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Home
Stocks
Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall90
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 6/8Better than 90% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
82
14.4x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
53
59.3%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
85
16.0%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
80
0.6x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
27
—2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
52
50.2%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
87
10▲3Top tier
SQM

SQM Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A.

Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. · NYSE
Market Closed
69.88
▼ ⁦-3.60%⁩ (-2.61)
Market Cap$20.0B
Beta1.00
52w Low52w High
40.5898.00
Last Week
⁦-13.20%⁩
Last Month
⁦-3.55%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-16.86%⁩
Last Year
⁦+53.01%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$70
Analyst target · 6 analysts
$94
⁦+35%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$82–$104⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$137
⁦+96%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦8.8⁩% discount · ⁦7⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$94–$137⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 6 analysts setting price target
$93.33
⁦+33.6%⁩
Current Price $69.88·Median $94.00
Low
$82.00
High
$104.00
Current price
$69.88
Average target
$93.33
Street summary

SQM Stock Price Revision Analysis

Bullish tilt

SQM stock has seen a notable positive shift in analyst estimates over the past thirty days, with the average price target jumping by 14.52% to reach $93.33 compared to $81.5 at the end of July. This upward adjustment reflects growing confidence in the stock's performance, supported by Citigroup's upgrade of the stock rating from 'Neutral' to 'Buy' on August 27, 2026, indicating positive momentum in the outlook of major institutions.

As of 2026-08-31
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+14.5%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.56
Buy
Analyst coverage
18
Buy conviction
50%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
1↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
31%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time18 analysts rating
3
6
8
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.56 → 3.56
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-08-27
    Citigroup
    NeutralBuy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-24
    Scotiabank
    Sector Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-07-15
    Goldman Sachs
    Neutral
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    14.38x
    4.94x39.51x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    10.02x
    3.70x29.59x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    7.38x
    2.62x20.92x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    9.7%
    -21.3%8.9%
    Exceptional
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    59.3%
    -21.2%90.4%
    Strong
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -11.3%
    -249.5%198.4%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    41.9%
    7.6%58.9%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    16.0%
    -52.6%20.2%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.59x
    0.22x3.72x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-19 data

Company Overview

Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. operates under the ticker SQM in the production and sale of lithium, iodine, and specialty plant nutrition products. Lithium supplies come from the Novandino Litio operations in Chile and Covalent Lithium in Australia, while the company has four iodine-producing operations. Revenue is therefore linked to sales volumes and prices for lithium, iodine, and plant nutrition products, with partial diversification between strategic minerals and specialty chemicals.

In Q2 FY2026, revenue reached $2.47 billion, exceeding analyst expectations by 10.3%, and net income reached $660 million, up 646.4%. For H1 FY2026, the company recorded revenue of $4.2285 billion, net income of $1.0247 billion, and earnings per share of $3.59. Gross profit reached $2.0386 billion, equivalent to a gross margin of 48.2% versus 26.7% in the comparable period.

Lithium drove the results through record quarterly sales exceeding 84 thousand metric tons of lithium carbonate equivalent from Chile and Australia, with prices rising during Q2 FY2026. Iodine delivered strong performance supported by demand and prices, while specialty plant nutrition also benefited from higher prices and volumes. This recovery follows the decline in FY2024 revenue to $4.5 billion from $7.5 billion in FY2023 and $10.7 billion in FY2022.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Q2 FY2026 revenue exceeded analyst expectations by 10.3% and reached $2.47 billion, while H1 FY2026 net income increased by 353.5% to $1.0247 billion.
  • SQM recorded record quarterly sales exceeding 84 thousand metric tons of lithium carbonate equivalent and expects global lithium demand to exceed 2.1 million metric tons during FY2026.
  • Novandino Litio expects to produce between 280 thousand and 290 thousand metric tons of lithium carbonate equivalent in FY2026, then approach production capacity of 300 thousand metric tons in FY2027.
  • SQM and its partner Wesfarmers approved an expansion of the Mount Holland mine and concentrator to double the spodumene concentrate production capacity attributable to SQM's share to approximately 350 thousand tons annually, targeting first production in H1 FY2030.
  • The company expects to produce approximately 15,500 metric tons of iodine in FY2026 and is also targeting an increase of approximately 10% in specialty plant nutrition sales volumes compared with FY2025.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Q2 FY2026 showed a clear operational recovery, as record lithium sales were accompanied by higher prices and the H1 gross margin reached 48.2% versus 26.7% in the comparable period.
  • +The iodine and specialty plant nutrition businesses provide diversification beyond lithium; the company produces iodine from four operations and expects approximately 10% growth in plant nutrition sales volumes during FY2026.
  • +Increasing Novandino Litio production to 280–290 thousand metric tons in FY2026 and approaching 300 thousand metric tons in FY2027 gives the company greater capacity to benefit from its estimate of global demand exceeding 2.1 million metric tons.
  • +The long-term growth pipeline is supported by both the Salar Futuro project, which includes an investment of approximately $3 billion over seven years, and the Mount Holland expansion targeting first production in H1 FY2030.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −Performance remains heavily exposed to the lithium cycle; management warned that price indicators are difficult to predict and identified China, Africa, Argentina, and the restart of Australian projects as sources of increased supply during FY2026.

