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Stocks
Sunoco LP
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall91
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 6/8Better than 91% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
91
12.0x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
95
83.3%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
63
9.6%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
41
5.0x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
7
—2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
96
40.8%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
68
4▲3Top tier
SUN

SUN Sunoco LP

Sunoco LP · NYSE
Market Closed
77.67
▲ ⁦+1.74%⁩ (+1.33)
Market Cap$10.6B
Beta0.42
52w Low52w High
47.9878.00
Last Week
⁦+0.88%⁩
Last Month
⁦+5.56%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+10.47%⁩
Last Year
⁦+49.71%⁩
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$78
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$80
⁦+3%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$77–$83⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$197
⁦+154%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦7⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$80–$197⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$79.60
⁦+2.5%⁩
Current Price $77.67·Median $80.00
Low
$77.00
High
$83.00
Current price
$77.67
Average target
$79.60
Street summary

Upward revision of Sunoco LP price targets

Bullish tilt

Sunoco LP (SUN) stock has seen positive momentum in analyst estimates over the past thirty days, with the average price target rising from 75.33 to 79.6 dollars, an overall increase of 5.67%. This rise, which has stabilized at its current levels for a week, reflects an improvement in analysts' outlook for the stock despite the number of analysts remaining constant at two, indicating an actual upward revision of previous forecasts rather than just the entry of new coverage.

As of 2026-08-18
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+3.4%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.43
Buy
Analyst coverage
7
Buy conviction
100%
High
Target dispersion
8%
Analyst ratings over time7 analysts rating
3
4
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.38 → 4.43
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-07
    Citigroup
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-05
    Barclays
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-07-14
    Barclays
    Overweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    11.97x
    3.56x28.47x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    8.63x
    3.36x26.89x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    10.98x
    2.12x16.98x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    15.5%
    -21.0%15.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    83.3%
    -19.7%63.1%
    Exceptional
  • EPS Growth YoY
    357.0%
    -141.8%256.7%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    11.9%
    7.8%72.1%
    Weak
  • ROIC
    9.6%
    -12.7%20.6%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    5.04x
    0.40x3.19x
    High debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-04 data

Company Overview

Sunoco LP operates across four interconnected businesses: fuel distribution, pipeline systems, terminals, and refining. The company generates income from fuel distribution margins, pipeline and terminal transportation and storage fees and volumes, and refining margins at the Burnaby refinery; the NuStar, Parkland, and TanQuid acquisitions have expanded its operational footprint across the United States, Canada, the Caribbean, and Europe.

In fiscal Q2 2026, revenue was $14.3 billion, gross profit was $1.5 billion, and net income was $283 million, equivalent to a gross margin of approximately 10.5% and a net margin of approximately 2.0%. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization were $996 million after excluding approximately $14 million in one-time transaction expenses, while adjusted distributable cash flow was $608 million.

Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization in fiscal Q2 2026 were distributed across $516 million for fuel distribution, $190 million for pipeline systems, $115 million for terminals, and $175 million for refining. Fuel distribution volumes increased to 4.1 billion gallons, pipeline throughput reached 1.3 million barrels per day, and terminal throughput was 1.1 million barrels per day, while the refining business processed 57 thousand barrels per day at a margin exceeding $40 per barrel and operating expenses below $10 per barrel.

What's Driving the Stock

  • On August 4, 2026, Sunoco raised its fiscal 2026 adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization guidance range by $400 million to $3.5–$3.7 billion, supported by the performance of all four segments and value realization from recent acquisitions.
  • Fuel distribution volume in fiscal Q2 2026 grew 89% year over year and 9% from the previous quarter to 4.1 billion gallons, while the per-gallon margin increased to $0.171 from $0.105 a year earlier, lifting the segment's adjusted earnings to $516 million from $214 million a year earlier.
  • Adjusted earnings from the refining segment increased to $175 million in fiscal Q2 2026 from $43 million in the previous quarter, with throughput rising to 57 thousand barrels per day following planned turnaround maintenance and the refining margin reaching more than $40 per barrel.
  • On August 11, 2026, Sunoco announced a plan to acquire Offen for $600 million to expand its fuel distribution network, while management confirmed that it expects to exceed its $500 million annual target for additional acquisitions in fiscal 2026.
  • TanQuid assets supported 52% year-over-year growth in terminal throughput to 1.1 million barrels per day, while management said that contributions from the Parkland acquisition and integration synergies are ahead of schedule, and leverage declined to approximately 3.7 times, below the long-term target of 4 times.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Sunoco's diversification across fuel distribution, pipelines, terminals, and refining provides multiple sources of earnings; the four segments collectively generated $996 million in adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization in fiscal Q2 2026.
  • +Adjusted distributable cash flow was $608 million in fiscal Q2 2026, and the trailing twelve-month distribution coverage ratio was 2.1 times, with the quarterly distribution announced on July 27, 2026 increasing by more than 10% compared with fiscal Q2 2025.
  • +Liquidity of $2.3 billion under the revolving credit facility, together with leverage of 3.7 times and below the long-term target, provides capacity to fund acquisitions, organic projects, and distribution increases.
  • +The company is targeting quick-return organic projects that include adding fuel distribution customers, building tanks in South America, the Caribbean, and Europe, and connecting new customers to pipelines, alongside acquisitions that management aims to execute at mid-single-digit multiples after synergies.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus on SUN is neutral, with an average price target of $79.6 and a target range of $77 to $83. The average target and the highest target exceed the 52-week range high of $78.11 by a limited margin, suggesting that the rerating case depends on demonstrating the sustainability of the $3.5–$3.7 billion adjusted earnings guidance and successfully integrating acquisitions, while refining margin volatility and lower quarterly profitability remain offsetting factors.

