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Stocks
Stifel Financial Corp.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall75
Strong — clearly above market medianSuper StockF 7/8Better than 75% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
73
13.5x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
41
11.0%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
85
——Top tier
▸
Safety
20
——Bottom tier
▸
Capital Return
76
2.38%▲2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
65
10.3%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
62
5▲3Around median
SF

SF Stifel Financial Corp

Stifel Financial Corp · NYSE
Market Closed
79.76
▲ ⁦+0.09%⁩ (+0.07)
Market Cap$12.1B
Beta0.99
52w Low52w High
67.8189.83
Last Week
⁦+1.17%⁩
Last Month
⁦-5.40%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+12.93%⁩
Last Year
⁦+3.91%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$80
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$90
⁦+13%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$90–$90⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$44
⁦-44%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦8.8⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$44–$90⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$90.00
⁦+12.8%⁩
Current Price $79.76·Median $90.00
Low
$90.00
High
$90.00
Street summary

Stifel Financial (SF) Price Target Analysis

Bullish tilt

The average price target for Stifel Financial has seen a 4.65% increase over the past week, reaching $90 compared to $86 in the previous period, reflecting an improvement in short-term expectations despite a 3.68% decline from where it stood 30 days ago ($93.44). Analysts currently show a state of Zero Dispersion, as the high and low targets have converged at $90, indicating high certainty among covering analysts regarding the stock's fair value at the present time.

As of 2026-07-23
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.50
Buy
Analyst coverage
8
Buy conviction
38%
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time8 analysts rating
1
2
5
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.70 → 3.50
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-07-08
    UBS
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-04-08
    UBS
    —· $89.00
  • = Reiterate2026-01-29
    TD Cowen
    Hold
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    13.52x
    3.16x25.26x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    11.96x
    2.76x22.06x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • FCF Yield
    —
    —
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    11.0%
    -36.3%104.2%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    64.3%
    -99.4%194.2%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    —
    —
  • ROIC
    —
    —
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    2.4%
    0.6%9.0%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    25.2%
    9.8%97.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-22 data

Company Overview

Stifel Financial Corp operates through two interconnected platforms: Global Wealth Management, which generates revenue from asset management, transactions, and net interest income, and the Institutional Group, which provides investment banking advisory, capital raising, underwriting, and equity and fixed-income transaction services. In fiscal Q2 2026, Wealth Management generated record revenue of $957 million, while the Institutional Group recorded $481 million, showing that Wealth Management is the larger revenue source, with an important and more cyclical contribution from institutional services.

According to EDGAR filings, fiscal Q2 2026 revenue was approximately $1.6 billion, net income was $226.5 million, and earnings per share were $1.34, compared with revenue of $1.7 billion, net income of $251.4 million, and earnings per share of $1.48 in fiscal Q1 2026. On a non-GAAP basis, the company reported net revenue of $1.45 billion, up 13% year over year, and earnings per share of $1.42, up 25%, with a return on tangible common equity of approximately 24% and a compensation-to-revenue ratio of 57%.

Net revenue for the first half of fiscal 2026 reached a record $2.9 billion, exceeding the previous record by 15%, while earnings per share reached a record $2.87, up 28% from the previous record. The Institutional Group's pre-tax margin improved to 19.5% from 11% in the corresponding period, while tangible book value per share increased 15% year over year, reflecting the benefit to earnings from revenue growth and the efficiency measures implemented during 2025.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Global Wealth Management recorded record revenue of $957 million in fiscal Q2 2026, up 13% year over year, while total client assets reached a record $580 billion and fee-based assets reached $240 billion, increases of 12% and 16%, respectively.
  • Investment banking revenue increased to $332 million in fiscal Q2 2026, up 42% year over year; advisory revenue increased 24% to $157 million, and capital raising surged 121% to $102 million, driven by activity in healthcare, industrials, energy, and financial services.
  • The loan book grew by $2.6 billion during fiscal Q2 2026, including $2 billion in fund loans, keeping the company on track to target annual growth of up to $4 billion. Based on growth in interest-earning assets and a stable interest margin, management guided to net interest income of between $290 million and $300 million in fiscal Q3 2026.
  • Efficiency measures supported profitability; the compensation-to-revenue ratio declined 50 basis points sequentially to 57%, and the Institutional Group's pre-tax margin improved 850 basis points year over year to 19.5% in the first half of fiscal 2026. If market conditions persist through the remainder of fiscal 2026, management expects the compensation ratio to fall at the midpoint of the guidance range of 56.5% to 57.5% or in its lower half.
  • Stifel deployed more than $500 million of capital in fiscal Q2 2026 through investment in the business, share repurchases, and dividends. Repurchases included 2.4 million shares, with 7.8 million shares remaining under the authorization, despite funding loan growth of $2.6 billion.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Stifel's model combines more stable Wealth Management revenue with cyclical growth opportunities in investment banking; revenue from its two main platforms increased 13% and 15% year over year, respectively, in fiscal Q2 2026.
  • +The client asset base of $580 billion, including $240 billion in fee-based assets, provides a foundation for growth in asset management revenue, while fee-based assets increased 16% year over year and 19% excluding the impact of SIA.
  • +Growth in fund loans and investment deposits supports net interest income; combined Wealth Management and Treasury deposits increased by approximately $3.3 billion during the year ended fiscal Q2 2026, with more than $3 billion in project deposits available to be moved onto the balance sheet.
  • +The company demonstrated an ability to convert revenue growth into earnings at a faster pace, with non-GAAP net revenue increasing 13% and non-GAAP earnings per share increasing 25% in fiscal Q2 2026, while generating a return on tangible common equity of approximately 24%.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus is Buy, with an average target of $90 and identical high and low targets of $90; this target is slightly above the 52-week range high of $89.82667, while the range low is $67.81. No usable price-to-earnings multiple was provided, but management compared Stifel's valuation of approximately 8 times with financial-services transaction valuations of 15 to 18 times, which supported its preference for share repurchases over high-priced acquisitions. Conversely, the absence of dispersion among analyst targets and the target's proximity to the 52-week range high make the valuation dependent on continued growth in investment banking, net interest income, and efficiency improvements.

