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Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc.
SRPT

SRPT Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc.

Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
20.45
▼ ⁦-0.34%⁩ (-0.07)
Market Cap$2.2B
Beta0.20
52w Low52w High
14.6825.32
Last Week
⁦-11.05%⁩
Last Month
⁦+19.03%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+22.68%⁩
Last Year
⁦+1.14%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall59
Balanced — near the middle of the marketF 4/9Better than 59% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
45
—17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
20
-20.4%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
51
-5.6%▼4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
43
—2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
92
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
57
-16.4%▼2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
82
12▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Current price$20
Analyst target · 13 analysts
$25
⁦+22%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$14–$35⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 13 analysts setting price target
$24.43
⁦+19.5%⁩
Current Price $20.45·Median $25.00
Low
$14.00
High
$35.00
Current price
$20.45
Average target
$24.43
Street summary

A slight decline and divergence in SRPT price targets

The average price target stood at $24.43 over the last 7 days, with no change in the number of analysts, which remains at 13. However, over 30 days it declined from $25.11 to $24.43, a decrease of 2.71%, indicating a limited easing in the overall outlook. Targets range from $14 to $35, with a median of $25, reflecting clear divergence in estimates compared with the current price of $20.52.

As of 2026-09-10
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-2.7%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.04
Hold
Analyst coverage
24
Buy conviction
33%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
103%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time24 analysts rating
8
11
3
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.04 → 3.04
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-09
    Benchmark
    Sell
  • = Reiterate2026-09-08
    Jefferies
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-09-08
    H.C. Wainwright
    Sell
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    —
    —
  • Forward P/E
    21.08x
    4.64x37.16x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • FCF Yield
    -5.5%
    -138.2%7.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    -20.4%
    -56.9%93.8%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -96.3%
    -160.1%130.2%
    Below average
  • Gross Margin
    99.8%
    12.8%90.7%
    Exceptional
  • ROIC
    -5.6%
    -155.3%16.0%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-05 data

Company Overview

Sarepta Therapeutics is a biopharmaceutical company specializing in rare diseases, with its commercial operations focused on Duchenne muscular dystrophy. The company generates revenue from four approved therapies, including the gene therapy ELEVIDYS and its PMO exon-skipping therapy franchise, which includes EXONDYS 51, AMONDYS 45, and VYONDYS 53. It also recorded collaboration and contract manufacturing revenue related to its partnership with Roche. It uses cash flows from these products to fund RNA interference programs targeting FSHD and DM1, alongside its Huntington's disease program.

In Q2 FY2026, total revenue was $401 million, down 34% year over year, due to lower net product revenue, particularly from ELEVIDYS. Net product revenue was $329 million, comprising $231 million from the PMO franchise and $98 million from ELEVIDYS, while collaboration and other revenue was $73 million and consisted primarily of contract manufacturing for Roche. Gross margin on net product revenue was 75%, and the company recorded GAAP operating income of $13 million and adjusted operating income of $86 million.

