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Stocks
Stellantis N.V.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall6
Poor — bottom quartile of the marketValue TrapF 3/9Better than 6% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
57
—17.6xAround median
▸
Growth
21
—7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
26
—4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
36
—2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
6
—2.15%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
5
-46.8%▼2.3%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
43
5▲3Around median
STLA

STLA Stellantis N.V.

Stellantis N.V. · NYSE
Market Closed
4.82
▼ ⁦-4.55%⁩ (-0.23)
Market Cap$14.0B
Beta0.99
52w Low52w High
4.7612.22
Last Week
⁦-10.74%⁩
Last Month
⁦-5.86%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-27.41%⁩
Last Year
⁦-49.95%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$4.82
Analyst target · 8 analysts
$6.35
⁦+32%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$4.00–$9.00⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 8 analysts setting price target
$6.43
⁦+33.4%⁩
Current Price $4.82·Median $6.35
Low
$4.00
High
$9.00
Current price
$4.82
Average target
$6.43
Street summary

STLA Price Targets Decline and Negative Tone Intensifies

Bearish tilt

The average price target fell to 6.43 from 6.83 over the last 7 days, and to 6.43 from 7.13 over 30 days, a decline of 5.86% and 9.82%, respectively, while the number of analysts remained at 8. The range is between 4 and 9, while the median is 6.35; this reflects clear divergence in estimates, although both the average and median are above the current price of 5.11.

As of 2026-09-15
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-9.8%⁩
Average rating
★ 2.60
Hold
Analyst coverage
10
Buy conviction
30%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 1↓
Target dispersion
104%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time10 analysts rating
1
2
3
4
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.63 → 2.60
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-09-14
    Morgan Stanley
    Equal-WeightUnderweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-26
    TD Cowen
    Hold
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-08-07
    Bernstein
    Market PerformUnderperform
Premium content
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

Stellantis N.V. manufactures and sells vehicles through a portfolio that includes Ram, Jeep, Chrysler, Fiat, Peugeot, Citroën, Opel, DS, and Lancia, alongside Leapmotor. Its revenue and profitability depend on shipment volumes, model and powertrain mix, pricing, and factory and procurement efficiency, with operations in North America, Europe, South America, the Middle East and Africa, and Asia Pacific. In Q2 FY2026, consolidated shipments reached 1.6 million vehicles, up 10%, while net revenues reached €43.5 billion, up 13%, driven particularly by a 122 thousand-vehicle increase in North American volume.

Q2 FY2026 delivered adjusted operating income of €773 million, up €560 million, and an adjusted operating margin of 1.8% following a year-over-year improvement of 120 basis points. Industrial free cash flow was €1 billion, an improvement of €1 billion, but net profit of €293 million fell short of analysts' expectations of €464 million. Regionally, adjusted operating income was €284 million in North America with a 1.6% margin, negative €94 million in Europe, €402 million in South America, €329 million in the Middle East and Africa, and €27 million in Asia Pacific.