Valuation

The analyst consensus on SQM is Neutral, with an average target of $93.33 and a range between $82 and $104. The average target is close to the upper end of the 52-week range of $98, while the highest target exceeds it and the lowest target remains clearly below it, reflecting divergent expectations regarding the sustainability of the lithium recovery. No usable price-to-earnings ratio is available in the data, so the risk assessment is based on the target range and earnings volatility between FY2022 and FY2024.

HoldAnalyst target: $93.33(+33.6%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-28; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove SQM's results in Q2 FY2026?

Revenue reached $2.47 billion, exceeding analyst expectations by 10.3%. The company recorded record sales exceeding 84 thousand metric tons of lithium carbonate equivalent, alongside higher lithium prices during the quarter. Iodine and specialty plant nutrition also supported performance, and quarterly net income reached $660 million.

What is SQM's lithium production outlook following its Q2 FY2026 results?

Novandino Litio expects to produce between 280 thousand and 290 thousand metric tons of lithium carbonate equivalent in FY2026. The company aims to approach capacity of 300 thousand metric tons in FY2027, including approximately 80 thousand tons through lithium sulfate and 220 thousand tons from the Antofagasta chemical plant. International operations expect sales ranging between 27 thousand and 30 thousand metric tons of lithium carbonate equivalent during FY2026.

What is the significance of the Salar Futuro project for SQM investors?

In July 2026, Novandino Litio submitted the project's environmental and technical documents to the authorities, and implementation remains subject to the required approvals. The project includes an investment of approximately $3 billion over seven years and aims to increase production while reducing the environmental footprint and changing the operating technology at Salar de Atacama. Management emphasized that the investment is not intended solely to add production capacity, but to redevelop the operation on a broader scale.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −There is a gap between energy storage battery shipments and their actual installation, and management sees the potential for the growth rate of battery energy storage applications to slow in subsequent years, which could constrain one of the drivers of lithium demand.
  • −The annual financial statements reveal sharp financial volatility, as revenue fell from $10.7 billion in FY2022 to $7.5 billion in FY2023 and then $4.5 billion in FY2024, while net income declined from $3.9 billion to $923.2 million and then $685.1 million.
  • −Iodine could face pressure from new production capacity in Chile; management expects demand growth of only approximately 3% in FY2026 and believes new supply could offset this growth, and therefore expects annual sales volumes similar to FY2025.
  • −The expansion path includes execution and approval risks; the Salar Futuro project, with planned investment of approximately $3 billion over seven years, remains subject to the required approvals, while first production from the Mount Holland expansion is not expected before H1 FY2030.
  • −The analyst consensus is Neutral rather than Buy, and their wide target range is between $82 and $104; this divergence reflects uncertainty surrounding the lithium cycle and the execution of long-term investments.
  • Does SQM's growth story depend solely on lithium?

    No, iodine delivered strong performance in Q2 FY2026 supported by demand and prices, and the company expects to produce approximately 15,500 metric tons during FY2026. It also aims to increase specialty plant nutrition sales volumes by approximately 10% compared with FY2025. However, management expects new iodine capacity in Chile to offset estimated demand growth of approximately 3%, which could keep annual sales volumes close to FY2025 levels.

    What are the main demand and supply risks in the lithium market for SQM?

    The company raised its estimate for global demand in FY2026 to more than 2.1 million metric tons, but it also pointed to increased supply from China, Africa, and Argentina and the restart of projects in Australia. Management is monitoring a gap between energy storage battery shipments and installations and believes some shipments were associated with pulling forward sales from FY2027 due to the removal of tax rebates on Chinese exports. It also sees the potential for the growth rate of battery energy storage applications to slow, despite their continued importance as a source of demand.

    How does SQM's profitability compare with previous fiscal years?

    H1 FY2026 net income reached approximately $1.0247 billion, an increase of 353.5%, and earnings per share reached $3.59. In FY2024, the company recorded net income of $685.1 million and earnings per share of $2.3986, compared with $923.2 million and $3.232 in FY2023. Performance remains volatile compared with FY2022, when net income reached $3.9 billion and earnings per share reached $13.6757.