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Home
Stocks
The Sherwin-Williams Company
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall49
Balanced — near the middle of the marketFalling StarF 7/9SafeBetter than 49% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
33
29.7x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
45
5.8%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
90
18.1%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
59
3.1x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
22
0.98%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
45
-3.3%▼2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
63
14▲3Around median
SHW

SHW The Sherwin-Williams Company

The Sherwin-Williams Company · NYSE
Market Closed
323.31
▲ ⁦+1.85%⁩ (+5.87)
Market Cap$78.5B
Beta1.09
52w Low52w High
289.86377.77
Last Week
⁦-2.40%⁩
Last Month
⁦-11.28%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+6.38%⁩
Last Year
⁦-10.53%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$323
Analyst target · 12 analysts
$393
⁦+21%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$360–$420⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$135
⁦-58%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦9.2⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$135–$393⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 12 analysts setting price target
$391.50
⁦+21.1%⁩
Current Price $323.31·Median $392.50
Low
$360.00
High
$420.00
Current price
$323.31
Average target
$391.50
Street summary

Stable SHW price targets with a slight decline

The consensus price target did not change over the last day or seven days, remaining at 391.5 with 12 analysts. Over 30 days, the consensus declined from 392.5 to 391.5, a decrease of 1 or 0.25%, with no change in the number of analysts. The estimates range remains wide, between 360 and 420, versus a current price of 323.31, reflecting notable dispersion without a strong recent shift in consensus.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-0.3%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.69
Buy
Analyst coverage
26
Buy conviction
58%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
19%
Analyst ratings over time26 analysts rating
3
12
11
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.54 → 3.69
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-11
    KeyBanc
    Sector Weight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-03
    Guggenheim
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-07-29
    UBS
    Neutral
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    29.74x
    4.94x39.51x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    26.19x
    3.70x29.59x
    Expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    20.72x
    2.62x20.92x
    Above average
  • FCF Yield
    4.1%
    -21.3%8.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    5.8%
    -21.2%90.4%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    7.6%
    -249.5%198.4%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    49.0%
    7.6%58.9%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    18.1%
    -52.6%20.2%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    3.12x
    0.22x3.72x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    1.0%
    0.2%5.5%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    29.2%
    4.7%147.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    3.42
    -11.4212.56
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-28 data

Company Overview

The Sherwin-Williams Company operates through three interconnected paint and coatings segments: Paint Stores Group, which serves contractors and professional customers through a network of company-controlled stores; Consumer Brands Group, which sells consumer brands and products through partnerships including Lowe's and Menards; and Performance Coatings Group, which provides industrial coatings for applications such as heavy equipment, automotive, beverage packaging, coils, and wood. Its model relies on expanding customer accounts, increasing its share of spending among existing customers, product pricing, and rapid delivery through stores and blending facilities located near industrial customers.

In Q2 of fiscal 2026, revenue was $6.8 billion, gross profit was $3.3 billion, net income was $843.6 million, and reported earnings per share were $3.43. These figures equate to a gross profit margin of approximately 48.5% and a net income margin of approximately 12.4%, while company data showed that consolidated net sales increased 7.5% to $6.79 billion and net income grew 11.8%. On a trailing twelve-month basis ending in fiscal 2026, the company recorded revenue of $24.4 billion, gross profit of $12.0 billion, and net income of $2.7 billion, compared with revenue of $23.6 billion and net income of $2.6 billion in fiscal 2025.

Growth was broad-based across segments in Q2 of fiscal 2026, but its sources varied: Paint Stores Group sales grew at a mid-single-digit rate and the segment margin reached 24.6%, while Consumer Brands Group benefited from a mid-teens contribution from Suvinil and its adjusted margin increased 210 basis points to 24.5%. Performance Coatings Group recorded growth across all divisions and regions, with its adjusted margin rising 50 basis points and a strong incremental margin of 26.4%. At the group level, adjusted EBITDA grew 10.5% to $1.5 billion and its margin expanded 60 basis points to 21.5%.

