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Stocks
Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc.
SKWD

SKWD Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc.

Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
56.74
▲ ⁦+0.78%⁩ (+0.44)
Market Cap$2.3B
Beta0.33
52w Low52w High
40.6065.69
Last Week
⁦-1.18%⁩
Last Month
⁦-9.99%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+26.74%⁩
Last Year
⁦+16.34%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall85
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 5/9Better than 85% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
80
13.0x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
90
37.3%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
89
——Top tier
▸
Safety
24
——Bottom tier
▸
Capital Return
14
—2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
78
26.5%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
72
8▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Current price$57
Analyst target · 7 analysts
$68
⁦+20%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$59–$72⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$321
⁦+466%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦12⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$68–$321⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 7 analysts setting price target
$66.33
⁦+16.9%⁩
Current Price $56.74·Median $68.00
Low
$59.00
High
$72.00
Current price
$56.74
Average target
$66.33
Street summary

Skyward Specialty (SKWD) Price Target Analysis

Bullish tilt

SKWD stock saw a positive stabilization in analyst outlooks during August 2026, with the average price target rising by 1.53% over the past thirty days to reach $66.33. Analyst dispersion shows a range between $59 and $72, and it is notable that the low-end price target ($59) remains above the current stock price of $57.41, indicating a collective conviction in untapped value within the stock.

As of 2026-08-31
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.00
Buy
Analyst coverage
13
Buy conviction
69%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
23%
Analyst ratings over time13 analysts rating
4
5
4
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.00 → 4.00
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-24
    Piper Sandler
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-11
    TD Cowen
    Hold
  • = Reiterate2026-08-05
    Barclays
    Overweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    13.01x
    3.16x25.26x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    10.90x
    2.76x22.06x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • FCF Yield
    —
    —
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    37.3%
    -36.3%104.2%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    38.0%
    -99.4%194.2%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    —
    —
  • ROIC
    —
    —
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-05 data

Company Overview

Skyward Specialty Insurance Group operates in specialty commercial insurance through two integrated platforms: Skyward Specialty, which underwrites risks directly, and Apollo, which combines underwriting, Lloyd’s syndicate management, and fee generation from third-party capital. The company follows a “Rule Our Niche” strategy to direct capital toward areas such as Accident & Health, Global Agriculture, Credit & Surety, and Specialty Programs, while reducing activity in markets where pricing is declining or where loss-cost inflation is difficult to estimate. In fiscal Q2 2026, Skyward Specialty accounted for approximately 90% of total gross written premiums of $741 million, at $668 million, compared with approximately $73 million from Apollo.

In fiscal Q2 2026, gross written premiums increased 13% year over year to $741 million, and managed premiums increased 18% to $1.1 billion. The company reported net income of $49 million and operating income of $59 million, while diluted operating earnings per share increased 46% to $1.30. Annualized operating return on equity was 19%, and operating return on equity for the first six months of fiscal 2026 reached 20.4%, with operating income of $116 million.

Underwriting profitability remained strong in fiscal Q2 2026, with the group combined ratio at 89.5%, including 1.9 points of catastrophe losses, and declining to 87.6% excluding them. Skyward Specialty achieved a combined ratio of 86.9% and an expense ratio of 24.3%, while Apollo’s combined ratio was approximately 97.6% for the quarter, affected by 5.4 points of catastrophe losses; however, according to management, Apollo’s six-month ratio of 91.3% provides a more representative picture. At the financial-statement level, trailing twelve-month revenue reported in fiscal 2026 was approximately $2.6 billion, with net income of $177.7 million and earnings per share of approximately $3.91.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Growth is being driven by a mix of Accident & Health, Global Agriculture, Credit & Surety, and Specialty Programs; Skyward Specialty’s gross written premiums increased 14% to $668 million in fiscal Q2 2026, while new insurance submissions continued to grow at a double-digit rate.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Apollo’s fee-based model expanded, as fee-generating written premiums increased 29% to $318 million, driven by 80% growth in Platform Partner syndicates and 13% growth in capital-aligned syndicates. Underwriting fee income was $13 million in fiscal Q2 2026, compared with full-year guidance for pretax net income from this activity of between $30 million and $35 million.
  • Artificial intelligence tools are contributing to greater operating efficiency; the company reduced the time required for submissions to reach underwriters by 40% and improved quote issuance speed by 35%, while half of its underwriting activity benefits from machine learning and predictive analytics. Along with the change in business mix, this was reflected in a 2.7-point year-over-year decline in Skyward Specialty’s expense ratio to 24.3%.
  • Net investment income increased more than 60% year over year to $31 million in fiscal Q2 2026, including $29 million from the fixed-income portfolio. The company deployed new funds at a yield of 5.6%, compared with an implied yield of 5.3% for the group portfolio, benefiting from an invested asset base of $2.8 billion.
  • The company strengthened its capital flexibility by repaying $50 million of a $150 million term loan maturing at the end of 2027, reducing financial leverage to 26%. It also repurchased 223 thousand shares for approximately $10 million during fiscal Q2 2026, then increased its repurchase authorization in July 2026 from $50 million to $100 million.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Skyward combines premium growth with strong underwriting profitability; gross written premiums grew 13% and diluted operating earnings per share increased 46% in fiscal Q2 2026, with the group combined ratio below 90%.
    • +Portfolio diversification reduces reliance on the traditional insurance cycle; management does not expect any division to exceed approximately 17% of the portfolio by the end of fiscal 2026, while more than 60% of business during the first six months had liability durations of less than two years.
    • +Apollo provides a less capital-intensive earnings engine, with fee-generating premiums increasing 29% to $318 million and underwriting fee income growing to $13 million in fiscal Q2 2026. Management explained that the activity’s costs, at approximately $4 million to $5 million per quarter, do not increase linearly with fee growth, creating potential operating leverage.
    • +Book value per share increased 15% since the end of fiscal 2025 to $28.55 on June 30, 2026, and shareholders’ equity was approximately $1.3 billion. This coincides with reduced debt and an expansion of the share repurchase authorization to $100 million.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The company faces a weak pricing cycle in global property and E&S property, with reductions that the CEO described as reaching 20% to 30% for the second or third year among some participants. This was reflected in a 15% decline in global property activity in fiscal Q2 2026, and management expects the activity to become considerably smaller than the premium level of approximately $235 million in 2024.
    • −Loss sensitivity is rising in certain liability lines; management indicated that loss-cost inflation in parts of Occurrence Liability exceeds 10%, particularly exposures related to bodily and personal injuries. The company therefore avoids broad growth in these lines and keeps coverage limits low where such exposure exists, which may constrain premium growth even as nominal prices rise.
    • −The changing business mix is pressuring the loss ratio; Skyward Specialty’s non-catastrophe loss ratio increased 1.4 points year over year to 61.3% in fiscal Q2 2026 due to growth in Accident & Health and Global Agriculture. Management expects the accident-year loss ratio for fiscal 2026 to increase by slightly more than one point, with an expected offset in the acquisition cost ratio and no change to combined ratio expectations.
    • −Apollo experienced meaningful catastrophe volatility in fiscal Q2 2026, with a combined ratio of 97.6% that included 5.4 points of catastrophe losses primarily related to the conflict in the Middle East. The risk-adjusted rate also declined by a low-single-digit percentage, illustrating pricing pressure even as the company remains selective about risks.
    • −Alternative and strategic limited partnership investments remained under pressure from valuation declines, and the CFO described performance as disappointing. Although this exposure is limited to approximately $68 million out of $2.8 billion in invested assets, it remains a source of volatility in investment returns outside the fixed-income portfolio.
    • −