HoldAnalyst target: $79.6(+2.5%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove Sunoco's results in fiscal Q2 2026?

Sunoco generated revenue of $14.3 billion and net income of $283 million in fiscal Q2 2026. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization were $996 million after excluding approximately $14 million in one-time transaction expenses. Fuel distribution contributed $516 million and refining contributed $175 million, while pipelines and terminals added $190 million and $115 million, respectively.

What is Sunoco's outlook for fiscal 2026?

On August 4, 2026, Sunoco raised its adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization guidance range by $400 million to $3.5–$3.7 billion. Management said that all four segments are performing at strong levels and that fuel distribution is expected to deliver second-half performance similar to the first half. The width of the range primarily reflects uncertainty related to refining margins, for which the company initially based its assumptions on the forward curve.

How are acquisitions affecting Sunoco's growth?

Management said that contributions from the Parkland acquisition and integration synergies are ahead of schedule, while TanQuid also supported a 52% year-over-year increase in terminal throughput in fiscal Q2 2026. On August 11, 2026, Sunoco announced a plan to acquire Offen for $600 million to expand its fuel distribution network. Management expects to exceed its $500 million annual target for additional acquisitions during fiscal 2026, directing capital toward fuel distribution and midstream infrastructure across several geographic regions.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Gross profit declined from $1.7 billion in fiscal Q1 2026 to $1.5 billion in Q2, and net income fell from $644 million to $283 million despite revenue increasing from $10.7 billion to $14.3 billion; the comparison includes the first quarter's benefit from the 7-Eleven payment and a one-time inventory gain of $92 million.
  • −A significant portion of the fiscal 2026 guidance increase depends on volatile refining performance; management acknowledged that forecasting refining margins is not an exact science and that the $3.5–$3.7 billion range was initially based on the forward refining margin curve, after the second quarter benefited from a margin exceeding $40 per barrel.
  • −Demand signals were mixed; U.S. demand for refined products was approximately flat year over year, while gasoline demand in Canada declined by a low- to mid-single-digit percentage, and persistently higher fuel prices could pressure volumes, the octane mix, or distribution margins.
  • −The pace of acquisitions increases execution, integration, and capital allocation risks, as Sunoco aims to exceed $500 million in additional transactions in fiscal 2026 and announced a separate plan to acquire Offen for $600 million, following the NuStar, Parkland, and TanQuid acquisitions.
  • −Cash tax expenses increased during the first half of fiscal 2026 due to strong performance, particularly in the legacy Parkland operations and the refining business, although management expects second-half expenses to be lower than in the first half.
  • −The neutral analyst consensus reflects caution regarding risk-adjusted returns; the average target of $79.6 is only slightly above the 52-week range high of $78.11, while the narrow target range extends from $77 to $83.
  • Are Sunoco's distributions covered by cash flow?

    Adjusted distributable cash flow was $608 million in fiscal Q2 2026, and the trailing twelve-month coverage ratio reached 2.1 times. On July 27, 2026, the company announced a distribution of slightly more than $1 per common unit and per share of SunocoCorp. This represented a quarterly increase of 1.25% and an increase exceeding 10% compared with fiscal Q2 2025, while reaffirming a multi-year growth target of at least 5%.

    What are the main operational risks facing SUN?

    Refining remains the most volatile source, as its adjusted earnings increased from $43 million in fiscal Q1 2026 to $175 million in Q2 due to a margin exceeding $40 per barrel. Gasoline demand in Canada also declined by a low- to mid-single-digit percentage, and higher fuel prices could pressure distribution margins or consumer behavior. The plan to acquire Offen for $600 million, following the NuStar, Parkland, and TanQuid transactions, adds execution and integration risks despite leverage declining to 3.7 times.

    What is the analyst outlook for SUN stock?

    The analyst consensus on SUN is neutral, not buy, and the average price target is $79.6. Targets range from $77 to $83, a relatively narrow range that reflects closely aligned estimates. The average target is slightly above the 52-week range high of $78.11, so the justification for a higher valuation depends more on sustainable earnings and successful acquisitions than on a significant expansion in the target range.