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Stocks
Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc.
SHO

SHO Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc.

Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
10.98
▲ ⁦+0.09%⁩ (+0.01)
Market Cap$2.0B
Beta0.99
52w Low52w High
8.6912.06
Last Week
⁦-0.27%⁩
Last Month
⁦+1.67%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-0.90%⁩
Last Year
⁦+15.82%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall40
Weak — below market medianMomentum TrapF 5/9Better than 40% of Market stocks, per EL7's modelUnsustainable dividend (payout > 100%)
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
35
49.9x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
55
7.3%7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
29
3.2%▼4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
54
3.6x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
32
3.28%▲2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
81
16.6%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
34
33Bottom tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$11
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$13
⁦+18%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$13–$13⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$0.60
⁦-94%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦8.7⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$0.60–$13⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Annual plan
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Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$13.00
⁦+18.4%⁩
Current Price $10.98·Median $13.00
Low
$13.00
High
$13.00
Street summary

Outlook Update for Sunstone Hotel (SHO)

Bullish tilt

Sunstone Hotel Investors (SHO) has witnessed a notable positive shift in analyst estimates over the past thirty days, with the average price target rising from 10.5 to 13 dollars, an increase of 23.8%. The current consensus shows a rare case of complete alignment among analysts, as all estimates (high, low, and average) have settled at 13 dollars, indicating a fading variance in the future outlook for the stock and increasing certainty regarding its fair value, which exceeds the current price of 11.3 dollars.

As of 2026-07-13
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.17
Hold
Analyst coverage
12
Buy conviction
33%
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time12 analysts rating
4
7
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.17 → 3.17
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-06-24
    Wells Fargo
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-05-06
    Citigroup
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-01-12
    Robert W. Baird
    —· $10.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    49.91x
    5.03x40.26x
    Above average
  • Forward P/E
    78.94x
    5.89x47.13x
    Expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    12.04x
    3.68x29.40x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    3.4%
    -23.1%16.7%
    Above average
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    7.3%
    -14.0%37.7%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    1000.0%
    -121.8%181.8%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    20.7%
    -5.0%81.8%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    3.2%
    -4.2%9.5%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    3.64x
    1.55x12.39x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    3.3%
    0.6%15.6%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    127.7%
    31.2%370.0%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-05-05 data

Company Overview

Sunstone Hotel Investors owns a portfolio of 14 hotels and resorts and generates revenue from room sales and non-room spending, including food and beverages, spas, audiovisual services, and other amenities. The portfolio includes resorts such as Andaz Miami Beach, Wailea Beach Resort, and wine country resorts, alongside urban and convention hotels in markets including New Orleans, Washington, San Francisco, Orlando, and San Diego. This model ties revenue to occupancy and average room rate, with an additional contribution from group business and transient guest spending outside rooms.

In fiscal Q2 2026, revenue reached $277.1 million, compared with $259.7 million in fiscal Q1 2026, representing sequential growth of approximately 6.7%. Net income increased sequentially from $18.6 million to $26.0 million, while earnings per share rose from $0.08 to $0.14. The calculated net income margin was approximately 9.4% in fiscal Q2 2026, compared with approximately 7.2% in the previous quarter.

Fiscal Q1 2026 details showed a clear divergence in the portfolio mix: portfolio RevPAR grew 14.6%, or 5.7% excluding Andaz Miami Beach, with resorts leading performance through comparable RevPAR growth exceeding 18%. In contrast, urban hotel RevPAR declined 9.3%, while convention hotel RevPAR grew 5.2%. Improved spending on food and beverages and other services helped limit the decline in total RevPAR for urban hotels to 2.9%, highlighting the importance of non-room revenue to the profitability model.

What's Driving the Stock

  • On May 5, 2026, management raised its fiscal 2026 outlook after the first quarter exceeded its estimates; it now expects total RevPAR growth of between 5% and 7.5%, Adjusted EBITDAre of between $238 million and $252 million, and adjusted FFO per diluted share of between $0.88 and $0.96.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

