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Stocks
Stagwell Inc.
STGW

STGW Stagwell Inc.

Stagwell Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
8.60
▲ ⁦+0.35%⁩ (+0.03)
Market Cap$2.1B
Beta1.23
52w Low52w High
4.299.55
Last Week
⁦-2.38%⁩
Last Month
⁦-6.22%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+16.37%⁩
Last Year
⁦+55.23%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall90
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 6/8DistressBetter than 90% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
74
129.9x▼17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
63
6.4%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
60
4.4%4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
50
5.1x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
85
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
94
63.4%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
40
5▲3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Current price$8.60
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$8.00
⁦-7%⁩
See it slightly overvalued
Range ⁦$8.00–$8.00⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$9.23
⁦+7%⁩
Sees it undervalued
⁦9.9⁩% discount · ⁦3⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$8.00–$9.23⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Monthly plan
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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$8.00
⁦-7.0%⁩
Current Price $8.60·Median $8.00
Low
$8.00
High
$8.00
Street summary

Target Holds Steady as Analyst Coverage Declines

The consensus price target remained unchanged at $8 over 1 day, 7 days, and 30 days, with the high, low, and median remaining at the same level. Compared with the current price of $8.67, the stated target reflects a negative margin of approximately 7.7%. However, the number of analysts fell from 3 to 1 analyst over the last day and last month, which weakens the strength of the conclusion and makes measuring estimate dispersion limited; the current data show no spread among the targets.

As of 2026-09-08
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.88
Buy
Analyst coverage
8
Buy conviction
75%
High
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time8 analysts rating
1
5
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.88 → 3.88
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-07-31
    B. Riley
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-06-29
    Needham
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-03-11
    Craig-Hallum
    Buy· $8.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    129.86x
    4.21x33.71x
    Very expensive
  • Forward P/E
    7.49x
    3.09x24.70x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    11.80x
    2.57x20.60x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    11.7%
    -33.4%21.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    6.4%
    -16.2%48.2%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    1463.5%
    -464.8%138.2%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    35.8%
    11.3%77.5%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    4.4%
    -33.6%17.7%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    5.07x
    0.60x5.67x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    1.12
    -8.274.77
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

Stagwell Inc. (STGW) operates as a technology-driven marketing and communications services group, combining creativity, digital transformation, public relations, media buying, and enterprise marketing products. Its business is divided into five operating segments; in Q2 fiscal 2026, net revenue was approximately $243 million for Marketing Services, approximately $155 million for Media & Commerce, approximately $112 million for Communications, approximately $107 million for Digital Transformation, and approximately $27 million for Marketing Cloud. The company is also seeking to add recurring technology revenue through products such as The Machine, SATS, The Media Machine, and Stagwell Curate, while marketing services continue to represent the largest part of the mix.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, revenue increased 11% to approximately $786 million, while net revenue grew 6% to $632 million, with organic revenue growth of 10% and organic net revenue growth of 5%, the strongest rates in six quarters. Adjusted EBITDA rose 15% to $108.7 million, and its margin expanded 143 basis points to 17.2%, while adjusted earnings per share increased 39% to $0.25. In contrast, EDGAR data show revenue of $786.3 million and gross profit of $269.2 million, equivalent to a gross margin of approximately 34.2%, with an accounting net loss of $8.1 million.

