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Stocks
Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc.
SBRA

SBRA Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc.

Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
20.52
▼ ⁦-1.49%⁩ (-0.31)
Market Cap$5.2B
Beta0.64
52w Low52w High
17.1722.77
Last Week
⁦-1.63%⁩
Last Month
⁦-1.87%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+1.18%⁩
Last Year
⁦+6.93%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall42
Weak — below market medianHigh FlyerF 5/9Better than 42% of Market stocks, per EL7's modelUnsustainable dividend (payout > 100%)
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
25
78.9x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
58
17.3%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
56
1.9%▼4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
38
6.7x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
43
5.85%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
67
9.5%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
41
4▲3Around median
Fair Value
Current price$21
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$22
⁦+7%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$21–$25⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$17
⁦-15%⁩
Sees it slightly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦3⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$17–$22⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Annual plan
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Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$22.57
⁦+10.0%⁩
Current Price $20.52·Median $22.00
Low
$21.00
High
$25.00
Current price
$20.52
Average target
$22.57
Street summary

Target SBRA stable with slight improvement

The average price target remained stable at 22.57, unchanged over the last 7 days, while edging up over the last 30 days from 22.50 to 22.57, an increase of 0.31% with no change in the number of analysts. The current price of 20.78 is below the average target, while the range is between 21 and 25; however, reliance on a single analyst limits the strength of the conclusion and indicates limited coverage.

As of 2026-09-07
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+0.3%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.44
Hold
Analyst coverage
16
Buy conviction
38%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
19%
Analyst ratings over time16 analysts rating
1
5
10
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.50 → 3.44
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-31
    Barclays
    Mixed
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-08-06
    Raymond James
    Market Perform
  • = Reiterate2026-07-22
    Deutsche Bank
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    78.92x
    5.03x40.26x
    Expensive
  • Forward P/E
    29.00x
    5.89x47.13x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    21.28x
    3.68x29.40x
    Above average
  • FCF Yield
    6.6%
    -23.1%16.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    17.3%
    -14.0%37.7%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -66.2%
    -121.8%181.8%
    Below average
  • Gross Margin
    72.6%
    -5.0%81.8%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    1.9%
    -4.2%9.5%
    Near median
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    6.67x
    1.55x12.39x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    5.8%
    0.6%15.6%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    455.5%
    31.2%370.0%
    High
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-03 data

Company Overview

Sabra Health Care REIT is a healthcare real estate investment company focused on managed senior housing, skilled nursing facilities, and properties leased under triple-net agreements. The company generates income from cash rents in its triple-net portfolio and its share of the net operating income of managed properties; in fiscal Q2 2026, cash net operating income from the managed senior housing portfolio was $44.6 million, while cash rental income from the triple-net portfolio was $94.1 million. The company is working to increase the weighting of its SHOP portfolio, after its net operating income exposure to this portfolio rose by 450 basis points compared with the previous quarter.

In fiscal Q2 2026, Sabra recorded revenue of $235.9 million and a net loss of $25.2 million, equivalent to a loss of $0.10 per share, compared with revenue of $221.8 million, net income of $40.9 million, and earnings of $0.16 per share in fiscal Q1 2026. The accounting result was affected by a $102.4 million provision for loan losses and other reserves, primarily related to the discounted payoff of the RCA loan, and was excluded from adjusted results. On an adjusted basis, FFO per share was $0.38 and AFFO per share was $0.40, representing year-over-year increases of 3% and 5%, respectively.

