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Stocks
Sandisk Corporation
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall100
Excellent — top fifth of the marketHigh FlyerF 7/8Better than 100% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
49
21.0x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
99
156.1%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
94
78.6%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
93
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
76
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
91
—2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
62
11▲3Around median
SNDK

SNDK Sandisk Corporation

Sandisk Corporation · NASDAQ
Market Closed
1,633.35
▼ ⁦-3.50%⁩ (-59.24)
Market Cap$241.9B
Beta5.19
52w Low52w High
72.032,354.39
Last Week
⁦+5.15%⁩
Last Month
⁦+28.50%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-0.60%⁩
Last Year
⁦+2216.48%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$1633
Analyst target · 6 analysts
$2038
⁦+25%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$1200–$3050⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$1224
⁦-25%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦13.3⁩% discount · ⁦12⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$1224–$2038⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 6 analysts setting price target
$2152.81
⁦+31.8%⁩
Current Price $1633.35·Median $2037.50
Low
$1200.00
High
$3050.00
Current price
$1633.35
Average target
$2152.81
Street summary

SanDisk (SNDK) Price Target Revision Analysis

Bullish tilt

SanDisk stock has seen a notable upward revision in its average price target over the past 30 days, with the consensus rising by 12.05% from 1922.67 to 2154.38, with this valuation remaining unchanged over the last 20 days. This momentum reflects optimism driven by financial growth estimates for the 2026-2027 period, as analysts expect a significant jump in earnings per share (EPS) from 65.00 to 181.14, justifying the price gap between the current price and the average target.

As of 2026-08-21
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+3.5%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.92
Buy
Analyst coverage
24
Buy conviction
83%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
113%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time24 analysts rating
4
16
3
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.53 → 3.92
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-14
    UBS
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-13
    Evercore ISI Group
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-13
    Wells Fargo
    Positive
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    21.00x
    6.87x54.92x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    9.25x
    5.19x41.53x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    18.86x
    4.52x36.15x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    4.5%
    -54.8%10.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    156.1%
    -18.1%66.5%
    Exceptional
  • EPS Growth YoY
    787.7%
    -155.3%193.7%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    71.5%
    12.9%79.5%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    78.6%
    -63.6%26.5%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-05 data

Company Overview

Sandisk Corporation develops and manufactures NAND-based storage solutions and manages the value chain from memory chip design and manufacturing with its joint venture partner to controllers, product assembly, and testing. The company generates revenue across three end markets: data centers; edge computing, which includes smartphones, personal computers, automobiles, and robotics; and consumer products. Its portfolio includes BiCS technologies in both TLC and QLC, enterprise SSDs, the QLC-based Stargate platform, and the development of high-bandwidth flash for artificial intelligence inference applications.

In Q4 fiscal year 2026, Sandisk generated record revenue of $8.965 billion, up 51% sequentially and 372% year over year, exceeding its guidance range of $7.75–8.25 billion. Adjusted gross margin was 84.6%, compared with 78.4% in the previous quarter and 26.4% a year earlier, while adjusted operating margin reached 79.2% and adjusted earnings per share reached $39.25. About one-third of the sequential growth came from higher volumes and two-thirds from higher prices, illustrating the significant impact of NAND pricing strength on results.