On a trailing twelve-month basis in fiscal 2026, Stagwell recorded revenue of approximately $3.0 billion, gross profit of approximately $1.1 billion, and net income of $16.2 million. This reveals an important gap between the strong improvement in adjusted EBITDA and adjusted earnings per share and limited accounting profitability, as net income remains small relative to revenue. Digital Transformation and Communications were the main growth drivers in Q2 fiscal 2026, with organic net revenue growth of 18% and 12%, respectively, while Marketing Services grew only 0.5% and Media & Commerce grew 1%.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Net new business reached a record $171 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, up 45% from the comparable quarter, with wins including assignments from IBM, Adobe, Visit California, Hershey, Mondelez, Heineken, Haier Europe, Allwyn, Navy Federal Credit Union, and Allegiant Airlines; management expects the cumulative opportunity pipeline at year-end to be approximately 30% higher than the prior year.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Digital Transformation net revenue grew organically by 18% to $107 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, and the segment achieved a margin of 30%, its highest since the merger. Management explained that approximately 75% of programming work is now completed using an agentic approach, supporting execution speed and cost efficiency in Code and Theory services related to clients' transition toward artificial intelligence.
  • Contracted enterprise technology revenue reached $16 million during the first half of fiscal 2026, with an opportunity pipeline exceeding an additional $16 million, putting the company on track to exceed its initial bookings target of $25 million. The product suite includes The Machine, The Knowledge Machine, The Targeting Machine, and The Media Machine, in addition to SATS, which is built on Palantir Foundry.
  • Communications net revenue grew organically by 12% to $112 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, accelerating by approximately 700 basis points from the previous quarter. Management expects a stronger contribution from the November 2026 midterm election business, alongside a recovery in public relations work and reduced attrition among small clients.
  • Stagwell raised its adjusted earnings per share guidance range for fiscal 2026 to $1.03–$1.17, while maintaining its outlook for net revenue growth of 8%–12%, adjusted EBITDA of $475–$525 million, and free cash flow conversion of 50%–60% of adjusted EBITDA. The increase in earnings per share guidance primarily reflects the repurchase of 14.4 million shares for $88 million during the first half, rather than purely operational improvement.
  • The company has implemented annualized savings of approximately $70 million since April 2025 and is targeting $80–$100 million by the end of fiscal 2026. Employee costs as a percentage of net revenue declined 280 basis points to 60.9%, while payroll, cash, and expense automation platforms are targeted to save more than 25,000 productive hours per month.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Q2 fiscal 2026 combines broad-based organic growth with margin expansion; all five operating segments achieved organic growth, and adjusted EBITDA increased 15% as its margin improved to 17.2%.
    • +The record $171 million in net new business and contracts with brands such as IBM, Adobe, Hershey, and Mondelez provide a potential foundation for continued growth as new assignments begin to scale during the second half of fiscal 2026 and fiscal 2027.
    • +Digital Transformation features a combination of high organic growth of 18% and a strong margin of 30%, while contracted enterprise technology revenue and its opportunity pipeline exceeded $32 million combined during the first half of fiscal 2026.
    • +Cost savings and share repurchases support adjusted earnings per share growth; shares outstanding declined 6.4% year over year to 244.4 million shares by the end of Q2 fiscal 2026, and adjusted earnings per share rose 39% to $0.25.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Despite strong adjusted metrics, Stagwell recorded an accounting net loss of $8.1 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, while trailing twelve-month net income was only $16.2 million on revenue of approximately $3.0 billion; therefore, the quality of adjusted EBITDA conversion into net income remains a key financial risk.
    • −Net leverage was 3.04 times at the end of Q2 fiscal 2026, with $360 million drawn on the credit facility, and the plan to reduce it to the mid-2-times range by year-end depends on improved cash flows in the second half. The free cash flow conversion target of 50%–60% of adjusted EBITDA also remains tied to seasonality and increased election communications activity.
    • −Growth is uneven across segments; Marketing Services net revenue grew organically by only 0.5% and Media & Commerce by 1% in Q2 fiscal 2026, compared with 18% for Digital Transformation and 12% for Communications. As a result, the group's acceleration depends heavily on the continued strength of two segments and on the successful scaling of new creative assignments in subsequent periods.
    • −Achieving net revenue growth guidance of 8%–12% in fiscal 2026 requires strong organic execution, because management explained that acquisitions were limited during the first half and that the vast majority of second-half growth will be organic. Investment in sales teams and technology products, alongside expected capital expenditure at a level close to the prior year, adds execution risk before opportunity pipelines convert into actual revenue.
    • −The average analyst target is $8, approximately 16% below the 52-week range high of $9.55, while no stated price-to-earnings ratio is available despite a market capitalization of $2.2 billion. Weak accounting net income limits the ability to value the stock using a reliable traditional earnings multiple, even with improved adjusted earnings per share.
    • −Net insider selling during the three months ending with the latest transaction on July 31, 2026, totaled approximately 524,520 shares, with one sale transaction and no purchases recorded. This is a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, and the available information does not establish the motivation for the transaction.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus rates STGW a “Buy,” with an average target of $8, while the highest and lowest targets both stand at $8; this target is below the 52-week range high of $9.55 and above its low of $4.29. No stated price-to-earnings ratio is available, which is consistent with limited trailing twelve-month net income of $16.2 million compared with revenue of $3.0 billion, so a significant portion of the company's valuation depends on adjusted earnings, margin expansion, and successful conversion into cash flow. Raising adjusted earnings per share guidance to $1.03–$1.17 supports the positive view, but management explained that share repurchases were a major reason for the increase, requiring the effect of the lower share count to be separated from the underlying operational improvement.

