data centers 13% of the megaproject portfolio, while 80% of projects are in preparation, ramp-up, or active phases, and most opportunities extend for at least three years. This diversity limits dependence on a single category within megaprojects, while opportunities in power, infrastructure, transportation, and entertainment facilities continue.
  • +The company has financial flexibility to fund expansion; liquidity was approximately $3.8 billion and net leverage was 1.8 times at the end of July 2026. In the same quarter, it returned $363 million to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends, while also funding organic investment and bolt-on acquisitions.

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $89.4, within a range of $80 to $96, and the stock carries a consensus “Buy” rating; the average is also slightly above the top of the 52-week range of $86.68, compared with a low of $61.03. A P/E ratio is not available in the data, so the assessment cannot be anchored to a comparable earnings multiple, while the breadth of the target range reflects meaningful disagreement over how much value to assign to the guidance increase and rapid Specialty growth versus pressure on EBITDA margins and higher capital expenditure.

BuyAnalyst target: $89.4(+23.0%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-10; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What were SUNB's key Q1 FY2027 results?

Sunbelt Rentals generated revenue of approximately $3.1 billion in Q1 FY2027, ended July 31, 2026, up 11.2%, while rental revenue increased 12.5% to $2.9 billion. Net income according to EDGAR was approximately $438 million, and gross profit was $1.2 billion. Adjusted EPS also rose 20.4% to $1.18, compared with EPS according to EDGAR of $1.07. Adjusted operating profit increased 13.8% to $759 million, and its margin expanded to 24.4%.

Why did Sunbelt Rentals raise its FY2027 guidance?

Management raised guidance after strong and broad-based growth in Q1 FY2027, particularly among large and strategic customers and in megaprojects and power. It now expects total revenue growth of between 6% and 9% and rental revenue growth of between 7% and 10%. It also raised its adjusted EBITDA forecast to $4.92–$5.12 billion, while expecting the full-year margin to remain close to the prior year. It also raised net rental capital expenditure to $2.4–$2.8 billion to fund opportunities tied to specific customer demand.

How important is the Specialty business to SUNB's growth?

North America Specialty generated revenue of $1.1 billion in Q1 FY2027, up 24.5%, and its rental revenue grew 25.3%. Dollar utilization improved 300 basis points to 77%, with strength in Power & HVAC, power management, climate control, pumping, and scaffolding. The Aries acquisition added approximately 300 basis points to rental revenue growth in the business, while its integration generated 669 cross-selling opportunities worth $24 million in a single quarter. Conversely, the business's adjusted EBITDA margin declined from 48% to 45.8% due to faster growth in labor-intensive ancillary revenue.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −Gross capital expenditure on the rental fleet nearly doubled to $759 million in Q1 FY2027, and net expenditure rose 78% to $682 million, pressuring free cash flow to $70 million. Raising annual net capital expenditure guidance to $2.4–$2.8 billion increases the risk of weak cash conversion if committed demand does not materialize or fleet utilization slows.
  • −The group's adjusted EBITDA margin declined from 43.2% to 42.2% in Q1 FY2027, while the General Tool margin fell from 52.8% to 51.5% and the Specialty margin declined from 48% to 45.8%. The company attributed most of the pressure to faster growth in ancillary revenue and higher fuel costs, but the continuation of this mix means revenue growth may not fully translate into near-term EBITDA margin expansion.
  • −Some high-demand equipment, including telehandlers, ultra-high-reach lifts, and power generators rated at 300 kilowatts or more, faces limited available production capacity among suppliers. Scarcity may support pricing and utilization, but it could constrain Sunbelt's ability to meet additional demand beyond its current allocations despite the higher capital expenditure plan.
  • −Data centers represent 13% of the megaproject portfolio, and management acknowledged restrictions or stop-work decisions at some local sites. The company does not see broad saturation because some projects began before those restrictions and because its portfolio is diversified, but broader local restrictions could delay some demand associated with data centers and power.
  • −The UK business remains less profitable than the North American businesses; it recorded revenue of $240 million in Q1 FY2027, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 25.4% and an adjusted operating profit margin of 8.3%. Although the operating profit margin improved by ten basis points and dollar utilization rose to 54%, management remains focused on measures to improve margins and return on investment in this business.
  • −Insider activity during the three months ended with the latest transaction on July 9, 2026, recorded two sales and no purchases, with net sales of $477,517.5 according to the provided data. This remains a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, and the information does not include evidence to the contrary.
How did the FIFA World Cup 2026 affect Sunbelt Rentals' results?

Management estimated that FIFA World Cup 2026 business added approximately 250 basis points to rental revenue growth in Q1 FY2027. Approximately 75% to 80% of this revenue was allocated to Specialty, while the remainder went to General Tool. Management confirmed that the impact enhanced the adjusted operating profit margin, with a negligible effect on rental pricing. This demonstrates the company's ability to combine equipment and specialty services to serve large events, but it represents a time-specific contribution that should not automatically be extrapolated to every subsequent quarter.

Is Sunbelt Rentals heavily dependent on data centers and semiconductors?

According to management's presentation on September 9, 2026, data centers represent 13% and semiconductors 3% of the megaproject portfolio, or 16% combined. The remainder of the portfolio includes diverse areas such as power, infrastructure, transportation, and entertainment facilities. In addition, 80% of megaprojects are in preparation, ramp-up, or active phases, compared with 20% in the wind-down phase. The company acknowledged stop-work decisions at some data center-related sites, but noted that a number of projects began before those restrictions took effect.

What are SUNB's key cash flow and balance sheet risks?

Free cash flow was only $70 million in Q1 FY2027 after net rental capital expenditure rose 78% to $682 million. Conversely, the company ended July 2026 with net leverage of 1.8 times and liquidity of approximately $3.8 billion, within its long-term target leverage range of one to two times. During the quarter, it issued $1.2 billion of senior unsecured notes, comprising $450 million at 4.95% and $750 million at 5.65%. Therefore, improvement in cash flow during the remainder of FY2027 depends on converting the high level of fleet investment into strong revenue and utilization as management expects.