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Sonoco Products Company
SON

SON Sonoco Products Company

Sonoco Products Company · NYSE
Market Closed
47.84
▼ ⁦-1.22%⁩ (-0.59)
Market Cap$4.7B
Beta0.35
52w Low52w High
38.6560.67
Last Week
⁦-9.20%⁩
Last Month
⁦-17.33%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-2.70%⁩
Last Year
⁦+1.25%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall85
Excellent — top fifth of the marketContrarianF 7/9Better than 85% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
94
7.6x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
40
17.7%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
51
9.9%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
50
2.9x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
76
4.41%▲2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
46
24.1%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
91
7▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Current price$48
Analyst target · 5 analysts
$63
⁦+32%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$59–$64⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$34
⁦-29%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$34–$63⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 5 analysts setting price target
$62.00
⁦+29.6%⁩
Current Price $47.84·Median $63.00
Low
$59.00
High
$64.00
Current price
$47.84
Average target
$62.00
Street summary

Sonoco (SON) Price Target Analysis

Bullish tilt

Sonoco's stock price targets have seen a gradual improvement over the past thirty days, with the average price target rising from $61 to $62, reflecting growing optimism among the five analysts covering the stock. This increase is supported by the maintenance of 'Buy' ratings by major institutions such as Seaport Global and Citigroup, with low dispersion in estimates (between $59 and $64), indicating a state of certainty and consistency in the analysts' outlook for future performance.

As of 2026-08-19
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+0.8%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.55
Buy
Analyst coverage
11
Buy conviction
55%
Mixed
Target dispersion
10%
Analyst ratings over time11 analysts rating
6
5
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.55 → 3.55
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-12
    Seaport Global
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-07-09
    Citigroup
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-04-23
    Citigroup
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    7.61x
    4.56x36.49x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    7.86x
    3.79x30.29x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    6.00x
    2.75x22.03x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    10.1%
    -30.9%16.2%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    17.7%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    12.7%
    -156.9%135.6%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    20.8%
    12.0%66.5%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    9.9%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    2.94x
    0.65x5.48x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    4.4%
    0.1%5.9%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    33.5%
    8.9%99.8%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-23 data

Company Overview

Sonoco Products Company operates in consumer and industrial packaging solutions, generating revenue from products including metal and food cans and paper containers, as well as uncoated recycled paperboard URB and wood, metal, and composite reels used in wire and cable markets. In Q2 fiscal 2026, the Consumer Packaging segment represented the largest share of sales at $1.24 billion, while the Industrial segment recorded $643 million, illustrating the business model’s reliance on a large consumer base supported by industrial activities linked to infrastructure and data centers.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, net sales totaled $1.9 billion, down 1% year over year, while adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization reached $324 million, down 1%, with the margin holding steady at 17.2%. Adjusted earnings per share increased 10% to $1.51 from $1.37, with lower interest expense following debt reduction contributing approximately $0.14 per share, while the profitability improvement plan added $0.07 per share. Excluding ThermoSafe’s contribution in the comparison period, revenue and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization grew 2%, and adjusted earnings per share rose 17%.

Q2 fiscal 2026 showed a clear divergence across markets: Industrial segment sales rose 4% to $643 million, and its adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization increased 3% to $122 million, while Consumer segment sales rose 1% to $1.24 billion. Pricing contributed two percentage points to the Consumer segment and three points to the Industrial segment, but weak demand for aerosol, adhesive, and sealant packaging in the United States limited volume growth, while paper containers achieved growth of 29% in Asia and 9% across Europe, the Middle East and Africa, and Asia-Pacific combined.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Operating cash flow reached $301 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, up 56% year over year, while free cash flow surged 139% to $237 million; this improvement gives Sonoco greater capacity to fund operations, support distributions, and reduce debt within its stated capital allocation priorities.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • North American URB mills operated at 95%, and trade tons increased 6.4%, while order books extended through Q3 fiscal 2026, requiring the company to import paper from its mills in Europe and Latin America to meet demand. Sonoco is targeting annual production of approximately 10 thousand tons of saturated URB by the end of 2026 and 20 thousand tons annually by the end of 2027 to serve high-pressure laminate applications.
  • Wire and cable reel volumes rose 10%, and sales increased 13% in Q2 fiscal 2026, driven by demand associated with the construction of AI data centers and power and telecommunications networks. The company completed a $20 million expansion at its Hartselle, Alabama facility, with robotic equipment intended to increase nailed wood reel production by approximately 15%.
  • Consumer packaging expansions support international growth opportunities; the paper container plant in Thailand began operations in March 2026 and subsequently started its second line with capacity of approximately two million units annually, with utilization equal to roughly one-third of the site’s targeted output. Sonoco also opened a new metal can and closure line in France, while pet food can units posted double-digit growth and came to represent 15% of global food can units.
  • Management maintained its fiscal 2026 guidance for sales of $7.25 billion to $7.75 billion, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of $1.25 billion to $1.35 billion, adjusted earnings per share of $5.80 to $6.20, and operating cash flow of $700 million to $800 million. This guidance relies on recovering input inflation through price increases for URB and converted products, fuel surcharges, and paper container contracts repriced effective July and August 2026.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Q2 fiscal 2026 combines 10% growth in adjusted earnings per share with a 139% surge in free cash flow, indicating improved conversion of earnings into cash despite a 1% decline in net sales. Debt reduction also provided a $0.14 per-share benefit through lower interest expense.
    • +The Industrial segment provides tangible support for growth, with North American URB mills operating at 95%, trade tons increasing 6.4%, and wire and cable reel volumes growing 10%. The $20 million expansion in Alabama is tied to existing demand that left the business nearly at full capacity before adding approximately 15% production capacity.
    • +The profitability improvement plan began generating increasing savings, rising from $8 million in Q1 to $10 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, and contributed the equivalent of $0.07 to earnings per share during Q2. Management expects greater acceleration in the second half of fiscal 2026 and then throughout 2027 and 2028 as initiatives shift from back-office functions to operational and structural improvements.
    • +Sonoco’s Consumer Packaging portfolio provides multiple geographic and product growth sources, ranging from a 29% increase in paper containers in Asia to double-digit growth in pet food cans. The Thailand and France lines and products such as EcoFill, microwave-safe metal containers, and the Green Can with paper content of up to 98% support sales expansion and an improved product mix.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Sonoco’s results depend heavily on the packing season in Q3 fiscal 2026, as management explained that approximately 40% of the company’s earnings are generated in that quarter and that performance is also affected by natural conditions. The company therefore kept its earnings guidance range wide until the season’s outcome becomes clearer, despite describing early indicators as strong.
    • −Consumer demand in North America remained weak for aerosol, adhesive, and sealant packaging during Q2 fiscal 2026, contributing to a 1.8% decline in the Consumer segment’s volume mix. These categories are linked to discretionary spending, housing, and remodeling, and the guidance does not assume a material improvement in them during the second half of fiscal 2026.
    • −Reported net sales and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization declined 1% year over year in Q2 fiscal 2026 despite price increases and productivity gains. The Industrial segment’s volume mix also remained merely flat because strength in URB, reels, and industrial plastics was offset by weakness in Latin America and certain converting operations.
    • −Inflation in freight, chemicals, coatings, and raw materials cost the company approximately $10 million in operating profit in Q2 fiscal 2026, while OCC costs increased by $40 per ton since the beginning of the year to $100 per ton. Despite implementing recovery mechanisms, every $10 movement in OCC equates to an annual impact of $6 million to $8 million, leaving margins exposed to any new wave of cost increases.
    • −The recovery of industrial margins depends on passing through price increases, including a $60 per-ton increase in URB that took effect on July 8, 2026, while a trade publication had not reflected the price movement when it was discussed on the call. Management estimated that every $10 movement in the index equates to approximately $10 million annually and acknowledged that failure to achieve full recovery could make an impact of approximately $15 million in Q4 fiscal 2026 a directional estimate dependent on market movement.

