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Stocks
SkyWest, Inc.
SKYW

SKYW SkyWest, Inc.

SkyWest, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
96.14
▲ ⁦+0.38%⁩ (+0.36)
Market Cap$3.8B
Beta1.44
52w Low52w High
77.89123.67
Last Week
⁦+1.24%⁩
Last Month
⁦-15.25%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+17.39%⁩
Last Year
⁦-21.52%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall89
Excellent — top fifth of the marketContrarianF 8/9DistressBetter than 89% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
93
9.5x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
63
9.1%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
92
8.2%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
61
2.6x▲2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
77
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
43
-5.4%▼2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
24
4▲3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$96
Analyst target · 4 analysts
$108
⁦+12%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$108–$108⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$222
⁦+131%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦10.8⁩% discount · ⁦2⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$108–$222⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 4 analysts setting price target
$108.00
⁦+12.3%⁩
Current Price $96.14·Median $108.00
Low
$108.00
High
$108.00
Street summary

SkyWest (SKYW) Price Target Analysis

SkyWest stock shows a rare state of complete consensus in analyst estimates, with the price target remaining stable at $108 with no change over the past thirty days, and zero dispersion among the four analysts (highest and lowest target $108). This price stability comes despite varying qualitative ratings, as the stock is currently trading at $100.93, reflecting expectations of a limited upside of approximately 7%.

As of 2026-08-26
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.67
Buy
Analyst coverage
6
Buy conviction
67%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time6 analysts rating
4
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.83 → 3.67
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-24
    TD Cowen
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-07-02
    TD Cowen
    Buy
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-07-02
    Goldman Sachs
    Neutral
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    9.49x
    5.69x45.54x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    8.54x
    4.57x36.58x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    7.00x
    3.43x27.47x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    24.3%
    -32.7%11.5%
    Exceptional
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    9.1%
    -10.7%43.4%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    3.1%
    -128.3%132.7%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    98.6%
    8.6%54.6%
    Exceptional
  • ROIC
    8.2%
    -25.3%19.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    2.55x
    0.55x4.37x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    1.79
    -5.667.97
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-23 data

Company Overview

SkyWest operates as a regional air carrier through four revenue streams: contract flying for major airlines, prorate flying, leasing, and charter flying. Its model relies on operating E175 and CRJ fleets for partners including United, Delta, American, and Alaska, while directing investments toward E175 aircraft and converting CRJ700 and CRJ200 aircraft into dual-class CRJ550 and CRJ450 aircraft.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, revenue reached $1.1 billion, up 7% from Q2 fiscal 2025 and 9% from Q1 fiscal 2026. The mix consisted of $864 million in contract revenue, $201 million from prorate and charter flying, and $38 million from leasing and other revenue; accordingly, contract operations represented approximately 78% of total reported revenue.

Q2 fiscal 2026 generated GAAP net income of $101 million, or $2.54 per diluted share, and pre-tax income of $139 million, up 29% from Q1 fiscal 2026. The results included the recognition of $27 million in deferred revenue, while $214 million in cumulative deferred revenue remained to be recognized in future periods; the provided data did not include a gross profit figure or gross margin for the quarter.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Management expects block hours to grow approximately 5% in fiscal 2026 compared with fiscal 2025, after increasing 9% between Q1 and Q2 fiscal 2026, and expects a further modest increase in Q3 fiscal 2026.
  • On July 23, 2026, SkyWest entered into an agreement with American to purchase and operate 11 new E175 aircraft, with four aircraft scheduled for late Q4 fiscal 2026 and seven aircraft in the first half of fiscal 2027. The company expects to add 34 E175 aircraft through the end of fiscal 2028 and reach a total fleet of 300 E175 aircraft by the end of fiscal 2027.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Converting the fleet to dual-class aircraft represents an additional growth driver; 36 of the 50 CRJ550 aircraft contracted with United were in service as of June 30, 2026, with the remaining fourteen aircraft expected to enter service during fiscal 2026. The company also plans to convert four to six aircraft per month into CRJ450 aircraft beginning in fall 2026, and it has an initial contract to operate 40 aircraft with United and an opportunity that management believes could reach 100 aircraft.
  • Management is targeting GAAP earnings per share of approximately $11 for fiscal 2026, assuming an average jet fuel price of $3.65 per gallon during the second half and consumption of 28 million gallons in prorate operations. It expects Q3 fiscal 2026 to be seasonally the strongest, followed by a modest decline in Q4 earnings.
  • SkyWest generated more than $460 million in EBITDA during the first half of fiscal 2026, reduced debt by approximately $100 million since the end of fiscal 2025, invested more than $240 million in the fleet and related assets, and repurchased $150 million of shares. On July 23, 2026, the board of directors added $250 million to the existing repurchase authorization, in addition to the $63 million remaining as of June 30, 2026.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The core business demonstrated clear operating momentum in Q2 fiscal 2026, with revenue growth of 7% year over year, a 9% sequential increase in block hours, and approximately 228 thousand flights completed at an adjusted completion rate of 99.9%.
    • +The E175 orders provide multi-year growth visibility; SkyWest has 67 firm aircraft orders with Embraer, including 34 allocated to major partners and 33 not yet allocated, with contractual flexibility to defer or cancel aircraft not associated with a partner.
    • +Capital allocation combines fleet expansion, debt reduction, and share repurchases; in Q2 fiscal 2026, the company repaid $122 million of debt, spent $139 million on capital expenditures, and repurchased 833 thousand shares for $75 million, while retaining $601 million in cash as of June 30, 2026.
    • +Demand for prorate operations remained strong, and the company added ten aircraft to its prorate agreements during Q2 fiscal 2026, while fare increases offset approximately 60% of the impact of higher fuel prices on the unsubsidized portion of these operations.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −A significant part of SkyWest's model depends on its relationships with major airlines; contract revenue was $864 million, or approximately 78% of Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue, and the allocated E175 orders were distributed among United, Delta, American, and Alaska. Therefore, changes in demand, contract terms, or fleet allocation decisions by these partners could materially affect production and profitability.
    • −Fuel poses a direct risk to prorate operations; its expense increased to $61 million in Q2 fiscal 2026 from $28 million a year earlier, due to an unfavorable price impact of $21 million and higher production costing $12 million. The price per gallon rose to $4.45 from $2.88, while fare increases offset only approximately 60% of the impact of higher fuel prices, and management made its fiscal 2026 earnings outlook conditional on ongoing fuel price volatility.
    • −The fleet plan requires high capital expenditures estimated at approximately $700 million in fiscal 2026, nearly half of which relates to 13 new E175 aircraft. The company will finance 11 new aircraft with debt during the second half of fiscal 2026, which could slow the pace of deleveraging despite management's expectation that debt will continue trending downward in subsequent years.
    • −The company faces constraints in the third-party maintenance network, including labor and parts shortages, and approximately three dual-class CRJ aircraft were still undergoing heavy maintenance after being removed from long-term storage. These constraints could delay returning aircraft to service or make it more difficult to increase utilization, even though fiscal 2026 maintenance expense is expected to remain near the fiscal 2025 level.
    • −SkyWest will gradually return approximately 19 lower-margin CRJ900 aircraft owned by Delta over the coming years, while 33 aircraft from the firm E175 order were not allocated to a partner as of July 23, 2026. The order terms provide flexibility to defer or cancel, but generating returns from these aircraft remains dependent on finding suitable operating arrangements.
    • −Insider activity recorded a strong_sell signal during the three months ended with the latest transaction on August 3, 2026, with nine sales, no purchases, and net sales of $12.9 million. This remains a weak trading signal compared with operational risks because insider sales may be prearranged unless the provided data states otherwise.

