EL7.AI
Strategy BuilderCOT DataAdvanced NewsResearchNewEarnings CalendarEconomic Calendar
We use cookiesPrivacy Policy
EL7.AIEL7.AI

AI Financial Intelligence
Professional analysis of central bank decisions

© 2026 EL7.AI. All rights reserved.

Markets

  • News
  • Forex
  • Stocks
  • Crypto
  • Gold
  • Commodities
  • Indices
  • ETFs

Analysis

  • Fed
  • ECB
  • BLS
  • COT
  • Economic Calendar

Learn

  • Service Guide
  • Oil

Company

  • About
  • Contact
  • Data Methodology
  • AI Disclosure
  • Pricing
  • Enterprise
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Security
  • WhatsApp
Status data is currently unavailable

The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

Home
Stocks
Champion Homes, Inc.
SKY

SKY Champion Homes, Inc.

Champion Homes, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
83.16
▲ ⁦+1.72%⁩ (+1.41)
Market Cap$4.5B
Beta1.00
52w Low52w High
63.6999.17
Last Week
⁦-3.37%⁩
Last Month
⁦-10.57%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+12.94%⁩
Last Year
⁦+11.28%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall76
Strong — clearly above market medianSuper StockF 8/9SafeBetter than 76% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
54
22.7x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
19
4.5%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
66
11.6%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
91
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
79
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
52
27.1%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
44
33Around median
Fair Value
Current price$83
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$109
⁦+31%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$99–$115⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$90
⁦+8%⁩
Sees it undervalued
⁦8.8⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$90–$109⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

Compare in the screener
Premium content

Get Your Premium Account Now

  • Stock Deep Analysis
  • The Advanced News Platform
Recommended
Annual plan
$17/mo
Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$107.67
⁦+29.5%⁩
Current Price $83.16·Median $109.00
Low
$99.00
High
$115.00
Current price
$83.16
Average target
$107.67
Street summary

Analyst Outlook Update for Champion Homes (SKY)

Bullish tilt

Champion Homes stock has seen a notable positive shift in analyst ratings over the past thirty days, with the average price target rising by 12.54% to reach $107.67 compared to $95.67 in mid-July. This increase reflects growing confidence in the company's performance, particularly with the stock's rating upgrade by Zelman to "Outperform" on August 6, 2026, and its inclusion among bullish institutions such as Barclays, UBS, and RBC Capital, which have maintained their buy recommendations.

As of 2026-08-13
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.33
Buy
Analyst coverage
6
Buy conviction
83%
High
Target dispersion
19%
Analyst ratings over time6 analysts rating
3
2
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.40 → 4.33
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-06
    Barclays
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-06
    UBS
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-06
    RBC Capital
    Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    22.72x
    4.56x36.49x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    23.53x
    3.79x30.29x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    12.65x
    2.75x22.03x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    6.0%
    -30.9%16.2%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    4.5%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -2.7%
    -156.9%135.6%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    26.4%
    12.0%66.5%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    11.6%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    7.43
    -2.656.14
    Exceptional
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-05 data

Company Overview

Champion Homes (SKY) produces manufactured homes and off-site-built housing units, including HUD models, modular homes, multi-section models, and cabins. It generates revenue through a diversified network comprising independent dealers, company-owned retail stores, residential community operators, builders, and developers; the company-owned retail channel represented approximately 35% of consolidated sales in the first quarter of fiscal 2027, compared with 34% a year earlier. Following the closing of the Homes Direct acquisition on August 1, 2026, the network comprised 95 company-owned retail stores, including 11 Homes Direct stores in the western United States, with a strategic focus on expanding direct-to-consumer sales.

In the first quarter of fiscal 2027 ended June 27, 2026, net sales increased 1.3% year over year to $710.2 million, and gross profit according to EDGAR data was approximately $179.3 million, equivalent to a gross margin of about 25.2%, while net income was $49.2 million and earnings per share were $0.89. On an adjusted basis, the company recorded net income of $48.3 million and diluted earnings per share of $0.88, while adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization were $73.6 million at a 10.4% margin. Champion sold 7,089 homes in the United States, an increase of 1.8%, while units sold in Canada declined to 185 homes from 250 due to weather-related disruptions.