Total cash net operating income was $144.3 million in fiscal Q2 2026, up from $138.7 million in the previous quarter. The managed senior housing portfolio achieved sequential revenue growth of 9.6% and cash net operating income growth of 14.4%, with the margin expanding by 130 basis points. As for the same-store portfolio, revenue rose 8.6% year over year, occupancy increased by 170 basis points to 88.2%, and cash net operating income grew 13.7%.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Sabra closed year-to-date investments through August 3, 2026, of approximately $599 million, at an estimated initial cash yield of 7.5%, and has an additional $100 million of awarded investments expected to close before the end of fiscal 2026, bringing the total closed and awarded to approximately $700 million.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • During the twelve months ended fiscal Q2 2026, the company added 21 assets to its managed senior housing portfolio, increasing the asset count by approximately 24% and the portfolio's net operating income by 76%. It is also pursuing an additional $330 million of investments, while opportunities under review exceeded $1 billion and were mostly within SHOP.
  • Sabra raised its fiscal 2026 earnings guidance in its July 21, 2026 update and then reaffirmed it on August 3, 2026; the midpoint of the range represents year-over-year growth of approximately 7% in adjusted FFO per share and 8% in adjusted AFFO per share. The company also maintained its expectations for same-store SHOP portfolio net operating income growth in the low- to mid-teens.
  • Occupancy and rate growth drove a 6.6% year-over-year increase in RevPOR for the same-store portfolio, while exPOR rose by a lower 4.1%, supporting 13.7% growth in cash net operating income. Domestic portfolio occupancy reached 85.7% and Canadian portfolio occupancy reached 93.2%, with Canadian occupancy remaining above 90% for the ninth consecutive quarter.
  • The retroactive modification of Avamere's rent to February 1, 2026 increased fixed annual cash rent from $41 million paid in 2025 to $48 million and added $3.2 million to fiscal Q2 2026 revenue. Management expects annual rent to rise to $53 million upon completion of the planned transition later in fiscal 2026.
  • Net debt to adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization improved from 5.04 times on March 31, 2026 to 4.61 times on June 30, 2026, with liquidity of approximately $1.3 billion. This gives Sabra greater capacity to fund acquisition opportunities, while adjusted AFFO for fiscal Q2 2026 covered the quarterly distribution of $0.30 per share at a 75% payout ratio.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Sabra combines strong organic growth with substantial investment expansion; cash net operating income from the same-store SHOP portfolio grew 13.7% year over year, alongside approximately $700 million of closed and awarded investments at an estimated initial yield of 7.5%.
    • +The operational improvement in managed senior housing is evident in occupancy rising to 88.2% and RevPOR growing 6.6% compared with a 4.1% increase in exPOR, a spread that supports continued operating leverage and margin expansion.
    • +The balance sheet supports the growth trajectory; leverage declined to 4.61 times on June 30, 2026, liquidity reached $1.3 billion, and the company was in compliance with all debt covenants on that date.
    • +The reaffirmation of fiscal 2026 guidance reflects expected growth at the midpoint of the range of 7% in adjusted FFO per share and 8% in adjusted AFFO per share, while adjusted AFFO reached $0.40 per share in fiscal Q2 2026 and covered the $0.30 cash distribution.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Sabra recorded a net loss of $25.2 million in fiscal Q2 2026, driven by a $102.4 million provision for loan losses and other reserves primarily related to the discounted payoff of the RCA loan. Although the provision was excluded from adjusted results, it illustrates that credit investments may generate significant accounting and capital losses.
    • −The expansion plan increasingly depends on executing SHOP transactions and improving their operations; the value-add opportunities include six properties and approximately 713 units with occupancy of approximately 80% and an expected first-year yield of approximately 6%, compared with a stabilized yield target of approximately 9%. Reaching occupancy closer to 90% within one or two years requires operators to succeed in leasing and operational improvement.
    • −Exposure to individual tenants and agreements remains important, as Avamere's fixed annual cash rent became $48 million after being $41 million in 2025 and is expected to reach $53 million after the transition. In fiscal Q2 2026, the CommuniCare sale reduced cash rental income by $1.3 million, demonstrating the effect of individual portfolio changes on quarterly results.
    • −Funding investments requires balancing debt and equity issuance; cash interest expense rose sequentially to $27.4 million from $26 million due to borrowing to fund transactions. On June 30, 2026, 21.4 million shares remained under forward sale agreements at an initial average of $19.24 per share after commissions, representing a potential source of shareholder dilution upon settlement.
    • −Competition for SHOP assets may pressure returns, as management indicated that it lost some transactions to competitors and rejected others with capitalization rates in the high 6% to low 7% range because of inadequate risk-adjusted returns. Capitalization rates in Canada are also approximately 100 to 150 basis points lower than in the United States, making U.S. opportunities more attractive to the company on August 3, 2026.
    • −The analyst consensus is Neutral, with a target range of $21 to $25 and an average of $22.5, which is only $0.27 below the top of the 52-week range of $22.77. This proximity limits the revaluation potential implied by the aggregate targets, particularly given the continuing execution and financing risks.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus on SBRA is Neutral, with an average price target of $22.5 and a target range of $21 to $25. The average target is very close to the upper end of the 52-week range of $22.77, while the highest target exceeds this peak by only $2.23. The targets therefore reflect a balanced assessment between expected adjusted AFFO growth of 8% at the midpoint of fiscal 2026 guidance and the risks of credit losses, acquisition execution, and financing.

