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Stocks
Sonos, Inc.
SONO

SONO Sonos, Inc.

Sonos, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
15.12
▲ ⁦+3.35%⁩ (+0.49)
Market Cap$1.7B
Beta1.93
52w Low52w High
12.4419.82
Last Week
⁦-6.44%⁩
Last Month
⁦-4.00%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-6.95%⁩
Last Year
⁦+7.46%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall33
Weak — below market medianFalling StarF 4/9SafeBetter than 33% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
45
32.9x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
56
5.6%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
79
11.3%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
83
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
79
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
47
12.4%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
62
2▼3Around median
Fair Value
Current price$15
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$18
⁦+19%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$18–$21⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$11
⁦-29%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦13.0⁩% discount · ⁦2⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$11–$18⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$19.00
⁦+25.7%⁩
Current Price $15.12·Median $18.00
Low
$18.00
High
$21.00
Current price
$15.12
Average target
$19.00
Street summary

Sonos (SONO) Price Target Analysis

Bullish tilt

The price target for Sonos stock has seen a notable improvement over the last week, with the average forecast rising by 5.56% to reach $19, compared to $18 at the end of July. This recovery follows a previous decline in the consensus from the $19.5 level thirty days ago. This volatility reflects analysts' response to recent rating upgrades to "Buy" by major institutions such as Susquehanna and Citigroup in July 2026, which narrowed the price gap in favor of an optimistic outlook despite the limited number of analysts covering the stock.

As of 2026-08-04
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.75
Buy
Analyst coverage
4
Buy conviction
75%
High
Target dispersion
20%
Analyst ratings over time4 analysts rating
3
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.75 → 3.75
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-07-10
    Susquehanna
    Buy
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-07-10
    Citigroup
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-02-04
    Morgan Stanley
    —· $18.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    32.87x
    6.87x54.92x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    42.00x
    5.19x41.53x
    Above average
  • EV / EBITDA
    14.06x
    4.52x36.15x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    6.2%
    -54.8%10.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    5.6%
    -18.1%66.5%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    173.0%
    -155.3%193.7%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    46.5%
    12.9%79.5%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    11.3%
    -63.6%26.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    4.46
    -10.9113.66
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-29 data

Company Overview

Sonos develops an interconnected home audio ecosystem that includes speakers, home theater soundbars, multi-zone amplifiers, and portable and personal audio products. Its model is based on selling devices and enabling them to work within a unified system; the installed base includes more than 53 million connected devices across more than 17 million households, allowing the company to increase the value of each household over time by adding new products to the same ecosystem. Sonos also draws on relationships spanning more than two decades with installation professionals, a channel it is targeting with Amp Multi, which is designed for multi-zone residential projects.

In Q3 fiscal 2026, revenue reached $375.3 million, up 9% year over year and near the high end of the guidance range, compared with $281.5 million in Q2 fiscal 2026. GAAP gross profit was approximately $189.3 million, with a 50.4% margin that benefited from a tariff refund; excluding this refund, gross profit would have been $166 million and the margin 44.3%, while the non-GAAP margin was approximately 45.5%. The company reported net income of $29.9 million and earnings per share of $0.25, compared with a net loss of $28.9 million and negative earnings per share of $0.24 in the previous quarter.

