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Stocks
Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc.
SSD

SSD Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc.

Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
173.49
▲ ⁦+0.61%⁩ (+1.06)
Market Cap$7.1B
Beta1.31
52w Low52w High
156.32213.49
Last Week
⁦-1.90%⁩
Last Month
⁦-12.51%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-8.48%⁩
Last Year
⁦-11.97%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall70
Strong — clearly above market medianContrarianF 6/9SafeBetter than 70% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
58
18.9x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
39
6.5%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
83
15.0%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
87
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
45
0.67%▼2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
41
2.5%▼2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
37
33Bottom tier
Fair Value
Current price$173
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$217
⁦+25%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$212–$220⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$136
⁦-21%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦10.2⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$136–$217⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$216.25
⁦+24.6%⁩
Current Price $173.49·Median $216.50
Low
$212.00
High
$220.00
Current price
$173.49
Average target
$216.25
Street summary

Price Target Revision Analysis for Simpson Manufacturing (SSD)

SSD stock saw a slight improvement in its average price target over the past thirty days, with the consensus rising from $214.75 to $216.25, an increase of 0.7%. Despite this rise in targets, the latest analyst ratings from institutions such as UBS and Stephens & Co at the end of July 2026 were Neutral/Hold, reflecting a state of anticipation and caution regarding immediate price momentum despite the positive gap between the current price ($196.48) and the lowest price target ($212).

As of 2026-08-04
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.80
Buy
Analyst coverage
5
Buy conviction
60%
Mixed
Target dispersion
5%
Analyst ratings over time5 analysts rating
1
2
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.80 → 3.80
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-07-28
    UBS
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-07-28
    Stephens & Co.
    Cautious
  • = Reiterate2026-04-29
    D.A. Davidson
    —· $212.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    18.94x
    4.94x39.51x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    18.27x
    3.70x29.59x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    11.80x
    2.62x20.92x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    6.6%
    -21.3%8.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    6.5%
    -21.2%90.4%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    16.7%
    -249.5%198.4%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    45.7%
    7.6%58.9%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    15.0%
    -52.6%20.2%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    0.7%
    0.2%5.5%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    12.7%
    4.7%147.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    6.75
    -11.4212.56
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-27 data

Company Overview

Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. produces engineered solutions for the construction sector, including connectors, fasteners, fastening solutions, and wood and concrete construction products, along with software, equipment, and design services aimed at component manufacturers. Revenue comes from residential and commercial markets, OEM, national retail, and component manufacturers; the company supports its products with engineering testing, field support, and code compliance. In fiscal Q2 2026, wood construction product sales were approximately 6.1% higher than in the comparable period, while concrete construction product sales increased 7.4%.

In fiscal Q2 2026, revenue increased 6.3% year over year to $671.1 million, driven by approximately 5% from pricing actions, 1% from sales mix, and 1% from foreign currency, offset by an approximately 1% decline in volume. North America accounted for $522.3 million in sales, up 6%, while Europe generated $143.5 million, up 7.6% and 4.9% in local currency; European volume increased approximately 3%. Across operating markets, component manufacturer volumes grew at a mid-single-digit rate and OEM business volumes at a high-single-digit rate, while residential and commercial activity volumes declined slightly.