BuyAnalyst target: $90(+12.8%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What are Stifel Financial's main revenue sources?

Stifel combines Global Wealth Management and institutional services, including asset management, transactions, net interest income, advisory, and capital raising. In fiscal Q2 2026, Wealth Management generated record revenue of $957 million, compared with $481 million for the Institutional Group. Company-wide investment banking revenue was $332 million, including $157 million from advisory and $102 million from capital raising.

How did Stifel perform in fiscal Q2 2026?

According to EDGAR, the company recorded revenue of $1.6 billion, net income of $226.5 million, and earnings per share of $1.34 in fiscal Q2 2026. On a non-GAAP basis, net revenue was $1.45 billion and earnings per share were $1.42, year-over-year increases of 13% and 25%. Return on tangible common equity was approximately 24%, while the compensation ratio declined sequentially to 57%.

What supports growth in Stifel's net interest income?

Stifel increased its loan book by $2.6 billion in fiscal Q2 2026, including $2 billion in fund loans. Management is targeting growth of up to $4 billion during fiscal 2026, with net interest income guidance of $290–300 million for fiscal Q3 2026. The company also had more than $3 billion in off-balance-sheet project deposits available and expected additional quarterly growth of $1 billion in these deposits.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

−
The Institutional Group's earnings remain sensitive to the capital-markets cycle and deal completion; investment banking revenue exceeded expectations by $23 million because a large transaction closed near the end of fiscal Q2 2026, while financial sponsor activity remained below historical levels.
  • −Institutional transaction revenue declined 19% year over year in fiscal Q2 2026 due to weaker fixed income, while equity transaction revenue declined 4% as a result of restructuring European operations. Even after excluding an aircraft gain of approximately $30 million from the comparison period, the company described the results as only roughly in line with the prior year.
  • −EDGAR figures declined sequentially from fiscal Q1 to fiscal Q2 2026; revenue decreased from $1.7 billion to $1.6 billion, net income from $251.4 million to $226.5 million, and earnings per share from $1.48 to $1.34.
  • −Deploying capital into loan growth reduced the risk-weighted Tier 1 capital ratio to 17.3%, despite the Tier 1 leverage ratio remaining at 11.2% and excess capital of approximately $480 million. Reaching the $4 billion loan-growth target increases the results' dependence on underwriting quality and the availability of project and fund deposits at an appropriate cost.
  • −Wealth Management faces intense competition for advisors as recruitment packages rise, while management also acknowledged continued fee pressure and costs associated with using artificial intelligence technologies. Management views artificial intelligence as a productivity accelerator rather than a replacement for advisors, but the market could reassess the advisory model if fee pressure intensifies or competitors' tools develop more rapidly.
  • −The consensus analyst target is $90, only slightly above the 52-week range high of $89.82667, while the highest and lowest targets are both $90; therefore, the target range provides no dispersion to illustrate valuation sensitivity under weaker scenarios. Insiders recorded net sales of 372,233 shares across two sale transactions during the three months ended with the latest transaction on July 23, 2026, but this is a weak standalone signal because insider sales may be prearranged unless the context states otherwise.
  • What role does investment banking play in SF's growth?

    Investment banking revenue increased 42% year over year to $332 million in fiscal Q2 2026. Advisory revenue grew 24% to $157 million, while capital raising surged 121% to $102 million, with activity in healthcare, industrials, energy, and financial services. However, the $23 million outperformance versus expectations benefited from a large transaction that closed near the end of the quarter, while financial sponsor activity remained below historical levels.

    Does artificial intelligence represent an opportunity or a threat to Stifel's business?

    Management believes artificial intelligence improves the productivity of bankers, analysts, and advisors rather than replacing human judgment and client relationships. The company plans to use it for tasks such as comparing marketing materials against FINRA and SEC rules, analyzing more opportunities, and expanding research analyst coverage. However, management acknowledged on the July 22, 2026 call that there are costs for computational tokens and that fee pressure continues, while competition for advisor recruitment and hiring packages remained elevated.

    How is Stifel allocating capital in fiscal 2026?

    The company deployed more than $500 million in fiscal Q2 2026 through investment in the business, share repurchases, and dividends. It repurchased 2.4 million shares during the quarter, with 7.8 million shares remaining under the authorization, while funding loan growth of $2.6 billion. Afterward, excess capital was approximately $480 million based on a Tier 1 leverage target of 10%, while the actual leverage ratio was 11.2%.