In fiscal Q1 2026, Andaz Miami Beach achieved occupancy of 86% and an average room rate of $564, generating $6.5 million in EBITDA. Management estimated that it would contribute approximately 400 basis points to total RevPAR growth at the midpoint of the fiscal 2026 outlook range, with continued potential to raise rates toward the comparable set, whose average exceeded $1,000 in the same quarter.
  • Combined RevPAR at the wine country resorts rose 34% in fiscal Q1 2026, supported by improved group and transient business. EBITDA for these two resorts also improved by approximately $4 million compared with the comparable quarter, while group room nights at Montage represented approximately 55% of occupancy versus an operating target of between 60% and 65%.
  • Group bookings provide support for the second half of fiscal 2026; second-half booking pace growth at Renaissance Orlando SeaWorld exceeded 40%, while group bookings at JW New Orleans grew by more than 50% during Q1. The pace of transient demand for the following six months at Westin D.C. Downtown also increased 11% compared with the prior year.
  • Through April 2026, the company repurchased $35 million of common shares at an average of $9.11 per share, in addition to more than $14 million of preferred shares at an average of $19.84, representing a 21% discount to liquidation value. The fiscal 2026 outlook did not include any benefit from additional repurchases, leaving room for higher FFO per share if the company executes further purchases on similar terms.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Fiscal Q2 2026 results confirm continued earnings improvement following the strong first quarter; net income grew sequentially by approximately 39.8% to $26.0 million, while the calculated net income margin increased by approximately 220 basis points to 9.4%.
    • +Andaz Miami Beach represents a multiyear growth driver because its average rate of $564 in fiscal Q1 2026 remained well below the comparable set average of more than $1,000, despite occupancy reaching 86% and generating $6.5 million in EBITDA.
    • +The portfolio combines the recovery of Wailea Beach Resort, 34% RevPAR growth at the wine country resorts, and more than 27% RevPAR growth in San Francisco during fiscal Q1 2026. This diversification partially mitigates weakness at certain urban hotels or the effects of comparisons with exceptional events.
    • +The balance sheet supports capital allocation flexibility, as the company had no debt maturities before 2028, and net leverage stood at 3.5 times trailing earnings, or 4.6 times including preferred shares. According to management, repurchasing common and preferred shares at discounts generated net value and accretion to earnings.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Management expected revenue growth to slow after fiscal Q1 2026, with Andaz Miami Beach's contribution to growth declining from approximately 500 basis points in the second quarter to between 150 and 200 basis points in each of the third and fourth quarters. This makes continued portfolio growth more dependent on improvements at existing hotels and in transient and group bookings.
    • −Margins may become more challenging after expanding by 140 basis points in fiscal Q1 2026; management described that quarter as the strongest for margin growth during the year and expects expenses to rise between 3.25% and 3.5%. Based on the expected RevPAR range, margins for the remainder of the year may be only slightly positive or flat.
    • −Urban hotel performance remains exposed to event volatility and year-over-year comparisons, as RevPAR for this segment declined 9.3% in fiscal Q1 2026. RevPAR at Westin D.C. Downtown fell 9.8%, while JW New Orleans faced a difficult comparison with the impact of the Super Bowl in the prior year.
    • −March 2026 storms caused wind and water damage to rooms, public spaces, and roofs at Wailea Beach Resort, with some roof repairs continuing until later in the year. Management expects the additional expenditures to push fiscal 2026 capital spending into the upper half of the guidance range, while details of insurance reimbursement had not been determined as of the May 5, 2026 call.
    • −Management warned that continued volatility in external conditions or higher fuel prices could pressure travel costs and demand. The impact of the World Cup was also excluded from guidance because of limited confirmed bookings and the short booking window, so tournament-related demand cannot be considered a guaranteed driver.
    • −The valuation carries execution risk because the analyst consensus is Neutral, even though the consensus target of $13 is approximately 7.7% above the 52-week range high of $12.07. Insider activity recorded one sale totaling a net $1 million during the three months ending with the latest transaction on June 24, 2026; this is a weak standalone signal because insider sales may be prearranged unless otherwise stated.

    Valuation

    The average analyst target is $13, with both the highest and lowest targets at $13 and a Neutral consensus; this target is approximately 7.7% above the 52-week range high of $12.07, while the range low is $8.69. No reported price-to-earnings ratio is available in the data, so the stock's valuation depends on Sunstone's ability to achieve its fiscal 2026 adjusted FFO per share range of $0.88 to $0.96 and on the continued recovery of Andaz and the resorts without greater pressure on margins or capital expenditures.

    HoldAnalyst target: $13(+18.4%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-01; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is SHO's core business?

    SHO represents Sunstone Hotel Investors, which manages its investments through a portfolio of 14 hotels and resorts. Revenue comes from rooms and non-room spending, such as food and beverages, spas, and audiovisual services. The portfolio includes Andaz Miami Beach, Wailea Beach Resort, and urban and convention hotels in markets such as San Francisco, New Orleans, Washington, Orlando, and San Diego.

    How were the fiscal Q2 2026 results?

    Fiscal Q2 2026 revenue was approximately $277.1 million, representing sequential growth of approximately 6.7% from $259.7 million in the previous quarter. Net income increased to $26.0 million from $18.6 million, while earnings per share rose to $0.14 from $0.08. The calculated net income margin was approximately 9.4%, compared with approximately 7.2% in fiscal Q1 2026.

    Why is Andaz Miami Beach important to Sunstone's growth?

    Andaz Miami Beach achieved occupancy of 86%, an average room rate of $564, and EBITDA of $6.5 million in fiscal Q1 2026. The comparable set's average rate was above $1,000, leaving room to raise rates if the hotel's positioning continues to improve. Management expected Andaz to contribute approximately 400 basis points to total RevPAR growth at the midpoint of the fiscal 2026 range and is targeting group business to reach approximately 25% of the hotel's mix versus around 20% during the year.

    What is management's outlook for fiscal 2026?

    On the May 5, 2026 call, management raised its outlook after the first quarter exceeded its estimates. It now expects total RevPAR growth of between 5% and 7.5% and Adjusted EBITDAre of between $238 million and $252 million. It also set an adjusted FFO per diluted share range of between $0.88 and $0.96, without including any potential benefit from additional share repurchases.

    What are the main operating risks facing SHO in fiscal 2026?

    Management expects revenue and margin growth after the first quarter to be slower, with expenses rising between 3.25% and 3.5% and margins potentially remaining flat or improving only slightly. Urban hotel RevPAR declined 9.3% in fiscal Q1 2026, while March 2026 storms caused damage and additional repairs at Wailea Beach Resort. Management also warned of the potential impact of continued volatility and higher fuel prices on travel costs and demand.

    How does Sunstone use its capital and balance sheet?

    Through April 2026, Sunstone repurchased $35 million of common shares at an average of $9.11 per share and purchased more than $14 million of preferred shares at a 21% discount to liquidation value. The company had no debt maturities before 2028, and net leverage stood at 3.5 times trailing earnings or 4.6 times including preferred shares. The board also authorized distributions of $0.09 per common share for the second quarter, while management retained asset recycling and potential acquisitions among its capital allocation options.