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Stocks
Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc.
SBH

SBH Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc.

Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
15.96
▲ ⁦+1.01%⁩ (+0.16)
Market Cap$1.5B
Beta1.04
52w Low52w High
11.5417.92
Last Week
⁦-2.50%⁩
Last Month
⁦-5.17%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+20.36%⁩
Last Year
⁦+18.13%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall90
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 8/9Grey zoneBetter than 90% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
95
8.3x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
34
1.1%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
84
10.7%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
62
3.1x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
69
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
66
18.9%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
37
4▲3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$16
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$16
⁦+0%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$13–$20⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$30
⁦+88%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦9.0⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$16–$30⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Monthly plan
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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$16.17
⁦+1.3%⁩
Current Price $15.96·Median $16.00
Low
$13.00
High
$20.00
Current price
$15.96
Average target
$16.17
Street summary

Sally Beauty (SBH) Price Target Revision

Bearish tilt

Sally Beauty stock has seen a notable decline in its average price target over the last 30 days, with the consensus falling from $18 to $16.17, a 10.17% decrease that occurred mostly in the last week. This new price target puts the stock under technical pressure as it is below the current closing price of $16.84, despite the 'Buy' rating maintained by TD Cowen in its August 2026 update.

As of 2026-08-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.60
Buy
Analyst coverage
5
Buy conviction
60%
Mixed
Target dispersion
44%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time5 analysts rating
1
2
1
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.60 → 3.60
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-04
    TD Cowen
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-05-12
    Morgan Stanley
    Underweight
  • = Reiterate2026-02-10
    Morgan Stanley
    Underweight· $16.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    8.31x
    4.56x36.49x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    7.36x
    3.79x30.29x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    6.88x
    2.75x22.03x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    16.1%
    -30.9%16.2%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    1.1%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    3.8%
    -156.9%135.6%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    52.1%
    12.0%66.5%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    10.7%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    3.10x
    0.65x5.48x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    2.89
    -2.656.14
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-03 data

Company Overview

Sally Beauty Holdings operates through two main segments in the distribution of beauty and hair care products. The Sally Beauty segment serves consumers through stores and e-commerce, while the BSG segment distributes products to salons and beauty professionals in the United States and Canada; the two segments generated sales of approximately $539 million and $397 million, respectively, in fiscal Q3 2026. The company relies on categories such as hair color, hair care, nails, and fragrances, alongside owned brands and national brands, while expanding its assortment through Yellow, NatureLab. Tokyo, Virtue Labs, milk_shake, and others.

In fiscal Q3 2026, revenue was $935.5 million, gross profit was $490.2 million, net income was $54.1 million, and earnings per share were $0.55. Adjusted gross margin expanded by 40 basis points to 52.4%, and adjusted operating income reached $87 million; adjusted earnings per share also increased 8% year over year, despite roughly flat comparable sales and operating 39 fewer stores.

The segment mix showed a clear divergence in fiscal Q3 2026: Sally Beauty sales grew 2.2% and its operating profit increased 7.3%, with comparable sales growth of 1.6% and an operating margin of 16.6%. In contrast, BSG sales declined 2.4% to $397 million, its comparable sales fell 2.1%, and its operating margin decreased 20 basis points to 12.3%. For the twelve months ended in 2026, the company reported revenue of $3.7 billion, gross profit of $1.9 billion, and net income of $192.3 million.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Global e-commerce increased 11% year over year in fiscal Q3 2026, marking the fourth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth; Sally e-commerce grew 20% to $52 million, while its online sales in the United States and Canada increased 28%.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Hair color remained a key driver, with the category growing 8% in the Sally segment and 9% at Sally in the United States and Canada, while the latter achieved comparable sales growth of 3.5%, supported by higher transaction volume and average ticket value.
  • The Fuel for Growth program improved product margins and delivered $9 million in pre-tax savings during fiscal Q3 2026; management expects approximately $45 million in savings during fiscal 2026 and approximately $120 million in annualized cumulative savings by the end of September 2026.
  • The company completed 33 remodels under Sally Ignited through the end of July 2026 and planned to complete another 17 by the end of September 2026, bringing the total to 80 locations. Management reported that these stores are outperforming the rest of the fleet in sales growth, with improvements in traffic, dwell time, unit count, and average transaction value.
  • Average weekly consultations for the Licensed Colorist On Demand service exceeded approximately 5,200 in fiscal Q3 2026, and the number of new customers using the service increased 28% year over year. Service users also continued to spend more than non-users, supported by higher purchase frequency.
  • Management expects fiscal 2026 revenue of between $3.725 billion and $3.733 billion, adjusted operating income of between $329 million and $335 million, adjusted earnings per share of between $2.04 and $2.08, and free cash flow of approximately $200 million.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Earnings quality improved in fiscal Q3 2026 despite roughly flat sales, as adjusted gross margin expanded by 40 basis points and adjusted earnings per share increased 8% to $0.55, while adjusted operating income and earnings per share came in at the high end of management's guidance range.
    • +The Sally segment combines growth across stores and digital channels; its sales increased 2.2%, comparable sales grew 1.6%, and e-commerce rose 20%, while its operating margin expanded by 80 basis points to 16.6% in fiscal Q3 2026.
    • +The company generated $81 million in operating cash flow and $62 million in free cash flow in fiscal Q3 2026, enabling it to repay $20 million of its term loan and repurchase $25 million of shares, while reducing net leverage to 1.4 times.
    • +Hair color, fragrance, and men's categories provide defined growth avenues; Sally hair color grew 8%, fragrance distribution reached 2,000 stores, and management stated that the men's category was growing at a double-digit rate, while fragrance buyers are adding products, most priced above $20, to their existing baskets.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The BSG segment is experiencing tangible weakness, with sales declining 2.4% to $397 million and comparable sales falling 2.1% in fiscal Q3 2026, alongside a 3.2% decline in transactions and a 20-basis-point decrease in operating margin to 12.3%.
    • −Hair care remains the main area of weakness; it declined 6% in the Sally segment and 5% in BSG during fiscal Q3 2026, while BSG also faced a difficult comparison with the launch of K18 in April 2025, and management did not provide early sales metrics for the hair care assortment reset.
    • −Overall growth is limited, with comparable sales and quarterly revenue roughly flat, while management's forecast for comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026 was only approximately 0.5%. Fiscal Q3 2026 revenue came in 0.07% below analysts' expectations despite slight year-over-year growth.
    • −Customer price sensitivity intensified in the styling tools and hair care categories, with higher promotional activity and some buyers waiting for offers. Management also indicated that some lower-income customers may shift to cheaper mass-market shampoo and conditioner products, as well as weaker economic conditions and more cautious purchasing behavior in Mexico.
    • −The wide range of analyst targets between $13 and $20, alongside a neutral consensus, reflects substantial disagreement over the stock's value, while the average target of $16.17 is below the 52-week high of $17.92. This divergence increases valuation risk even as margins and cash flows improve.
    • −Net insider activity during the three months ended with the most recent transaction on June 8, 2026, amounted to $543,191.7 in sales, with one sale and no purchases. This remains a weak standalone signal because insider sales may be prearranged, and the available data contain no evidence to the contrary.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus on SBH stock is neutral, with an average price target of $16.17 and a wide range from $13 to $20; the average is below the 52-week high of $17.92, while the highest target exceeds that high. No published price-to-earnings ratio is available in the data, so the stock's valuation rests on improving profitability and cash flow versus flat sales, weakness in BSG and hair care, and the wide divergence among analyst targets.

