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Home
Stocks
Companhia de Saneamento Básico do Estado de São Paulo - SABESP
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall37
Weak — below market medianContrarianF 3/9Better than 37% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
71
12.3x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
22
-0.1%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
77
11.6%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
50
2.5x▲2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
5
—2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
46
23.5%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
35
2▼3Bottom tier
SBS

SBS Companhia de Saneamento Básico do Estado de São Paulo - SABESP

Companhia de Saneamento Básico do Estado de São Paulo - SABESP · NYSE
Market Closed
5.29
▼ ⁦-0.56%⁩ (-0.03)
Market Cap$18.2B
Beta0.09
52w Low52w High
4.387.16
Last Week
⁦+3.93%⁩
Last Month
⁦+1.54%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-4.17%⁩
Last Year
⁦+19.41%⁩
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$5.29
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$24
—
Range ⁦$24–$24⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$-2.60
⁦-149%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$23.79
⁦+349.7%⁩
Current Price $5.29·Median $23.79
Low
$23.79
High
$23.79
Street summary

SBS Price Target Analysis

Bullish tilt

SBS stock shows remarkable stability in analyst outlooks, with the average price target settling at 23.79, representing a significant positive gap compared to the current price of 4.58. Notably, there is Zero Dispersion among analysts, as the high and low estimates converge at the same value, with one additional analyst entering the coverage range over the past seven days without changing the price target, indicating firm conviction in the current valuation.

As of 2026-08-17
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.17
Buy
Analyst coverage
⁦6 (+1)⁩
New coverage
Buy conviction
100%
High
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time6 analysts rating
1
5
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.29 → 4.17
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2025-11-24
    Goldman Sachs
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2024-10-06
    Goldman Sachs
    Buy· $24.50
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    12.28x
    4.50x36.01x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    —
    —
  • EV / EBITDA
    7.52x
    3.07x24.54x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    0.0%
    -17.6%10.2%
    Above average
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    -0.1%
    -10.5%25.3%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -83.2%
    -53.8%122.0%
    Weak
  • Gross Margin
    35.1%
    9.8%69.4%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    11.6%
    -2.0%11.4%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    2.46x
    1.28x10.25x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2023-05-12 data

Company Overview

Companhia de Saneamento Básico do Estado de São Paulo - SABESP provides drinking water and sewage services, deriving its revenue primarily from the volume of billed water and services and from tariffs approved by the regulator. In the fiscal Q1 2023 call, the company explained that its customer mix includes residential, commercial, industrial, and public categories, and that the recovery in industrial and public-sector consumption supported volume and revenue, while expansion opportunities include network expansion, loss reduction, water reuse, biogas projects, and waste-to-energy conversion.

In fiscal 2024, revenue reached $36.1 billion, gross profit $19.5 billion, net income $9.6 billion, and earnings per share 14.02; equivalent to a gross margin of approximately 54.0% and a net margin of approximately 26.6%. Compared with fiscal 2023, revenue increased by approximately 41.0% from $25.6 billion, gross profit nearly doubled from $9.5 billion, while net income rose from $3.5 billion to $9.6 billion.

In fiscal Q1 2024, SABESP recorded revenue of $6.6 billion, gross profit of $2.6 billion, net income of $823.3 million, and earnings per share of 1.20451; indicating a gross margin of approximately 39.4% and a net margin of approximately 12.5%. The provided statements do not break down revenue by customer category, but the fiscal Q1 2023 call showed that volume growth included water and sewage and the residential, commercial, industrial, and public categories.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The significant improvement in fiscal 2024 results is a key driver for the stock; revenue rose to $36.1 billion from $25.6 billion in fiscal 2023, and net income increased to $9.6 billion from $3.5 billion.
  • The fiscal Q1 2023 call demonstrated revenue sensitivity to the combination of tariff and volume; revenue for that quarter increased 13.5% to 4.5 billion Brazilian reais, supported by a 12.8% tariff effect and 1.4% total volume growth.
  • Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization increased 18.2% in fiscal Q1 2023, and the adjusted margin after excluding construction revenue and costs reached 45%, highlighting the effect of pricing and consumption mix on operating profitability.
  • The investment plan announced on May 12, 2023 focused on modernizing operations, expanding networks, and reducing water losses, while the PCJ Cantareira project, the Integrated River Recovery project, and the Barueri waste-to-energy project were among the initiatives named in the call.
  • Management said on May 12, 2023 that 50% of energy consumption was purchased from the free market, with a plan to issue a request for proposals for self-generation of energy and complete the project by 2026; this aims to reduce one of the significant operating cost items.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Fiscal 2024 shows strong expansion in the scale of the business, with revenue growth of approximately 41.0% and net income growth of approximately 174% compared with fiscal 2023, alongside an improvement in earnings per share from 5.16 to 14.02.
  • +SABESP's model has two clear revenue levers: regulated tariffs and consumption volume; in fiscal Q1 2023, the combination of a tariff increase and volume growth produced a 13.5% increase in revenue and 18.2% growth in earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization.
  • +Operating initiatives target reducing losses, expanding networks, improving collections, and shifting energy purchases to the free market, measures directly linked to revenue or costs rather than relying on unspecified expansion.
  • +The gross margin in fiscal 2024 was approximately 54.0% and the net margin approximately 26.6% based on the provided figures, reflecting a strong ability to convert revenue into profit during that fiscal year.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus is neutral, and the average price target is $23.79, with the high and low targets nearly identical at $23.7946; therefore, the target range provides no meaningful diversity in analyst estimates. This target is more than three times the upper end of the 52-week range of $7.158, compared with a low of $4.376, a divergence that warrants caution when interpreting the target, particularly given the absence of a usable price-to-earnings ratio and the continued regulatory, overdue-receivables, currency, and interest-rate risks.

