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Stocks
Smartstop Self Storage REIT Inc
SMA

SMA Smartstop Self Storage REIT Inc

Smartstop Self Storage REIT Inc · NYSE
Market Closed
32.12
▲ ⁦+0.22%⁩ (+0.07)
Market Cap$1.8B
Beta0.50
52w Low52w High
29.4139.77
Last Week
⁦-2.96%⁩
Last Month
⁦-5.50%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+1.87%⁩
Last Year
⁦-11.05%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall11
Poor — bottom quartile of the marketSucker StockF 5/9Better than 11% of Market stocks, per EL7's modelUnsustainable dividend (payout > 100%)
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
23
70.5x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
71
21.1%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
36
3.1%▼4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
38
7.1x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
48
4.21%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
46
-5.7%▼2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
35
33Bottom tier
Fair Value
Current price$32
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$37
⁦+15%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$35–$39⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$13
⁦-59%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$13–$37⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$37.20
⁦+15.8%⁩
Current Price $32.12·Median $37.00
Low
$35.00
High
$39.00
Current price
$32.12
Average target
$37.20
Street summary

Higher consensus target amid a downgrade

The consensus price target rose from 35.33 to 37.20 over the last 30 days, an increase of 1.87 or 5.29%, while remaining unchanged over the last 1 and 7 days. The current target implies an upside of approximately 14.1% above the current price of 32.6, with a target range between 35 and 39; however, the number of analysts remains just one analyst, which limits the significance of the consensus and makes the apparent dispersion of limited generalizability.

As of 2026-09-08
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+4.1%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.73
Buy
Analyst coverage
11
Buy conviction
73%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 1↓
Target dispersion
12%
Analyst ratings over time11 analysts rating
2
6
2
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.80 → 3.73
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-01
    Wells Fargo
    Neutral
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-08-27
    BMO Capital
    OutperformMarket Perform
  • = Reiterate2026-07-24
    Wells Fargo
    Neutral
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    70.49x
    5.03x40.26x
    Expensive
  • Forward P/E
    66.45x
    5.89x47.13x
    Expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    19.43x
    3.68x29.40x
    Above average
  • FCF Yield
    6.2%
    -23.1%16.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    21.1%
    -14.0%37.7%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    297.1%
    -121.8%181.8%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    —
    —
  • ROIC
    3.1%
    -4.2%9.5%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    7.09x
    1.55x12.39x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    4.2%
    0.6%15.6%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    195.9%
    31.2%370.0%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-06 data

Company Overview

SmartStop Self Storage REIT Inc is a real estate investment company specializing in self-storage facilities in the United States and Canada. Its income is generated from operating owned properties, its interests in joint ventures, managing third-party facilities through the SmartStop and Argus platforms, and preferred financing investments linked to properties it manages. In fiscal Q2 2026, the Canadian same-store portfolio comprised 13 stabilized properties spanning 1.1 million square feet in the Greater Toronto Area, while the joint venture with SmartCentres included ten properties spanning 900 thousand square feet.

The latest available EDGAR statements for fiscal Q1 2026 showed revenue of $78.3 million, gross profit of $44.9 million, and net income of $9.6 million, equivalent to a calculated gross margin of approximately 57.3%. By comparison, fiscal 2025 revenue was approximately $281.1 million and gross profit was $172.5 million, while the company recorded a net loss of $8.8 million; the twelve months ended in fiscal 2026 recorded revenue of $294.0 million and net income of $12.8 million.

In fiscal Q2 2026, same-store property revenue increased 1.3%, while operating expenses declined 3.4%, resulting in a 3.7% increase in net operating income and a 150-basis-point expansion in the same-store operating margin to 67.3%. Quarter-end occupancy was 92.4%, and diluted adjusted FFO per share was $0.49, up 17.6% year over year. Within the operating mix, revenue from the Canadian same-store portfolio declined 1% in constant currency, while the Canadian joint venture properties delivered revenue growth of 6.7% and net operating income growth of 9.4%.