Growth came from all regions in Q3 fiscal 2026; APAC revenue rose 27%, EMEA 17%, and the Americas 4%, while total revenue growth in constant currency was 7%. At the product level, this was the first full quarter of availability for Sonos Play and Era 100 SL, and management said both contributed meaningfully to the results. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization reached $44 million, with an 11.7% margin, up 24% year over year, while free cash flow reached $40 million.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Revenue growth accelerated to 9% in Q3 fiscal 2026 after growth of only 2% during the first half of fiscal 2026, while constant-currency growth accelerated by three points from the previous quarter to reach 7%.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Management expects Q4 fiscal 2026 revenue of between $325 million and $355 million, equivalent to year-over-year growth of between 13% and 23%; however, the period includes an additional week that adds approximately $24 million and eight points of growth, making underlying growth excluding this effect between 4% and 15%.
  • Sonos set August 25, 2026 as the scheduled shipping date for Amp Multi to installation and integration partners, and management described it as a product with excellent margins that enables partners to execute larger, multi-zone projects centered on the Sonos ecosystem.
  • Sonos Play and Era 100 SL contributed meaningfully to Q3 fiscal 2026 results, alongside double-digit growth in geographic expansion markets and growth of 27% and 17% in APAC and EMEA, respectively.
  • The Sonos installed base has reached more than 53 million connected devices in more than 17 million households, and the company intends to build on it through conversational computing and predictive intelligence within the home; management set early September 2026 to present product work developed during the previous year.
  • The company maintained cost discipline; non-GAAP operating expenses declined 6% year over year in fiscal 2026 year to date, while adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization rose 41% year to date. Sonos also returned $30 million to shareholders in Q3 fiscal 2026 by repurchasing 2 million shares, reducing the share count by 1.7%.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Sonos returned to revenue growth after three years of contraction, and management expects growth of between 6% and 8% in fiscal 2026, or between 4% and 6% excluding the effect of the 53rd week.
    • +Operating earnings power improved significantly; the company expects adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of $181 million in fiscal 2026, up 37% with an 11.7% margin, despite $58 million in memory cost pressure.
    • +The installed base of more than 53 million devices across more than 17 million households provides a channel for selling additional devices within the ecosystem, while Amp Multi expands Sonos's presence in professional multi-zone installation projects.
    • +The company ended Q3 fiscal 2026 with $261 million in net cash and marketable securities and generated $40 million in free cash flow, with $35 million remaining under the share repurchase authorization.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Rising computer memory prices represent substantial financial pressure; they reduced adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization in Q3 fiscal 2026 by approximately $14 million, and management expects their negative impact on gross profit in Q4 to reach approximately $35 million, or nearly 1,000 basis points.
    • −Q4 fiscal 2026 guidance implies a sharp contraction in profitability, as the company expects a GAAP gross margin of between 39% and 41% and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of between negative $11 million and positive $18 million. Management also views the low end of the Q4 margin range as a reasonable outlook for fiscal 2027, with greater pressure in the first half and only a partial improvement in the second half.
    • −The quality of Q4 fiscal 2026 growth requires careful interpretation because the additional week adds approximately $24 million and eight points to year-over-year growth; excluding it, the expected growth range falls from 13%–23% to 4%–15%. Management also clarified that continued momentum in fiscal 2027 does not necessarily mean growth will continue to accelerate.
    • −Sonos faces competition from the largest technology companies in the home market, and the CEO acknowledged that artificial intelligence laboratories may target form factors similar to the company's products to deliver conversational computing. Sonos's ability to defend its position depends on differentiated sound quality, system integration, and its installed base of connected devices, rather than on the absence of well-resourced competitors.
    • −Inventory at the end of Q3 fiscal 2026 rose 37% year over year to $158 million, comprising $137 million of finished goods and $21 million of components. The company attributed the increase to memory costs, product launches, and capitalized tariffs, increasing working capital sensitivity to demand and component costs.
    • −Chief Financial Officer Saori Casey decided to retire after a 35-year career, but she will remain in her role until a successor is identified and will participate in a transition extending across the following quarters. The transfer of financial responsibility adds execution risk during a period in which Sonos is managing memory pressure and cost-mitigation measures throughout fiscal 2027.

    Valuation

    The analysts' average price target is $19 with a consensus rating of “Buy,” and the target range is between $18 and $21; the average is therefore approximately 4% below the 52-week high of $19.82. The 52-week range extends from $12.44 to $19.82, while the highest analyst target exceeds that high and the lowest target remains below it, reflecting an overall positive view that does not eliminate the risks of the expected margin contraction in fiscal 2027.

    BuyAnalyst target: $19(+25.7%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-01; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove SONO stock results in Q3 fiscal 2026?

    Sonos revenue reached approximately $375.3 million in Q3 fiscal 2026, representing year-over-year growth of 9% and coming in near the high end of the company's guidance. The first full quarter of availability for Sonos Play and Era 100 SL contributed meaningfully to the results, while APAC grew 27%, EMEA 17%, and the Americas 4%. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization reached $44 million, up 24%, despite a negative impact of $14 million from higher memory costs.

    How did tariff refunds affect Sonos's earnings?

    Sonos submitted claims to recover $41 million in prior tariffs and received $24 million in Q3 fiscal 2026. Of that amount, $23 million was recorded in GAAP gross profit and $1 million as interest income, raising the GAAP gross margin to 50.4%. Without the refund, the GAAP gross margin would have been 44.3%, while GAAP earnings per share of $0.25 included a $0.20 benefit from the refunds.

    How significant is the risk of rising memory prices for SONO?

    Memory costs reduced adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization by approximately $14 million in Q3 fiscal 2026 and lowered gross margin by approximately 380 basis points. Sonos expects the pressure on gross profit to rise to $35 million and approximately 1,000 basis points in Q4 fiscal 2026, with the full-year impact reaching $58 million. The company is working to secure supply, improve cost terms, reduce memory requirements per device, and assess pricing, but it expects mitigation benefits to emerge gradually during fiscal 2027.

    How important is Amp Multi to Sonos's growth?

    Amp Multi is a multi-zone amplifier designed for installation and integration partners, and the company set August 25, 2026 as its scheduled shipping date. The product is intended to simplify installation, setup, and tuning, and to enable Sonos partners to execute larger residential projects centered on its ecosystem. Management described its margin as excellent, making it a potential contributor to the profit mix at a time when other products face pressure from memory costs.

    What is Sonos's guidance for Q4 and fiscal 2026?

    The company expects revenue of between $325 million and $355 million in Q4 fiscal 2026, representing year-over-year growth of between 13% and 23%. This quarter includes an additional week that adds approximately $24 million and eight points of growth, so the growth range excluding this effect is 4%–15%. Sonos expects fiscal 2026 revenue growth of between 6% and 8% and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of $181 million, with an 11.7% margin.

    How does Sonos's installed device base support its in-home intelligence thesis?

    More than 53 million connected Sonos units operate in more than 17 million households, a presence that gives the company operational knowledge of multi-room audio systems. Management believes that the value of home intelligence is not limited to the artificial intelligence model but also includes the devices, connectivity, and services that turn a request into a coordinated action. Sonos linked this vision to its 20 years of experience in sound, form, and system integration, and set early September 2026 to present product work developed during the previous year.