    HoldAnalyst target: $16.17(+1.3%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-01; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    How did SBH perform in fiscal Q3 2026?

    Revenue was $935.5 million, gross profit was $490.2 million, and net income was $54.1 million in fiscal Q3 2026. Adjusted earnings per share were $0.55, up 8% year over year and above the analyst estimate of $0.53. Adjusted operating income was $87 million, and adjusted gross margin expanded by 40 basis points to 52.4%. Revenue was 0.07% below expectations, but increased slightly from $933.31 million in the comparable period.

    What was the difference between the performance of Sally Beauty and BSG?

    The Sally Beauty segment generated revenue of $539 million in fiscal Q3 2026, up 2.2%, while its operating profit increased 7.3%. Comparable sales grew 1.6%, and its operating margin reached 16.6%, with e-commerce growth of 20% to $52 million. In contrast, BSG revenue declined 2.4% to $397 million, while its comparable sales fell 2.1% and its operating margin decreased to 12.3%. Strength in hair color and nails at BSG partially offset weakness in hair care and a 3.2% decline in transactions.

    What are Sally Beauty's main digital growth drivers?

    Global e-commerce increased 11% in fiscal Q3 2026, marking the fourth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth. Sally e-commerce grew 20% to $52 million and reached 10% of segment sales, while increasing 28% in the United States and Canada. The average order value on the Sally app increased 6%, and in-store pickup accounted for the majority of app order volume. At BSG, e-commerce grew 4% to $58 million, representing 15% of segment sales.

    Can the Sally Ignited initiative improve store growth?

    The company completed 33 store remodels through the end of July 2026 and planned to add 17 remodels by the end of September 2026. This would bring the total to 80 locations under the Sally Ignited initiative, while these locations remain a small part of the overall sales base. Management stated that sales growth at remodeled stores is outperforming the rest of the fleet, with improvements in traffic, dwell time, unit count, and average transaction value. Nails and fragrances were among the strongest-performing categories at these locations.

    What is Sally Beauty's guidance for fiscal 2026?

    Management expects consolidated revenue of between $3.725 billion and $3.733 billion in fiscal 2026, including an approximately 30-basis-point positive currency impact. It also expects comparable sales growth of approximately 0.5% and adjusted operating income of between $329 million and $335 million. The adjusted earnings-per-share range was narrowed to $2.04–$2.08 from the previous range of $2.02–$2.10. Free cash flow guidance remained at approximately $200 million and capital expenditures at approximately $100 million, with 50% of free cash flow allocated to share repurchases.

    What are the biggest risks to the SBH investment thesis?

    The main operating risks are the 2.4% decline in BSG sales and the 2.1% decrease in its comparable sales in fiscal Q3 2026. Hair care also declined 6% at Sally and 5% at BSG, and management has not yet published early sell-through metrics for the hair care assortment reset. Greater reliance on promotions and customer price sensitivity add potential pressure, particularly in styling tools and hair care, with some lower-income consumers potentially shifting to mass-market alternatives. The neutral analyst consensus and wide range of targets between $13 and $20 indicate considerable valuation uncertainty.