    HoldAnalyst target: $22.5(+9.6%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is driving Sabra's growth in fiscal 2026?

    Growth stems from improved operations in the managed senior housing portfolio and from new acquisitions. In fiscal Q2 2026, same-store portfolio revenue rose 8.6% year over year and cash net operating income grew 13.7%, with occupancy reaching 88.2%. Through August 3, 2026, closed investments totaled approximately $599 million at an estimated initial cash yield of 7.5%, with an additional $100 million of awarded investments.

    Why did SBRA record a net loss despite growth in adjusted FFO and AFFO?

    The company recorded a net loss of $25.2 million and negative earnings of $0.10 per share in fiscal Q2 2026. The results included a $102.4 million provision for loan losses and other reserves, primarily related to the discounted payoff of the RCA loan. This item was excluded from adjusted results, and therefore adjusted FFO was $0.38 per share and adjusted AFFO was $0.40 per share.

    What is the significance of Sabra's expansion in the SHOP portfolio?

    Sabra added 21 assets to its managed senior housing portfolio during the twelve months ended fiscal Q2 2026, increasing the asset count by approximately 24% and the portfolio's net operating income by approximately 76%. In the same quarter, total portfolio revenue grew sequentially by 9.6% and cash net operating income by 14.4%, with the margin expanding by 130 basis points. Management said on August 3, 2026 that most of the opportunity pipeline exceeding $1 billion was concentrated in SHOP, indicating a continued increase in the weighting of this business.

    Are Sabra's cash distributions covered by earnings?

    On August 3, 2026, the board of directors declared a quarterly cash distribution of $0.30 per share, payable on August 31, 2026 to shareholders of record on August 14, 2026. Adjusted AFFO was $0.40 per share in fiscal Q2 2026, resulting in a 75% payout ratio. Management described the distribution as well covered based on this adjusted measure.

    How does Sabra fund its acquisitions, and what is the impact on shareholders?

    Sabra's liquidity was approximately $1.3 billion on June 30, 2026, including $231.6 million of unrestricted cash, $682.5 million available under the credit facility, and $411.8 million associated with outstanding shares under forward sale agreements. On the same date, 21.4 million shares remained under forward sale agreements at an initial average of $19.24 per share after commissions, in addition to $334.1 million of remaining capacity under the ATM program. These sources provide flexibility to fund transactions, but they combine a potential increase in interest expense when debt is used with shareholder ownership dilution when the forward shares are settled.

    What are the execution risks in Sabra's value-add investments?

    The value-add opportunities discussed by management on August 3, 2026 include six properties comprising approximately 713 assisted living and memory care units, with an average age of five years and occupancy of approximately 80%. The company is targeting a first-year yield of approximately 6% followed by a stabilized yield of approximately 9% within one or two years, with internal rates of return in the teens. Achieving these targets depends on increasing occupancy toward 90% and on the performance of existing operators with which the company has prior relationships.