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Stocks
S&P Global Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall51
Balanced — near the middle of the marketFalling StarF 6/8Congress sellingBetter than 51% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
36
25.0x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
67
9.7%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
80
——Top tier
▸
Safety
73
——Top tier
▸
Capital Return
31
0.93%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
28
-24.1%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
68
15▲3Top tier
SPGI

SPGI S&P Global Inc.

S&P Global Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
410.71
▲ ⁦+0.07%⁩ (+0.29)
Market Cap$121.0B
Beta1.07
52w Low52w High
371.75552.25
Last Week
⁦-6.70%⁩
Last Month
⁦-0.06%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+2.21%⁩
Last Year
⁦-24.76%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$411
Analyst target · 6 analysts
$512
⁦+25%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$505–$521⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$238
⁦-42%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦9.1⁩% discount · ⁦2⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$238–$512⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 6 analysts setting price target
$512.25
⁦+24.7%⁩
Current Price $410.71·Median $511.50
Low
$505.00
High
$521.00
Current price
$410.71
Average target
$512.25
Street summary

Recent Target Cut While Ratings Hold Steady

The consensus price target remained unchanged at 512.25 over the last day and seven days, but declined over the last 30 days from 541.22 to 512.25, a decrease of 28.97 points or 5.35%, while the number of analysts remained at 6. The current range is between 505 and 521, while the median is 511.5, reflecting relatively limited dispersion around the consensus, with targets still above the current price of 418.36.

As of 2026-09-09
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-3.4%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.21
Buy
Analyst coverage
24
Buy conviction
96%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
4%
Analyst ratings over time24 analysts rating
6
17
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.20 → 4.21
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-02
    Wells Fargo
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-07-07
    RBC Capital
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-05-27
    UBS
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    25.00x
    3.16x25.26x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    19.64x
    2.76x22.06x
    Expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    16.49x
    3.07x24.55x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    4.6%
    -19.9%19.1%
    Above average
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    9.7%
    -36.3%104.2%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    26.4%
    -99.4%194.2%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    70.9%
    23.5%98.3%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    12.7%
    -36.5%24.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.41x
    0.25x7.31x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    0.9%
    0.6%9.0%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    23.4%
    9.8%97.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-28 data

Company Overview

S&P Global operates through four core divisions following the separation of Mobility Global on July 1, 2026: Ratings, Indices, Energy, and Market Intelligence. The company generates revenue from credit ratings and issuance fees; asset-linked, derivatives, and index subscription fees; Platts benchmarks and CERA data and research; as well as data subscriptions, the Capital IQ Pro, RatingsXpress, and Visible Alpha platforms, and lending solutions such as ClearPar and WSO. The benchmarks businesses, which include Ratings, Indices, Platts, and the distribution of ratings content through Market Intelligence, account for approximately two-thirds of revenue and more than 80% of operating profit.

In fiscal Q2 2026, revenue reached $4.15 billion, exceeding analysts’ estimates of $4.12 billion, while total revenue and organic constant-currency revenue grew 11%, and recurring revenue increased 8%. Adjusted operating profit grew 15% and adjusted earnings per share grew 23%, with the adjusted operating margin expanding 200 basis points to 54.3%; the expansion would have been 270 basis points excluding OSTTRA from the comparison period. This result reflects 15% revenue growth in the benchmarks businesses and a smaller 6% increase in adjusted expenses.