    BuyAnalyst target: $8(-7.0%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-01; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove STGW's results in Q2 fiscal 2026?

    Stagwell's revenue increased 11% to approximately $786 million, and net revenue grew 6% to $632 million in Q2 fiscal 2026. Digital Transformation led the performance, with organic net revenue growth of 18% to $107 million and a margin of 30%, while Communications grew 12% to $112 million. Cost control helped increase adjusted EBITDA by 15% to $108.7 million and expand its margin by 143 basis points to 17.2%. However, EDGAR data recorded an accounting net loss of $8.1 million for the same period.

    How does Stagwell use artificial intelligence in its products and operations?

    Stagwell integrates artificial intelligence into products such as The Machine, SATS, The Media Machine, and Stagwell Curate, while SATS was built on Palantir Foundry. During the first half of fiscal 2026, the company recorded $16 million in contracted enterprise technology revenue, with an opportunity pipeline exceeding an additional $16 million and an initial bookings target of $25 million. Management reported on the July 30, 2026 call that approximately 75% of programming is now completed using an agentic approach. Payroll, cash, and expense automation is also targeted to save more than 25,000 productive hours per month.

    What is Stagwell's outlook for fiscal 2026?

    The company expects net revenue growth of 8%–12% and adjusted EBITDA of between $475 million and $525 million in fiscal 2026. It also targets free cash flow conversion equal to 50%–60% of adjusted EBITDA, with the expected cash flow improvement depending on seasonality and the strength of communications activity in the second half. Management raised the adjusted earnings per share range to $1.03–$1.17, explaining that share repurchases completed during the first half were a major reason for the increase. It also expects net revenue to accelerate to double-digit growth in the second half, led by Digital Transformation and Communications.

    Why are new business wins important for STGW stock?

    Net new business reached $171 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, the highest level in the company's history and 45% above the comparable quarter. New or expanded assignments included IBM, Adobe, Visit California, Hershey, Mondelez, Heineken, Haier Europe, Allwyn, Navy Federal Credit Union, and Allegiant Airlines. Management expects the cumulative opportunity pipeline at year-end to be approximately 30% higher than the prior year. However, some assignments require time to begin and scale, so the company expects the impact of several wins to become more evident in fiscal 2027.

    Have Stagwell's cash flow and balance sheet improved?

    Operating cash flow reached $63.7 million during the first half of fiscal 2026, up $9 million, or 16%, from the comparable period. At the end of Q2, net leverage was 3.04 times, and the amount drawn on the credit facility reached $360 million, with $374 million of unused borrowing capacity. Management is targeting an end to fiscal 2026 with net leverage in the mid-2-times range and also expects deferred acquisition consideration to decline from approximately $57 million to a minimal level by year-end. Achieving these targets depends on strong second-half cash flow alongside balancing share repurchases, capital expenditure, and acquisitions.

    How do share repurchases affect STGW's earnings?

    Stagwell repurchased approximately 5.9 million shares at an average of $6.22 per share during Q2 fiscal 2026. During the entire first half, it purchased 14.4 million shares for $88 million at an average of $6.10, reducing shares outstanding by 6.4% year over year to 244.4 million shares. The lower share count, alongside EBITDA growth, helped increase adjusted earnings per share by 39% to $0.25 in the quarter. Management also confirmed that repurchase activity was a major factor behind raising adjusted earnings per share guidance for fiscal 2026 to $1.03–$1.17.