Data center revenue reached $2.977 billion in Q4 fiscal year 2026, up 103% sequentially, while edge computing revenue reached $5.432 billion, up 48%, and consumer product revenue declined 32% to $556 million. For fiscal year 2026, revenue increased 175% to $20.248 billion, including $5.153 billion from data centers, $12.160 billion from edge computing, and $2.935 billion from consumer products. In the same quarter, the company generated $7.126 billion in operating cash flow and $5.035 billion in adjusted free cash flow, representing a 56% margin.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Data center expansion represents the most prominent operating driver; revenue from this business increased 437% in fiscal year 2026 to $5.153 billion, while its share of bit production rose from about 12% a year earlier to 38% at the end of fiscal year 2026.
  • Sandisk signed new business models with eight customers across data centers and edge computing, with a weighted average term exceeding four years and minimum expected revenue of $93.9 billion based on floor prices. Remaining performance obligations were $59.8 billion at the end of Q4 fiscal year 2026, or $91.1 billion after including two agreements signed after quarter-end, with total financial guarantees of $16.5 billion.
  • In Q4 fiscal year 2026, the company began generating revenue from the QLC-based Stargate platform while expanding TLC-based enterprise SSDs among artificial intelligence infrastructure customers. BiCS 8 also came to represent the majority of bit production, while the company plans to increase spending on BiCS 8 and BiCS 10 transitions during fiscal year 2027.
  • Management expects Q1 fiscal year 2027 revenue of between $10.3 and $10.8 billion, an adjusted gross margin of between 83% and 85%, and adjusted earnings per share of between $44 and $46. It said sequential growth would come from higher bit volumes and modest price increases, and that customer demand exceeds supply, keeping bits on allocation beyond calendar year 2027.
  • On August 10, 2026, the board of directors increased the share repurchase authorization by $14 billion, bringing the remaining authorization to $15.5 billion, after spending $4.5 billion to repurchase 2.836 million shares in Q4 fiscal year 2026. The program is supported by operating cash flow of $11.7 billion in fiscal year 2026, compared with $84 million in the previous year.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Data center growth of 437% in fiscal year 2026 combines actual volume expansion with pricing strength, while revenue from this business increased 103% sequentially in Q4 fiscal year 2026, giving Sandisk direct exposure to the growing storage needs of artificial intelligence inference.
  • +The new business models provide contractual visibility exceeding four years, minimum expected revenue of $93.9 billion, and financial guarantees of $16.5 billion. The company expects these agreements to cover more than 50% of bits in fiscal year 2027 and about two-thirds of bits in fiscal year 2028.
  • +The results demonstrated strong operating and cash-generation capabilities, with an adjusted gross margin of 84.6% and an adjusted free cash flow margin of 56% in Q4 fiscal year 2026. Adjusted operating expenses were also only 5.4% of revenue, down from 7.5% in the previous quarter, despite allocating nearly 65% of them to research and development.
  • +The remaining $15.5 billion repurchase authorization provides a substantial channel for returning capital, following $4.5 billion of repurchases during Q4 fiscal year 2026. This coincided with a cash balance of $4.762 billion and management's confirmation that investing in the business remains the priority before returning excess capital to shareholders.

▼ Selling Case

Valuation

The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average price target of $2152.81, a high of $3050, and a low of $1200; the average is about 8.6% below the 52-week range peak of $2354.39. No reliable price-to-earnings multiple is available in the data, so the valuation assessment rests on the breadth of the $47.40–2354.39 52-week range and the dispersion of analysts' targets, both of which reflect a significant repricing tied to the NAND and artificial intelligence boom, while cyclical risks and slowing sequential growth remain.

BuyAnalyst target: $2,152.81(+31.8%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-26; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove Sandisk's growth in Q4 fiscal year 2026?

Revenue increased to $8.965 billion, up 51% sequentially and 372% year over year, exceeding the $8.25 billion upper end of guidance. About one-third of the growth came from higher bit volumes and two-thirds from higher prices. Data center revenue surged 103% sequentially to $2.977 billion, while edge computing revenue rose 48% to $5.432 billion. Adjusted gross margin was 84.6%, and adjusted earnings per share were $39.25.

How important are the new business models to SNDK's results?

Sandisk signed agreements with eight customers across data centers and edge computing, with a weighted average term exceeding four years. The agreements have minimum expected revenue of $93.9 billion based on floor prices and are associated with financial guarantees of $16.5 billion. The company expects these agreements to represent more than 50% of fiscal year 2027 bits and about two-thirds of fiscal year 2028 bits. Pricing includes fixed and variable components and floor and ceiling prices, with attractive margins expected even at floor prices.

How does Sandisk benefit from growth in artificial intelligence and data centers?

