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Stocks
SiriusPoint Ltd.
SPNT

SPNT SiriusPoint Ltd.

SiriusPoint Ltd. · NYSE
Market Closed
24.20
▼ ⁦-0.66%⁩ (-0.16)
Market Cap$2.8B
Beta0.61
52w Low52w High
17.1726.48
Last Week
⁦-0.49%⁩
Last Month
⁦+2.37%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+15.68%⁩
Last Year
⁦+31.45%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall89
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 7/9Better than 89% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
93
6.0x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
56
22.6%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
95
——Top tier
▸
Safety
24
——Bottom tier
▸
Capital Return
33
0.00%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
82
26.9%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
64
33Around median
Fair Value
Current price$24
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$25
⁦+3%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$25–$25⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$34
⁦+40%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$25–$34⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$25.00
⁦+3.3%⁩
Current Price $24.20·Median $25.00
Low
$25.00
High
$25.00
Street summary

SiriusPoint (SPNT) Price Target Analysis

SiriusPoint stock shows complete stability in its price target at $25 throughout the past 30 days, giving the stock a limited upside margin of only 3.3% compared to its current price of $24.19. The recent fundamental change is a decrease in the number of analysts contributing to the consensus from two analysts to just one on August 28, which led to the absence of Dispersion in forecasts and made the current consensus reflect a single viewpoint, increasing analytical uncertainty.

As of 2026-08-31
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.50
Buy
Analyst coverage
⁦4 (-1)⁩
Buy conviction
50%
Mixed
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time4 analysts rating
2
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.50 → 3.50
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-01-16
    Raymond James
    Market Perform
  • = Reiterate2025-06-26
    Oppenheimer
    Outperform· $25.00
  • = Reiterate2025-04-15
    Jefferies
    Hold
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Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    5.98x
    3.16x25.26x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    9.17x
    2.76x22.06x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • FCF Yield
    —
    —
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    22.6%
    -36.3%104.2%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    317.5%
    -99.4%194.2%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    —
    —
  • ROIC
    —
    —
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    0.0%
    0.6%9.0%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-05-08 data

Company Overview

SiriusPoint Ltd. is a specialty insurance and reinsurance company that builds its portfolio around specialty risks and distribution through managing general agents MGA. The company generates income from insurance and reinsurance premiums, service fees, and returns on its investment portfolio; in Q1 fiscal year 2026, core gross written premiums reached $1 billion, underwriting income was $71 million, net service fee income was $8 million, and net investment income was $66 million. Accident & Health represents about 28% of the premium mix, while the share of property catastrophe reinsurance declined to about 4%, reflecting the deliberate shift toward less volatile specialty insurance business.

According to EDGAR filings, SiriusPoint recorded revenue of $744.1 million, net income of $68.6 million, and earnings per share of $0.58 in Q2 fiscal year 2026, equivalent to a calculated net income margin of about 9.2%. This compares with revenue of $774.6 million, net income of $102.2 million, and earnings per share of $0.82 in Q1 fiscal year 2026, meaning revenue declined by about 3.9% and net income by about 32.9% sequentially. For the twelve months ended in 2026, the latest data showed revenue of about $3.2 billion, net income of $505.6 million, and earnings per share of approximately $4.25, versus revenue of $3.2 billion, net income of $459.6 million, and earnings per share of $3.64 in fiscal year 2025.

The May 8, 2026 call showed that underwriting quality was the most prominent operating driver in Q1 fiscal year 2026; the core combined ratio was 88.9%, the lowest in six quarters, and the company recorded its fourteenth consecutive quarter of underwriting profitability. Operating return on equity was 15.3% and core operating return was 17.9%, while diluted book value per share excluding accumulated other comprehensive income rose 5% sequentially to $18.98. This came with a BSCR ratio of 242%, liquidity exceeding $1 billion, and a debt-to-capital ratio of 22.8%.