What's Driving the Stock

  • On July 28, 2026, the company raised its fiscal 2026 outlook after sales exceeded guidance at the consolidated level and across all three segments; it now expects consolidated sales growth at a mid- to high-single-digit rate and adjusted earnings per share of between $11.80 and $12.20.
  • The Protective and Marine business achieved mid-teens sales growth in Q2 of fiscal 2026, marking its eighth consecutive quarter of at least high-single-digit growth. Management attributed this momentum to the construction of AI data centers, semiconductor plants, water treatment facilities, pharmaceutical facilities, and the reshoring of manufacturing, with Sherwin-Williams able to provide coatings for flooring, structural steel, and architectural applications as a single solution.
  • Commercial sales grew at a high-single-digit rate in Q2 of fiscal 2026 despite continued weakness in the underlying market, following approximately 24 months of targeting market share gains. Residential repaint and property maintenance also achieved mid-single-digit growth, while new accounts helped new residential construction record low-single-digit growth despite declines in single-family housing starts and completions in five of the six months preceding the call.
  • The company launched Emerald Symmetry in Q2 of fiscal 2026, which management described as its best-performing interior product, with a plant-based, zero-VOC formulation. In Performance Coatings Group, general industrial sales increased at a high-single-digit rate, driven by heavy equipment, with volume growth at a mid-single-digit rate.
  • Paint Stores Group announced an 8% price increase effective September 1, 2026, to address raw material inflation and other costs. The company expects consolidated price mix to increase at a mid-single-digit rate during fiscal 2026, after targeted pricing actions in Q2 of fiscal 2026 enabled it to offset raw material inflation.
  • Suvinil supported Consumer Brands Group growth with a mid-teens contribution during Q2 of fiscal 2026, while the segment's core business excluding Suvinil grew at a mid-single-digit rate. Management said integration will continue through the early part of fiscal 2027 and that Suvinil will remain a positive but immaterial contributor to earnings per share in fiscal 2026.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Sherwin-Williams demonstrated its ability to grow through execution and market share rather than a market recovery; consolidated sales increased 7.5% in Q2 of fiscal 2026, net income grew 11.8%, and sales exceeded guidance across all three segments despite the absence of a broad, meaningful improvement in demand.
  • +Protective and Marine provides a specific growth driver with long-term applications, having recorded eight consecutive quarters of at least high-single-digit growth and achieved mid-teens growth in Q2 of fiscal 2026, supported by data centers, semiconductor infrastructure, water treatment, and the reshoring of manufacturing.
  • +Operating and cash efficiency improved alongside growth; adjusted EBITDA margin expanded 60 basis points to 21.5%, operating cash flow improved 21% or $235 million, and free cash flow conversion reached 86% in Q2 of fiscal 2026.
  • +The restructuring of the store network supports future profitability, as the company closed 57 stores that did not meet the profitability threshold and expects the restructuring actions to generate approximately $17 million in annual savings, with approximately half of the savings realized during the second half of fiscal 2026. At the same time, it targeted opening 80 to 100 stores during fiscal 2026, resulting in approximately 30 net new stores after the optimization process.

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $391.5, approximately 3.6% above the 52-week range high of $377.77, with a relatively wide target range of $360 to $420 and a consensus rating of “Buy.” No reported price-to-earnings ratio is available in the data, so the valuation of SHW here is based on comparing analyst targets with the 52-week range of $289.86–$377.77, while balancing the raised fiscal 2026 outlook against weak demand and raw material inflation, which may limit margin expansion.

BuyAnalyst target: $391.5(+21.1%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-26; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove SHW's results in Q2 of fiscal 2026?

Sherwin-Williams recorded approximately $6.8 billion in revenue, $3.3 billion in gross profit, and $843.6 million in net income in Q2 of fiscal 2026. Earnings reports showed consolidated net sales increased 7.5% to $6.79 billion and net income grew 11.8%. Performance was driven by growth across all three segments, with Suvinil contributing to Consumer Brands Group, Protective and Marine growing at a mid-teens rate, and account and market share gains in Paint Stores Group.

What is Sherwin-Williams' outlook for fiscal 2026?

On July 28, 2026, the company raised its consolidated sales growth outlook to a mid- to high-single-digit rate. It also raised its adjusted earnings per share range to $11.80–$12.20 for fiscal 2026. This outlook assumes continued market share gains and discipline in managing price and costs, but it does not assume a broad recovery in demand across end markets.

