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Stocks
NuScale Power Corporation
SMR

SMR NuScale Power Corporation

NuScale Power Corporation · NYSE
Market Closed
8.60
▼ ⁦-15.73%⁩ (-1.60)
Market Cap$2.6B
Beta2.31
52w Low52w High
7.2157.42
Last Week
⁦-6.62%⁩
Last Month
⁦-9.19%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-28.75%⁩
Last Year
⁦-76.04%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall1
Poor — bottom quartile of the marketSucker StockF 0/8Better than 1% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
2
—17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
18
-81.0%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
14
-35.4%▼4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
37
—2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
—
—2.12%N/A
▸
Momentum
10
-73.2%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
39
7▲3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Current price$8.61
Analyst target · 5 analysts
$11
⁦+22%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$6.00–$16⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 5 analysts setting price target
$11.25
⁦+30.8%⁩
Current Price $8.60·Median $10.50
Low
$6.00
High
$16.00
Current price
$8.60
Average target
$11.25
Street summary

Targets Decline as Divergence Widens

The consensus price target fell to 11.25 from 12 over one day and seven days, and to 11.25 from 12.71 over 30 days, a decline of 11.49%, while the number of analysts remained at five. Although the consensus and median at 11.25 and 10.5 are above the current price of 8.6, the target range between 6 and 16 reflects a clear divergence in outlook; the lower bound is below the current price, while the upper bound is well above it.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-11.5%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.22
Hold
Analyst coverage
18
Buy conviction
33%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 1↓
Target dispersion
116%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time18 analysts rating
1
5
10
1
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.24 → 3.22
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-09-11
    UBS
    NeutralSell
  • = Reiterate2026-08-14
    B. Riley
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-07-22
    Citigroup
    Sell
Premium content
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-05 data

Company Overview

NuScale Power Corporation develops small modular reactor technology, and its business model is based on supplying NuScale Power Module units and providing engineering services within ENTRA1 Energy plants. The company operates as the system integrator and engineer of record, while its commercial partner ENTRA1 builds the plants; its ecosystem includes more than 60 specialized suppliers, and it has entered into agreements with more than half of them. The technology uses conventional low-enriched uranium, and two of the company’s designs have received standard design approvals from the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, while the targeted applications include electricity generation, industrial heat, and hydrogen and ammonia production.

In Q2 of fiscal year 2026, revenue was approximately $0.1 million, compared with $8.1 million in the corresponding period, and management attributed the decline to the completion of Phase 2 Front-End Engineering and Design work for the RoPower project with Fluor in late 2025 and the absence of similar activity in the new period. Management noted that the power plants segment recorded negative revenue and a negative margin due to a settlement related to Fluor, confirming that the settlement does not represent an ongoing trend; however, the revenue base remained extremely limited. The Q1 fiscal year 2026 statements show revenue of $565 thousand and gross profit of $21 thousand, representing a gross margin of approximately 3.7%, with a net loss of $44.0 million, while the trailing twelve-month loss in 2026 was approximately $385.8 million on revenue of $18.7 million.

