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Stocks
Schneider National, Inc.
SNDR

SNDR Schneider National, Inc.

Schneider National, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
34.15
▲ ⁦+0.38%⁩ (+0.13)
Market Cap$6.0B
Beta1.19
52w Low52w High
20.1139.27
Last Week
⁦+1.70%⁩
Last Month
⁦-3.15%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-3.67%⁩
Last Year
⁦+36.82%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall75
Strong — clearly above market medianTurnaroundF 6/8SafeBetter than 75% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
50
53.4x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
48
6.2%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
44
3.9%▼4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
82
0.3x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
26
1.13%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
82
43.6%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
82
11▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Current price$34
Analyst target · 5 analysts
$39
⁦+13%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$38–$39⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$24
⁦-29%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦9.6⁩% discount · ⁦2⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$24–$39⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 5 analysts setting price target
$38.50
⁦+12.7%⁩
Current Price $34.15·Median $38.50
Low
$38.00
High
$39.00
Current price
$34.15
Average target
$38.50
Street summary

SNDR Price Targets Steady Despite Decline in Analyst Count

Price estimates have not changed over the last 30 days; the consensus remained at 38.5, within a narrow range of 38 to 39, versus a current price of 34.64. This equates to a calculated margin of approximately 11.1% to the consensus level, but the number of analysts declined from 6 to 5 over the last day and seven days, slightly reducing the breadth of the coverage base without changing the target level itself.

As of 2026-09-08
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.38
Hold
Analyst coverage
16
Buy conviction
38%
Target dispersion
3%
Analyst ratings over time16 analysts rating
1
5
9
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.53 → 3.38
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-05
    UBS
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-07-16
    Benchmark
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-07-14
    Susquehanna
    Neutral
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Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    53.36x
    5.69x45.54x
    Expensive
  • Forward P/E
    28.66x
    4.57x36.58x
    Above average
  • EV / EBITDA
    9.99x
    3.43x27.47x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    5.2%
    -32.7%11.5%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    6.2%
    -10.7%43.4%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -9.9%
    -128.3%132.7%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    3.8%
    8.6%54.6%
    Weak
  • ROIC
    3.9%
    -25.3%19.6%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.26x
    0.55x4.37x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    1.1%
    0.1%4.8%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    60.8%
    6.6%80.8%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    3.75
    -5.667.97
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

Schneider National operates through a multimodal transportation platform that combines truckload, dedicated transportation under multiyear contracts, intermodal rail transportation, and logistics and brokerage services. The company generates revenue by operating its fleet and servicing dedicated contracts, converting over-the-road shipments to rail, and managing shipments through a network of third-party carriers; in fiscal Q2 2026, revenue excluding fuel surcharges was $628 million for Truckload, $262 million for Intermodal, and $376 million for Logistics.

According to EDGAR data, Schneider National recorded revenue of $1.6 billion, net income of $49.7 million, and earnings per share of $0.28 in fiscal Q2 2026, equivalent to a calculated net income margin of approximately 3.1%. On the adjusted measures presented by management on July 30, 2026, revenue excluding fuel surcharges was $1.3 billion, up 4%, adjusted operating income rose 29% to $73 million, the adjusted operating ratio improved by 110 basis points, and adjusted earnings per share were $0.29 versus $0.21 in fiscal Q2 2025.

The improvement was broad-based across segments: Truckload operating income rose 28% to $51 million with a 91.8% operating ratio, Intermodal income rose 14% to $18 million despite a 1% decline in revenue, while Logistics income reached $12 million after segment revenue grew 11% to $376 million. Earnings also more than doubled compared with fiscal Q1 2026, when EDGAR data showed net income of $20.4 million and earnings per share of $0.12, illustrating the impact of pricing, productivity, and the $40 million cost-reduction program.