What's Driving the Stock

  • On August 6, 2026, management raised its same-store property revenue growth guidance range from negative 0.25%–1.75% to 0.5%–1.5% and lowered its operating expense growth guidance range from 1.75%–3.75% to 0.25%–1.25%, raising the midpoint of net operating income growth guidance from negative 0.25% to positive 1.15%.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • The company raised its adjusted FFO per share guidance for fiscal 2026 from $1.94–2.04 to $1.98–2.04 after this metric grew 17.6% to $0.49 in fiscal Q2 2026, supported by lower expenses and margin improvement for the second consecutive quarter.
  • July 2026 data showed improving demand, with online reservations up 0.7% and new rentals up 7.2%, while online asking rates increased approximately 1% year over year and promotional use declined; however, actual move-in rates remained approximately 5% lower, and occupancy was approximately 65 basis points lower at 92.1%.
  • SmartStop raised its capital deployment guidance for fiscal 2026 to $55–75 million after acquiring three properties in Spartanburg for approximately $30 million, deploying $16.3 million in a preferred investment with a double-digit yield, and simultaneously reducing cash-flow leverage to 6.2 times.
  • The preferred financing investment portfolio totaled approximately $20 million across six properties as of June 30, 2026, followed by an additional $3 million preferred investment after quarter-end, with a blended yield slightly below 11%. Management says the opportunity pipeline exceeds $100 million with targeted yields between 10% and 14%, while these investments also generate third-party management contracts and may open a path to future acquisitions.
  • The multi-year DECA initiative aims to increase value through execution discipline, margin expansion, and accelerated adjusted FFO growth. One early indicator of the impact of scale is that the company's presence in Denver increased from nine properties to more than 50 owned and managed properties following the integration of Argus, while Denver margins have expanded by 430 basis points since the start of fiscal 2026.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Net income shifted from a loss of $8.8 million in fiscal 2025 to a profit of $12.8 million during the twelve months ended in fiscal 2026, alongside fiscal Q1 2026 profit reaching $9.6 million.
    • +The improvement in operating efficiency was evident in fiscal Q2 2026: same-store property expenses declined 3.4%, the margin expanded 150 basis points to 67.3%, and adjusted FFO per share grew 17.6%.
    • +Multiple growth channels provide a mix of acquisitions, managed properties, joint ventures, and preferred financing; recurring revenue from the managed REIT fund platform grew 14%, while the blended yield on the preferred financing portfolio was slightly below 11%.
    • +Local density provides additional room for margin expansion, as management sees an improvement of approximately 300 basis points in markets with ten or more properties, while Denver has already achieved a 430-basis-point expansion since the start of fiscal 2026 after the platform's footprint there increased.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Underlying pricing indicators remain weak despite the improvement in July 2026; online asking rates declined 3.8% during fiscal Q2 2026, and achieved move-in rates per square foot fell 4.4%, then remained approximately 5% lower in July 2026.
    • −Occupancy declined to 92.1% in July 2026, approximately 65 basis points lower year over year, and management expects occupancy to remain slightly below fiscal 2025 levels. The guidance also assumes the possibility of periods of volatility during the slower season, which may limit the ability to reach the upper end of the revenue growth range.
    • −The Canadian portfolio faces concentrated pressure in the Greater Toronto Area; the 1.1-million-square-foot same-store portfolio is located entirely in this region, and its revenue declined 1% in constant currency in fiscal Q2 2026. This coincides with significant overlap with the PS Canada assets being acquired by Public Storage, and management has acknowledged that the environment will become more competitive.
    • −There are local real estate and execution risks in Asheville, where occupancy was approximately 230 basis points lower year over year in fiscal Q2 2026, and management expects the market to continue underperforming the portfolio through the end of fiscal Q3 2026. Approximately 80% of one property and approximately 20% of a second property were also subject to condemnation proceedings, while replacing the flood-damaged property requires reconstruction that will not begin before early 2027 and may not be delivered before late 2027 or early 2028.
    • −Pricing regulation remains an industry risk; management is monitoring restrictions related to pricing algorithms in the United States, while Montreal has also faced regulatory concerns regarding the clarity of discounts, fees, and subsequent rates. Although there is no direct exposure to the affected areas in New York City, broader adoption of these rules could constrain the flexibility of the company's revenue management system.
    • −Insiders recorded four sales and no purchases during the three months ended with the latest transaction on August 17, 2026, for net sales of 77,515 shares. This is only a secondary signal and does not outweigh the operational risks, because the data does not specify the reasons for the transactions, and the insider sales may have been prearranged.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $37.2, within a range of $35 to $39, with the consensus rated "Buy." The average is approximately 6.5% below the 52-week range high of $39.77, while the data does not provide a valid comparable P/E ratio; therefore, analyst valuation relies more on improving FFO, margins, and guidance, balanced against the risks of weak move-in rates, occupancy, and Canadian competition.