EDGAR filings reveal a sharp deterioration before the operational improvement recorded in Q2 FY2026; FY2025 revenue declined to $153.5 billion from $156.9 billion in FY2024 and $189.5 billion in FY2023. Gross profit swung from $20.5 billion in FY2024 to a gross loss of $2.1 billion in FY2025, while net income shifted from a profit of $5.5 billion to a loss of $22.3 billion, and loss per share reached $7.75. Therefore, the Q2 FY2026 results represent the beginning of an operational recovery from a weak base, not a complete return to FY2023 profitability levels, when net income reached $18.6 billion.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Stellantis sales in North America increased 6% in Q2 FY2026, marking the fourth consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth, while market share increased 40 basis points in the region and 50 basis points in the United States. Ram sales grew 12% and Chrysler sales grew 54%, while the Ram 1500 became a key driver of volume and profitability following the reintroduction of the HEMI V8 engine, and its share of the light-duty truck segment exceeded 20% in July 2026.
  • The new product cycle supports the future mix; the company launched the Ram 1500 TRX SRT, DS #7, and Fiat Grande Panda with an internal combustion engine during the first half of FY2026, alongside six refreshed vehicles, and plans nine additional new or refreshed vehicles during the same year. Management says SRT models generate margins two to three times those of comparable non-SRT versions, with the Ram 1500 TRX SRT being shipped and the Ram Rumble Bee being launched during FY2026.
  • Sales of Stellantis brands in Europe increased 3% in Q2 FY2026, and 7% including Leapmotor. Battery electric vehicle sales increased 20%, or 61% with Leapmotor, while Leapmotor sales increased sixfold and it became the fifth-largest Chinese automotive brand in the region; however, its margins are below the European average despite its positive contribution to profitability.
  • Industrial cost reductions delivered a positive impact exceeding €1.9 billion in Q2 FY2026, including procurement and material savings, manufacturing and logistics improvements, and the non-recurrence of European recall campaign costs. The VCP program targets an annualized cost reduction of €6 billion by FY2028, with 40% of initiatives implemented by the end of FY2026 and a €2.4 billion benefit to adjusted operating income during FY2027.
  • Management reaffirmed FY2026 guidance and its expectation of achieving positive industrial free cash flow in FY2027, but second-half performance will be concentrated in Q4. The company expects Q3 FY2026 to be affected by summer production shutdowns and raw material inflation, while Q4 is expected to benefit from higher volume and accelerating VCP initiatives.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Operational recovery indicators in Q2 FY2026 showed simultaneous improvement in revenue, shipments, margin, and cash flow; revenue increased 13%, shipments rose 10%, the adjusted operating margin improved 120 basis points, and industrial free cash flow turned positive at €1 billion.
  • +Execution efficiency and quality are improving from a weak base; production efficiency increased 870 basis points in North America and 170 basis points in Europe, while quality during the first three months of service improved by 38% and 24%, respectively. This could reduce warranty and campaign costs, two of the largest factors identified by management for the recovery of the North American margin.
  • +The new product cycle offers an opportunity to improve volume and mix, particularly the Ram 1500 equipped with the HEMI V8 engine, Ram 1500 TRX SRT, Jeep Recon BEV, and Jeep Grand Wagoneer REV. This is supported by Ram growth of 12% and Chrysler growth of 54% in North America during Q2 FY2026, alongside 61% growth in European electric vehicle sales including Leapmotor.
  • +The VCP program provides a clear numerical path to earnings improvement, as management expects the full estimated savings of approximately €2.4 billion to flow through to adjusted operating income in FY2027, reaching an annualized cost reduction of €6 billion in FY2028. Material and procurement savings and quality improvements are the largest expected benefits for the recovery of North American profitability.

Valuation

The analyst consensus reflects a Neutral rating and an average price target of $7.13, within a wide range of $4 to $9, indicating significant divergence in estimates of the speed and profitability of the recovery. Both the average target and the highest target remain below the 52-week range high of $12.22, while the range extends down to $5.05, and no usable price-to-earnings ratio is available because of the FY2025 loss of $22.3 billion; therefore, the re-rating depends more on proving the sustainability of margins and cash flow than on a historical earnings multiple.

HoldAnalyst target: $7.13(+47.9%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What improved in Stellantis's results during Q2 FY2026?

Net revenues reached €43.5 billion, up 13%, while shipments increased 10% to 1.6 million vehicles. Adjusted operating income rose to €773 million, and its margin improved 120 basis points to 1.8%. Industrial free cash flow also turned positive at €1 billion, but net profit of €293 million remained below analysts' expectations of €464 million.

Why is North America pivotal to STLA's recovery?

Regional sales increased 6% in Q2 FY2026, market share rose 40 basis points, and shipments grew 38%. The Ram 1500 equipped with the HEMI V8 engine drove the volume improvement, while Ram sales increased 12% and Chrysler sales increased 54%. Nevertheless, adjusted operating income was only €284 million and the margin was 1.6%, so management is focusing on reducing material and warranty costs and improving quality.