What's Driving the Stock

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Management raised its fiscal year 2026 gross written premium growth target to a range of 5%–10%, targeting double-digit growth in Insurance & Services and weighting growth toward the second half of fiscal year 2026; in Q1 fiscal year 2026, this business grew 8% on a reported basis and at a double-digit rate excluding the effect of reinstatement premiums.
  • Underwriting economics improved markedly in Q1 fiscal year 2026; the core combined ratio declined 6.5 points to 88.9%, underwriting income rose 149% year over year to $71 million, and the impact of catastrophe losses fell from 10.9 points to only 0.8 points.
  • Accident & Health, which represents about 28% of the premium mix, is leading the portfolio's expansion; its premiums grew 9% in Q1 fiscal year 2026, supported by opportunities in travel and U.S. medical insurance, while management pointed to early signs of improving employer stop loss pricing.
  • Strong capital supports shareholder returns; through May 8, 2026, the company had returned more than $240 million, including the redemption of $200 million of preferred shares and the repurchase of more than $40 million of common shares, then increased its repurchase intention from $100 million to the full $174 million authorization.
  • The investment portfolio continues to support earnings, with net investment income of $66 million and a total investment result of $78 million in Q1 fiscal year 2026. Of the fixed-income portfolio, 99% was rated investment grade, with an average rating of AA-, no defaults during the quarter, and reinvestment yields exceeding 4.5%.
  • The company's credit position improved during the three months ended May 8, 2026, when S&P, Fitch, and AM Best raised its financial strength ratings to A based, according to management, on earnings consistency and balance sheet strength. This coincides with a BSCR ratio of 242% and liquidity exceeding $1 billion, giving SiriusPoint flexibility to fund growth or return capital.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The portfolio reshaping has demonstrated its ability to reduce earnings volatility; catastrophe losses in Q1 fiscal year 2026 declined by $63 million year over year, and their impact on the combined ratio fell to 0.8 points, alongside the achievement of an underwriting profit for the fourteenth consecutive quarter.
    • +The shift toward Insurance & Services provides a higher-quality growth path, as the business grew 8% in Q1 fiscal year 2026, Accident & Health grew 9%, and the company added two new relationships with MGA agents while maintaining an opportunity pipeline that management described as strong.
    • +SiriusPoint has a substantial capital cushion, reflected in a BSCR ratio of 242%, liquidity exceeding $1 billion, and leverage of 22.8%, while increasing its share repurchase authorization to $174 million after redeeming $200 million of preferred shares.
    • +The MGA partner selection approach provides clear risk controls; the company selects fewer than 10% of the partners it evaluates, the onboarding process typically takes six to nine months, the relationships do not include volume-based incentives, and the incentives of about 90% of partners are linked to underwriting profits.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The reinsurance business faces pressure from declining prices; Reinsurance gross written premiums declined 10% in Q1 fiscal year 2026, while property catastrophe reinsurance premiums fell 31% as prices declined by about 15%, limiting growth when risks do not meet the company's required returns.
    • −Competition is intensifying and terms are deteriorating across several important lines; management observed increased competition and selectivity in General Liability, pressure in D&O, professional insurance, and transactional liability, along with a rapid decline in marine pricing, particularly cargo and hull.
    • −Some casualty lines remain exposed to claims inflation; in auto, loss-cost inflation exceeded pricing rates, prompting SiriusPoint to reduce its exposure, while the company remained cautious in aviation despite airline pricing improving at high-teens rates during the previous Q4.
    • −The latest EDGAR results declined sequentially in Q2 fiscal year 2026; revenue decreased from $774.6 million to $744.1 million, net income fell from $102.2 million to $68.6 million, and earnings per share declined from $0.82 to $0.58.
    • −The other underwriting expense ratio reached 7.2% in Q1 fiscal year 2026, exceeding the fiscal year 2026 guidance range of 6.5%–7%. A return to the range depends on lower expenses in the second half, operating discipline, and the company benefiting from business growth and hiring timing.
    • −The discontinued business portfolio remains a source of losses despite its net reserves declining to less than $500 million from slightly more than $1 billion at the end of 2023. Management expects 90% of its claims to have been reported by mid-2027, but the Q1 fiscal year 2026 losses confirm that its impact has not yet been fully eliminated.