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $66.33, within a relatively wide range of $59 to $72, with a consensus rating of “Buy”; the average is only approximately $0.64 above the 52-week range high of $65.69. No published price-to-earnings ratio is available in the data, but management said on August 5, 2026, that the valuation was equivalent to approximately 12 times fiscal 2026 earnings guidance; this valuation should be weighed against weak property pricing, the expected increase in the loss ratio due to the changing business mix, and volatility in Apollo’s Middle East losses.

    BuyAnalyst target: $66.33(+16.9%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-01; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove SKWD’s results in fiscal Q2 2026?

    Gross written premiums increased 13% year over year to $741 million, and managed premiums increased 18% to $1.1 billion. Net income was $49 million and operating income was $59 million, with diluted operating earnings per share increasing 46% to $1.30. The group also reported a combined ratio of 89.5% and an annualized operating return on equity of 19%.

    How does Apollo contribute to Skyward Specialty’s growth?

    Apollo reported gross written premiums of $73 million in fiscal Q2 2026, up 6%, while specialized Syndicate 1969 premiums increased 8%. More importantly, fee-generating premiums jumped 29% to $318 million, including 80% growth in Platform Partner syndicates. Apollo generated underwriting fee income of $13 million, with fiscal 2026 guidance of between $30 million and $35 million in fee-related pretax net income.

    What is the impact of artificial intelligence on SKWD’s business?

    The company uses SkyView and machine learning and agentic underwriting tools to automate submission intake and the analysis of contracts and forms. Management reported that these tools accelerated the delivery of submissions to underwriters by 40% and improved quote issuance speed by 35%, while half of underwriting now benefits from machine learning and predictive analytics. In Surety, SkyScore uses financial data to assess each client across ten dimensions, as the activity exceeded an annual premium run rate of $200 million, according to management’s comments on August 5, 2026.

    Why are the Accident & Health and Global Agriculture businesses growing?

    Management linked Accident & Health growth to product-market fit, a focus on medical cost management for small accounts, and the launch of a group insurance captive model. The exit of two reinsurance companies from the market also increased available opportunities, while a significant portion of distribution shifted from relationships with third-party claims administrators to retail brokers. In Global Agriculture, most of the fiscal Q2 2026 growth came from premium adjustments in the U.S. Dairy Livestock program, a market that management estimated at approximately $2 billion.

    What are the main underwriting risks facing SKWD?

    The company faces pricing pressure in global property and E&S property, and global property activity declined 15% in fiscal Q2 2026. In injury-related liability lines, management said loss-cost inflation exceeds 10% in some areas, so the company is reducing exposure and maintaining low coverage limits. Apollo also recorded approximately 5.4 points of catastrophe losses primarily related to the conflict in the Middle East, raising its quarterly combined ratio to 97.6%.

    How strong is SKWD’s balance sheet, and what is its share repurchase policy?

    Shareholders’ equity was approximately $1.3 billion on June 30, 2026, and book value per share increased 15% since the end of fiscal 2025 to $28.55. Financial leverage declined to 26% after the repayment of $50 million of a $150 million term loan maturing at the end of 2027. The company repurchased 223 thousand shares for approximately $10 million during fiscal Q2 2026, then increased the authorization to $100 million in July 2026.

    Insider data showed one sale and no purchases during the three months ending with the transaction dated June 12, 2026, for a net sale of approximately 431 thousand according to the unit provided in the data. This remains a weak signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged unless the data disclose otherwise.