    Valuation

    The stock carries a consensus “Buy” rating with an average price target of $62, within a relatively narrow range of $59 to $64. The average target is slightly above the 52-week range high of $60.67, while the range low is $38.65; this divergence reflects analysts’ bet on improving cash flows and inflation recovery, weighed against risks from the packing season, weakness in certain demand categories, and the possibility of difficulty passing through price increases.

    BuyAnalyst target: $62(+29.6%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What were Sonoco’s key results in Q2 fiscal 2026?

    Sonoco recorded net sales of $1.9 billion, down 1% year over year. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization totaled $324 million, with the margin holding steady at 17.2%. Adjusted earnings per share increased from $1.37 to $1.51, or 10%. Operating cash flow reached $301 million, and free cash flow totaled $237 million, representing increases of 56% and 139%, respectively.

    What is Sonoco’s guidance for fiscal 2026?

    The company expects sales of $7.25 billion to $7.75 billion in fiscal 2026. The range for adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization is $1.25 billion to $1.35 billion, while adjusted earnings per share is expected to be $5.80 to $6.20. It also targets operating cash flow of $700 million to $800 million. Management kept these ranges unchanged on the July 23, 2026 call because Q3 fiscal 2026 represents the critical packing season and generates approximately 40% of earnings.

    How does Sonoco benefit from the construction of AI data centers?

    Sonoco supplies wood, metal, and composite reels to wire and cable customers serving the construction of AI data centers and power and telecommunications networks. Reel volumes increased 10%, and sales rose 13% in Q2 fiscal 2026, with available capacity nearly sold out according to management. The company completed a $20 million expansion at its Hartselle, Alabama facility. The new robotic equipment is intended to increase nailed wood reel production by approximately 15%.

    Why is the URB business important to Sonoco’s results?

    North American URB mills operated at 95% in Q2 fiscal 2026, the highest level in years, while trade tons increased 6.4%. Order books extended through Q3 fiscal 2026, prompting the company to import paper from its mills in Europe and Latin America to support the North American market. Sonoco is working to increase production of saturated URB used in high-pressure laminates from approximately 10 thousand tons annually by the end of 2026 to 20 thousand tons by the end of 2027. Conversely, the business’s profitability remains sensitive to OCC prices and the company’s ability to pass through the $60 per-ton URB increase.

    Where are the weaknesses in the Consumer Packaging segment?

    The Consumer segment’s volume mix declined 1.8% in Q2 fiscal 2026 because of weakness in aerosol, adhesive, and sealant packaging in the United States. Management linked this weakness to discretionary spending and the housing and remodeling markets and did not incorporate a material improvement in these categories into its guidance for the second half of fiscal 2026. Conversely, paper containers rose 29% in Asia and 9% across Europe, the Middle East and Africa, and Asia-Pacific combined. Pet food cans also achieved double-digit growth and came to represent 15% of global food can units.

    What does insider activity at Sonoco reveal?

    The insider activity signal was classified as neutral during the three-month period covered by the data. The period recorded one purchase and one sale, with net activity of 234,161.8555 and the latest transaction dated August 7, 2026. This balance alone does not indicate a clear direction regarding insiders’ expectations for the company. Insider sales may also be prearranged, and the data provide no evidence to the contrary.

    −
    Growth opportunities require continued capital spending of approximately 4% of sales, with expansions in saturated URB, paper containers, metal cans, and reels. Although no significant jump in spending is expected during 2027, executing new lines and relocating lines under the profitability improvement plan add operational risks before the targeted benefits are fully realized.