Gross profit in fiscal Q2 2026 was approximately $318.2 million, with a 47.4% margin that increased 100 basis points, while operating income reached $169.1 million at a 25.2% margin, compared with 22.2% in the comparable period. The operating margin benefited by approximately 100 basis points from a $5.5 million eminent domain settlement, so the improvement was not entirely recurring operationally. Net income increased to $127.0 million and diluted earnings per share to $3.09, compared with $103.5 million and $2.47, while adjusted EBITDA rose 22.6% to $196.1 million at a 29.2% margin.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Pricing actions implemented in 2025 represented the largest growth driver in fiscal Q2 2026, adding approximately $34 million to consolidated sales and approximately $30 million to North American sales, while helping lift the gross margin to 47.4%.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • The component manufacturer business continued to gain customers and a larger share of connector spending, with its volumes growing at a mid-single-digit rate in fiscal Q2 2026 and at a high-single-digit rate since the beginning of fiscal 2026. The company intends to launch the complete Cornerstone solution at the BCMC show in fall 2026, combining production, design, and project management software to support the addition of more customers.
  • OEM business volumes increased at a high-single-digit rate in fiscal Q2 2026, supported by material handling and fastening solutions, engineered applications, and expanded customer relationships. The company also strengthened its mass timber opportunity pipeline through project specifications and wins on several projects in North America and Europe, while execution timing remained variable.
  • Europe recorded revenue growth of 7.6% to $143.5 million in fiscal Q2 2026, and its operating margin rose to a record 13.7% from 11.7%. The improvement came from approximately 3% volume growth, pricing, improved cost absorption, and operational footprint optimization initiatives, bringing the segment closer to its medium-term target of 15%.
  • Liquidity supported substantial capital allocation during fiscal 2026; the company generated $250.6 million in operating cash flow, spent $98.7 million on share repurchases, and repaid $30 million on its credit facility through June 30, 2026. On July 23, 2026, the board increased the repurchase authorization to $200 million, with $76.8 million remaining available through the end of fiscal 2026.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Fiscal Q2 2026 results demonstrated Simpson's ability to convert pricing and expense control into faster earnings growth; against revenue growth of 6.3%, operating income increased 20.6% and net income rose to $127.0 million from $103.5 million.
    • +The component manufacturer and OEM businesses provide two sources of growth that outpace the weak residential market; the former recorded mid-single-digit growth and the latter high-single-digit growth in fiscal Q2 2026 volumes, with continued customer gains and accelerating truss plate sales within the component manufacturer business.
    • +European performance improved materially, with segment operating income rising 25.7% to $19.7 million in fiscal Q2 2026 and its margin reaching a record 13.7%, while the company continued to target 15% over the medium term.
    • +The company ended June 30, 2026, with net cash of $113.8 million after accounting for $450.5 million in cash and $336.7 million in debt. It also reduced inventory by $80.7 million since December 31, 2025, and retained $555.8 million of available borrowing capacity, supporting flexibility for investment and capital returns.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Simpson's results depend heavily on North American construction, which represented $522.3 million of the $671.1 million in fiscal Q2 2026 sales, while management expects U.S. housing starts to decline at a low-single-digit rate during fiscal 2026. Residential activity volumes were slightly lower, and management expects a notable decline in single-family housing starts, making weak housing demand a direct volume risk.
    • −Management warned on July 27, 2026, that revenue and profitability growth in the second half of fiscal 2026 would not continue at the same rate after lapping most of the 2025 price increases. Pricing's contribution to growth is expected to decline from approximately five or six points to approximately one point, with full-year operating margin guidance of 19.7% to 20.5% and gross margin expected to be slightly below fiscal 2025.
    • −Margins face pressure from higher steel prices, constrained availability, tariffs, and increased depreciation; management said the impact of these pressures would become more pronounced in the second half of fiscal 2026. Gallatin facility startup costs also totaled approximately $1.5 million, or 20 basis points of gross margin, in fiscal Q2 2026, despite improving from the previous quarter.
    • −Global volume declined 1.6% during the twelve months ended fiscal Q2 2026, compared with only a 0.6% decline in U.S. housing starts, meaning performance was approximately 100 basis points weaker than the market benchmark. Even after accounting for the impact of exiting certain businesses in 2025, fiscal 2026 volumes through the end of Q2 remained down approximately 1%, while commercial activity remained down at a low-single-digit rate.
    • −Competitors in the fasteners market are using lower prices to hinder Simpson from winning new business, according to management on the July 27, 2026 call. Although the company relies on differentiation, testing, and load ratings, it acknowledged that pricing challenges prevented it from capturing some opportunities it had expected to win.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $216.25, within a narrow range of $212 to $220, and the stock carries a consensus “Buy” rating. The average target is only approximately 1.3% above the 52-week range high of $213.49, while the range low is $156.32; the consensus therefore assumes the stock will return to levels slightly above its annual high, despite management's warning of slowing growth and margin pressure in the second half of fiscal 2026.

    BuyAnalyst target: $216.25(+24.6%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove SSD's growth in fiscal Q2 2026?

    Revenue increased 6.3% to $671.1 million, with pricing actions implemented in 2025 responsible for approximately five percentage points of growth. Sales mix and foreign currency each added approximately one percentage point, while an approximately 1% volume decline reduced part of the gains. Gross profit increased 8.6% to $318.2 million, while diluted earnings per share reached $3.09.

    How important is Cornerstone to Simpson's growth?

    Cornerstone is the complete software solution that Simpson plans to launch at the BCMC show in fall 2026. It combines production, design, and project management software within a cloud platform aimed at component manufacturers. This business recorded mid-single-digit volume growth in fiscal Q2 2026, and management said the software upgrade could open access to larger customers, but its expected impact will be gradual over years rather than an immediate jump in a single quarter.

    Can Simpson sustain its fiscal Q2 2026 margins?

    Gross margin was 47.4% and operating margin was 25.2% in fiscal Q2 2026, but the operating margin benefited by approximately 100 basis points from a $5.5 million eminent domain settlement. Management expects the fiscal 2026 gross margin to be slightly below fiscal 2025 and set the full-year operating margin range at 19.7% to 20.5%. Expected pressures in the second half of fiscal 2026 are related to higher steel prices, tariffs, mix, increased depreciation, and the diminishing impact of pricing.

    What does demand look like across Simpson's different markets?

    In fiscal Q2 2026, component manufacturer volumes grew at a mid-single-digit rate, and OEM volumes increased at a high-single-digit rate. In contrast, residential and commercial activity volumes declined slightly, while national retail posted a slight increase. Management expects U.S. housing starts to decline at a low-single-digit rate in fiscal 2026, compared with European growth ranging from flat to modestly higher.

    What is SSD's balance sheet and share repurchase position?

    On June 30, 2026, Simpson had $450.5 million in cash and $336.7 million in debt, equivalent to net cash of $113.8 million. It generated $250.6 million in operating cash flow during fiscal 2026, repurchased $98.7 million of shares, and repaid $30 million on its credit facility. On July 23, 2026, the board increased the repurchase authorization to $200 million, with $76.8 million remaining available through the end of fiscal 2026.

    What are the main risks to SSD stock in fiscal 2026?

    The primary operating risk is weak construction, as management expects U.S. housing starts to decline at a low-single-digit rate during fiscal 2026, with a larger decline in single-family housing. It also expects pricing's contribution to second-half growth to decline from approximately five or six points to approximately one point, alongside higher steel prices and tariffs. Additional risks include pressure from lower-priced competitors in fasteners and a 1.6% decline in global volume during the twelve months ended fiscal Q2 2026, compared with a 0.6% decline in U.S. housing starts.

    −
    Net insider activity during the three months ended with the latest transaction on August 4, 2026, was the sale of 156,496 shares, with one sale and no purchases recorded. This remains a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, and the data contains nothing proving otherwise.