The company ended Q2 FY2026 with $945 million in cash and investments, an increase of $197 million from the previous quarter, including the collection of a $40 million commercial milestone payment related to Roche. During the first half of FY2026, total net product revenue was $659 million and total revenue exceeded $1.13 billion, while GAAP operating income was $372 million. This profitability represents a significant turnaround from a net loss of $713.4 million in FY2025, although Q2 results included a $39 million litigation provision for the potential settlement of patent claims.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Sarepta narrowed its FY2026 net product revenue guidance to a range of $1.2 billion to $1.3 billion and identified the midpoint of the range as an appropriate reference, compared with the original range of $1.2 billion to $1.4 billion. In contrast, it raised its collaboration and other revenue guidance to a range of $550 million to $600 million, an increase of $75 million at the midpoint of the previous range, driven by higher contract manufacturing revenue.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • ELEVIDYS showed sequential improvement in enrollment forms during Q2 FY2026, with treatment sites returning and interest emerging from new referral sites. Most enrollment forms in that quarter were submitted by physicians who had interacted with the sales team during the previous 90 days, and a meaningful portion appeared within 30 days of the interaction. However, the company expects most of the revenue impact from this activity to occur during FY2027 because the treatment journey typically takes approximately six months.
  • The PMO franchise provides a more stable revenue base, generating $231 million in Q2 FY2026 compared with $98 million for ELEVIDYS. More than 1,800 patients worldwide have been treated with the company's exon-skipping therapies, with adherence rates exceeding 90%, while September 19, 2026, marks ten years since the U.S. approval of EXONDYS 51.
  • The company expects to report interim results during the second half of FY2026 from the multiple ascending-dose studies of its FSHD and DM1 programs. The FSHD study will assess safety, drug concentration, DUX4-related biomarkers, and an initial functional assessment, while the DM1 study will assess DMPK reduction and splicing correction, alongside safety and muscle concentration.
  • Sarepta aims to complete enrollment of approximately 25 non-ambulatory participants in cohort 8 of the ENDEAVOR study by the end of FY2026, with 12-week data expected in Q1 FY2027. The study is assessing whether administering sirolimus for 14 days before the ELEVIDYS infusion and continuing it for 12 weeks afterward can reduce acute liver injury. The Food and Drug Administration has also set February 28, 2027, as the target decision date for the applications to convert AMONDYS 45 and VYONDYS 53 to traditional approval.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The core business demonstrated its ability to generate cash despite the decline in ELEVIDYS; cash and investments increased by $197 million during Q2 FY2026 to $945 million, and the core business generated more than $240 million during the first half after excluding $250 million in collaboration payments to Arrowhead.
    • +Cost restructuring and portfolio prioritization reduced adjusted research and development and selling, general, and administrative expenses by 44% year over year in Q2 FY2026 and by 66% in the first half, helping generate adjusted operating income of $86 million for the quarter and $484 million for the first half.
    • +Sarepta's model combines a PMO franchise with stable demand and adherence rates exceeding 90% with experimental growth opportunities in FSHD, DM1, and Huntington's disease. The single ascending-dose studies showed increasing muscle exposure with higher doses and no dose-limiting toxicity, according to management's presentation on August 5, 2026.
    • +Cohort 8 data could address a central component of ELEVIDYS's risk profile in non-ambulatory patients, while ESSENCE data and real-world evidence support the applications to convert AMONDYS 45 and VYONDYS 53 to traditional approval. The 12-week data expected in Q1 FY2027 and the regulatory decision date of February 28, 2027, provide clear milestones for evaluating progress.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The commercial business presented in Q2 FY2026 depends entirely on Duchenne muscular dystrophy therapies, with $231 million of the $329 million in net product revenue concentrated in the PMO franchise and $98 million in ELEVIDYS. Financial performance therefore remains exposed to any deterioration in demand, safety, or regulatory status for this limited group of therapies.
    • −Total revenue declined 34% year over year in Q2 FY2026, and first-half revenue fell 17%, primarily due to lower ELEVIDYS revenue resulting from weak demand. The company expects ELEVIDYS revenue in Q3 FY2026 to be lower than in Q2 and total net product revenue in the second half to be modestly below the first half.
    • −Management narrowed FY2026 net product revenue guidance from a range of $1.2 billion to $1.4 billion to a range of $1.2 billion to $1.3 billion, after previously indicating that results were trending toward the low end. The expected increase in contract manufacturing revenue will also be offset by a roughly equivalent increase in the cost of goods sold for Roche, limiting its impact on profitability.
    • −The exon-skipping therapies face potential competition, including the possible entry of a competing exon 51-targeted therapy during FY2027. Management believes the impact may not appear until later in FY2027 because of reimbursement and patient support requirements, but the presence of a competitor remains a threat to the market share of a franchise that generated $231 million in Q2 FY2026.
    • −ELEVIDYS's safety and regulatory profile remains a material risk because acute liver injury is a known risk of adeno-associated virus-based gene therapy, and cohort 8 is still generating data in non-ambulatory patients. The limb-girdle muscular dystrophy gene therapy program is also subject to a clinical hold, and discussion of its path toward a biologics license application will depend on cohort 8 data and consultation with the Food and Drug Administration.
    • −