Management believes artificial intelligence inference increases the need to store and retrieve data with low latency, supporting demand for high-capacity enterprise SSDs. Data center revenue increased 437% in fiscal year 2026 to $5.153 billion, and the business's share of bits rose from about 12% to 38% within a year. In Q4 fiscal year 2026, the company began generating revenue from the QLC-based Stargate platform while expanding compute-focused TLC products. It is also developing high-bandwidth flash and exploring its use with cloud and device customers, without announcing a specific shipment date on the August 5, 2026 call.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

6 pts
  • −The outlook increasingly depends on agreements with only eight customers, as the new business models are expected to represent more than 50% of fiscal year 2027 bits and about two-thirds in fiscal year 2028. Despite financial guarantees of $16.5 billion, a strategic customer's failure to meet its obligations could affect the demand mix and operational planning.
  • −Edge computing and consumer markets continue to face unit weakness; on August 5, 2026, management expected smartphone and personal computer units to decline by mid-teens percentages during calendar year 2026. Consumer product revenue declined 32% sequentially to $556 million in Q4 fiscal year 2026, while management expected these markets to return to growth in calendar year 2027.
  • −Two-thirds of Q4 fiscal year 2026 revenue growth came from higher prices and only one-third from higher volumes, making the continuation of record earnings sensitive to the trajectory of NAND pricing. Q1 fiscal year 2027 guidance included only modest price increases, while business not covered by the new business models remains exposed to market price fluctuations.
  • −Customer demand exceeds Sandisk's supply capacity, and the company expects bit allocation to continue beyond calendar year 2027. Holding higher inventory to support the new agreements will also reduce sellable bit growth in fiscal year 2027 to the mid-teens, below the long-term target of the mid-to-high teens.
  • −Q1 fiscal year 2027 guidance indicates a clear slowdown from the previous surge; the revenue range of $10.3–10.8 billion represents sequential growth of approximately 15%–20%, compared with 51% growth in Q4 fiscal year 2026. The expected adjusted gross margin also ranges between 83% and 85%, compared with 84.6% in the previous quarter, with cautious assumptions regarding component costs and an increase in operating expenses to $520–540 million.
  • −The 52-week range of $47.40–2354.39 reflects exceptional valuation risk and volatility, while analysts' targets span from $1200 to $3050, revealing wide disagreement over sustainable earnings. The market response on August 6, 2026 showed that strong results alone were insufficient when the growth outlook fell short of the elevated expectations investors had built, making the stock sensitive to any slowdown in prices or margins.
What is Sandisk's guidance for Q1 fiscal year 2027?

The company expects revenue of between $10.3 and $10.8 billion, supported by bit growth and modest price increases. It expects an adjusted gross margin of between 83% and 85% and adjusted operating expenses of between $520 and $540 million. The adjusted earnings per share range is $44–46 based on 155 million diluted shares. It also expects capital expenditures to approach 6% of fiscal year 2027 revenue as investment in BiCS 8 and BiCS 10 increases.

What are the main operating risks facing Sandisk?

The strength of results depends heavily on NAND prices, as two-thirds of Q4 fiscal year 2026 growth came from pricing rather than volumes. Management expects smartphone and personal computer units to decline by mid-teens percentages during calendar year 2026, while consumer product revenue declined 32% sequentially. Supply shortages limit the ability to meet demand, with bit allocation expected to continue beyond calendar year 2027. Building higher inventory to serve the agreements will also keep sellable bit growth in the mid-teens during fiscal year 2027.

What does Sandisk's share repurchase program mean for shareholders?

The company spent $4.5 billion to repurchase 2.836 million shares during Q4 fiscal year 2026. On August 10, 2026, the board of directors added a $14 billion authorization, bringing the total remaining authorization to $15.5 billion. The program is supported by operating cash flow of $11.7 billion in fiscal year 2026, compared with $84 million in the previous year. However, management emphasized that investment in research and development, BiCS transitions, and the joint venture takes priority over capital returns.