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Home
Stocks
StoneX Group Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall52
Balanced — near the middle of the marketContrarianF 4/9Better than 52% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
92
16.1x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
67
20.6%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
95
——Top tier
▸
Safety
9
——Bottom tier
▸
Capital Return
9
—2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
41
0.8%▼2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
33
1▼3Bottom tier
SNEX

SNEX StoneX Group Inc.

StoneX Group Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
70.37
▲ ⁦+0.86%⁩ (+0.60)
Market Cap$8.4B
Beta0.66
52w Low52w High
54.67107.92
Last Week
⁦+5.25%⁩
Last Month
⁦+6.67%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-15.35%⁩
Last Year
⁦+10.25%⁩
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$70
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$70
⁦-1%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$27–$112⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$374
⁦+431%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$70–$374⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$69.50
⁦-1.2%⁩
Current Price $70.37·Median $69.50
Low
$27.00
High
$112.00
Current price
$70.37
Average target
$69.50
Street summary

Sharp decline in StoneX Group stock target projections

Bearish tilt

StoneX Group (SNEX) stock has seen a strong negative revision in analyst outlooks over the past thirty days, as the consensus price target fell from $112 to $69.5, a sharp decline of 37.95%. This adjustment brings the price target closer to the current stock price ($66.86), indicating that the previously expected price premium is fading and the profit margin expected by analysts is narrowing.

As of 2026-09-02
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-38.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.50
Buy
Analyst coverage
2
Buy conviction
50%
Mixed
Target dispersion
121%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time2 analysts rating
1
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.00 → 3.50
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-07-20
    Jefferies
    Hold
  • = Reiterate2026-03-09
    William Blair
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2025-03-26
    William Blair
    Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    16.11x
    3.16x25.26x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    11.83x
    2.76x22.06x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    6.08x
    3.07x24.55x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    44.6%
    -19.9%19.1%
    Exceptional
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    20.6%
    -36.3%104.2%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    53.1%
    -99.4%194.2%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    3.6%
    23.5%98.3%
    Weak
  • ROIC
    19.6%
    -36.5%24.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    4.11x
    0.25x7.31x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-06 data

Company Overview

StoneX Group Inc. operates under the ticker SNEX as a global financial services platform connecting commercial clients, institutions, and retail investors to execution, clearing, custody, financing, hedging, and payment networks. The company generates revenue from listed and over-the-counter derivatives, physical commodity contracts, securities trading and market making, FX/CFD services, cross-border payments, as well as interest and fees on client balances. The Global Prime Services platform also serves more than 700 accounts, holds client balances exceeding $16 billion, and generated approximately $140 million in net operating revenue during the twelve months ended in fiscal Q3 2026.

In fiscal Q3 2026, EDGAR data showed revenue of $40.2 billion, gross profit of $1.5 billion, and net income of $127.9 million, compared with $45.8 billion, $1.6 billion, and $174.3 million, respectively, in fiscal Q2 2026. These figures equate to a gross margin of approximately 3.7% and a net income margin of approximately 0.32%, while adjusted diluted earnings per share after the three-for-two stock split were $1. According to the company’s operating presentation, operating revenue reached $1.47 billion and net operating revenue reached $719.7 million, up 43% and 47% year over year, respectively, while net income rose 102% year over year and declined 27% from the previous quarter.

The growth mix in fiscal Q3 2026 came primarily from the Commercial and Institutional segments; Commercial net revenue increased 90% and segment income rose 119% year over year, while Institutional net revenue increased 56% and segment income rose 49%. By contrast, Self-Directed/Retail net revenue declined 17% and segment income fell 36%, while Payments net revenue increased 12% and segment income rose 22%. Return on equity reached 18.4% and return on tangible equity reached 25%, both supporting a picture of strong profitability despite the clear divergence among segments.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Net operating revenue in fiscal Q3 2026 grew 47% to $719.7 million, while net income rose 102% to $127.9 million and diluted earnings per share increased 85% to $1, despite more moderate volatility compared with the previous quarter.
  • R.J. O'Brien and The Benchmark Company directly supported the results; the former contributed approximately $78.8 million and the latter approximately $29.5 million in net operating revenue during the quarter. Annual run-rate cost savings from the R.J. O'Brien integration reached approximately $37–38 million, with targets of $45–46 million by the end of fiscal 2026 and $50 million by the end of fiscal Q1 2027.
  • Institutional and Commercial activities delivered broad growth; average daily securities trading volume increased 33%, OTC derivatives revenue rose 73% as contract volumes grew 89%, and physical contracts revenue increased 106%, supported by a $40.5 million increase in precious metals and an $18.7 million increase in physical supply and trading.
  • Average client equity balances and FDIC deposits reached approximately $16.2 billion, up 108% year over year, while net interest income and fees on client balances rose to $111.9 million. The company estimates that a 100-basis-point change in short-term interest rates would change annual net income by approximately $46.9 million, after building a $2.55 billion fixed-rate SOFR swap portfolio with an average yield of 3.51%.
  • StoneX expanded cross-border payments through a partnership with Shinhan Bank, while the Payments platform recorded a record number of transactions and average daily volume of $96 million, up 20%. On August 12, 2026, it announced an agreement to acquire Banco Travelex in Brazil, where the combined operation is expected to process approximately $6 billion annually and serve 20,000 clients.
  • On August 19, 2026, StoneX Commodity Solutions acquired Advanced Marketing Group, adding animal feed, pet food ingredients, organic fertilizers, and an operating network across four U.S. states and Canada to StoneX’s agricultural commodities platform.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The bullish case rests on earnings growth outpacing revenue growth: net operating revenue rose 47% year over year, while net income increased 102%, and return on equity reached 18.4% versus the company’s 15% target.
  • +R.J. O'Brien and Benchmark give the company greater scale and cross-selling opportunities; together, they contributed approximately $108.3 million in net operating revenue in fiscal Q3 2026, while the company retained approximately $13 billion in required client assets after completing most of the migration of R.J. O'Brien clients in the United States.
  • +Global Prime Services demonstrates a long-term growth path, with client balances exceeding $16 billion after standing below $1 billion in 2019, and growing by more than 65% annually since 2023, while the business achieved a compound annual growth rate exceeding 60% over seven years.
  • +Business diversification provides partial protection against weakness in any single product; in fiscal Q3 2026, growth in the Commercial, Institutional, and Payments segments offset the contraction in Self-Directed/Retail, while most products recorded double-digit year-over-year growth.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average price target of $112, while the highest and lowest targets are both $112; therefore, the target range does not show dispersion that can be used to measure differences of opinion. The target is approximately 18.3% above the 52-week range high of $94.66, while the full range extends from $36.44889 to $94.66; the provided data does not include a valid P/E ratio to confirm whether the valuation is high or low on an earnings basis.