The growth mix in fiscal Q2 2026 was led by Ratings, where revenue increased 17% and the operating margin reached 68.5%, and Indices, where revenue increased 20% and the margin reached 71.5%. By contrast, Market Intelligence grew 6% with a 36% margin, while Energy grew only 3% with a 47.5% margin. For broader financial comparison, fiscal 2025 recorded revenue of $15.3 billion and net income of $4.5 billion, while the trailing twelve-month figures ending in 2026 were revenue of $15.7 billion, net income of $4.8 billion, and earnings per share of approximately $16.05.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Ratings revenue increased 17% in fiscal Q2 2026, with billed issuance growing 25%, transaction revenue increasing 25%, and private market ratings revenue growing 60%. Hyperscaler infrastructure issuance totaled approximately $169 billion in the first half, compared with an initial assumption of approximately $200 billion for the full year, prompting the company to raise its fiscal 2026 assumption to a range of $250–300 billion.
  • Indices recorded its thirteenth consecutive record quarter, with revenue growing 20% and trailing twelve-month revenue exceeding $2 billion. Assets under management in exchange-traded funds linked to S&P Dow Jones Indices reached approximately $6.35 trillion, following net inflows exceeding $600 billion year over year, while asset-linked fees and exchange-traded derivatives fees each grew 22%.
  • The number of customers using Kensho’s LLM-ready APIs and MCP solutions surpassed 500, up more than 70% from the previous quarter, and API call volume increased more than fivefold between fiscal Q1 and Q2 2026. Annual contract value growth among AI customers was also 60% faster than the average in Market Intelligence and approximately three times the average in Energy, while 15% of LLM-ready API customers were new or returning customers.
  • The company raised its fiscal 2026 share repurchase target by approximately $3 billion to more than $7 billion, equivalent to more than 5% of the market capitalization cited on the call. Funding includes approximately $2 billion from Mobility Global distributions and approximately $2 billion of additional debt expected in the second half, with approximately $500 million of the Mobility proceeds allocated to debt reduction.
  • For fiscal 2026, the company expects organic constant-currency growth of between 6% and 8%, and raised the Ratings growth range to 5%–8% and the Indices range to 12%–14%. It also expects consolidated margin expansion excluding OSTTRA of 75–100 basis points and adjusted free cash flow of between $2.9 billion and $3.1 billion in the second half, after generating $2.4 billion in the first half including Mobility.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Earnings quality is underpinned by the high-margin benchmarks businesses, which account for approximately two-thirds of revenue and more than 80% of operating profit, while Ratings and Indices generated operating margins of 68.5% and 71.5%, respectively, in fiscal Q2 2026.
  • +The Ratings business has a multiyear demand runway, as the company expects approximately $11 trillion of rated debt to mature over the next four and a half years, following average billed issuance growth of approximately 20% during the twelve months preceding the call.
  • +The company combines AI product growth with efficiency improvements; the Enterprise Data Office has completed approximately 60% of its $100 million annual savings target, and management aims to achieve the full amount, equivalent to approximately 20% of the office’s cost base, before the end of 2027.
  • +A share repurchase program exceeding $7 billion in fiscal 2026 provides direct support for earnings per share, and repurchases have already helped lift adjusted earnings-per-share growth to 23% versus adjusted operating profit growth of 15% in fiscal Q2 2026.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $512, within a narrow range of $505 to $521, with a consensus “Buy” rating; the average is approximately 2.4% below the upper end of the 52-week range of $524.65466. The 52-week range extends from $361.03122 to $524.65466, while the data do not include a published price-to-earnings multiple that can be relied upon; therefore, the positive consensus should be weighed against fiscal 2026 adjusted earnings-per-share guidance of $17.50–$17.75, which is below the FactSet estimate of $18.50.

BuyAnalyst target: $512(+24.7%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-26; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What is driving SPGI’s growth in fiscal Q2 2026?

Ratings and Indices led growth, with their revenue increasing 17% and 20%, respectively, and both delivering record performance. Billed issuance grew 25%, while asset-linked fees and exchange-traded derivatives fees each increased 22%. As a result, company revenue grew 11%, adjusted earnings per share increased 23%, and the operating margin expanded 200 basis points to 54.3%.

How is S&P Global benefiting from the AI boom?

The number of customers using Kensho’s LLM-ready APIs and MCP solutions exceeded 500 in fiscal Q2 2026, up more than 70% from the previous quarter. API call volume increased more than fivefold from fiscal Q1 2026, while annual contract value growth among AI customers was 60% faster than the average in Market Intelligence and approximately three times the average in Energy. Ratings is also benefiting from AI infrastructure financing, after hyperscaler infrastructure issuance reached approximately $169 billion in the first half of fiscal 2026.

What is the impact of the Mobility Global separation on SPGI?

