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Sphere Entertainment Co.
SPHR

SPHR Sphere Entertainment Co.

Sphere Entertainment Co. · NYSE
Market Closed
143.50
▲ ⁦+1.17%⁩ (+1.66)
Market Cap$5.1B
Beta1.63
52w Low52w High
42.96181.63
Last Week
⁦+7.65%⁩
Last Month
⁦-10.67%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+7.29%⁩
Last Year
⁦+228.38%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall33
Weak — below market medianMomentum TrapF 3/6Grey zoneBetter than 33% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
41
—17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
80
23.5%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
42
-1.4%▼4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
59
2.0x▲2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
82
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
84
252.9%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
74
33Top tier
Fair Value
Current price$144
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$189
⁦+31%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$170–$208⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$94
⁦-34%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦11.6⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$94–$189⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$187.88
⁦+30.9%⁩
Current Price $143.50·Median $188.50
Low
$170.00
High
$208.00
Current price
$143.50
Average target
$187.88
Street summary

A slight increase in the price target amid continued divergence

Bullish tilt

The consensus average price target rose to 187.88 from 183.57 over the last 30 days, an increase of 4.31 or 2.35%, with no change over the last 7 days or in the number of analysts, which stands at 3. The current range is between 170 and 208, while the median is 188.5, reflecting a notable divergence among estimates despite the average remaining close to the median. Compared with the current price of 140.94, the targets overall indicate a slightly more positive outlook, rather than a sharp shift in expectations.

As of 2026-09-09
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+2.4%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.23
Buy
Analyst coverage
13
Buy conviction
92%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
26%
Analyst ratings over time13 analysts rating
4
8
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.08 → 4.23
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-02
    Guggenheim
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-09-01
    Citigroup
    Market Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-20
    Piper Sandler
    Overweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    —
    —
  • Forward P/E
    —
    —
  • EV / EBITDA
    30.48x
    2.57x20.60x
    Above average
  • FCF Yield
    6.9%
    -33.4%21.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    23.5%
    -16.2%48.2%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    57.0%
    -464.8%138.2%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    54.2%
    11.3%77.5%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    -1.4%
    -33.6%17.7%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.99x
    0.60x5.67x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    1.90
    -8.274.77
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

Sphere Entertainment Co. operates two main businesses: the Sphere segment, which generates revenue from original content experiences, concerts, advertising on the Exosphere, sponsorships, suite licensing, and corporate events, and the MSG Networks segment, which relies on sports network subscriptions, advertising, and distribution rights. In Q2 fiscal 2026, the Sphere segment represented approximately 72% of consolidated revenue, generating $226.4 million, while MSG Networks generated approximately 28%, with revenue of $87.3 million.

Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue was approximately $313.6 million, and the company recorded a net loss of $38.3 million and a loss per share of $1.07, compared with revenue of $386.4 million and net income of $4.5 million in Q1 fiscal 2026. Consolidated adjusted operating income was $50.9 million, equivalent to approximately 16.2% of revenue; the Sphere segment generated adjusted operating income of $39.9 million, compared with $11 million for the MSG Networks segment.

On a trailing twelve-month basis for fiscal 2026, revenue was $1.4 billion, net income was $97.5 million, and earnings per share were approximately $2.70, compared with revenue of $1.2 billion, net income of $33.4 million, and earnings per share of $0.74 in fiscal 2025. The provided data does not include gross profit or gross margin figures, so adjusted operating income remains the available metric for assessing quarterly operating profitability.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Sphere segment revenue increased approximately 30% year over year to $226.4 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, driven primarily by higher revenue from The Wizard of Oz at Sphere experience, along with growth in Exosphere advertising, sponsorships, suite licensing, and concert residencies.
  • The Wizard of Oz at Sphere sold approximately 3.6 million tickets, representing nearly $450 million in sales, as of the July 30, 2026 call, and management was working on an enhanced version called The Wizard of Oz 2.0, which it hoped to introduce in September 2026.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • The company aims to increase utilization of the Las Vegas venue by expanding its library of reusable content; The Wizard of Oz took approximately two years to produce, while management said Rocky Horror Picture Show would take less than 12 months to produce and estimated that three to four Sphere experiences could be running by the end of 2027.
  • Construction of the Sphere on Yas Island in Abu Dhabi began with completion targeted by the end of 2029, while as of July 30, 2026, the company was working on third-party financing for the National Harbor project in addition to $200 million in incentives and believes the venue could open in less than four years after financing and permitting are completed.
  • Management identified Exosphere advertising and sponsorships as a growth driver for the next two quarters and for 2027, citing campaigns from Verizon tied to the World Cup and Dolby's takeover of the advertising space during its multi-day summit, along with a pipeline of multi-year sponsorship agreements.
  • The company announced on July 29, 2026 that DAZN would become the exclusive direct-to-consumer platform for MSG Networks content, as the network-level outstanding loan declined to $116 million by the end of Q2 fiscal 2026; this debt is recourse only to MSG Networks.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case5 pts