    Valuation

    The available analyst target is $25, a single target with no dispersion between the high and low ends, and it is below the 52-week range high of $26.48 and above its low of $17.17. The data does not include a rating distribution across buy, hold, and sell, and no published P/E ratio is available; therefore, the stock's valuation is based on the position of the $25 target within the 52-week range and the Q1 fiscal year 2026 book value of $18.98 per share, balancing improved underwriting against the sequential decline in Q2 earnings.

    Analyst target: $25(+3.3%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is driving SiriusPoint's earnings in fiscal year 2026?

    Earnings depend on specialty underwriting, service fees, and returns from the investment portfolio. In Q1 fiscal year 2026, the company generated $71 million in underwriting income, $8 million in net service fee income, and $66 million in net investment income. The decline in the impact of catastrophe losses from 10.9 points to 0.8 points helped bring the core combined ratio to 88.9%. According to the latest EDGAR data, net income was $68.6 million in Q2 fiscal year 2026 and earnings per share were $0.58.

    Why is SiriusPoint reducing its property catastrophe reinsurance business?

    Property catastrophe reinsurance prices declined by about 15% in Q1 fiscal year 2026, so the company declined some risks that did not provide an adequate return. Gross written premiums for this line fell 31%, and it now represents only about 4% of the portfolio. The deliberate reduction in exposure helped reduce catastrophe losses by $63 million year over year. As a result, the Reinsurance combined ratio improved by about 13 points to 84.2%.

    How important is the MGA network to SPNT's business model?

    SiriusPoint uses MGA agents to access specialty risks and specific markets, while linking incentives to underwriting results. The company selects fewer than 10% of the partners it evaluates, the onboarding process typically takes six to nine months, and the incentives of about 90% of them are linked to underwriting profits. The company added two new relationships in Q1 fiscal year 2026, and Insurance & Services grew 8% on a reported basis and at a double-digit rate after adjusting for nonrecurring items. The service revenue margin was also 14.6%, and net fee income rose 34% during the quarter.

    Can SiriusPoint achieve its fiscal year 2026 growth guidance?

    Management expects gross written premium growth of between 5% and 10% in fiscal year 2026, with stronger growth in Insurance & Services and performance weighted toward the second half. Insurance & Services grew 8% in Q1 fiscal year 2026, while Accident & Health increased 9% and now represents about 28% of the premium mix. In contrast, Reinsurance declined 10% due to pricing discipline, particularly in property catastrophe. Therefore, achieving the guidance depends on continued double-digit growth in insurance offsetting the deliberate contraction in reinsurance.

    How strong are SiriusPoint's balance sheet and share repurchase program?

    The BSCR solvency ratio was about 242% in Q1 fiscal year 2026, even after the redemption of $200 million of preferred shares. Liquidity exceeded $1 billion, the debt-to-capital ratio declined to 22.8%, and diluted book value per share excluding accumulated other comprehensive income rose 5% to $18.98. Through May 8, 2026, the company had returned more than $240 million of capital, including more than $40 million through common share repurchases. It also increased its repurchase intention from $100 million to the full $174 million authorization.

    What are the main risks to monitor in SPNT's results?

    Pricing pressure should be monitored after property catastrophe prices declined by about 15% and competition intensified in General Liability, D&O, and marine during Q1 fiscal year 2026. Loss-cost inflation also exceeded pricing rates in auto, prompting the company to reduce exposure. The other underwriting expense ratio was 7.2% versus annual guidance of 6.5%–7%, while the discontinued business portfolio, with net reserves of less than $500 million, remained a source of some losses. Q2 fiscal year 2026 data showed net income declining to $68.6 million from $102.2 million in the previous quarter, a trend worth monitoring in subsequent periods.