    BuyAnalyst target: $37.2(+15.8%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-01; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove SmartStop's growth in fiscal Q2 2026?

    Same-store property revenue increased 1.3%, while operating expenses declined 3.4%, resulting in a 3.7% increase in net operating income. This led to a 150-basis-point expansion in the same-store operating margin to 67.3%. Diluted adjusted FFO per share also increased 17.6% year over year to $0.49.

    What is SMA's updated guidance for fiscal 2026?

    On August 6, 2026, management raised the same-store property revenue growth range to 0.5%–1.5% from negative 0.25%–1.75%. It lowered the operating expense growth range to 0.25%–1.25%, raising the midpoint of net operating income growth guidance to positive 1.15%. It also raised the adjusted FFO per share range to $1.98–2.04, while keeping the midpoint of the range closer to management's preferred estimate.

    How does Canada contribute to SmartStop's business?

    The Canadian same-store portfolio includes 13 stabilized properties spanning 1.1 million square feet, all located in the Greater Toronto Area. Revenue from this group declined 1% in constant currency in fiscal Q2 2026, and its occupancy was 92.2% at the end of July 2026. In contrast, the ten properties in the joint venture with SmartCentres, spanning 900 thousand square feet, delivered revenue growth of 6.7% and net operating income growth of 9.4%.

    What is the significance of the Argus platform and preferred financing investments?

    The Argus transaction expanded SmartStop's presence in Denver from nine properties to more than 50 owned and managed properties and helped increase market margins by 430 basis points since the start of fiscal 2026. The preferred financing portfolio totaled approximately $20 million across six properties as of June 30, 2026, followed by an additional $3 million transaction after quarter-end, with a blended yield slightly below 11%. Six properties added to the management platform during fiscal Q2 2026 were linked to financing program clients, illustrating the connection between financing returns and management fees.

    What are the main demand and pricing pressures facing SMA?

    Achieved move-in rates per square foot declined 4.4% during fiscal Q2 2026, while online asking rates fell 3.8%. In July 2026, asking rates improved approximately 1%, and new rentals increased 7.2%, but move-in rates remained approximately 5% lower. July 2026 ended with occupancy of 92.1%, approximately 65 basis points lower year over year, keeping the balance between pricing and occupancy central to results.

    What is the impact of Asheville and the Los Angeles County wildfire restrictions on performance?

    Asheville occupancy was 91.8%, with a year-over-year gap averaging approximately 230 basis points during fiscal Q2 2026, so management expects the market to continue underperforming the portfolio through the end of fiscal Q3 2026. Approximately 80% of one Asheville property and approximately 20% of another property were subject to condemnation proceedings, while the company plans to begin rebuilding a flood-destroyed property in early 2027 with approximately 83% more capacity than the original. Meanwhile, the seven properties affected by ECRI restrictions related to the Los Angeles County wildfires recorded a 2% decline in same-store property revenue during the quarter, and management expects them to return to positive growth after the restrictions are lifted during the remainder of fiscal 2026.