How does Sherwin-Williams benefit from the construction of AI data centers?

Sherwin-Williams participates in these projects through its Protective and Marine business, which recorded mid-teens growth in Q2 of fiscal 2026. The company provides coating solutions covering flooring, structural steel, and architectural elements, and management says rapid delivery and a comprehensive solution are important to data center operators. The same driver extends to semiconductor plants, water treatment, pharmaceutical facilities, and the reshoring of manufacturing, and the business has achieved eight consecutive quarters of at least high-single-digit growth.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −The fiscal 2026 outlook does not assume a broad recovery in demand, as management said most end markets are showing no tangible signs of improvement. Consumer demand for do-it-yourself painting remained weak, and new residential construction remained highly challenging after single-family housing starts and completions were negative in five of the six months preceding the July 28, 2026 call, while the industrial wood business remained tied to weakness in residential cabinetry and furniture.
  • −Raw material and freight inflation represent direct pressure on margins; the company expects its raw material basket to increase at a high-single-digit rate in the second half of fiscal 2026 and at a mid-single-digit rate for the full year. Management expects the fiscal 2026 gross profit margin to remain at the prior-year level at the midpoint of guidance, meaning the 8% price increase in Paint Stores Group is primarily intended to absorb inflation rather than ensure margin expansion.
  • −Earnings per share growth may slow in the second half of fiscal 2026 compared with the first half, according to the CFO's explanation of the guidance cadence, due to escalating raw material costs and year-over-year comparisons. Some contracts also delay the realization of the announced September 1, 2026 price increase until fiscal 2027, while the end of the painting season may limit the percentage of the price increase realized during fiscal 2026.
  • −Consumer Brands Group volume declined at a low-single-digit rate during Q2 of fiscal 2026, while sales in Europe declined at a double-digit rate due to customer inventory management and destocking. In addition, approximately half of the segment's 210-basis-point margin expansion came from favorable non-operating items, and management said the adjusted margin would have appeared nearly flat between Q1 and Q2 of fiscal 2026 after excluding those items.
  • −The integration of Suvinil diluted the reported gross profit margin in Q2 of fiscal 2026, with integration activities continuing through the early part of fiscal 2027. Despite its strong contribution to sales, management described its expected impact on earnings per share in fiscal 2026 as positive but immaterial, limiting the acquisition's direct earnings impact during the integration period.
  • −Insider activity recorded one sale and no purchases during the three months ended August 7, 2026, for net selling of $2.9 million. This remains a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged unless the data indicates otherwise.
Can price increases protect SHW's margins from inflation?

The company announced an 8% increase in Paint Stores Group effective September 1, 2026, after implementing more targeted increases in Performance Coatings Group and the remaining businesses. It expects consolidated price mix to increase at a mid-single-digit rate during fiscal 2026, compared with high-single-digit inflation in the raw material basket during the second half. Management is targeting a full-year fiscal 2026 gross profit margin at the prior-year level at the midpoint of guidance, but contracts and seasonality may delay the realization of part of the increase until fiscal 2027.

How important is Suvinil to Sherwin-Williams' results?

Suvinil contributed at a mid-teens rate to Consumer Brands Group sales growth during Q2 of fiscal 2026, while the core business excluding it grew at a mid-single-digit rate. Management said it found additional synergy opportunities and areas of customer growth from bringing the two brands together, but expects integration work to continue through the early part of fiscal 2027. The acquisition reduced the reported gross profit margin during the quarter, and the company expects Suvinil's impact on earnings per share in fiscal 2026 to be positive but immaterial.

What are the main areas of weakness in Sherwin-Williams' demand during fiscal 2026?

As of the July 28, 2026 call, management had not observed broad improvement across most end markets, and consumer demand for do-it-yourself painting remained weak. New residential construction remained under pressure, as single-family housing starts and completions were negative in five of the previous six months, while industrial wood was affected by weakness in cabinetry and furniture. Consumer Brands Group volume also declined at a low-single-digit rate in Q2 of fiscal 2026, and European sales declined at a double-digit rate due to customer destocking.