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Stocks
Sun Life Financial Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall75
Strong — clearly above market medianSuper StockF 4/6Better than 75% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
66
17.6x17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
24
1.3%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
79
——Top tier
▸
Safety
10
——Bottom tier
▸
Capital Return
43
3.11%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
95
41.4%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
90
8▲3Top tier
SLF

SLF Sun Life Financial Inc.

Sun Life Financial Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
79.67
▲ ⁦+0.14%⁩ (+0.11)
Market Cap$44.1B
Beta0.80
52w Low52w High
57.2284.38
Last Week
⁦+0.26%⁩
Last Month
⁦-1.15%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+6.34%⁩
Last Year
⁦+36.30%⁩
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$80
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$88
⁦+10%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$88–$88⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$135
⁦+69%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$88–$135⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$88.00
⁦+10.5%⁩
Current Price $79.67·Median $88.00
Low
$88.00
High
$88.00
Street summary

Target Raised as Analyst Count Declines

The consensus price target rose from 81 to 88 over the last 30 days, an increase of 7 or 8.64%, while remaining at 88 over the last 7 days. The current price of 79.67 makes the current target approximately 10.45% higher, but the target range does not reflect dispersion because it spans from 88 to 88, with the current rating based on just one analyst.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+8.6%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.29
Hold
Analyst coverage
14
Buy conviction
43%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time14 analysts rating
2
4
6
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.44 → 3.29
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-02
    UBS
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-08-10
    RBC Capital
    Sector Perform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-10
    Scotiabank
    Sector Perform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    17.65x
    3.16x25.26x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    —
    —
  • EV / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • FCF Yield
    —
    —
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    1.3%
    -36.3%104.2%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    4.8%
    -99.4%194.2%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    —
    —
  • ROIC
    —
    —
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    3.1%
    0.6%9.0%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    59.6%
    9.8%97.8%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-07 data

Company Overview

Sun Life Financial operates in insurance, wealth management, and asset management across Canada, Asia, and the United States, combining individual insurance, health and risk solutions, medical stop-loss insurance, and dental coverage, alongside traditional and alternative investment management through MFS, SLC Management, Crescent, Pantheon, and Aditya Birla Sun Life Asset Management. Its earnings are generated from underwriting and insurance results, fee-earning assets under management, and new investment inflows, while its geographic reach and diversified distribution channels reduce dependence on any single business.

In fiscal year 2025, revenue increased to $41.9 billion from $38.8 billion in fiscal year 2024, an increase of approximately 8%, and net income rose to $3.8 billion from $3.3 billion, while earnings per share increased to 6.15 from 5.26. In Q2 fiscal year 2026, underlying net income was C$1.12 billion versus C$1.02 billion a year earlier, and underlying earnings per share were C$2.02, up 13%, while reported net income reached C$1.01 billion versus C$716 million.

Growth in Q2 fiscal year 2026 was broad-based: Canada recorded record underlying net income of C$427 million, up 23%, underlying net income in Asia increased 21%, and in the United States it increased 15%, while Sun Life Asset Management generated underlying net income of C$262 million, up 4%. Underlying return on equity was 19.1%, and total contractual service margin reached C$15.3 billion, up 12%, with no disclosure in the data of a consolidated gross revenue margin.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Insurance sales increased 20% in Q2 fiscal year 2026, driven by Asia and the United States; individual insurance sales in Asia reached C$875 million, up 20%, while Hong Kong sales increased 20% and Indonesia sales increased 69%, supported by partnership momentum with CIMB Niaga.
  • The medical stop-loss insurance business in the United States recorded 86% year-over-year sales growth, with loss ratios remaining within the target range in the mid-seventies, while premiums increased 25%; management attributed the performance to a firm market, pricing and underwriting discipline, and advanced analytics models for risk selection.
  • Net asset management flows and wealth sales improved by C$16.3 billion, and the platform raised $4.7 billion and deployed $6.2 billion, increases of 8% and 42%, respectively. Crescent closed the largest direct lending transaction in its history, with $10.8 billion of investable capital, and together with Pantheon closed a $3.2 billion private credit continuation vehicle during the first half of fiscal year 2026.
  • The large fixed-income mandate won by Aditya Birla Sun Life Asset Management doubled its assets under management to $113 billion, while MFS exchange-traded fund assets doubled since the beginning of fiscal year 2026 to $3 billion, with retail inflows of $0.6 billion and the launch of two exchange-traded funds during the quarter.
  • The LICAT ratio at the end of Q2 fiscal year 2026 was approximately 145%, and the company maintained C$2.3 billion of liquidity at the holding company level. It also returned half a billion Canadian dollars to shareholders through dividends and repurchased 0.8 million shares after renewing a program authorizing the repurchase of up to 10 million shares.
  • The Bell transaction closed at the beginning of July 2026 for a total value of slightly less than C$400 million, approximately 80% of which was paid through the issuance of 3.6 million shares. According to management on August 7, 2026, the acquired business will begin contributing to earnings in Q3 fiscal year 2026.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The earnings trajectory depends on more than one driver; in Q2 fiscal year 2026, underlying net income increased 23% in Canada, 21% in Asia, and 15% in the United States, supporting 13% growth in underlying earnings per share, above the company's medium-term target of 10%.
  • +The insurance base supports future earnings; total contractual service margin increased 12% to C$15.3 billion, while contractual service margin in Asia exceeded C$7 billion, an increase of more than 90% since the adoption of IFRS 17.
  • +Momentum in private credit and wealth management represents an opportunity to increase assets and fees; capital raising reached $4.7 billion and deployment reached $6.2 billion during the quarter, while Canadian wealth sales increased 60% and assets under management and administration in Canada reached C$286 billion, up 18%.
  • +The balance sheet gives the company flexibility to fund growth and return capital; the LICAT ratio was approximately 145%, book value per share increased 3% to C$42.49, leverage was 23.8%, and the organic capital generation ratio reached 41%, exceeding the guidance range of 30% to 40%.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus on SLF is Neutral, with an average price target of $81 and identical high and low targets at the same level; therefore, the target range does not provide sufficient diversity of views. The target is below the 52-week range high of $84.38 and above its low of $57.22, while the available data do not permit a reliable comparison based on the earnings multiple; consequently, the valuation rationale depends primarily on 13% underlying earnings growth and a 19.1% underlying return on equity, balanced against risks related to dental, MFS flows, and Asia margins.