What's Driving the Stock

  • On July 30, 2026, management raised its fiscal 2026 earnings-per-share guidance range to $0.90–$1.10 from $0.70–$1.00, supported by earnings growth across all segments and progress on the $40 million cost-reduction program.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Pricing improved in the Truckload network during fiscal Q2 2026; rates increased by a high-single-digit percentage, average contract renewal increases reached a double-digit percentage, and revenue per truck per week rose 16% year over year, while spot-market rates remained approximately 15% above contract rates, according to management's statement on July 30, 2026.
  • The Logistics segment achieved annual revenue growth of 11% to $376 million, and its operating income increased by $4 million to $12 million, while premium freight projects, revenue management, and a 17% increase in frontline team productivity helped offset higher third-party carrier costs.
  • Intermodal recorded nine consecutive quarters of order growth through fiscal Q2 2026 and 17 consecutive quarters of growth in Mexico, while contract renewal increases moved from a low-single-digit percentage during the quarter toward a mid-single-digit trend. Management expects growth opportunities of approximately a high-single-digit percentage as local drayage capacity expands and pricing becomes available to cover the cost of external capacity.
  • Schneider National lowered its fiscal 2026 net capital expenditure guidance to $350–$400 million from $400–$450 million due to reduced trailer equipment needs and improved asset efficiency, while continuing to invest in local drayage capacity for the Intermodal segment and specialized equipment for Dedicated transportation.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Fiscal Q2 2026 demonstrated clear operating leverage; revenue excluding fuel surcharges grew 4%, but adjusted operating income rose 29% and the adjusted operating ratio improved by 110 basis points, alongside the execution of a $40 million cost-reduction program.
    • +The multimodal platform gives Schneider National the ability to direct capacity toward higher-return opportunities; the network and Logistics benefited first from higher spot rates, while increases can later flow through to Dedicated and Intermodal through contract renewals and freight-allocation decisions.
    • +The financial position limits financing risk; as of June 30, 2026, the company held $293 million in cash and cash equivalents against $397 million in debt and lease obligations, and net debt leverage did not exceed 0.2 times.
    • +Operating indicators support the potential for continued earnings improvement, including a 16% increase in weekly network revenue per truck, a high-single-digit percentage improvement in network productivity, 17% growth in Logistics team productivity, and higher operating income across all three segments during fiscal Q2 2026.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Schneider National will lose a major customer in its Dedicated transportation business, and management said on July 30, 2026, that the impact of the loss would become clearer in the second half of fiscal 2026, pressuring revenue and capacity before new contracts or resource reallocation can offset it.
    • −The expected improvement depends heavily on continued capacity exits from the freight market, while management described underlying demand in fiscal Q2 2026 as largely stable. Higher energy prices, inflationary pressures, and the continuing impact of interest rates in markets such as housing could lead to weaker demand that limits pricing gains.
    • −A contraction in the driver pool reduced the truck count and increased capacity cost pressures, forcing the company to improve starting wages in the most constrained regions and expand recruitment efforts. The fiscal 2026 outlook assumes a range of outcomes related to driver costs and availability, so a worsening shortage could erode part of the pricing and productivity gains.
    • −Intermodal revenue declined 1% in fiscal Q2 2026, and revenue per order fell 2% due to route mix and shorter length of haul, while local drayage capacity became a key constraint. The company declined to accept growth that would have required expensive external capacity, making growth dependent on pricing reaching a level that covers this cost.
    • −The premium-project activity that supported Logistics results in the first half of fiscal 2026 had largely ended by July 30, 2026, and management said its contribution would not be as strong in fiscal Q3 2026. The project-based nature adds quarter-to-quarter volatility at a time when third-party carrier costs continue to pressure contractual business.
    • −The valuation carries relatively high expectations risk; the average analyst target of $38.5 is approximately 98% of the 52-week range high of $39.27, while the consensus itself is Neutral and the range between the highest and lowest targets is narrow at $39–$38. This leaves limited room for scenario differences within the consensus if the freight-cycle improvement falls short or the second half of fiscal 2026 is affected by the loss of the Dedicated customer and the decline in premium projects.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus on SNDR is Neutral, with an average target of $38.5 and an extremely narrow range between $38 and $39, indicating convergence of estimates more than broad bullish conviction. The average target is less than 2% from the 52-week range high of $39.27, while the range extends to a low of $20.11, so the valuation rationale rests on achieving fiscal 2026 guided earnings per share of $0.90–$1.10 and a continued recovery in freight rates despite demand, driver, and major-customer-loss risks.

    HoldAnalyst target: $38.5(+12.7%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    Why did Schneider National raise its fiscal 2026 earnings guidance?

    On July 30, 2026, management raised its fiscal 2026 earnings-per-share guidance to $0.90–$1.10 from $0.70–$1.00. The revision followed a 29% increase in adjusted operating income in fiscal Q2 2026 and an improvement in adjusted earnings per share to $0.29 from $0.21. The outlook is also based on continued capacity exits from the market and progress on the $40 million cost-reduction program, while incorporating different scenarios for demand and driver availability.

    Which segment led the improvement in SNDR's fiscal Q2 2026 results?

    The Truckload segment generated the highest operating income, reaching $51 million, up 28%, while the operating ratio improved to 91.8%. Within the segment, network revenue excluding fuel surcharges rose 8%, and weekly revenue per truck increased 16%. At the same time, Logistics achieved the fastest revenue growth at 11% to $376 million, supported by premium projects and greater exposure to the spot market.

    How does Schneider National benefit from a recovery in freight rates?

    Management said on July 30, 2026, that spot rates were approximately 15% above contract rates and that network rate renewals achieved average double-digit increases during fiscal Q2 2026. The company uses spot-market exposure, mini-bids, and freight-selection technology to capture rate increases. The impact can extend to Dedicated and Intermodal through contract renewals and freight-allocation decisions in the second half of fiscal 2026.

    What is the impact of losing the major customer in the Dedicated transportation business?

    Management stated on July 30, 2026, that the loss of a major Dedicated transportation customer would become more apparent in the second half of fiscal 2026. The company did not provide a numerical value for the impact, but confirmed that it was included in the $0.90–$1.10 earnings-per-share guidance range. Schneider National is working to improve the quality of its contract portfolio and reallocate resources toward higher-return opportunities, after selling solutions involving more than 500 trucks from the beginning of fiscal 2026 through the end of the second quarter.

    Does the financial position support Schneider National's investments and distributions?

    As of June 30, 2026, debt and lease obligations totaled $397 million, compared with $293 million in cash and cash equivalents, and net debt leverage was 0.2 times. The company returned approximately $35 million to shareholders in the form of distributions from the beginning of fiscal 2026 through the end of the second quarter. It also guided to net capital expenditures of between $350 million and $400 million for fiscal 2026 to improve the age of its tractor fleet and invest in local drayage capacity and specialized equipment.

    What are the main constraints on Schneider National's Intermodal growth?

    Local drayage capacity became the main constraint on Intermodal in fiscal Q2 2026, despite nine consecutive quarters of order growth. The company declined to pursue growth that would have required the use of expensive external capacity without pricing that generated an appropriate return, so segment revenue declined 1% to $262 million. Nevertheless, operating income rose 14% to $18 million, and rate renewals are moving from a low-single-digit to a mid-single-digit percentage, which may support additional capacity.