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Stocks
Surgery Partners, Inc.
SGRY

SGRY Surgery Partners, Inc.

Surgery Partners, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
14.38
▲ ⁦+1.84%⁩ (+0.26)
Market Cap$1.8B
Beta1.94
52w Low52w High
11.4123.44
Last Week
⁦+2.86%⁩
Last Month
⁦-7.41%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+6.68%⁩
Last Year
⁦-37.59%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall14
Poor — bottom quartile of the marketValue TrapF 5/9Better than 14% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
71
—17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
65
4.0%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
33
6.4%▲4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
32
6.9x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
16
—2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
27
-36.9%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
92
7▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$14
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$18
⁦+25%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$17–$19⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$-13.25
⁦-192%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦13.0⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$-13.25–$18⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$18.00
⁦+25.2%⁩
Current Price $14.38·Median $18.00
Low
$17.00
High
$19.00
Current price
$14.38
Average target
$18.00
Street summary

Slight Reduction in Price Target While Valuations Remain Supportive

The average price target for Surgery Partners fell from $18.75 to $18 over one day, as well as over 7 and 30 days, a decline of $0.75 or 4%. The number of analysts remained at 3, while the current range also stayed between $17 and $19, indicating that the reduction was not accompanied by a clear expansion in the coverage base or a material change in the available dispersion. The average remains above the current price of $14.38, but the latest revision trend has become slightly less optimistic.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-4.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.83
Buy
Analyst coverage
12
Buy conviction
75%
High
Target dispersion
14%
Analyst ratings over time12 analysts rating
1
8
3
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.83 → 3.83
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-11
    TD Cowen
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-11
    Cantor Fitzgerald
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-11
    Benchmark
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    —
    —
  • Forward P/E
    27.57x
    4.64x37.16x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    12.73x
    3.77x30.13x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    12.5%
    -138.2%7.8%
    Exceptional
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    4.0%
    -56.9%93.8%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    51.7%
    -160.1%130.2%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    21.4%
    12.8%90.7%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    6.4%
    -155.3%16.0%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    6.88x
    0.60x5.10x
    Above average
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-10 data

Company Overview

Surgery Partners operates a network focused on short-stay surgical facilities and ambulatory surgery centers ASC, generating revenue from surgical cases performed by physicians at its facilities and from reimbursement rates associated with the type of procedure and payer. The company targets higher-complexity procedures in areas such as joint replacement, spine, and vascular surgery, because revenue growth per case can support revenue even when case-volume growth is limited. Its expansion strategy also relies on physician recruitment, the development of new facilities, disciplined acquisitions, and partnerships with health systems.

In Q2 FY2026, net revenue was approximately $849 million, up 2.7% year over year, while adjusted EBITDA was approximately $125 million versus approximately $129 million a year earlier, with a margin of 14.7%. Same-facility revenue increased 5%, driven by 4.8% growth in revenue per case and 0.3% growth in case volume, and the company performed approximately 168 thousand surgical cases. Commercial payers accounted for approximately 49% of net revenue, down approximately 350 basis points year over year, with a corresponding increase in the share of government payers.