HoldAnalyst target: $81(+1.7%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-27; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove Sun Life's earnings growth in Q2 fiscal year 2026?

Underlying net income was C$1.12 billion versus C$1.02 billion a year earlier, and underlying earnings per share increased 13% to C$2.02. Canada recorded record underlying net income of C$427 million, up 23%, while underlying net income increased 21% in Asia and 15% in the United States. Growth in insurance, improved credit experience in Asia, favorable insurance and investment results, and momentum at SLC Management contributed to this performance.

Is growth in the medical stop-loss insurance business in the United States sustainable?

Medical stop-loss insurance sales increased 86%, and premiums rose 25% year over year in Q2 fiscal year 2026. Management reported that loss ratios remained within the target range in the mid-seventies and that the business cohort that began on January 1, 2025 was 97% complete and in line with expectations. However, the January 1, 2026 cohort was only approximately 15% complete as of August 7, 2026, so the assessment of its actual experience remained at an early stage.

What is the main problem in Sun Life's U.S. dental business?

Medicaid membership declined 9% in Q2 fiscal year 2026 as unprofitable contracts were terminated and industry-wide volume pressures continued. In contrast, commercial dental sales increased 10%, and loss ratios improved due to pricing, portfolio management, and expense control. Management said that the transition to a more stable earnings mix will take one to two years, and that the government dental business will become a smaller component and remain difficult for several years.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −The government dental business in the United States faces material pressure; Medicaid membership declined 9% due to the termination of unprofitable contracts and industry dynamics, and management acknowledged that volume pressures will not be fully offset in the near term and that this business will remain challenging for several years.
  • −MFS continues to record elevated outflows due to investors shifting from active U.S. equity management to strategies with lower tracking error, alongside continued pressure on fee rates. Despite the growth of its exchange-traded funds, these pressures may constrain growth in fee-earning assets and asset management profitability.
  • −The contractual service margin for new business in Asia declined year over year despite sales growth, and new business value was C$277 million, while management described current margins in Hong Kong as being in the mid-thirties and below the prior year's levels due to competition, mix, and pricing. This means that sales volume growth does not necessarily translate into comparable growth in new business earnings.
  • −Sales to visitors from mainland China represent approximately 30% of Hong Kong sales, and account-opening processes are subject to greater bank scrutiny following new requirements. Although management did not expect a material impact on the high-net-worth business, as this segment contributes no more than 10% there, the concentration of a meaningful portion of Hong Kong sales among cross-border customers creates regulatory and flow sensitivity.
  • −SLC Management flows remain institutional and volatile depending on the timing of fund closings, while fee-related revenue and earnings were nearly flat year over year despite improved flows in Q2 fiscal year 2026. Expanding the operating margin to more than 30% and then to the mid-thirties or higher within five years depends on asset growth and realizing expense efficiencies after platform consolidation.
  • −The analyst consensus on the stock is Neutral, and the sole target of $81 lacks dispersion among estimates from multiple institutions, as the high, low, and average targets are identical. This target is only $3.38 below the 52-week range high of $84.38, limiting its strength as an independent upside anchor compared with the operational risks in dental, MFS, and Asia margins.
How are Sun Life's businesses in Asia and Hong Kong developing?

Individual insurance sales in Asia reached C$875 million in Q2 fiscal year 2026, up 20%, while Hong Kong sales increased 20% and Indonesia sales increased 69%. The number of Hong Kong advisors expanded 28% to approximately 4,000 advisors, while the CIMB Niaga agreement supported momentum in Indonesia. However, the contractual service margin for new business declined year over year to C$277 million, as competition, mix, and pricing kept Hong Kong margins in the mid-thirties.

How important is asset management to the SLF thesis?

Sun Life Asset Management generated underlying net income of C$262 million in Q2 fiscal year 2026, up 4%. The platform raised $4.7 billion and deployed $6.2 billion, while Crescent closed a direct lending transaction with $10.8 billion of investable capital and a $3.2 billion private credit continuation vehicle with Pantheon. In contrast, outflows from MFS continued due to pressure on active equity management, despite its exchange-traded fund assets reaching $3 billion after doubling since the beginning of fiscal year 2026.

Is Sun Life's capital position strong enough to support dividends and repurchases?

Sun Life ended Q2 fiscal year 2026 with a LICAT ratio of 145% and C$2.3 billion of liquidity at the holding company. Leverage was 23.8%, and organic capital generation reached 41%, exceeding the company's guidance range of 30% to 40%. The company returned half a billion Canadian dollars through common share dividends and repurchased 0.8 million shares under a program authorizing the repurchase of up to 10 million shares.