In fiscal 2026, Champion Homes generated revenue of $2.7 billion, gross profit of $704.3 million, net income of $206.9 million, and earnings per share of $3.66. In the first quarter of fiscal 2027, manufacturing capacity utilization increased to 62% from 59% in the previous quarter, and operating cash flow reached $72.5 million. The company ended the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $784.7 million, after benefiting from approximately C$189.1 million from the ECN transaction, and used part of that liquidity to fund the Homes Direct acquisition.

What's Driving the Stock

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

The manufacturing backlog increased to $421.8 million at the end of the first quarter of fiscal 2027, compared with $302 million a year earlier, while delivery time was approximately nine weeks, within the target range of four to 12 weeks; this prompted the company to increase production in markets that experienced growth.
  • The company outperformed the HUD home market during the three months ended May 2026: its U.S. home sales increased 1.8%, while industry shipments declined by approximately 5%. Sales to independent dealers also increased 4%, and the builders and developers business improved, while the off-site construction event in York, Nebraska attracted more than 150 participants.
  • Management expects mid-single-digit organic revenue growth in the second quarter of fiscal 2027 compared with the prior period, supported by higher orders and backlog. This guidance does not include a contribution from Homes Direct, which management described as limited in that quarter due to the transaction closing on August 1, 2026, but it will be incremental to the guidance.
  • Homes Direct generated approximately $70 million in sales across 11 locations before the acquisition. Champion was the primary supplier to one location adjacent to its facility in Chandler, while the other ten locations rely on suppliers in a manner similar to traditional dealers, providing a gradual opportunity to shift their purchases to Champion products.
  • The 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act became effective on July 10, 2026, and supports the development of HUD homes without a permanent steel chassis, potentially expanding product use among builders, developers, and areas that previously preferred modular construction. However, management does not expect an impact in fiscal 2027 because HUD rulemaking, engineering, transportation, installation, and local adoption could take a year or more.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The backlog increased by approximately 40% year over year to $421.8 million, alongside an increase in manufacturing capacity utilization to 62%, providing better visibility into production and revenue while delivery time remains within the target operating range.
    • +Champion demonstrated an ability to gain market share in a weak environment, as U.S. home sales increased 1.8% while HUD industry shipments declined by approximately 5% during the three months ended May 2026, and the independent dealer channel also achieved growth of 4%.
    • +Liquidity of $784.7 million and operating cash flow of $72.5 million in the first quarter of fiscal 2027 provide flexibility to fund expansion, acquisitions, and capital returns. The company repurchased $50 million of shares during the quarter, bringing total repurchases since the program began in fiscal 2025 to $330 million, or 8% of shares outstanding.
    • +The Homes Direct acquisition strengthens the direct-to-consumer sales strategy and expands the company-owned retail network to 95 stores, with an opportunity to gradually increase Champion supply to ten locations that had worked with other manufacturers. The company-owned retail contribution increased to 35% of consolidated sales, and this channel generates a higher price per unit than wholesale.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Consumer affordability remains under pressure, and interest rates remain high compared with historical levels; this has been reflected in some buyers shifting toward lower-priced entry-level models, particularly within the multi-section home category, which could limit pricing and the profit mix.
    • −Material costs remain elevated, and pricing actions lag cost increases. The company expects an adjusted gross margin of between 25% and 26% in the second quarter of fiscal 2027, and analyst discussion indicated that the guidance includes pressure of approximately 200 basis points, despite the impact of pricing actions and efficiency measures beginning to emerge.
    • −Revenue growth in the first quarter of fiscal 2027 was limited to 1.3%, while average selling price was pressured by the strength of the community and independent dealer channels compared with company-owned retail. The wholesale price of a home is approximately $85 thousand, compared with $140 thousand to $150 thousand through company-owned retail, so a small shift in channel mix can noticeably reduce the average selling price.
    • −Sales in Canada declined to 185 homes from 250 homes a year earlier due to weather-related disruptions, while the western regions and parts of the U.S. Midwest were weaker than Texas, Florida, Mississippi, and Alabama during the first quarter of fiscal 2027. This disparity demonstrates the exposure of results to differing geographic and seasonal conditions.
    • −ENERGY STAR tax incentives expired on July 1, 2026, and the company expects this to raise the effective tax rate in fiscal 2027 to approximately 25%, after the rate reached 25% in the first quarter compared with 21% in the prior period. This creates direct pressure on the conversion of operating earnings into net income.
    • −Net insider transactions during the three months ended August 10, 2026 were negative $1.1 million, with five sales and no purchases recorded, and the signal was classified as a strong sell. However, this remains a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, and the provided data does not explain the motivations for those transactions.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $107.67, within a range of $99 to $115, with a consensus Buy rating; the average is approximately 8.6% above the 52-week range high of $99.17, while the lowest target nearly matches that high. The stock's 52-week range is between $63.69 and $99.17, and the data does not include a valid price-to-earnings multiple for comparison, so the valuation case rests on continued backlog growth and improving margins versus the risks of material costs and weak affordability, with no target cuts or analyst downgrades within the provided context.