    • +The Wizard of Oz at Sphere demonstrated its commercial strength with ticket sales of approximately $450 million and nearly 3.6 million tickets sold as of July 30, 2026, contributing to an approximately 30% year-over-year increase in Sphere segment revenue.
    • +Sphere segment profitability improved alongside its growth, with adjusted operating income rising to $39.9 million in Q2 fiscal 2026 from $24.9 million in the comparable period, an increase of approximately 60%.
    • +The reusable content model provides an opportunity to spread production costs across multiple venues and shows; reducing the development period for Rocky Horror Picture Show to less than 12 months, compared with approximately two years for The Wizard of Oz, also supports the potential to increase the number of experiences at a faster pace.
    • +The expansion plan combines a franchise model in Abu Dhabi with a build-to-suit and lease model in National Harbor, allowing the company to pursue expansion while retaining full operational control and consolidating National Harbor's results if the proposed financing is completed.
    • +Sphere's balance of $534 million in unrestricted cash and cash equivalents as of June 30, 2026 provides a liquidity base for content execution and expansion, while MSG Networks' $116 million of debt remains non-recourse to Sphere.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −MSG Networks faces clear operational contraction; its subscriber count declined approximately 16.5%, segment revenue fell to $87.3 million in Q2 fiscal 2026 from $107.1 million in the comparable period, and adjusted operating income dropped to $11 million from $36.5 million.
    • −The strength of the Sphere segment's growth depends heavily on the success of The Wizard of Oz at Sphere, which was the primary driver of the segment's revenue increase and sold approximately 3.6 million tickets; any weakening in demand one year after its launch could pressure utilization and revenue before the experience library expands.
    • −Selling, general, and administrative expenses increased by $29.2 million to $125.6 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, while direct expenses also rose due to the higher per-show cost of The Wizard of Oz, illustrating that revenue growth does not fully translate into profitability.
    • −Expansion entails execution, financing, and permitting risks; as of July 30, 2026, the third-party financing agreement for National Harbor had not yet been completed, and the company was working to obtain permits, while the construction timeline for the Abu Dhabi venue extends through the end of 2029.
    • −The Sphere business carries material capital and financing obligations, with $259 million of convertible debt and a $275 million loan on the Las Vegas asset as of June 30, 2026, alongside plans to build multiple venues and develop new content.
    • −The 52-week range of $44.059–$181.63 reflects a more than fourfold difference between the low and the high, while the average analyst target of $186 is very close to the upper end of that range; therefore, the valuation assumes continued content success, improved venue utilization, and successful execution of the expansion, leaving little room for these drivers to falter.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is Buy, with an average price target of $186 and a target range of $170 to $193; the average is only approximately 2.4% above the 52-week high of $181.63, while the lowest target is below it. No reported price-to-earnings ratio is available despite trailing twelve-month fiscal 2026 earnings per share of approximately $2.70, so the stock's valuation depends more heavily on continued Sphere growth, addressing the decline at MSG Networks, and executing the announced expansion.

    BuyAnalyst target: $186(+29.6%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What was the largest revenue driver for SPHR in Q2 fiscal 2026?

    The Sphere segment was the largest driver, generating revenue of $226.4 million, or approximately 72% of the company's $313.6 million in revenue. Segment revenue increased approximately 30% year over year, primarily due to higher revenue from The Wizard of Oz at Sphere experience. Exosphere advertising, sponsorships, suite licensing, and concert residencies also contributed, while a decline in the number of corporate events offset part of the growth.

    How successful has The Wizard of Oz at Sphere been?

    The experience sold approximately 3.6 million tickets, representing nearly $450 million, as of the July 30, 2026 call. Management said the show remained strong despite the seasonal slowdown in Las Vegas activity during the summer and was working on The Wizard of Oz 2.0. Management hoped to introduce the enhanced version in September 2026, with new modifications and additions to the experience.

    How does Sphere Entertainment plan to expand its venue network?

    Construction of the Sphere on Yas Island in Abu Dhabi began, with completion targeted by the end of 2029, and the company serves there in an advisory role under a franchise model that includes fees and franchise royalties. In National Harbor, as of July 30, 2026, the company was pursuing a third-party financing agreement in addition to $200 million in incentives, while retaining day-to-day operational control and consolidating the financial results under the proposed structure. Management said its goal is to have five venues open in more than five years, with five additional venues under construction.

    Why does MSG Networks represent a risk to SPHR stock?

    MSG Networks' subscriber count declined approximately 16.5% in Q2 fiscal 2026, alongside a decrease in advertising revenue. Segment revenue fell to $87.3 million from $107.1 million in the comparable period, and adjusted operating income declined to $11 million from $36.5 million. The company announced on July 29, 2026 a partnership making DAZN the exclusive direct-to-consumer platform, but the provided information does not include an expected financial impact from this partnership.

    Has Sphere Entertainment become profitable?

    The company recorded a net loss of $38.3 million and a loss per share of $1.07 in Q2 fiscal 2026, despite generating adjusted operating income of $50.9 million. On a trailing twelve-month basis for fiscal 2026, net income was $97.5 million and earnings per share were approximately $2.70. The gap between the two results reflects quarterly earnings volatility, while selling, general, and administrative expenses also increased to $125.6 million in Q2 fiscal 2026.

    What could increase utilization of the Sphere venue in Las Vegas during 2027?

    The company intends to add content types that can be shown at different times of day and has announced the Rocky Horror Picture Show at Sphere experience, targeting a 2027 launch. Management believes this content could expand programming to an adult evening audience alongside family-oriented daytime content. Management estimated that three to four Sphere experiences could be available by the end of 2027, alongside continued demand for concert residencies and the development of additional products whose details have not been disclosed.