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Home
Stocks
Spire Inc.
SR

SR Spire Inc.

Spire Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
80.20
▼ ⁦-1.56%⁩ (-1.27)
Market Cap$4.8B
Beta0.56
52w Low52w High
73.9195.31
Last Week
⁦-3.10%⁩
Last Month
⁦-1.04%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-4.12%⁩
Last Year
⁦+4.75%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall90
Excellent — top fifth of the marketContrarianF 6/9Better than 90% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
85
9.2x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
57
0.3%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
66
11.1%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
78
0.1x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
79
3.92%▲2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
44
7.1%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
78
6▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$80
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$96
⁦+20%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$85–$103⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$250
⁦+211%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦8⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$96–$250⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$96.20
⁦+20.0%⁩
Current Price $80.20·Median $96.00
Low
$85.00
High
$103.00
Current price
$80.20
Average target
$96.20
Street summary

Spire (SR) Price Target Analysis

Bullish tilt

Spire stock has shown complete stability in analyst targets over the past thirty days, with the average price target holding at $96.2, representing a clear price premium over the current price of $82.54. Data indicates institutional optimism supported by positive ratings from Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo with an "Overweight" rating, noting that the lowest price target ($85) still exceeds the current market price.

As of 2026-08-27
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.70
Buy
Analyst coverage
10
Buy conviction
60%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
22%
Analyst ratings over time10 analysts rating
1
5
4
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.70 → 3.70
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-21
    Morgan Stanley
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-07-22
    Morgan Stanley
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-05-21
    Morgan Stanley
    —· $96.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    9.18x
    4.50x36.01x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    16.70x
    4.35x34.77x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    5.77x
    3.07x24.54x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    12.4%
    -17.6%10.2%
    Exceptional
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    0.3%
    -10.5%25.3%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    93.8%
    -53.8%122.0%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    49.9%
    9.8%69.4%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    11.1%
    -2.0%11.4%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.08x
    1.28x10.25x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    3.9%
    1.4%6.1%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    35.9%
    35.0%95.0%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-05 data

Company Overview

Spire Inc. is an energy utility company that, following the acquisition of Spire Tennessee and the divestitures of Spire Marketing and Spire Storage, has become fully focused on regulated activities. Its business model consists of gas utilities and an FERC-regulated pipeline, with earnings growth opportunities primarily coming from infrastructure investment, expansion of the rate base on which returns are calculated, and cost recovery through regulated rate mechanisms in Missouri, Alabama, Gulf, and Tennessee. The company aims to complete the sale of Spire Mississippi in fiscal Q1 2027, further concentrating the portfolio and reducing earnings volatility associated with non-core activities.

In fiscal Q3 2026, Spire recorded an adjusted loss from continuing operations of $15 million, or $0.26 per share, compared with an adjusted loss of $13 million, or $0.29 per share, in the comparable period. The Gas Utilities segment recorded an adjusted loss of $3 million, improving from a loss of $10 million, due to new rates in Missouri and Alabama and higher weather-adjusted usage in Alabama, while other activities recorded an adjusted loss of $12 million versus $3 million because of higher corporate and interest costs. Earnings from discontinued operations also totaled $253.8 million, including an after-tax gain of $254.6 million from the sale of the businesses.

According to the latest EDGAR filings provided in the context, fiscal Q1 2025 revenue was approximately $762.2 million, and gross profit was $419.6 million, representing a calculated gross margin of approximately 55.1%, while net income was $95 million and earnings per share were $1.54. For fiscal 2025, the company generated revenue of $2.5 billion, gross profit of $1.5 billion, net income of $271.7 million, and earnings per share of $4.37. Fiscal Q3 2026 results show that the regulated utilities segment improved, but higher losses from other activities kept the quarterly continuing-operations result negative.