HoldAnalyst target: $23.79(+349.7%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

How did SABESP perform in fiscal 2024?

Fiscal 2024 revenue was approximately $36.1 billion, compared with $25.6 billion in fiscal 2023. Gross profit increased to $19.5 billion from $9.5 billion, while net income rose to $9.6 billion from $3.5 billion. Earnings per share were 14.02, with a calculated gross margin of approximately 54.0% and a net margin of approximately 26.6%.

What drives SABESP's revenue?

The company said in the May 12, 2023 call that volume is the primary operating driver of revenue, alongside the tariff approved by the regulator. In fiscal Q1 2023, total volume increased 1.4%, with improvements in the residential, commercial, industrial, and public categories. The 12.8% tariff effect and volume growth contributed to a 13.5% increase in revenue for that quarter to 4.5 billion Brazilian reais.

What are SABESP's main growth and efficiency projects?

In the fiscal Q1 2023 call, SABESP prioritized modernizing operations, expanding networks, and reducing water losses. Named initiatives included the PCJ Cantareira project, the Integrated River Recovery project benefiting from the experience of Nova Rio Pinheiros, and studies for the Barueri waste-to-energy project. The company also said that 50% of energy consumption came from the free market and that the self-generation energy project was targeted for completion by 2026.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

−
The revenue model remains exposed to regulatory decisions and the gap between realized revenue and regulatory revenue; in the May 12, 2023 call, management said that addressing this gap required tariff reviews and technical discussions with the regulator, and did not specify the size of the remaining gap.
  • −Overdue receivables pose a risk to cash flows; accounts overdue by more than 360 days were near record levels in fiscal Q4 2022, and management said on May 12, 2023 that it could not determine how much would be collected during fiscal 2023 and that a return to pre-pandemic delinquency levels would not occur during that year.
  • −Earnings are exposed to currency and interest-rate fluctuations; the net financial effect reduced fiscal Q1 2023 profit by approximately 600 million Brazilian reais, most debt was denominated in yen and dollars, and 50% of debt was linked to the Brazilian CDI rate.
  • −Costs and expenses increased 10.3% in fiscal Q1 2023, including increases of 11.4% in personnel costs, 21.7% in materials, 22% in services, and 12.8% in general expenses. Management noted that prices for chemicals and water-treatment inputs remained elevated compared with pre-Ukraine war levels.
  • −The analyst consensus on SBS is neutral rather than buy, although the average target of $23.79 is far above the upper end of the 52-week range of $7.158; this large divergence makes reliance on the standalone target more susceptible to differences in methodology or trading-instrument structure.
  • −Insider activity during the three months ending with the latest transaction on June 15, 2026 recorded eight sales and no purchases, with a net negative 649,667.28 and a strong_sell signal. This remains a weak standalone signal because insider sales may be prearranged unless the data states otherwise.
  • What are the main financial risks facing SBS stock?

    In fiscal Q1 2023, the net financial effect reduced profit by approximately 600 million Brazilian reais, with debt exposure to the yen and dollar and 50% linked to the CDI rate. Costs and expenses increased 10.3%, including increases of 21.7% in materials and 22% in services. Receivables overdue by more than 360 days also remained near record levels recorded in fiscal Q4 2022, and management did not provide a specific figure for expected collections.

    What does the neutral analyst consensus mean for SBS stock?

    The provided analyst consensus is neutral, and the average price target is $23.79. The high and low ends are nearly identical at $23.7946, meaning the consensus data does not present a meaningful range of differing opinions. The target is more than three times the 52-week range high of $7.158, while no price-to-earnings ratio is available for use as an additional valuation anchor.

    Is insider selling a decisive negative signal for SBS stock?

    The three months ending with the latest transaction on June 15, 2026 showed eight sales and no purchases, with net activity of negative 649,667.28. The provided signal was classified as strong_sell, so it warrants monitoring alongside results and regulatory risks. However, it is not sufficient on its own to support a definitive conclusion because insider sales may be prearranged unless the data indicates otherwise.