BuyAnalyst target: $112(+59.2%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove SNEX’s results in fiscal Q3 2026?

Net operating revenue reached $719.7 million, up 47% year over year, while net income reached $127.9 million, up 102%. Commercial segment net revenue increased 90% and Institutional segment net revenue rose 56%, supported by derivatives, physical contracts, and securities trading. R.J. O'Brien also contributed approximately $78.8 million and Benchmark approximately $29.5 million in net operating revenue.

How important is the R.J. O'Brien integration to StoneX?

StoneX completed most of the migration of R.J. O'Brien clients in the United States during fiscal Q3 2026, and required client assets reached approximately $13 billion at the end of the quarter. Annual run-rate cost savings reached approximately $37–38 million, and management is targeting $45–46 million by the end of fiscal 2026 and then $50 million by the end of fiscal Q1 2027. The transaction also added $6.6 billion to average client equity and $56.9 million to total interest income and fees during the quarter.

Is the growth of Global Prime Services material to the SNEX thesis?

Global Prime Services serves more than 700 accounts and holds client balances exceeding $16 billion, compared with less than $1 billion in 2019. The platform generated approximately $140 million in net operating revenue during the twelve months ended in fiscal Q3 2026 and grew at a compound annual rate exceeding 60% over seven years. Its services include execution, custody, financing, and hedging, while securities lending activities generate spread-based returns from balances exceeding $2 billion.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Net income in fiscal Q3 2026 declined 27% from the previous quarter, net operating revenue fell 13%, and revenue from listed derivatives, OTC derivatives, and physical contracts dropped 11%, 15%, and 39%, respectively, on a sequential basis after the exceptional performance in fiscal Q2 2026; this highlights the sensitivity of earnings to volatility levels and dislocations in commodity markets.
  • −The Self-Directed/Retail segment is experiencing a clear contraction; its net revenue declined 17% and segment income fell 36% year over year in fiscal Q3 2026, with average FX/CFD trading volume down 27%. At the product level, FX/CFD revenue declined 19%, daily volume fell 12%, and the rate per million decreased 8% compared with the previous year.
  • −The company’s growth entails execution and integration risks because a meaningful portion of the increase came from acquisitions; the company attributed $48.5 million of the increase in fixed expenses to transactions completed during the previous twelve months and recorded $4.2 million in severance and employee retention costs. The company is also still completing the integration of R.J. O'Brien and Benchmark and building its expansion in Brazil and agricultural commodities through Banco Travelex and Advanced Marketing Group.
  • −Unit economics in Payments are declining as the mix shifts toward higher-volume, lower-value transactions; the rate per million fell 7% despite 20% growth in daily volume. Management confirmed that rate pressure associated with this shift will remain a trend for the foreseeable future, making Payments earnings growth dependent on continued volume increases and leveraging the scalability of X-Pay.
  • −Earnings remain sensitive to interest rates despite hedging; the company’s estimate indicates that a 100-basis-point move in short-term interest rates could change annual net income by approximately $46.9 million, or $0.38 per share. The $2.55 billion in SOFR swaps reduces the exposure but does not eliminate it.
  • −Net insider selling during the three months ended August 14, 2026, reached approximately $70.9 million, with one purchase versus 18 sales. This is a secondary trading signal rather than independent evidence of business deterioration, because insider sales may be prearranged unless the disclosures state otherwise.
What is StoneX’s most notable operating weakness?

The Self-Directed/Retail segment was the weakest segment in fiscal Q3 2026, with net revenue declining 17% and segment income falling 36% year over year. Average FX/CFD trading volume in the segment declined 27%, while product revenue across the company fell 19% compared with the previous year. Group net income also declined 27% and net operating revenue fell 13% from fiscal Q2 2026 as volatility moderated.

How do interest rates affect SNEX’s earnings?

StoneX generated $111.9 million in net interest and fees on client balances in fiscal Q3 2026, an increase of $38 million year over year. The company estimates that a 100-basis-point increase or decrease in short-term interest rates would change annual net income by approximately $46.9 million, or $0.38 per share. To reduce volatility, the fixed-rate SOFR swap portfolio reached $2.55 billion, with an average duration of approximately 1.5 years and an average yield of 3.51%.

What do StoneX’s transactions announced in August 2026 add?

On August 12, 2026, StoneX announced an agreement to acquire Banco Travelex, a Brazilian bank specializing in foreign exchange. The combined operation is expected to process approximately $6 billion annually and serve 20,000 clients as part of the expansion of global payments. On August 19, 2026, StoneX Commodity Solutions acquired Advanced Marketing Group, which operates in animal feed, pet food ingredients, and organic fertilizers across four U.S. states and Canada.