What's Driving the Stock

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

On August 5, 2026, management reaffirmed its adjusted earnings per share range from continuing operations of $3.90–$4.10 for fiscal 2026 and $5.40–$5.60 for fiscal 2027, along with a long-term adjusted earnings per share growth target of 5%–7% from a $5.75 baseline.
  • An $11.2 billion ten-year capital plan supports expected regulated rate base growth of approximately 7% in Missouri and 7.5% in Tennessee, and 6% growth in regulated equity in Alabama and Gulf. Spire invested approximately $600 million during the first nine months of fiscal 2026, with expected spending of approximately $800 million for the full fiscal 2026 year.
  • Spire Tennessee requested a $14 million revenue increase in its first annual review filed on May 20, 2026, based on an allowed return on equity of 9.8% and a rate base of $1.5 billion as of December 31, 2025. The company expects the new rates to take effect on October 1, 2026.
  • Spire requested recovery of approximately $21 million in interest revenue associated with infrastructure investments in Missouri and expects the new rates to take effect in November 2026. It also plans to file its first Missouri rate case using a future test year in early November 2026, and management views fiscal 2028 as an acceleration year supported by recovery of regulatory lag.
  • The company completed the sales of Spire Marketing and Spire Storage during fiscal Q3 2026, generating an after-tax gain of $254.6 million. The shift to a fully regulated portfolio is intended to reduce earnings volatility, while the integration of Spire Tennessee continues with a target of exiting transition services during fiscal 2027.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The shift to regulated utilities and an FERC-regulated pipeline enhances earnings visibility, and the adjusted Gas Utilities loss improved to $3 million in fiscal Q3 2026 from $10 million in the comparable period due to new rates in Missouri and Alabama.
    • +The $11.2 billion capital plan and the rate base expected to grow by approximately 7% in Missouri and 7.5% in Tennessee provide quantitative support for the long-term adjusted earnings per share growth target of 5%–7%.
    • +Management reaffirmed its fiscal 2026 and fiscal 2027 guidance and indicated that its fiscal 2028 outlook is at the high end of the 5%–7% growth range relative to the fiscal 2027 baseline of $5.75, supported by the future test-year rate case in Missouri.
    • +The company expects to fund most of its capital program through operating company debt and operating cash flows, limiting the need for annual equity issuance, and it uses a $375 million interest rate hedge portfolio to mitigate the impact of higher borrowing costs.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Following the sales of Spire Marketing and Spire Storage, the growth thesis depends entirely on regulated businesses, increasing the sensitivity of results to regulatory decisions and the timing of investment recovery in a limited number of states. This risk is evident in the requested returns on equity of 10.5% for Spire Alabama and 10.75% for Spire Gulf, compared with recommendations from some intervenors of returns between 8% and 9%.
    • −The Missouri agreement regarding the Accounting Authority Order did not recognize or recover margins lost because of lower weather-related usage and did not establish the regulatory asset included in the original request. Therefore, improved revenue recovery remains dependent on reaching a permanent solution through the future rate case, and not all parties signed the agreement.
    • −Continuing operations remained loss-making in fiscal Q3 2026, with an adjusted loss of $15 million versus $13 million in the comparable period. The loss from other activities increased to $12 million from $3 million, while operations and maintenance expenses rose by approximately $4 million because of higher bad debt, alongside depreciation, tax, and interest pressures.
    • −The ratio of funds from operations to debt is 13% after including Spire Tennessee on a trailing twelve-month basis, below the company's 14%–15% target, which it does not expect to reach before the end of 2028. Management also described fiscal 2026 as a transition year for credit metrics because of acquisitions and divestitures, while the large capital program depends partly on operating company debt.
    • −The analyst consensus on the stock is Neutral rather than Buy, with targets ranging from $85 to $103, a spread that reflects material uncertainty regarding the value of the regulated transformation and the execution of growth. The average target of $96.2 is also only slightly above the upper end of the 52-week range of $95.31, limiting the rerating potential suggested by this reference alone.
    • −Net insider activity during the three months ending with the latest transaction on June 11, 2026, was negative $228,229.22, despite two purchases versus one sale and an overall signal classified as Neutral. This remains a weak standalone trading signal because insider sales may be prearranged unless the disclosure states otherwise.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $96.2, within a wide range of $85 to $103, with a Neutral consensus; the average is slightly above the 52-week high of $95.31, while the highest target exceeds that high. A price-to-earnings ratio is not available in the provided data, so the valuation assessment depends primarily on Spire's ability to deliver its targeted earnings per share growth of 5%–7% and improve its funds-from-operations-to-debt ratio from 13% to 14%–15% by the end of 2028, while accounting for regulatory decision risks and the quarterly loss from continuing operations.

    HoldAnalyst target: $96.2(+20.0%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-02; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is changing Spire's business model in fiscal 2026?

    Spire completed the sales of Spire Marketing and Spire Storage in fiscal Q3 2026 and recorded an after-tax gain of $254.6 million. At the same time, it continues to integrate Spire Tennessee following the acquisition, with a target of exiting transition services during fiscal 2027. As a result, the company has become focused on regulated gas utilities and an FERC-regulated pipeline, while aiming to complete the sale of Spire Mississippi in fiscal Q1 2027.

    What is Spire's earnings per share guidance for fiscal 2026 and fiscal 2027?

    On August 5, 2026, management reaffirmed adjusted earnings per share guidance from continuing operations of $3.90–$4.10 for fiscal 2026. It also maintained the fiscal 2027 range of $5.40–$5.60, while using an original midpoint of $5.75 as the baseline for its long-term growth target. The long-term adjusted earnings per share growth target is 5%–7%, and management said the fiscal 2028 outlook will be issued during the year-end call in November 2026.

    How do Spire's investments support earnings growth?

    Spire's capital plan totals $11.2 billion over ten years, and the company spent approximately $600 million in the first nine months of fiscal 2026. It expects to spend approximately $800 million for the full fiscal 2026 year on system and infrastructure modernization and connecting new business. Management links these investments to regulated rate base growth of approximately 7% in Missouri and 7.5% in Tennessee, in addition to 6% growth in regulated equity in Alabama and Gulf.

    How important is Spire Tennessee to the company's results?

    On May 20, 2026, Spire Tennessee filed its first annual review, requesting a $14 million revenue increase. The request is based on an allowed return on equity of 9.8%, a capital structure consisting of 49% equity and 51% debt, and a rate base of $1.5 billion as of December 31, 2025. The company expects the new rates to take effect on October 1, 2026, while targeting completion of key integration milestones and an exit from transition services during fiscal 2027.

    What are the main regulatory risks facing Spire?

    In Alabama, Spire requested an adjusted return on equity of 10.5% for Spire Alabama and 10.75% for Spire Gulf, while recommendations from some intervenors ranged between 8% and 9%. In Missouri, the Accounting Authority Order agreement did not compensate for margins lost because of weather, instead focusing on developing a permanent solution to improve the weather normalization mechanism. Recovery of approximately $21 million in interest revenue and expectations for acceleration in fiscal 2028 also depend on executing Missouri rate actions according to regulatory schedules.

    What did fiscal Q3 2026 results show?

    Spire recorded an adjusted loss from continuing operations of $15 million, or $0.26 per share, compared with $13 million, or $0.29 per share, in the comparable period. The Gas Utilities loss improved to $3 million from $10 million due to new rates in Missouri and Alabama, but the loss from other activities increased to $12 million from $3 million. Operations and maintenance expenses rose by approximately $4 million because of bad debt, while earnings from discontinued operations totaled $253.8 million as a result of an after-tax gain on sale of $254.6 million.