    BuyAnalyst target: $107.67(+29.5%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is driving Champion Homes' growth in the first quarter of fiscal 2027?

    Net sales increased 1.3% to $710.2 million, and U.S. home sales increased 1.8% to 7,089 units. In contrast, HUD industry shipments declined by approximately 5% during the three months ended May 2026, indicating market share gains. The backlog also increased to $421.8 million from $302 million, and sales to independent dealers increased 4%.

    How will the Homes Direct acquisition affect SKY?

    Champion Homes closed the acquisition on August 1, 2026, and the company-owned retail network now comprises 95 stores, including 11 Homes Direct stores in the western United States. Homes Direct generated approximately $70 million in sales, but management did not include its contribution in second-quarter fiscal 2027 guidance due to the timing of the closing. The company expects the contribution to grow gradually as ten locations shift from other manufacturers' products to Champion products, while Champion was already the primary supplier to the location adjacent to the Chandler facility.

    Are Champion Homes' margins improving or under pressure?

    Gross profit according to EDGAR data was approximately $179.3 million on revenue of $710.2 million in the first quarter of fiscal 2027, representing a margin of about 25.2%. Management expects an adjusted gross margin of between 25% and 26% in the second quarter, as the company begins to benefit from pricing and improved efficiency. However, material costs remain elevated, and pricing actions typically lag input inflation, so margin pressure has not yet disappeared.

    How important is the ROAD to Housing Act for Champion Homes?

    The 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act became effective on July 10, 2026, paving the way for the production of HUD homes without a permanent steel chassis. Champion believes this could make the homes' appearance more similar to traditional construction and expand the market among builders, developers, and municipalities, while it also continues producing homes with permanent chassis. However, management does not expect an impact in fiscal 2027 because HUD rules, engineering, transportation, installation, and local adoption require time, and previous HUD changes have taken a year or more.

    How strong are SKY's financial position and share repurchase program?

    Champion Homes ended the first quarter of fiscal 2027 with cash and cash equivalents of $784.7 million and generated operating cash flow of $72.5 million. It repurchased $50 million of shares during the quarter, and the board then restored the authorization to $150 million in July 2026. Since the program began in fiscal 2025, repurchases have totaled $330 million, equivalent to 8% of total shares outstanding.

    What are the key risks to monitor in SKY's upcoming results?

    The main operating risks are high interest rates, pressure on affordability, and material costs remaining at elevated levels. Some consumers are also shifting to entry-level models, and the strength of wholesale channels, with prices near $85 thousand compared with $140 thousand to $150 thousand in company-owned retail, could pressure the average selling price. In addition, Canadian sales declined to 185 units from 250, and the expiration of ENERGY STAR incentives on July 1, 2026 is expected to raise the effective tax rate in fiscal 2027 to approximately 25%.