In H1 FY2026, the company recorded net revenue of approximately $1.66 billion, up 3.6%, and adjusted EBITDA of approximately $228 million, down 2.3%, with its margin declining to 13.7% from 14.5%. The company reports ambulatory centers and surgical hospitals within a single segment because of the similarity of their operating economics. On a pro forma basis excluding the Idaho Falls facilities, Q2 FY2026 net revenue would have been approximately $660 million and adjusted EBITDA approximately $98 million, illustrating the significant financial weight of the assets included in the sale agreement.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Management reaffirmed FY2026 guidance for revenue of between $3.35 billion and $3.45 billion and adjusted EBITDA of at least $530 million, after Q2 FY2026 results exceeded its expectations for revenue and adjusted EBITDA.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Surgery Partners entered into definitive filed agreements to sell its entire interests in the Idaho Falls market to Intermountain Health for expected total consideration of $795 million and intends to use the proceeds primarily to reduce debt, with leverage expected to decline by approximately 0.3x at closing.
  • Same-facility revenue increased 5% in Q2 FY2026 despite case growth of only 0.3%, as revenue per case rose 4.8% due to the focus on higher-complexity procedures, particularly joint, spine, and vascular procedures.
  • 191 new physicians began using the company's facilities in Q2 FY2026, bringing the H1 total to 330 physicians, and the revenue contribution from the 2026 physician cohort increased approximately 16% compared with the prior-year cohort.
  • At the end of Q2 FY2026, the company had six new facilities under construction and seven additional facilities in the development pipeline, while joint procedures continued to achieve double-digit growth and the spine and vascular areas delivered strong double-digit growth, according to management.
  • Insider activity data indicate two purchases and no sales during the three months ending with the latest recorded transaction on August 18, 2026, with net activity of 304,712.5 according to the provided data.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The shift toward higher-complexity procedures provides a clear growth driver; it increased revenue per case by 4.8% and same-facility revenue by 5% in Q2 FY2026, even though case-volume growth was limited to 0.3%.
    • +The sale of Idaho Falls for $795 million in expected total proceeds could simplify the portfolio, improve the conversion of adjusted EBITDA into cash, and reduce leverage by approximately 0.3x, while also removing assets with average annual capital expenditures of approximately $17 million over the previous three years.
    • +The organic growth base is supported by the addition of 330 physicians in H1 FY2026, along with six facilities under construction and seven in the development pipeline, while management explained that recruited physician business typically doubles in the second year and continues to grow at a double-digit rate in the third year.
    • +Management reaffirmed FY2026 guidance for revenue of between $3.35 billion and $3.45 billion and adjusted EBITDA of at least $530 million, after Q2 FY2026 results came in above its internal expectations.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Adjusted operating profitability is under clear pressure; adjusted EBITDA declined 2.3% in H1 FY2026 to $228 million, and its margin fell to 13.7% from 14.5%, while quarterly adjusted EBITDA also declined to $125 million from $129 million a year earlier.
    • −The shift in payer mix toward government programs is pressuring the economics of the business; the commercial share declined by approximately 350 basis points to around 49% of Q2 FY2026 net revenue, while wages and salaries increased to 29.8% of revenue from 28.5% and supplies increased to 26.7% from 26.0%.
    • −Volume growth remains weak relative to revenue growth, as same-facility case volume increased only 0.3% in Q2 FY2026 and 0.8% in H1, making growth more dependent on rising case complexity and revenue per case.
    • −Debt and financing costs remain elevated; net leverage under the credit agreement was approximately 4.4x, and balance-sheet net debt to EBITDA was approximately 5.1x, while interest payments in Q2 FY2026 increased to approximately $90 million from $81 million a year earlier.
    • −The effects of the Idaho Falls sale depend on completing a transaction that remains subject to customary closing conditions, including approvals from physician members and the physician governance board, while final net proceeds will be affected by debt, cash, and working capital at closing, and guidance will be updated afterward.
    • −Acquisition activity slowed materially in FY2026; the company completed an immaterial volume of transactions in H1 and acknowledged that it would not reach its customary annual target of $200 million, increasing near-term growth dependence on existing facilities, physician recruitment, and new developments.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $18.75, within a range of $17 to $21, with a consensus Buy rating; the average target is approximately 20% below the 52-week range high of $23.44, while the low end of that range is $11.41. The data do not provide a valid price-to-earnings multiple as an additional valuation anchor, so the Buy consensus should be weighed against lower H1 FY2026 margins, elevated leverage, and the absence of updated post-Idaho Falls sale guidance.

    BuyAnalyst target: $18.75(+30.4%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-01; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove SGRY's revenue growth in Q2 FY2026?

    Net revenue was approximately $849 million, up 2.7% year over year, and same-facility revenue increased 5%. Most of the growth came from a 4.8% increase in revenue per case, while same-facility case volume increased only 0.3%. The company focused on higher-complexity procedures in joint replacement, spine, and vascular surgery, while performing approximately 168 thousand surgical cases during the quarter.

    How could the Idaho Falls transaction reshape Surgery Partners?

    The company expects total consideration of approximately $795 million from the sale of its interests in Mountain View Hospital, Idaho Falls Community Hospital, and market-related businesses to Intermountain Health. The transaction includes surgery centers, physician practices, and ancillary businesses that were owned by Mountain View Hospital, and the company intends to use the proceeds primarily to repay debt. Management expects to reduce leverage by approximately 0.3x and decrease exposure to obstetrics, neonatal care, pediatrics, intensive care, and emergency services, but as of August 10, 2026, the transaction remained subject to closing conditions and required approvals.

    Did Surgery Partners' margins improve in Q2 FY2026?

    The adjusted EBITDA margin was 14.7% in Q2 FY2026, but adjusted EBITDA declined to approximately $125 million from $129 million a year earlier. For H1, the margin fell to 13.7% from 14.5%, and adjusted EBITDA declined 2.3% to $228 million. Several expense items improved compared with Q1, including wages and salaries at 29.8% of revenue and supplies at 26.7%, but they remained above the prior-year levels of 28.5% and 26.0%, respectively.

    What role do physician recruitment and new developments play in SGRY's growth?

    191 new physicians began using Surgery Partners' facilities in Q2 FY2026, bringing the H1 total to 330 physicians. The revenue contribution from the 2026 physician cohort increased approximately 16% compared with the prior-year cohort, and the specialties included orthopedics, ophthalmology, gastroenterology, and pain management. The company also had six new facilities under construction and seven others in the development pipeline, and management said recruited physician business typically doubles in the second year and continues to grow at a double-digit rate in the third year.

    What are the main financial risks facing SGRY stock?

    Net leverage under the credit agreement was approximately 4.4x at the end of Q2 FY2026, compared with 4.1x a year earlier, and balance-sheet net debt to EBITDA was approximately 5.1x. Quarterly interest payments increased to approximately $90 million from $81 million, while operating cash flow was $59 million and the company distributed $46 million to physician partners. Alongside the debt burden, the commercial mix declined by approximately 350 basis points to around 49% of net revenue, contributing to pressure on margins.

    What is Surgery Partners' FY2026 guidance?

    Management reaffirmed FY2026 guidance for revenue ranging from $3.35 billion to $3.45 billion and adjusted EBITDA of at least $530 million. This guidance excludes any financial impact from the Idaho Falls transaction because it had not closed as of the August 10, 2026 call. The company said it would issue updated guidance and additional details about its financial profile after the transaction is completed, and it also acknowledged that it would not reach its customary acquisition investment target of $200 million during FY2026.