How important is the VCP program to Stellantis's earnings?

VCP targets an annualized cost reduction of €6 billion by FY2028 through direct materials, manufacturing, and logistics. The company intends to implement 40% of the identified initiatives by the end of FY2026. Management expects these initiatives to add €2.4 billion to adjusted operating income in FY2027, with the full savings flowing through to adjusted operating earnings.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −Annual results deteriorated sharply through FY2025; revenue fell from $189.5 billion in FY2023 to $153.5 billion, while net income swung from a profit of $18.6 billion to a loss of $22.3 billion. Gross profit also turned into a loss of $2.1 billion, and loss per share reached $7.75, illustrating that the required recovery extends beyond improvement in a single quarter.
  • −Operating profitability remains fragile despite volume growth; the adjusted operating margin was only 1.8% in Q2 FY2026, while the North American margin was 1.6% despite a 38% increase in shipments. Net profit of €293 million also fell short of analysts' expectations of €464 million, revealing persistent cost and quality gaps and weak operating leverage.
  • −The company faces direct pressure from tariffs, raw materials, and supply chains; FY2026 guidance assumes net tariff expenses of between €1 billion and €1.2 billion. Management also expects raw material inflation to intensify in the second half and a shortage of memory chips, with Q3 FY2026 affected by summer production shutdowns.
  • −Total inventory increased 20% year over year to 1.4 million vehicles, while U.S. dealer inventory reached 390 thousand vehicles in June 2026 after increasing by 70 thousand since January 2026. Although management attributed the increase to product launches and preparation for summer shutdowns and expects inventory to decline to approximately 365 thousand vehicles by the end of July 2026, the need to clear inventory alongside model-year transitions could pressure pricing and working capital cash flow.
  • −Europe recorded negative adjusted operating income of €94 million in Q2 FY2026, with adverse pricing accounting for a significant portion of the €456 million decline in net pricing across the group. Leapmotor, despite being profitable and increasing sales sixfold, also carries margins below the European average, while management described competition in South America as increasing.
  • −The guidance entails near-term weakness and execution risks; volume in the second half of FY2026 will be lower as inventory is reduced, capital expenditure will increase by more than €1 billion compared with the first half, and cash flow will absorb approximately €2 billion of payments associated with second-half FY2025 charges. Improvement depends on performance being concentrated in Q4 FY2026 and an acceleration of VCP, while high-volume product launches extend into the end of FY2027 and the beginning of FY2028.
Are the new products sufficient to restore growth?

During the first half of FY2026, Stellantis launched the Ram 1500 TRX SRT, DS #7, and Fiat Grande Panda with an internal combustion engine, in addition to six refreshed vehicles. It plans nine other new or refreshed vehicles during FY2026, including the Jeep Recon BEV, Jeep Grand Wagoneer REV, and Ram Rumble Bee. Management says SRT versions generate margins two to three times those of comparable non-SRT versions, but additional high-volume products will not reach the market before the end of FY2027 and the beginning of FY2028.

What are the main pressures expected in the second half of FY2026?

The guidance assumes net tariff expenses of between €1 billion and €1.2 billion, alongside intensifying raw material inflation and a shortage of memory chips. Management expects volume to decline as inventory is reduced, with Q3 FY2026 affected by summer production shutdowns, followed by improved performance in Q4. Capital expenditure in the second half will also be more than €1 billion higher than in the first half, while payments associated with second-half FY2025 charges will continue.

What does the valuation outlook for STLA shares look like according to analyst consensus?

The consensus rating is Neutral, with an average price target of $7.13, a low target of $4, and a high target of $9. Both the average target and the high target are below the 52-week range high of $12.22, while the range low is $5.05. No meaningful price-to-earnings ratio is available following a net loss of $22.3 billion and a loss per share of $7.75 in FY2025, making proof of the operational recovery essential to the valuation.