The separation of Mobility Global into an independent publicly traded company was completed on July 1, 2026, so fiscal 2026 guidance excludes its contribution for the full year. S&P Global received distributions of approximately $2 billion from Mobility Global and intends to use most of the proceeds for share repurchases and approximately $500 million for debt reduction. Following the separation, the company is focused on four divisions: Ratings, Indices, Energy, and Market Intelligence, and raised its annual share repurchase target to more than $7 billion.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Energy faces clear operating pressures; its revenue growth was limited to 3% in fiscal Q2 2026, with CERA growing 1% and Platts growing 4%. Sanctions negatively affected Platts growth by 120 basis points and CERA growth by 30 basis points, while the conflict with Iran, tariffs, and severe volatility weakened subscription renewals, nonrecurring sales, Global Trading Services revenue, and event attendance.
  • −Some Ratings drivers are slowing after a strong start; hyperscaler infrastructure issuance slowed in fiscal Q2 2026, and the company expects a full-year range of between $250 billion and $300 billion after recording $169 billion in the first half. Management also explained that year-over-year growth comparisons in the two second-half quarters will be lower due to the higher comparison base in late fiscal 2025, while issuance volumes remain sensitive to interest rates, credit spreads, and the global economy.
  • −Adjusted earnings-per-share guidance for fiscal 2026 was $17.50 to $17.75, below the FactSet estimate of $18.50, despite fiscal Q2 2026 revenue exceeding expectations. The gap shows that the strength of Ratings and Indices, margin expansion, and repurchases are not raising the earnings outlook to the level the market had expected.
  • −Market Intelligence faces uneven growth quality; mature platforms grew organically at a low-single-digit rate, nonrecurring revenue declined 2% due to Consulting and Sustainable1, and renewal cycles lengthened for some large customers. Subscription growth of 6% also benefited partly from upfront revenue from a ten-year renewal contract, adding some volatility to the quarterly comparison.
  • −AI alternatives may affect pricing and distribution, as customers have become more discerning about AI budgets and token costs, and some are exploring building internal solutions. Despite growth in Kensho usage, the company is still considering a mix of consumption-based pricing and dataset pricing, so the full amount of realizable revenue from the significant increase in usage has not yet been established.
  • −Funding the share repurchases increases financial risk, as the company expects to issue approximately $2 billion of additional debt in the second half of fiscal 2026, raising total leverage to 2.7–2.8 times earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization by year-end, above the target range of 2.0–2.5 times. Returning to the target range by the end of 2027 depends on growth in earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization and natural deleveraging.
Can Ratings growth continue after the strength of the first half of fiscal 2026?

The company expects approximately $11 trillion of rated debt to mature over the next four and a half years, supporting multiyear refinancing activity. It raised its fiscal 2026 hyperscaler infrastructure issuance assumption to $250–300 billion and expects double-digit growth in merger- and acquisition-related issuance. However, management expects lower year-over-year growth comparisons in the second half due to the higher comparison base, while activity remains sensitive to interest-rate levels and credit spreads.

What is the main weakness in S&P Global’s results?

Energy was the slowest-growing division in fiscal Q2 2026, with revenue increasing only 3%, including 1% growth in CERA and 4% growth in Platts. Sanctions negatively affected Platts growth by 120 basis points and CERA growth by 30 basis points, while the conflict with Iran pressured renewals, event attendance, and Global Trading Services. In Market Intelligence, nonrecurring revenue declined 2% and some renewal cycles lengthened, despite 6% growth in revenue and subscriptions.

What is S&P Global’s guidance for fiscal 2026?

The company expects organic constant-currency growth of between 6% and 8% and adjusted earnings per share of between $17.50 and $17.75 in fiscal 2026. It forecasts growth of between 5% and 8% in Ratings, between 12% and 14% in Indices, between 5.5% and 7% in Market Intelligence, and between 4.5% and 6% in Energy. It also targets consolidated margin expansion excluding OSTTRA of 75–100 basis points and adjusted free cash flow of between $2.9 billion and $3.1 billion in the second half.