    Valuation

    The consensus average analyst price target is $25.11, within a wide range of $14 to $35, with a consensus Buy recommendation; the average is close to the upper end of the stock's 52-week range of $25.32, while the lower end of that range is $14.68. The wide dispersion of targets reflects substantial differences in assessments of the sustainability of the Duchenne muscular dystrophy franchise and the success of the RNA interference programs, and the price-to-earnings ratio does not provide a stable basis for valuation despite trailing 12-month net income in FY2026 turning positive at $65.1 million after a loss of $713.4 million in FY2025.

    BuyAnalyst target: $25.11(+22.8%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-01; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What did Sarepta achieve in Q2 FY2026?

    Total revenue was $401 million in Q2 FY2026, down 34% year over year. Products generated $329 million, divided between $231 million from the PMO franchise and $98 million from ELEVIDYS, while collaboration and contract manufacturing added $73 million. Gross margin on net product revenue was 75%, and the company recorded GAAP operating income of $13 million and adjusted operating income of $86 million.

    Why did Sarepta lower its FY2026 product revenue guidance range?

    The company narrowed its net product revenue guidance to a range of $1.2 billion to $1.3 billion, compared with the previous range of $1.2 billion to $1.4 billion. ELEVIDYS revenue in the first half benefited from patients who entered the treatment process after the label expansion in late FY2024, while the second half reflects a period when enrollment forms were lower before the commercial team expansion was completed. Management expects ELEVIDYS revenue in Q3 FY2026 to be lower than in Q2, with most of the impact from improved enrollment forms expected to appear during FY2027.

    How important are ELEVIDYS and the PMO franchise to Sarepta's revenue?

    ELEVIDYS generated revenue of $98 million in Q2 FY2026, while the PMO franchise generated $231 million. More than 1,800 patients worldwide have been treated with the company's exon-skipping therapies, and adherence rates exceed 90%. Sarepta is working to support ELEVIDYS demand by expanding outreach to physicians and centers, but the typical period from enrollment form to infusion is approximately six months and may vary among patients.

    What are the main clinical and regulatory catalysts for SRPT stock?

    Sarepta expects to announce interim results from its FSHD and DM1 programs during the second half of FY2026, focusing on safety, muscle exposure, reductions in DUX4 or DMPK, and molecular biomarkers. It aims to complete enrollment in cohort 8 of the ENDEAVOR study by the end of FY2026 and then present 12-week data in Q1 FY2027. The Food and Drug Administration has also set February 28, 2027, as the target decision date for converting the approvals of AMONDYS 45 and VYONDYS 53 from the accelerated pathway to traditional approval.

    What are the key risks to monitor at Sarepta?

    Q2 FY2026 revenue declined 34% year over year due to lower net product revenue, particularly from ELEVIDYS as a result of weak demand. ELEVIDYS remains exposed to the risk of acute liver injury associated with the gene therapy class, while cohort 8 is still testing whether sirolimus improves the safety profile in non-ambulatory patients. The PMO franchise faces potential competition in exon 51 therapy during FY2027, while the FSHD, DM1, and Huntington's disease programs remain in early clinical stages and have not yet demonstrated definitive functional benefit.

    The FSHD, DM1, and Huntington's disease programs remain experimental and have not demonstrated definitive functional outcomes; the early FSHD study is not designed to establish definitive functional benefit during a six-month follow-up period because the disease progresses slowly. The accelerated approval option could also change if a competing program receives traditional approval, while decisions to advance to pivotal studies will depend on safety, tissue concentration, and the degree of molecular target reduction.