What's Driving the Stock

  • ENTRA1’s negotiations with Tennessee Valley Authority represent the most important commercial catalyst; management described the discussions as active and advanced, but tied the start of the combined construction and operating license application, Front-End Engineering and Design, and manufacturing contracts to the execution of final power purchase agreements.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • The RoPower project in Doicesti, Romania, which targets the deployment of 6 NuScale units at the site of a former coal-fired power plant, is at the stage of satisfying the conditions for a Nuclearelectrica shareholder vote. Management explained that the next stage is pre-EPC, and that moving into it first requires an agreement between the customer and the main contractor, followed by negotiations between NuScale and an EPC contractor.
  • Management says that critical-path components have reached an advanced level of maturity and that long-lead parts have been in production for two years. The ecosystem includes Doosan Enerbility for heavy components, Framatome for fuel design, and Paragon for safety-related instrumentation and control systems, in addition to agreements signed with more than half of a network comprising more than 60 suppliers.
  • NuScale ended Q2 of fiscal year 2026 with approximately $1.9 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and investments, an increase of $900 million since March 31, 2026. The company is allocating this liquidity to complete design and fuel work, finalize supply-chain agreements, and prepare for working-capital needs when commercial manufacturing begins.
  • According to management, approximately 60% of the combined construction and operating license application prepared for the previous U.S. project can be reused for a new U.S. project, potentially reducing some of the regulatory work once power purchase agreements are signed. The company also opened its twelfth E2 center at University of Virginia’s College at Wise to train plant operators, technicians, and engineers through high-fidelity simulation environments.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +NuScale holds standard design approvals from the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission for two designs and uses conventional low-enriched uranium fuel available from existing suppliers, limiting its dependence on HALEU fuel, which management says is not commercially available at scale.
    • +The supply chain appears to be more advanced than a set of preliminary plans: the company has more than 60 specialized suppliers, agreements with more than half of them, heavy components in production at Doosan, a fuel agreement with Framatome, and a contract with Paragon to complete the final design of safety-related control systems.
    • +Liquidity of approximately $1.9 billion at the end of Q2 of fiscal year 2026 provides the capacity to fund the completion of design, fuel, and supply-chain work before the commercial transition, and this balance increased by $900 million during the quarter.
    • +The VOYGR model could open opportunities beyond electricity sales, as the company presents the use of its units for industrial heat and hydrogen and ammonia production, with the potential for dry cooling and locating the plant near the industrial user due to the approved emergency planning zone cited by management.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Revenue remains highly dependent on specific phases of the RoPower project and Fluor work; Q2 fiscal year 2026 revenue fell to approximately $0.1 million from $8.1 million following the completion of Phase 2 Front-End Engineering and Design work, while a more precise figure of $75 thousand was reported in an August 18, 2026 news item.
    • −The TVA and RoPower opportunities have not yet converted into final contracts generating significant revenue; the start of U.S. licensing, design, and manufacturing activities depends on the execution of power purchase agreements, while RoPower is awaiting an agreement between the customer and the main contractor before NuScale begins negotiations for the next phase.
    • −Losses remain high relative to revenue; the trailing twelve-month loss in 2026 was approximately $385.8 million on revenue of $18.7 million, and the Q1 fiscal year 2026 loss was approximately $44.0 million compared with revenue of $565 thousand.
    • −The power plants segment reported negative revenue and a negative margin in Q2 of fiscal year 2026 due to a settlement with Fluor, while gross profit in Q4 of fiscal year 2025 was negative $61 thousand on revenue of $1.8 million. Even with management describing the Fluor settlement as nonrecurring, these figures reveal the extreme sensitivity of margins when revenue volume declines.
    • −On August 18, 2026, the company announced a $750 million new share offering, an amount equal to approximately 27% of the stated market capitalization of $2.8 billion, creating a material risk of dilution for existing shareholders despite supporting liquidity.
    • −There is no usable price-to-earnings ratio because the company is recording losses, while analyst targets range from $9 to $16 and the 52-week range extends from $7.21 to $57.42, reflecting the substantial uncertainty surrounding the commercial transition. Insiders recorded 3 sales and no purchases during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 27, 2026, for net sales of approximately $633.5 thousand; this is a weak standalone signal because the sales may have been prearranged unless the data indicates otherwise.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is Buy, with an average target of $12, a high target of $16, and a low target of $9; the average is approximately 79% below the 52-week range peak of $57.42, illustrating the scale of the revaluation that followed weak revenue, continued losses, and dilution risk. The price-to-earnings ratio cannot be used because the trailing twelve-month net loss in 2026 was $385.8 million, so the valuation depends primarily on the likelihood of converting TVA and RoPower into contracts and on the $1.9 billion in liquidity, while the $9–$16 target range remains evidence of elevated uncertainty.

    BuyAnalyst target: $12(+39.5%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    Why did SMR revenue collapse in Q2 of fiscal year 2026?

    NuScale’s revenue was approximately $0.1 million in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, compared with $8.1 million in the corresponding period. Management attributed the decline to the completion of Phase 2 Front-End Engineering and Design work with Fluor for the RoPower project in late 2025, with no similar activity in the new period. An August 18, 2026 news item also reported precise revenue of $75 thousand, highlighting the dependence of current revenue on the timing of engineering project phases.

    Why is the TVA project important for NuScale stock?

    ENTRA1 is discussing a final power purchase agreement with Tennessee Valley Authority to use NuScale technology, and management describes the discussions as active and advanced. Once the agreement is executed, NuScale plans to begin the combined construction and operating license application, Front-End Engineering and Design, and manufacturing contract negotiations. Approximately 60% of the license application prepared for the previous U.S. project can be reused, but the final commercial contract remains the necessary catalyst for this work to begin.

    What is the status of the RoPower project in Romania?

    The project targets the deployment of 6 NuScale units in Doicesti at the site of a former coal-fired power plant, and management describes it as the most advanced SMR project in Europe. NuScale successfully completed the Front-End Engineering and Design work as a subcontractor to Fluor and is working with Nuclearelectrica and RoPower to satisfy the conditions of the shareholder resolution. The next phase requires an agreement between the customer and the main contractor before NuScale negotiates with an EPC contractor, and management estimated that the pre-EPC phase would take approximately one year to reach the final notice to proceed.

    Does NuScale have sufficient funding to prepare for manufacturing?

    The company ended Q2 of fiscal year 2026 with approximately $1.9 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and investments, an increase of $900 million since March 31, 2026. Management says this liquidity gives it flexibility to fund the completion of design, fuel, supply-chain agreements, and working capital associated with first-of-a-kind technology. In contrast, the company announced a $750 million share offering on August 18, 2026, which supports funding but introduces the possibility of dilution for existing shareholders.

    What distinguishes NuScale technology from other SMR designs according to the Q2 fiscal year 2026 call?

    NuScale says it is the only company in the SMR sector to have received design certification from the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, with standard approvals for two designs. Its units use conventional low-enriched uranium rather than HALEU, and it is collaborating with Framatome on fuel design, Doosan Enerbility on heavy components, and Paragon on safety-related control systems. The supply chain includes more than 60 suppliers, with agreements signed with more than half of them and long-lead components in production for two years, according to management.

    What are the main financial risks to monitor in SMR?

    The trailing twelve-month net loss in 2026 was approximately $385.8 million compared with revenue of $18.7 million, so there is no usable price-to-earnings ratio. Q2 fiscal year 2026 revenue also fell to approximately $0.1 million due to the completion of the previous Fluor scope of work, while the TVA contracts and the next RoPower phase remain nonfinal. The $750 million share offering adds dilution risk, while analyst targets range from $9 to $16, reflecting a wide divergence in estimates of the commercial transition path.