    Valuation

    Analyst consensus rates SKYW as "Buy," with an average price target of $108, while the highest and lowest targets both equal $108, so the provided targets show no range of variation. This target is below the 52-week range high of $123.67 and above its low of $77.89, while the width of the range reflects valuation sensitivity to fuel volatility, fleet capital expenditures, and demand strength; the provided data did not include a valid earnings multiple that could be used as an additional anchor.

    BuyAnalyst target: $108(+12.3%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    How did SkyWest perform in Q2 fiscal 2026?

    Revenue reached $1.1 billion, up 7% from Q2 fiscal 2025 and 9% from Q1 fiscal 2026. GAAP net income was approximately $101 million, or $2.54 per diluted share, with pre-tax income of $139 million. The company also completed approximately 228 thousand flights at an adjusted completion rate of 99.9%, while block hours increased 9% sequentially.

    What is the significance of SkyWest's agreement with American announced on July 23, 2026?

    The agreement provides for the purchase and operation of 11 new E175 aircraft to replace 11 CRJ700 aircraft operated by SkyWest for American. Four aircraft are scheduled for delivery in late Q4 fiscal 2026 and seven aircraft in the first half of fiscal 2027. SkyWest intends to redeploy the replaced CRJ700 aircraft through prorate contracts, capacity purchase agreements, or leasing arrangements with one of its major partners.

    What is SkyWest's outlook for fiscal 2026?

    Management expects block hours to increase approximately 5% from fiscal 2025 and GAAP earnings per share of approximately $11. The earnings outlook is based on an average fuel price of $3.65 per gallon and consumption of 28 million gallons in prorate operations during the second half of fiscal 2026. It also expects Q3 fiscal 2026 to be seasonally the strongest, with Q4 earnings declining modestly from that level.

    How do higher fuel prices affect SkyWest's prorate operations?

    Prorate fuel expense was approximately $61 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, compared with $28 million in the corresponding quarter of fiscal 2025. The price per gallon rose to $4.45 from $2.88, adding an unfavorable price impact of $21 million, along with $12 million associated with higher production. Fare increases offset approximately 60% of the impact of the higher price per gallon, so the fiscal 2026 earnings outlook remained exposed to fuel volatility.

    How is SkyWest executing its fleet modernization plan?

    The company expects to add 34 E175 aircraft through the end of fiscal 2028 and reach 300 E175 aircraft by the end of fiscal 2027. As of June 30, 2026, 36 of the 50 CRJ550 aircraft contracted with United were in service, with the remaining fourteen aircraft expected to enter service during fiscal 2026. It also plans to convert four to six aircraft per month into CRJ450 aircraft beginning in fall 2026, utilizing more than 30 parked CRJ200 aircraft.

    What are SkyWest's capital allocation priorities during fiscal 2026?

    The company allocates cash flows among fleet investment, debt reduction, and share repurchases. During the first half of fiscal 2026, it generated more than $460 million in EBITDA, invested more than $240 million in the fleet and related assets, and repurchased $150 million of shares. In Q2 alone, it repaid $122 million of debt, while the board of directors added $250 million to the share repurchase authorization on July 23, 2026.